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Tuesday, May 5, 2026

"Iran's Next Move Will Shock The World - Israel Has No Answer!"

Professor Marandi Report, 5/5/26
"Iran's Next Move Will Shock The World - 
Israel Has No Answer!"

"The Middle East is on a knife’s edge. As tensions surge between Iran, Israel, and the United States, new developments suggest the situation could spiral far beyond what anyone expected. In this urgent analysis, Dr. Marandi breaks down why Iran may be preparing a move that could redefine the entire conflict - and why its impact could shock the world.

Recent reports show the situation rapidly escalating despite a fragile ceasefire. The U.S. has launched naval operations to secure shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz, while clashes, drone attacks, and regional strikes continue to unfold. At the same time, missile and drone attacks have expanded beyond Israel, hitting key infrastructure in the Gulf and raising fears of a wider regional war. Behind the scenes, high-level discussions are already underway as leaders prepare for the possible collapse of the ceasefire and a return to full-scale conflict. With global oil supplies, shipping lanes, and alliances at stake, every move now carries massive consequences.

Dr. Marandi explores what Iran’s next step could be, whether escalation or strategic deterrence is more likely, and why this moment may define the future of the region. Is the world heading toward a turning point - or something far more dangerous? Get the full breakdown, real context, and expert insight beyond the headlines."
Comments here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9QqJssV5OAg

"God Bless America"

Full screen recommended.
"God Bless America"
"Iran just dropped another LEGO video that will make every American cry. A prayer from afar. A song for every worker, dreamer, soldier, farmer, mother, veteran, and soul carrying the weight of uncertain times. “God Bless America” is a cinematic LEGO music video blending emotional storytelling, country gospel energy, and powerful American imagery into one unforgettable experience. From Kansas farms and Detroit factories to crowded city streets and quiet church pews, this song speaks to the struggles, division, hope, and resilience of ordinary Americans. This isn’t about politics. It’s about people. About faith during hard times. About unity when the world feels broken. Created with cinematic LEGO animation, emotional orchestration, and heartfelt lyrics, this project was made to remind people that hope can still shine through darkness. If this song moved you, share it with someone who needs encouragement tonight."

Dan, I Allegedly, "AI, Layoffs and War - It’s Getting Worse Fast"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly, 5/5/26
"AI, Layoffs and War - It’s Getting Worse Fast"
"The economy is sending clear warning signs, and today we break down the real story behind layoffs, inflation, and global conflict. Major corporations are cutting jobs at an alarming pace, blaming AI while quietly reducing costs and reshaping the workforce. At the same time, inflation is not cooling as promised—gas prices, food, insurance, and everyday essentials continue to rise, putting more pressure on working Americans. On top of that, global tensions and war are directly impacting your wallet, from higher fuel costs to rising travel expenses. The housing market remains distorted, debt is exploding, and central banks are admitting that people are getting poorer. This is the reality behind the headlines - and why so many people feel like the economy is getting worse, not better."
Comments here:

Gerald Celente, "Global Warning: Stagflation, No! Dragflation: Declining Economic Growth And Rising Inflation"

Strong language alert!
Gerald Celente, 5/5/26
"Global Warning: Stagflation, No! 
Dragflation: Declining Economic Growth And Rising Inflation"
"The Trends Journal is a weekly magazine analyzing global current events forming future trends. Our mission is to present Facts and Truth over fear and propaganda to help subscribers prepare for What's Next in these increasingly turbulent times."
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Musical Interlude: Kevin Kern, "Another Realm"

Full screen recommended.
Kevin Kern, "Another Realm"

"A Look to the Heavens"

"Galaxies of the Virgo Cluster are scattered across this deep telescopic field of view. The cosmic scene spans about three Full Moons, captured in dark skies near Jalisco, Mexico, planet Earth. About 50 million light-years distant, the Virgo Cluster is the closest large galaxy cluster to our own local galaxy group. Prominent here are Virgo's bright elliptical galaxies from the Messier catalog, M87 at the top left, and M84 and M86 seen (bottom to top) below and right of center.
M84 and M86 are recognized as part of Markarian's Chain, a visually striking line-up of galaxies vertically on the right side of this frame. Near the middle of the chain lies an intriguing interacting pair of galaxies, NGC 4438 and NGC 4435, known to some as Markarian's Eyes. Of course giant elliptical galaxy M87 dominates the Virgo cluster. It's the home of a super massive black hole, the first black hole ever imaged by planet Earth's Event Horizon Telescope."
o
"The eternal silence of infinite spaces frightens me. Why now rather than then? Who has put me here? By whose order and direction have this place and time have been ascribed to me? We travel in a vast sphere, always drifting in the uncertain, pulled from one side to another. Whenever we find a fixed point to attach and to fasten ourselves, it shifts and leaves us; and if we follow it, it eludes our grasp, slips past us, and vanishes for ever. Nothing stays for us. This is our natural condition, most contrary to our inclination; we burn with desires to find solid ground and an ultimate and solid foundation for building a tower reaching to the Infinite. But always these bases crack, and the earth obstinately opens up into abysses. We are infinitely removed from comprehending the extremes, since the end of things and their beginning are hopelessly hidden from us in an encapsulated secret; we are equally incapable of seeing the Nothing from which we were made, and the Infinite in which we are swallowed up."
- Blaise Pascal

Chet Raymo, "On Saying 'I Don't Know'"

"On Saying 'I Don't Know'"
by Chet Raymo

“Johannes Kepler is best known for figuring out the laws of planetary motion. In 1610, he published a little book called “The Six-Cornered Snowflake” that asked an even more fundamental question: How do visible forms arise? He wrote: "There must be some definite reason why, whenever snow begins to fall, its initial formation is invariably in the shape of a six-pointed starlet. For if it happens by chance, why do they not fall just as well with five corners or with seven?"

