So, we rise from the rubble...
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Saturday, October 10, 2026
"Start Preparing Yourself..."
The Global Report, 10/10/26
"Start Preparing Yourself..."
"Douglas Macgregor discusses growing global tensions, escalating geopolitical risks, and the potential consequences for the world. Discover why he believes it is time to start preparing yourself for what could come next."Comments here:
"Trump Just Made a Deal With Russia - Here's What It Means For Americans"
Full screen recommended.
Snyder Reports, 10/10/26
"Trump Just Made a Deal With Russia -
Here's What It Means For Americans"
"Trump just announced a diesel deal with Russia's Vladimir Putin weeks before the midterms - and it could impact diesel prices, truckers, and farmers across the US. In this video I break down what was actually agreed to - 300,000 metric tons of finished Russia diesel immediately, 500,000 tons in November, 1 million tons after that, plus 3 million more - whether it's finished diesel or crude, why US refinery capacity is the real bottleneck, what Zelensky is saying about sanctions, and Trump's separate tax-free red diesel order for Nebraska farmers and truckers. Will this end the diesel shortage or lower what you pay at the pump? This is still early - no shipments confirmed yet - and I will update you every step of the way as delivery dates become clear."
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Full screen recommended.
Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom, 10/10/26
"What's the Future of Diesel Fuel? Trump's New Deal with Russia"
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"The Day Accountability Arrived"
"The Day Accountability Arrived"
by Paul Craig Roberts
"The multicultural tower of babel collapsed when the fictional narrative of the US Navy escorting millions of barrels of oil daily exiting the Strait of Hormuz could no longer be maintained. This orchestrated hoax in the Western media had kept the future price of oil below the current price at the pump and provided reassurance that things would soon be better.
When the narrative no longer could be maintained, energy prices shot up taking inflation with them forcing most Americans to make dramatic reductions in their standard of living. The demand for US Treasury debt by foreign central banks dried up, causing a hit to the US dollar’s value that further drove up US inflation, the dumbshit American policymakers having based the US economy on globalism. As so much is imported, the dollar’s decline sent prices sky-high.
The government was unable to fund its budget except by printing money, which further destroyed the exchange value of the US dollar and drove inflation higher in an economy that had so stupidly globalized itself for the benefit of corporate profits and not for the American people.
Federal and state support for the underclass dried up. Social security payments became erratic. Looting and mayhem broke out as the black welfare class and 30 million immigrant-invaders fought for survival.
White communities became targets, although many were hand-to-mouth themselves. Being armed, except for the Northeast and California where “gun control” was the religion, white communities organized for defense to protect from the onslaught from The Camp of the Saints, anointed by the insouciant whites themselves as the inheritors of America.
The many decades of the white liberals teaching blacks to hate whites, of teaching women to hate men, and of teaching children to mistrust their parents and all authority culminated in the complete collapse of society.
Sexual morality was dead from generations of internet porn teaching young women and men that threesomes and foursomes were the epitome of sexual pleasure and that no one needed a wife or husband when multiple sex partners were at hand.
As a nation the United States ceased to exist. It existed as a territory in which various sections were at war with other sections in ongoing violent conflict. White survival was highest in the Southern states whose white populations had comprised the majority of the US military.
The American Experiment, as modified by the white liberals, had failed, and so had the country."
"2027 Will Be a Year of Massive Shortages: Oil, War and a Supply Chain With No Safety Net"
"2027 Will Be a Year of Massive Shortages:
Oil, War and a Supply Chain With No Safety Net"
by Milan Adams
"Crude moved more than five percent in a single American session on Thursday, and the headline figure was not the most alarming part of it. Brent crossed $105 a barrel, West Texas Intermediate pushed toward $93, and diesel futures rose 4.5 percent in European trade with heating oil trailing behind. Ten-year Treasury yields touched a 24-year high of 5.35 percent before easing back, pulling the rest of the curve higher in their wake. Four markets, four jolts, one afternoon.
Two explanations were offered for the violence of that move, and both sit inside bodies of water that share a name. One is a hurricane gathering strength over the Gulf of Mexico and aiming at the densest concentration of American oil refining on earth. The other is a war in the Persian Gulf that was meant to be winding down and, by most measures, is quietly starting up again.
Anyone who spent the summer convinced the worst had passed should study Thursday’s tape again. In June, Washington and Tehran signed a memorandum of understanding in a burst of optimism, then largely ignored it. July brought the truce’s collapse, when the Revolutionary Guard struck three ships in the Strait of Hormuz and the White House answered with hundreds of strikes on Iranian targets. A lull followed in August, and a lull is dangerous, because it persuades people that the crisis is over. It never was.
