"2/20/23: Russia is Going to War Tomorrow"
By Chris Black
"TL;DR: People just don’t want to hear it, but so far, this is not a war (the Ukraine situation). From a legal point of view (for Russia), it’s a special operation with a limited reach in regards to personnel, logistics and capacity. If war is formally declared, Russia goes all-in and the Ukraine will basically be over with within a few days or so.
Now, here’s the deal: rumors are circulating on Russian telegram channels about the speech scheduled for tomorrow by president Putin, and unknown leakers from the Kremlin have confirmed these points:
– Russia will officially send an application for the annexation of Crimea and Donbass in the Russian Federation to the UN; if refused Russia will declare war on Ukraine with the objective of dissolving its government and its military at all costs, with the full employment of all its arsenal and the targeting of decision making centers.
– An immediate warning will be sent to every Ukrainian, urging all civilians to escape the country and all military personnel to defect or surrender, they will have a week (some say a month) to do so after which everyone remaining will be treated as a combatant.
– Strikes and bombardments will be announced a day in advance to allow evacuation of remaining civilians, they’re trying to do this the “moral way”, but the main objective remains the complete obliteration of Ukraine by all means, except nuclear.
The reasoning behind this development is being described as such:
– Russia doesn’t see its special military operation as a war, but as an intervention and humanitarian operation into the Ukrainian civil war.
– They would be comfortable with this situation if Ukraine didn’t receive weapons and support from NATO, they are fine with having an impoverished Ukraine trying to retake these territories as they believe it to be a non-threat, but with western help this escalates to a matter of national security
– The only way to avoid a nuclear war with the west and resolve the situation is to take control of all of Ukraine’s territory so that weapon deliveries can’t happen anymore, and the decapitation of its regime that invites those weapon shipments.
– The end goal is either annexation or federalization of Ukraine with a temporary government.
Not going to lie, all this sounds like the LARP of the century, but we’ll see in a few days what’s what. How did it come to this, you asked? Well, stick with me and find out..."
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