All around him Kepler saw beautiful shapes in nature: six-pointed snowflakes, the elliptical orbits of the planets, the hexagonal honeycombs of bees, the twelve-sided shape of pomegranate seeds. Why? he asks. Why does the stuff of the universe arrange itself into five-petaled flowers, spiral galaxies, double-helix DNA, rhomboid crystals, the rainbow's arc? Why the five-fingered, five-toed, bilaterally symmetric beauty of the newborn child? Why?

Kepler struggles with the problem, and along the way he stumbles onto sphere-packing. Why do pomegranate seeds have twelve flat sides? Because in the growing pomegranate fruit the seeds are squeezed into the smallest possible space. Start with spherical seeds, pack them as efficiently as possible with each sphere touching twelve neighbors. Then squeeze. Voila! And so he goes, convincing us, for example, that the bee's honeycomb has six sides because that's the way to make honey cells with the least amount of wax. His book is a tour-de-force of playful mathematics.

In the end, Kepler admits defeat in understanding the snowflake's six points, but he thinks he knows what's behind all of the beautiful forms of nature: A universal spirit pervading and shaping everything that exists. He calls it nature's "formative capacity." We would be inclined to say that Kepler was just giving a fancy name to something he couldn't explain. To the modern mind, "formative capacity" sounds like empty words.

We can do somewhat better. For example, we explain the shape of snowflakes by the shape of water molecules, and we explain the shape of water molecules with the mathematical laws of quantum physics. Since Kepler's time, we have made impressive progress towards understanding the visible forms of snowflakes, crystals, rainbows, and newborn babes by probing ever deeper into the heart of matter. But we are probably no closer than Kepler to answering the ultimate questions: What is the reason for the curious connection between nature and mathematics? Why are the mathematical laws of nature one thing rather than another? Why does the universe exist at all? Like Kepler, we can give it a name, but the most forthright answer is simply: I don't know.”

"I Enjoy Talking To You..."

- George Orwell

"More Than 80% Of Young Adults Believe That The Economy Is “Bad” Or “Terrible” And We Are Seeing The Consequences All Over America"

by Michael Snyder

"Decades of economic decline have brought this country to a breaking point. The vast majority of the population is barely scraping by from month to month as prices continue to rise, thousands of stores and restaurants close, foreclosures spike to alarming levels and the middle class continues to shrink. Now the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz threatens to make things a whole lot worse, and a lot of people are justifiably concerned about what this will mean for their futures.

Our young adults are being hit particularly hard. If you purchased a home 20 or 30 years ago, you are insulated from what is really going on out there. Housing costs are more unaffordable than ever, and many young people have completely given up on the dream of homeownership. Meanwhile, the employment market has gotten very tight, and this is especially true for entry-level jobs.

Do you know anyone under the age of 40 that is doing really well in this economy? Yes, there are some exceptions, but in general our young adults are really struggling. As a result, homelessness is at record levels and hordes of drug addicts are roaming the streets of our major cities. If you doubt this, just check out this video that shows what has happened to the once great city of Los Angeles.It was once a playground for the rich and famous, but now it has been transformed into a rotting, decaying hellhole.

It is undeniable that most of our young adults hate this economy. In fact, a new survey that was just released found that a whopping 84 percent of Americans between the ages of 18 and 24 believe that economic conditions in the U.S. are either “bad” or “terrible”… A recent survey by Generation Lab found that more than 8 in 10 young adults rate economic conditions in the U.S. as either bad or terrible. The survey, conducted April 26-29, found that 55 percent of 546 respondents ages 18-24 said they view the economy as bad, while 29 percent said it was terrible. The same survey discovered that 81 percent of Americans between the ages of 25 and 29 believe that economic conditions in the U.S. are either “bad” or “terrible”…As for those in the 25-29 age range, 52 percent of 266 such respondents said the economy was bad. About 3 in 10 respondents said it was terrible, for a combined percentage of 81 percent that view the economy negatively.

This is what a long-term economic collapse looks like. Many people have had their heads in the sand for years, but meanwhile economic conditions have continued to deteriorate all around us. A different survey that polled American adults of all ages found that 78 percent of us do not feel financially secure at this stage…A new Intuit Credit Karma/Harris Poll study found that 78% of Americans don’t feel financially secure, even if they’ve been saving and playing by the rules. Moreover, nearly 3 in 4 Americans (72%) shared that their current financial standing makes them feel like they will never have enough money to achieve the American dream.

Let’s get real. These numbers didn’t suddenly appear in a vacuum. The truth is that our standard of living has been declining for a very long time. I am about to share something with you that is absolutely shocking. One man recently shared his paystub that shows what he brings home every two weeks. After taxes, healthcare and child support, his net pay after working 85 hours is just $163.02
How is he supposed to live on that? I am so frustrated with those that think that everything is going to be just fine. The number of foreclosure filings in the U.S. skyrocketed in 2025, and in the first quarter of this year they were 26 percent above last year’s blistering pace… The Wall Street Journal reported that data from Attom shows the number of U.S. properties with a foreclosure filing has trended up to nearly 119,000 in the first quarter, an increase of 26% from the same period last year. That figure is the highest since the first quarter of 2020, when mortgage relief measures implemented to mitigate the economic impact of COVID shutdowns led to a steep decline in foreclosures.