Refineries sit at the centrer of this story for reasons that have nothing to do with romance. Crude in the ground is nearly useless until somebody boils it and splits it into the fuels that move ships, trucks, tractors and aircraft. America’s capacity to do that work is concentrated along a few hundred miles of Gulf coastline between Corpus Christi and Pascagoula. Remove that strip of coast from service, even briefly, and the world does not lose a well. It loses a lung.
The other hinge is narrower still. Roughly twenty million barrels of oil and petroleum liquids pass through the Strait of Hormuz each day, about a fifth of everything the planet burns, and traffic there has fallen by more than ninety percent since late February. Saudi Arabia rerouted what it could through the Red Sea, and the Emiratis pushed crude down a pipeline to Fujairah. Neither workaround replaces what a closed strait removes, and both have themselves been attacked.
Behind those two facts sits a third that receives far less attention and matters a great deal. Fuel is not only fuel. Diesel powers freight, and freight delivers food. Fertiliser is made from natural gas and shipped through the same contested water, and the Middle East supplies close to a quarter of the world’s urea and roughly half of its traded sulphur. Disrupt the Gulf and the price of a tank of petrol is only the beginning; the price of bread, of lettuce, of anything that must travel before it is eaten, rises with it.
What follows is an attempt to set out, plainly, how these two threats reinforce each other, and why the arithmetic points somewhere darker than most forecasts allow. The margin of error that cushioned four decades of cheap energy has been spent. Inventories are thin, the strategic reserve sits at its lowest level since 1982, spare refining capacity outside China is scarce, and the buffer that once absorbed a shock is gone. In a system without slack, small events stop being small.
2027, then, looks like a year of shortages. Not famine, not collapse, not the end of the world, but a grinding, cumulative squeeze on the things ordinary people buy without thinking. That is the claim, and it deserves to be tested rather than asserted, which is why the analysis that follows relies heavily on data.
Half of America’s Fuel Sits Directly in the Storm’s Path: Begin with the geography, because the geography makes the argument. More than half of all United States refining capacity is stacked along the Gulf Coast, and the Texas and Louisiana stretch alone accounts for close to half the national total. On the most recent federal figures, the region holds roughly 9.9 million barrels per day of operable capacity, about fifty-four percent of the country’s total refining capacity. This is where crude becomes petrol, diesel and jet fuel. Nowhere else in the industrialized world matches the concentration.
Isaias is aimed at the northern shore of that same gulf. It formed off eastern Mexico in the first days of October, strengthened into the season’s first Atlantic hurricane, and by Thursday had reached Category 2 with winds near 110 miles per hour, forecast to make landfall late Friday or early Saturday between eastern Louisiana and the Florida Panhandle. No hurricane has struck the United States since Milton in 2024, and this one arrives with the system unusually exposed.
What follows is an attempt to set out, plainly, how these two threats reinforce each other, and why the arithmetic points somewhere darker than most forecasts allow. The margin of error that cushioned four decades of cheap energy has been spent. Inventories are thin, the strategic reserve sits at its lowest level since 1982, spare refining capacity outside China is scarce, and the buffer that once absorbed a shock is gone. In a system without slack, small events stop being small.
2027, then, looks like a year of shortages. Not famine, not collapse, not the end of the world, but a grinding, cumulative squeeze on the things ordinary people buy without thinking. That is the claim, and it deserves to be tested rather than asserted, which is why the analysis that follows relies heavily on data.
Refinery operators began preparing days before landfall. Shell, Chevron and BP pulled non-essential staff off platforms and throttled production. By midday Thursday, about 1.3 million barrels a day of Gulf oil had been shut in, along with more than half the region’s gas output, and more than 120 offshore platforms had been evacuated. Attention then shifted ashore, to a handful of plants whose importance reaches far beyond their hometowns.
Chevron’s Pascagoula refinery in Mississippi, able to process some 369,000 barrels a day, sits close to the projected track. So do the dense clusters around New Orleans and Baton Rouge, where ExxonMobil, Shell and Valero operate some of the largest and most complex plants in the country. Andy Lipow, a Houston analyst who has watched storms for three decades, placed roughly 2.7 million barrels a day of national refining capacity inside or near the storm’s path and said he expected at least some of those plants to cut runs. His reading of the wider system was blunt: there is no slack anywhere to replace what is lost, so the shortfall must come straight out of already thin commercial inventories.
Shutting down a refinery ahead of a hurricane involves far more than simply switching it off. Plants are built to run continuously for years, and a controlled stop is a delicate, hours-long sequence of cooling, depressurizing and clearing lines. Restarting takes longer and carries more risk, because equipment that has been flooded, starved of power or shaken by wind must be inspected, dried and tested before it can handle hot hydrocarbons again. Even a glancing Category 1 strike usually costs a week of production. A direct hit, with flooding and loss of grid power, can idle a plant for a month.
Multiply that by the number of plants in the danger zone and the national picture sharpens. Florida, which refines almost nothing of its own and depends on tanker deliveries from the Gulf, is the most exposed. Barges and tankers cannot load or unload in a storm, so the disruption reaches well beyond the coastline the hurricane touches, into states that will never see a drop of its rain.
None of this would matter so much if inventories were normal. They are not. Petrol stockpiles recently fell to their lowest seasonal level since 2012, and distillate inventories, which cover diesel and heating oil, sit at their lowest for early October since record-keeping began in the early 1980s. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve holds about 283 million barrels, down from a peak above 700 million, and has been drained repeatedly to soften the war’s price shocks. Refilling it would take years and tens of billions of dollars, and every barrel released now is one that will be missing from the next emergency.
An irony runs through the whole picture. American refineries are running flat out, near ninety-five percent of capacity, precisely because so much refining abroad has been knocked offline. Plants in the Middle East have been damaged or cut off from export terminals, Russian refineries have been hit by Ukrainian drones, and China, hoarding to protect itself, has curbed exports. America has become one of the last reliable sources of refined fuel on the planet, which turns a Gulf Coast hurricane from a regional nuisance into a global event.
Robert Yawger, an energy futures specialist at Mizuho Securities, described the timing in terms that stayed with traders all week. A storm like this could be enormous, he said, and it was arriving at the worst moment in a quarter of a century. He added a warning that deserved more attention than it received: should American refining capacity leave the market, the pressure to ban diesel exports would become almost irresistible, and such a ban would ricochet back into Europe and Latin America.
The forecast, at least, offers some relief. Meteorologists expect Isaias to weaken slightly before landfall and to come ashore east of New Orleans, sparing the Baton Rouge and Mississippi industrial belt the full force of the wind. Weak storms have surprised before, rapidly intensifying ones especially, so the cautious reading is a hit rather than a knockout. Even so, a week of lost runs at a handful of plants is enough to move prices when nothing cushions them.
One wrinkle rarely makes the evening news. Hurricanes do not only shut refineries; they interrupt the pipelines, terminals, docks and power lines that link them, and they scatter the specialized workforce that keeps them running. Restart crews fly in from out of state, and contractors are booked weeks ahead. When several plants are damaged at once, they compete for the same electricians, valves and barges, and a recovery that would take a week for one plant stretches into a month across many. The storm, then, is a threat with a long tail, and that tail runs straight into the second fire.
A Chokepoint That Never Really Reopened: Some nine hundred American and Israeli aircraft opened the war on Iran on the twenty-eighth of February, in an operation the Pentagon named Epic Fury. Within twelve hours they had struck missile batteries, air defenses and leadership targets, killing the Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei. Iran answered with hundreds of ballistic missiles and thousands of drones aimed at Israel and American bases across the Gulf. Then it chose a cheaper, older and far more damaging response: it closed the Strait of Hormuz.
Shipping traffic fell by seventy percent within hours and by more than ninety percent within days. Tankers stopped broadcasting their positions, insurers withdrew cover for the passage, and within a fortnight the waterway that carries a fifth of the world’s oil had become a war zone. Iran laid mines, harried hulls with fast boats, spoofed satellite navigation and, at least once, charged a ship two million dollars to use its makeshift channel north of Larak Island. By late April, some two thousand vessels and twenty thousand mariners were stranded inside the Gulf.
Prices told the story faster than any diplomat. Brent, near seventy dollars before the war, breached a hundred in March for the first time in four years and peaked near $126, while Dubai crude, the benchmark for the Gulf’s own exports, touched a record $166. March produced the largest monthly increase in the history of the oil market, and analysts reached for the only comparison that fit: the supply shocks of the 1970s. By the numbers, this was the biggest disruption to world energy supply in half a century.
An April ceasefire bought two weeks. Talks in Islamabad collapsed, Washington blockaded Iranian ports in response, and Iran declared the strait shut to any ship bound to or from the ports of America, Israel and their allies. A memorandum of understanding in June, signed by both presidents, promised an end to the war and the blockades; it lasted a month. In July the truce broke down again, the Revolutionary Guard hit three ships, and American aircraft struck some 140 targets in a single night.