Unfortunately, the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is making things even worse. The average price of a gallon of gasoline in California is now up to $6.114… California gas prices have climbed to eye-watering levels, with one rural county emerging as one of the most expensive fuel markets in the United States. Mono County, a remote area in eastern California just east of Yosemite National Park, is seeing average prices close to seven dollars per gallon, according to AAA data. That compares with a statewide average of $6.114 per gallon and a national average of $4.457.

As I discussed yesterday, some residents of Los Angeles are now paying more than 8 dollars a gallon. Higher gasoline prices will mean that Americans have even less discretionary income to play around with. Some restaurant chains are already feeling this…Wingstop, a chicken-wing chain that touts its affordability, said that higher fuel prices contributed to an 8.7% decline in quarterly same-store sales. The chain’s CEO, Michael Skipworth, said Wednesday on a call with investors that it was “extremely difficult for anyone to predict this macro environment,” adding that he expects shrinking sales over this year in part because of expectations that gas prices will remain high.

This is not something that may or may not happen someday. This is happening right now, and we are witnessing the consequences all over America. In Los Angeles, rampant social decay has become a way of life…Reality star-turned-Los Angeles mayoral candidate Spencer Pratt shared a devastating must-see campaign advertisement on X, showing how dire the situation is in LA under Democrat leadership.

The somber video, titled “City of Angels, Fallen – Part 1,” uses a rapid montage of raw street footage, news clips, and on-screen text to show just how far Los Angeles has declined under Karen Bass and Democrats, noting, “business as usual is a death sentence.” Included in the video are stark images of homeless camps, a person lying unconscious or asleep on a dirty sidewalk next to trash bags, a sandwich on a plate, scattered belongings, and individuals who appear to be in the throes of drug abuse.

How could we have allowed this to happen? According to Pratt, there are 70,000 drug addicts that are roaming the streets… Speaking on fire recovery, Pratt notes, “The city failed everyone. The insurance companies failed everyone.” He continues, “Mothers who want to go to the park but don’t want to inhale fentanyl from the 70,000 drug addicts that the Mayor currently let’s live on our streets.”

Of course this isn’t just happening in Los Angeles. In Seattle, street violence has become so common outside of one McDonald’s restaurant that it has become known as “McStabby’s”… Two thugs were caught on video viciously beating an elderly man outside of ‘America’s scariest McDonald’s.’ The Seattle restaurant is so dangerous it is nicknamed ‘McStabby’s’, and bans customers from going inside due to constant mayhem. In the latest chaotic scene, two men were seen standing on the street outside the eatery around 10pm on April 19 when a frail 77-year-old man walked towards them. The two men then approached the victim before one struck him in the head.

Needless to say, it isn’t just old men that are being viciously attacked for no reason. One very unfortunate 33-year-old man is on the verge of death after being hit in the head with a hammer more than a dozen times…A 33-year-old Seattle man is fighting for his life after his mother says a stranger repeatedly hit him in the head with a hammer in an unprovoked assault. Lisa Driscoll is calling for justice after her son, 33-year-old George Miller, was beaten repeatedly with a hammer just after midnight Monday outside the Renaissance Hotel. She says a stranger hit him in the head more than a dozen times. “It was an evil, brutal, unprovoked, horrific attack,” Driscoll said. “Someone who was reported to appear to be hunting to attack someone crossed over, took a hammer out of their backpack and started beating him over the head repeatedly.”

Whether we like it or not, this is our country now. We have raised an entire generation of young people that is simply not equipped to deal with very harsh economic conditions. Sadly, economic conditions are only going to get harsher. It is time to wake up, because a nightmare scenario really is upon us."

The Daily "Near You?"

Carson City, Nevada, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

Free Download: Gustave Le Bon, "The Crowd: A Study of the Popular Mind"

"The masses have never thirsted after truth. They turn aside from evidence that is not to their taste, preferring to deify error, if error seduce them. Whoever can supply them with illusions is easily their master; whoever attempts to destroy their illusions is always their victim."
- Gustave Le Bon

Freely download "The Crowd: A Study of the Popular Mind",
 by Gustave Le Bon, here:
“Human beings are perhaps never more frightening than 
when they are convinced beyond doubt that they are right.”
- Laurens van der Post

“‘Sometimes’: Poet and Philosopher David Whyte’s Stunning Meditation on Walking into the Questions of Our Becoming”

“‘Sometimes’: Poet and Philosopher David Whyte’s
Stunning Meditation on Walking into the Questions of Our Becoming”
by Maria Popova

“The role of the artist, James Baldwin believed, is “to make you realize the doom and glory of knowing who you are and what you are.” This, too, is the role of the forest, it occurs to me as I walk the ferned, mossed woods daily to lose my self and find myself between the trees; to “live the questions,” in Rilke’s lovely phrase – to let the rustling of the leaves beckon forth the stirrings and murmurings on the edge of the psyche, which we so often brush away in order to go on being the smaller version of ourselves we have grown accustomed to being out of the unfaced fear that the grandeur of life, the grandeur of our own untrammeled nature, might require of us more than we are ready to give.

Those disquieting, transformative stirrings are what the poet and philosopher David Whyte explores with surefooted subtlety in his poem “Sometimes,” found in his altogether life-enlarging collection “Everything Is Waiting for You” (public library) and read here by the poet himself as part of a wonderful short course of poem-driven practices for neuroscientist and philosopher Sam Harris’s “Waking Up” meditation toolkit (which I can’t recommend enough and which operates under an inspired, honorable model of granting free subscriptions to those who need this invaluable mental health aid but don’t have the means).