Through all of it, the strait has never fully reopened, and that is the detail that matters most for next year. A chokepoint does not need to be sealed to do damage; it only needs to be unreliable. Shipping lines and insurers both price risk, and both add cost to every barrel that passes. Even a partial reopening leaves a permanent tax on the world’s energy, paid at the pump and in the supermarket.
Set out in sequence, the more worrying features of the standoff look like this.The strait is still contested. Iran’s parliament speaker said in early October that the waterway would not reopen until Washington met seven conditions. Washington rejected Tehran’s counter-proposal. Neither side has moved. The truce is a fiction. The June memorandum is described by both governments as effectively defunct, and the two sides have traded fire as recently as September, when the United States attacked three Iranian ships and Iran fired ballistic missiles at an American carrier group.
Washington has put a date on the next round. President Trump said on the eighth of October that the United States would not resume large-scale strikes before the third of November midterm elections, a statement widely read as a promise to bomb after them. Tehran has heard that promise. Iranian commanders have publicly threatened pre-emptive attacks if they conclude an assault is coming, which turns an American election calendar into a deadline for the entire Gulf.
Iran’s grip is loosening, but slowly. The regime consolidated under hard-liners after Khamenei’s death, and the new leadership has staked its legitimacy on holding the strait. The Houthis have opened a second front. Attacks from Yemen have hit Saudi airports and forced Riyadh to reroute exports, removing a workaround that had been keeping some oil flowing. Mines are still being cleared. American warships swept the main shipping lane in late August and identified more than a hundred suspected mines. Sweeping is slow, and a single missed device can close a lane again.
The insurance market has not recovered. War-risk premiums on Gulf voyages remain elevated, and without cover, ships do not sail no matter how calm the water looks. Refining, not just crude, has been hit. Plants across the Gulf have been damaged or cut off from export terminals, which is why America’s own refineries are running so hard. Russia is a second drain on supply. Ukrainian drone strikes have knocked out Russian refining capacity, and Moscow is now earning a windfall from higher prices rather than easing the shortage. China is hoarding. Beijing has restricted fuel and fertilizer exports to shield its own consumers, exporting its shortage to everyone else. Emergency reserves have been spent. The International Energy Agency coordinated a release of 400 million barrels from member stockpiles, and America’s own reserve is at its lowest since 1982.
The war has a body count at sea. At least ninety ships have been attacked, twenty-four seafarers have died, and a cruise ship has been caught in the crossfire, which is exactly the sort of detail that keeps crews away. The deadlock is structural. Iran cannot afford to look weak, America cannot afford to look defeated, and Israel has its own reasons to keep pressure on, so the parties have every incentive to keep the conflict simmering rather than settle it.
Laid out that way, the standoff reads less like a war winding down than a war waiting for a reason to restart. Its most dangerous feature is the calendar. Announcing that you will not attack until after an election tells your enemy how much time they have to prepare and hands them a date to brace for. Armies that expect an assault sometimes strike first, and Iranian commanders have said as much in public.
A complication that rarely makes the news concerns the bomb. Iran’s nuclear program was the stated reason for the war, and Israel claims the strikes set it back years. Whether that is true remains genuinely uncertain, since inspectors have had only partial access since February and the enrichment sites were buried deep before the first bomb fell. If Tehran concludes it has both a window and a grievance, the temptation to sprint toward a weapon, or the appearance of one, grows by the week.
Place the two fires side by side and the logic of Thursday’s price move becomes obvious. One threatens to remove refining capacity from the market; the other threatens to remove crude. Between them they squeeze the same supply chain from both ends, in the same season, with no clean resolution in sight.
What 2027 Already Knows: Forecasting humbles anyone who tries it, so let me be careful about where evidence ends and judgement begins. The facts above are documented; what follows is inference and should be read that way.
The first inference is that the squeeze reaches well beyond the price of petrol. Diesel is the connective tissue of the modern economy, and its cost has already passed six dollars a gallon in America and higher still in parts of Europe. Trucking fleets, which run on thin margins, are being squeezed hard. The American Transportation Research Institute put the average cost of operating a heavy truck at a record $2.34 a mile in 2025, with fuel alone near a fifth of that. Every cent added at the pump feeds straight into the price of everything that moves, and almost everything moves.
Freight is where the arithmetic turns cruel. A refrigerated load of lettuce trucked from California’s Salinas Valley to New York now runs to roughly $10,000, of which about $4,200 is diesel alone; the fuel bill for the same run a year ago came to around $2,700. The carrier does not absorb the difference, and neither does the supermarket. It lands on the shelf, in the produce aisle, on the price of the things hardest to substitute and easiest to notice.