“Sometimes”

“Sometimes
if you move carefully
through the forest,
breathing
like the ones
in the old stories,
who could cross
a shimmering bed of leaves
without a sound,
you come to a place
whose only task
is to trouble you
with tiny
but frightening requests,
conceived out of nowhere
but in this place
beginning to lead everywhere.
Requests to stop what
you are doing right now,
and
to stop what you
are becoming
while you do it,
questions
that can make
or unmake
a life,
questions
that have patiently
waited for you,
questions
that have no right
to go away.”

- David Whyte

"I Remember..."

"I remember my youth and the feeling that will never come back any more, the feeling that I could last forever, outlast the sea, the earth, and all men; the deceitful feeling that lures us on to joys, to perils, to love, to vain effort, to death; the triumphant conviction of strength, the heat of life in the handful of dust, the glow in the heart that with every year grows dim, grows cold, grows small, and expires and expires, too soon, too soon, before life itself."
- Joseph Conrad, 1857-1924, English writer.

The Poet: Rolf Jacobsen, "When They Sleep"

"When They Sleep"

"All people are children when they sleep.
There's no war in them then.
They open their hands and breathe
in that quiet rhythm heaven has given them.
They pucker their lips like small children
and open their hands halfway,
soldiers and statesmen, servants and masters.
The stars stand guard
and a haze veils the sky,
a few hours when no one will do anybody harm.
If only we could speak to one another then
when our hearts are half-open flowers.
Words like golden bees
would drift in.
God, teach me the language of sleep."

- Rolf Jacobsen,
"The Roads Have Come to an End Now"

"How It Really Is"

 

Bill Bonner, "Live by the Sword"

Engraved illustration of Assyrian King,
"Live by the Sword"
by Bill Bonner

"I’m ‘the most powerful person to ever live."
- Donald Trump

Youghal, Ireland - "What do you do with a man like that? Ashurbanipal might be a good model. He inherited an empire from his father. He is credited, or accused, of being ambitious, ruthless and cruel. He, like Donald Trump, faced challenges. And he, like DJT, thought the best way to deal with them was with superior force.

Ashurbanipal...the most powerful person to live, up until then, which was 669 BC. The Assyrian king fought with Arabs, Aramaeans, Medes, Thebians, Nubians, Egyptians, Babylonians, Cimmerians, Lydians, Chaldeans, Gambulians, Elamites, Indo-Aryans (Iranians) and just about everyone else. He described his triumphs...‘I cut off the head of Teumann, their king - the haughty one, who plotted evil. Countless of his warriors I slew. Alive, with my hands, I seized his fighters. With their corpses I filled the plain about Susa as with baltu and ashagu. Their blood I let run down the Ulai; its water I dyed red like wool.’

No more Mr. Nice Guy, he! Ashurbonipal had his enemies’ tongues cut out...and flayed alive. God was on his side...anyone who opposed him must be a terrorist, on the outs with Divine Will. From the Nile to the Persian Gulf, no one had seen anything like it! The Assyrians did to their recalcitrant enemies what POTUS threatened to do to Tehran: “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.”

Ashurbonipal didn’t back away from genocide either. His attacks were so thorough, the Elamites soon disappeared from history. Too bad all that shock and awe didn’t work out better for Ashurbanipal himself. He described what it felt like at the end: ‘I cannot do away with the strife in my country and the dissensions in my family; disturbing scandals oppress me always. Illness of mind and flesh bow me down; with cries of woe I bring my days to an end. I am wretched; death is seizing hold upon me, and bears me down...’

Et tu, Donald? History remembers a whole line of people who were the most powerful who ever lived. Where are they now? However horrible it may be, there is surely room for one more. But what do you expect? You live by the sword, the blade eventually finds your own neck. Neither Ashurbonipal nor his empire survived the intense world of Near Eastern rivalries. They made enemies of almost all the tribes around them. And after murdering thousands of people...destroying dozens of towns...and salting the earth around many of them, there was bound to be Hell to pay.

In the event, the Assyrian empire may have limped along for another twenty years after Ashurbanipal died. But the glory years were over. And as in so many things in life...including life itself...the end was probably not as much fun as the beginning. But here we are, more than 2,600 years later...and once again, there’s a bull on the loose in the Near Eastern china shop.

So far, the Iranians have resisted the empire’s demands. They had the cheek to crimp the world’s supply of oil...which caused POTUS to lay siege to the Gulf, trying to cut Iran off from its own oil revenues. And now, with Brent crude trading as high as $114 a barrel, ‘when will things return to normal’ is not so much a question as it is a prayer. Alas, the answer is ‘never.’

Here is the surprise that may still be underbought – and may mark the end of Trump’s reign. It takes time to deliver and refine oil and petrol-based products. And since the delivery system is sized for regular use, not episodic surges, we can assume that when it gets going again, it will resume its previous rate. The 900 million barrels that got stuck in the Gulf will not suddenly appear at neighborhood gas stations. The ships that bring them out of the Gulf will not ‘step on the gas.’ Refineries and storage tanks won’t pop their rivets to take in the new supplies. Instead, it will be as if the oil never existed.

It’s like turning on the water in your shower. It doesn’t matter how long you go without bathing...you still get the same water flow. Which means, even if the most powerful person who ever lived kissed Ayatollah tomorrow, begging forgiveness from Allah Himself (perhaps aiming for a deal that included 72 virgins in the afterlife) the world would still be minus almost a billion barrels of oil. How that loss will affect us is our subject for tomorrow..."

"Four Sorrows..."

“Four sorrows are certain to be visited on the United States:

o First, there will be a state of perpetual war.

o Second is a loss of democracy and Constitutional rights as the presidency eclipses Congress and is itself transformed from a co-equal ‘executive branch’ of government into a military junta.

o Third is the replacement of truth by propaganda, disinformation, and the glorification of war, power, and the military legions.

o Lastly, there is bankruptcy, as the United States pours its economic resources into ever more grandiose military projects and shortchanges the education, health, and safety of its citizens.” 
– Chalmers Johnson, "The Sorrows of Empire," 2005

Read online "The Sorrows of Empire," by Chalmers Johnson, here:

“History teaches us that the capacity for things to get worse is limitless.”
 - Chalmers Johnson

"America's Suez Moment: How Losing Hormuz Could End US Global Dominance"

"America's Suez Moment: How Losing
Hormuz Could End US Global Dominance"
by Nick Giambruno

"The way I see it, the US has two unappealing choices: Launch a full-scale ground invasion and try to topple the Iranian government. Try to create the appearance of a win, and declare victory by claiming the objectives were met even when they clearly were not. President Trump can choose option #2, but it would be widely perceived as a defeat. International relations scholar John Mearsheimer put it best: "Most of them say that President Trump should quickly declare victory and withdraw from the war. He can do this, but it will be perceived as a humiliating defeat for the US."

Moreover, the Iranians may not agree to end the war. The Iranians have many cards to play. They can inflict significant losses. Therefore, even if we retreat, it’s unclear whether this will solve the problem. The US will still look like it has suffered a humiliating defeat. Therefore, I think President Trump has put himself in a situation where he really doesn’t have a good exit strategy." If the US declares "mission accomplished" while Hormuz remains closed that would amount to an unambiguous strategic defeat for the US.

I would estimate that each choice has about a 50% probability at this point. But regardless of what Trump ultimately chooses, I think the outcome is unlikely to change—a historic geopolitical downgrade for the US. If Trump chooses to declare a fake victory, it would amount to surrendering Hormuz to the Iranians. If Trump chooses to launch a full-scale ground invasion of Iran, I predict it would be ill-fated, with a very low chance of success.

Remember, Iran, like Switzerland, has rugged mountainous terrain that has helped shield it from invasion. But Iran is not merely another Switzerland. At roughly 1.65 million square kilometers, it is about 40 times larger than Switzerland.

While the situation is fluid, volatile, and impossible to predict with precision, I think it is still possible to project the general outcome and the broader implications. Whether the US declares victory and leaves or rolls the dice on a full-scale ground invasion, the outcome is likely to be the same. There is an overwhelming probability in my view that the Iranian government will endure and retain an acknowledged veto power over the world's most important energy corridor.

It is simply a question of how we get there - either through a quick US capitulation or through US capitulation after a long, bloody, and ultimately fruitless ground invasion. The implications of that likely outcome are historical. The US failing to achieve its objectives in Iran would not be just a military setback. It would be something far worse: a public demonstration that the US is no longer the superpower many once believed it to be. It is perhaps comparable to Britain’s 1956 Suez Canal Crisis, when the UK failed to impose its will on a far weaker Egypt. It was a public display that showed the world the British Empire was finished. That is why Hormuz matters so much.

If the US were unable to reopen the Strait on its own terms - or if it had to accept a world in which Tehran effectively decides who passes, under what rules, and at what cost—the message would be unmistakable. It would signal to allies, rivals, and markets alike that the world’s leading superpower can no longer guarantee the flow of commerce through the most important energy corridor on Earth.

In that sense, losing Hormuz would be America’s Suez: not just a tactical failure, but a visible geopolitical downgrade with profound implications for US credibility and the structure of the world order. And that is what I believe is likely to happen in the weeks ahead. But most people - and certainly not the financial markets - have not yet wrapped their heads around this geopolitical earthquake.

Conclusion: In my view, the base-case scenario is that the Iranian government will survive and continue to control Hormuz. Iran will have demonstrated to the world that it retains control over the world’s most important energy corridor despite everything the world’s greatest military threw at it. In short, the US will suffer an unambiguous strategic defeat. As a result, I believe US global power will continue to recede within the emerging multipolar world order. We could look back on Trump’s reckless Iran gamble as the incident that marked the end of the US as the world’s leading power.

The larger implication? We are likely witnessing the end of US global dominance, much like the fall of the British Empire in the wake of the world wars and the 1956 Suez Canal Crisis, but significantly more consequential. In other words, no matter what happens, I’m confident the outcome of the Iran war will make it clear to the world that the emperor has no clothes."

"War In The Middle East"

Dialogue Works, 5/5/26
"Col. Larry Wilkerson: Iran Rocks Two U.S. Destroyers – 
30 Refueling Jets Airborne! War Is Here"
Comments here:
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Scott Ritter, 5/5/26
"100 Iranian Missile Boats Destroy 3 US Warships -
 The Mosquito Fleet Just Won Hormuz"
Comments here:
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Full screen recommended.
Daniel Davis, Deep Dive, 5/5/26
"Col. Douglas Macgregor: 
There'll be Hell to Pay for Iran Ceasefire & Blockade"
Comments here:
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Full screen recommended.
OPTM, 5/5/26
"Israel Panics as Lebanese Fighters
 Invade IDF Troop Headquarters in Israel"
Comments here:

"Seyed M. Marandi: One Strike Wiped Out Trump’s Entire Plan – It’s Over"

Dialogue Works, 5/5/26
"Seyed M. Marandi: One Strike
 Wiped Out Trump’s Entire Plan – It’s Over"
Comments here:
o
Glenn Diesen, 5/5/26
"Seyed M. Marandi: Return to 
All-Out War - What Happens Now"
"Seyed Mohammad Marandi discusses the likely return to all-out war. The US announced it would reopen the Strait of Hormuz on May 4, which ended in failure and several attacks. While Trump may attempt to walk it back, it is more likely that there will be a return to all-out war as the window of opportunity is closing for the US."
Comments here:

"Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom, 5/5/26"

Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom, 5/5/26
"Prof. John Mearsheimer: 
More War Will Strengthen Iran"
Comments here:
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Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom, 5/5/26
"AMB. Chas Freeman: 
Israel’s Grand Plan Is Collapsing"
Comments here:

"The Price Surge Hasn’t Fully Hit Yet, Americans Will Suffer"

Full screen recommended.
Snyder Reports, 5/5/26
"The Price Surge Hasn’t Fully Hit Yet, 
Americans Will Suffer"
Comments here:

Dan, I Allegedly, "Gas Cars Are BACK - GM Just Ditched EVs"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly, 5/5/26
"Gas Cars Are BACK - GM Just Ditched EVs"
"General Motors is making a major shift back toward gasoline-powered vehicles, investing $340 million into U.S.-based production while scaling away from electric vehicles. In this video, we break down what this means for the auto industry, American jobs, and the broader economy. With EV demand slowing and profitability concerns rising, this move signals a potential turning point in the electric vehicle transition - and raises serious questions about whether EV adoption has been overhyped. But that’s not the whole story. We also cover layoffs across major companies, retail store closures, airline industry fallout, and the growing concern over dynamic pricing in everyday goods. From rising costs to shifting business strategies, the economic landscape is changing fast. Stay informed on the latest business news, financial trends, and economic updates that impact your money, your job, and your future."
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Monday, May 4, 2026

"Alert! Major Military Movements, Record Stratotankers! Explosions In Iran! Apocalyptic Scenes!"

Full screen recommended.
Canadian Prepper, 5/4/26
"Alert! Major Military Movements, Record Stratotankers! 
Explosions In Iran! Apocalyptic Scenes!"
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Jeremiah Babe, "Something Very Serious is Happening In The Bond Market, Prepare For Impact"

Jeremiah Babe, 5/4/26
"Something Very Serious is Happening
 In The Bond Market, Prepare For Impact"
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Musical Interlude: 2002, "A Gift Of Life"

Full screen recommended.
2002, "A Gift Of Life"

"A Look to the Heavens"

"Big, beautiful spiral galaxy NGC 1055 is a dominant member of a small galaxy group a mere 60 million light-years away toward the aquatically intimidating constellation Cetus. Seen edge-on, the island universe spans over 100,000 light-years, a little larger than our own Milky Way galaxy. The colorful, spiky stars decorating this cosmic portrait of NGC 1055 are in the foreground, well within the Milky Way. But the telltale pinkish star forming regions are scattered through winding dust lanes along the distant galaxy's thin disk.
Click image for larger size.
With a smattering of even more distant background galaxies, the deep image also reveals a boxy halo that extends far above and below the central bulge and disk of NGC 1055. The halo itself is laced with faint, narrow structures, and could represent the mixed and spread out debris from a satellite galaxy disrupted by the larger spiral some 10 billion years ago."

Bill Bonner, "The Dying Kitten"

"The Dying Kitten"
A brief report from the thin line between the living and the dying...
by Bill Bonner

Poitou, France - "We’ll hit the pause button today. We’ll catch up with the economy tomorrow. Herewith, for no particular reason and of no particular importance, is what happened over the weekend. “Is it still alive,” Elizabeth wanted to know? The poor kitten, one of four she had rescued, had been brought into the office. There, she tried to nurse it…with extra rations and a warm blanket. But it wasn’t looking good.

The four kittens were just part of a litter at a neighbor’s house. Born in a barn to a stray cat, they weren’t likely to survive for very long. Elizabeth had grabbed those she could reach and brought them home. “I’ll try to find homes for them.” After a couple of days of feeding and cleaning up, three seemed to be doing well – playing in the yard…jumping…happily amusing themselves by getting into everything. The other one barely moved.

Death in the Fall: It was a beautiful fall weekend in this part of France. The sky was clear. The days were warm. And the nights were crisp, with a bright moon leaving long dark shadows across the lawn. A few of the trees have begun to shed their leaves…one or two of them danced on the breeze before disappearing into a ditch. But the bulk of the autumnal dying is still ahead.

On Sunday, we went to a special mass, a memorial to a local girl who died in an accident many years ago. “She was so pretty and so smart,” explained a friend. “Her father and mother adored her, of course. They expected her to take over the family business. “But when she died the whole family fell apart. They just couldn’t get over it. [The mother] started drinking. She was okay for a while, then she’d go on a binge. Finally, she got lung cancer from smoking so much. She was thin as a rail. They spent years fighting the cancer…alcoholism…and depression. She died last year.

“And the poor father. He used to be so outgoing. So sociable. He had a career in politics. Everyone liked him. And then, he just closed in on himself.” We saw him in church. Stooped. Gray. He looked much older than we remembered him. Along with many others, we had come to pay our respects to him. But as soon as the service was over, he slipped out of the side door.

Elizabeth coached us as we were making our way out of the church. “There’s Jean-Jacques. He lost his wife last year.” “What was her name?” “Francoise…be sure to say something to him. And there’s Marie-Juliette, don’t forget to ask how Rene is doing.” “Who’s Rene?” “Her husband…he had an operation; I can’t remember what kind of operation.” “Oh, you know…” Marie-Juliette replied. “He has good days and bad days… He had a heart operation; the surgeon was very pleased with it. But it didn’t seem to do Rene much good.”

Middle Ages: Friends gathered in front of the ancient church, built in the middle ages. We exchanged greetings…and thoughts that the old stones must have heard 1,000 times.

“It’s hard getting old,” our friend continued. “So many things can go wrong. I think of all the people we know who are widows or widowers. And so many our age who can’t get around because they have some problem.” He listed a few. One neighbor spends his days in a wheelchair; he has a degenerative nerve disease. Another has such a serious case of arthritis, her hands and feet have twisted…making it difficult to walk. Still others – are dying of this or that. “I guess we are all going the same way, sooner or later. And I guess we should be grateful that we’re not there yet.”

Back at home, “how are the kittens doing,” we asked Elizabeth. “The vet said to keep the sick one warm…and bring them in tomorrow, if they’re still alive.”

From across the road, Claude and Christine came to visit. Claude limped. He is much younger than we are, but much heavier…and a farmer. He’s had to stop work. One knee was repaired. He shifted his weight onto the other one. “Now they say I have to have my left knee operated on too, because I’ve been using it too much. Then, it will be another 6 months off work. I’m going a little crazy sitting around the house.” Christine nodded her head in agreement.

Deep France: “But did you hear the good news? Well, maybe it’s not good news for you. Your renters are leaving you. [We rent out two tiny houses on our property.] “What a shock. I saw that they were getting along well…but I was surprised. They’re moving out so they can move into a bigger place – together.”

The shock of it comes from the fact that one of our tenants is 62 years old and already retired. Paul, a disabled electrician, has an earring, which seems uncharacteristically fashionable for this area. This is ‘la France profonde’ – deep France – where the fashions of Paris seem far away…and generally unwelcome. Paul has a bad hip. The other renter is a young woman in her 30s. Heavily tattooed and extremely shy, she might have some disability of her own. Improbably, they got together.

Later in the day, Paul came over to ask permission to break the lease. Then, explaining his new living arrangement: “I didn’t expect it. But you never know. These things happen. I just hope it lasts.” “Best of luck to you both,” we said, as we raised a coffee mug.

By Sunday evening, the kitten was still breathing. But barely. We studied it. It was alive. Prodded, it could move its paws. It murmured once or twice. We watched as it struggled for breath. There is such a thin line between the living and the dead…sometime during the night, the line was crossed. Breathing stopped. These things happen."

The Universe

“Believe me, I know all about it. I know the stress. I know the frustration. I know the temptations of time and space. We worked this out ahead of time. They're part of the plan. We knew this stuff might happen. Actually, you insisted they be triggered whenever you were ready to begin thinking thoughts you've never thought before. New thinking is always the answer.”
“Good on you,”
The Universe

“Thoughts become things... choose the good ones!”

"Reality..."

“Reality is what we take to be true.
What we take to be true is what we believe.
What we believe is based upon our perceptions.
What we perceive depends upon what we look for.
What we look for depends upon what we think.
What we think depends upon what we perceive.
What we perceive determines what we believe.
What we believe determines what we take to be true.
What we take to be true is our reality.”
- Gary Zukav

The Daily "Near You?"

Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico. Thanks for stopping by!

The Poet: Charles Bukowski, "The Mind, Go All The Way"

Full screen recommended.
Charles Bukowski, "The Mind, Go All The Way"
Read by Tom O'Bedlam

"Nothing New Under the Sun"

"Nothing New Under the Sun"

"Yes, the times change with the tides; yet the tales, like the surf, sound on in familiar perpetuity and with steady repetition. In the modern era, during the great clash of civilizations currently underway, there will be no new, great and ghastly crusades. Only resistance or surrender. In America, just as her tide recedes from the world, in the end it may become Man overboard, and every man for himself. The sun rises. The sun sets.

As sand through an hour-glass, or waves rolling over every shore, so too, do our journeys mark passageways through time; and, in the end, our navigation may, indeed, depend upon guidance, like stars, shining down from heaven upon what we know, over the decisions we make; on the destinies we choose. And, of course, there will be losses incurred during the storms.

So, we raise our sails and pray for the prosperous winds of Providence to guide our ways and guard our lives through uncharted seas. Perhaps it's true that fortune finds and favors the faithful above all. Even still, those who believe, and those who doubt, and those who sleep, all do drift and blow by the same breeze. The winds of change are on us. They've always been here, steadfast and old as time itself. Like the earth. Nothing new under the sun."
- Doug "Uncola" Lynn

California Is Facing A “Fuelmaggedon” As Fighting Erupts In The Middle East And The Strait Of Hormuz Remains Closed"

by Michael Snyder

"Would you pay 8 dollars for a gallon of gasoline? I know that may sound crazy to many of you, but that is what some residents of Los Angeles are paying right now. Sadly, the west coast is more dependent on oil from the Persian Gulf than anywhere else in the continental United States, and now the last tanker that departed before the war with Iran began has arrived. What this means is that gas prices are going to go even higher on the west coast. In fact, some gas stations may soon need to add another digit on their pumps in order to accommodate prices that are higher than $9.99 a gallon.

After President Trump announced the start of “Project Freedom”, a few commercial vessels decided that they would try to make it through the Strait of Hormuz. Shortly thereafter, the Iranians began firing. A South Korean cargo vessel was among those that were targeted…
 A South Korean ship sailing near the Strait of Hormuz was attacked on Monday, according to the Korean media outlet Chosun Daily, citing a government official.

U.S. warships were targeted too, and in response the Navy destroyed 6 Iranian fast attack boats…The U.S. attacked Iranian boats in the Strait of Hormuz on Monday after Tehran targeted Navy ships, threatening to upend a fragile ceasefire and President Donald Trump’s new vow to open the critical pathway. The U.S. military “blew up” six small Iranian boats after its forces launched “multiple cruise missiles, drones and small boats” at the ships but did not hit them, according to U.S. Central Command head Adm. Bradley Cooper, who leads America’s operations in the region. He did not say what impact this would have on the ceasefire.

The Iranians have also launched at least 15 missiles and 4 drones at the United Arab Emirates…United Arab Emirates air defenses engaged 15 Iranian missiles and four drones, its defence ministry says. That includes 12 ballistic missiles and three cruise missiles, injuring three people. Most of the missiles and drones were intercepted, but it appears that a significant amount of damage was done at the Fujairah Oil Industry Zone…Flames also broke out at Fujairah Oil Industry Zone after a drone attack, which has left three Indian nationals with “moderate” injuries. Plumes of dark smoke have been pummelling into the sky after the shock strike, some 80 miles from Dubai.

Needless to say, those running the UAE are extremely upset, and they are warning that they have a “full and legitimate ​right” to hit back… The UAE’s foreign ministry said the attacks posed a direct threat to the nation’s security, adding that the UAE reserved its “full and legitimate ​right” to respond. The ceasefire is dead, and that is really bad news for those that were hoping that gasoline prices would come down soon.

On Monday, it was being reported that the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the United States has now reached $4.45…Gas prices are entering the summer driving season at record levels, with the national average hitting $4.45 on May 2 - the highest ever for that date. That’s up about $1.28 from a year ago, according to AAA, with prices rising across nearly every region. Paying four and a half dollars a gallon is not the end of the world. But in some parts of California, it is an entirely different story right now.

As I mentioned earlier, some residents of Los Angeles are now paying more than 8 dollars a gallon…Long known for its sprawling freeways and car-centric lifestyle, Los Angeles is reaching a breaking point as fuel costs turn the simple act of driving into a “miserable, miserable, miserable” experience. As regional gas prices soar past $8 a gallon, residents in the once-thriving Golden State are checking their eyes and their bank accounts, with some admitting they “thought it was a meme” or “thought it was AI.” But the financial pain is all too real for those living in the nation’s most expensive car culture, where filling a tank now requires a triple-digit investment.

“It’s very painful to drive in L.A. right now, and especially if you’re barely making minimum wage, it’s not even worth driving,” Amador, from Santa Clarita, told Fox News Digital during a man-on-the-street segment. “Thought it was a meme, thought it was AI, but looking at it up close, it’s kind of crazy to think you’re paying almost $9.”

That is crazy. Sadly, gas prices in California could soon go a lot higher because “the final ship carrying oil from the Middle East” has reached the Port of Long Beach…California is about to face the most brutal test of the gas crisis yet as the final ship carrying oil from the Middle East arrived in the Golden State. The last oil tanker to pass through the Strait of Hormuz since the Iran war kicked off docked at the Port of Long Beach with two million barrels for gasoline, diesel and jet fuel. Despite the West Coast being heavily reliant on fossil fuels out of the Persian Gulf due to crippling eco-policies from Gavin Newsom, there are no more vessels currently en route.

No more tankers from the Middle East will be arriving. That is really bad news, because normally approximately 30 percent of California’s oil imports come from the Persian Gulf… Last year, California refineries sourced around 30% of their foreign crude oil from the Persian Gulf, based on state data. The Golden State is particularly vulnerable to war in the region as its status as an isolated energy island without gas pipelines has led it to increasingly rely on these imports.

The politicians in California didn’t want to build any pipelines. Now they are going to pay a very great price for that decision. Everyone was counting on a quick end to the war. Now fighting has resumed, and I expect that this conflict will soon escalate dramatically. But even if a miracle happens and some sort of a deal is reached, the Iranians are never going to allow traffic to flow through the Strait of Hormuz like it did before the war.

The Iranians have been very clear about the fact that they intend to manage traffic through the Strait of Hormuz from now on…Statements have intensified following a message for National Persian Gulf Day attributed to Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. In the message, he described the strait as a “strategic asset” and outlined a vision for the region’s future as “a future without America,” emphasizing the importance of “Iranian management of the strait.”

Parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf signaled the shift most clearly, linking current policy to both strategic doctrine and historical precedent. “Today as well, by exercising management over the Strait of Hormuz, Iran will ensure that it and its neighbors enjoy the valuable prospect of a future free from the presence and interference of America,” he wrote on X.

If the Iranians are allowed to charge tolls and restrict who is allowed to use the Strait of Hormuz on a permanent basis, it will strangle the global economy for years to come. But the only way to break Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz is by force. Either option will have enormous consequences. The bottom line is that we are still only in the very early stages of this crisis, and so the elevated gas prices that we are witnessing now could seem like a great bargain a few months down the road."