Fertilizer closes the circuit, and here the picture is bleaker than the headlines suggest. The World Bank’s fertilizer price index rose more than twelve percent in the first quarter of 2026, its sixth increase in seven quarters, reaching by April its highest level since October 2022. Urea climbed above $850 a metric ton, up eighty percent in two months. The Middle East supplies around a quarter of the world’s urea exports, roughly a third of its traded sulphur and a similar share of its ammonia, and the strait that carries them is the one Iran has closed. Iran halted ammonia production, Qatar suspended urea, ammonia and sulphur output after damage to its plants, and India cut its own output for want of gas.
Farmers are famously adaptive, but fertilizer is not optional. Skimp on nitrogen one season and the next harvest shows it. The International Chamber of Commerce has warned that grain prices could climb by as much as eighty percent if the disruptions persist, and the World Bank expects its fertilizer index to end 2026 more than thirty percent higher than it began. A farmer paying more for inputs while facing an uncertain price for the harvest does the rational thing: plants less, or plants cheaply. Both cut supply exactly when the world needs more.
The bond market has noticed. The correlation between West Texas Intermediate and the ten-year Treasury yield reached 0.96 in September, the tightest link since 2019, which means the oil price is now steering the price of money. Yields have climbed from 4.19 percent at the start of the year to well above five, and rising yields lift mortgages, car loans and corporate borrowing in step. An energy shock that began in a distant waterway is turning up in the monthly payment on an ordinary house.
Europe and Asia are more exposed still. Europe draws more than a tenth of its liquefied natural gas from Qatar through the strait, and its gas prices spiked from around thirty euros a megawatt hour to above sixty before settling in the high forties; the European Union absorbed more than thirty billion euros in extra fossil fuel import costs by early May alone. Asian buyers, who once took roughly eighty-four percent of the crude flowing through Hormuz, now bid against each other for whatever barrels remain, and the weakest importers, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh and much of Africa, are priced out first.
None of this has yet produced a recession, which is worth stating plainly, since forecasts of doom are cheap. The IMF in fact revised world growth upward for 2026, to about three percent, and expects slightly better in 2027, on the strength of an artificial intelligence investment boom that has kept demand and employment buoyant even as energy costs bite. The honest framing, then, is not collapse but a squeeze that grinds rather than breaks, and grinds hardest on those with the least room to absorb it.
Three assumptions underpin that relatively benign outlook, and all three are fragile. The first is that Isaias spares the refineries. The second concerns the Gulf standoff, which has to stay a simmer rather than a boil. And the third is that the world’s thin inventories are not tested again before they can be rebuilt. If all three hold, 2027 will be uncomfortable; if one fails, ugly; if two fail at once, the shortages of the late 1970s become the right reference point rather than a rhetorical flourish.
Watching from the outside, as someone who reads these numbers for pleasure and keeps a tally of how often the comfortable consensus has been wrong, what stands out is how little room the system retains. Cheap energy built a world of deep inventories and idle capacity, and both have been spent. The reserve is drained, the refineries run flat out, the ships hide, and the harvest depends on fertilizer that must cross a contested strait. A generation grew up assuming the buffer would always be there. It is gone, and 2027 is the year that becomes hard to ignore.
The temptation in the months ahead will be to treat each shock as it comes and to assume the next will be milder. That was the mood in June, when a memorandum was signed and the oil price slid, and it lasted about four weeks. This year’s pattern suggests the opposite habit is wiser: expect the shocks to keep coming, the buffers to keep thinning, and the two fires in the two gulfs to keep burning.
A final observation, offered as opinion rather than fact. The most underrated variable here is not a pipeline or a strait but patience. Washington has elections, Tehran has a proud new leadership with something to prove, and both answer to constituencies that reward firmness over compromise. Every month the standoff continues, the pressure to settle it militarily grows, and each strike risks something no one can easily replace. That is how a war nobody wanted becomes a war nobody can stop.
Keep an eye, then, on two things next year, and on one date in particular. Watch the Gulf weather, because a single bad landfall can undo a decade of refining capacity in a week. Watch the strait, because it carries a fifth of everything the world burns and has not been reliably open since February. Circle early November, when an American election gives the war a schedule it did not have before. If both fires still burn by then, 2027 will not merely be a year of shortages. It will be the year the world runs out of room to absorb them."
Adventures With Danno, "Unbelievable Prices At Aldi"
Full screen recommended.
Adventures With Danno, 10/10/26
"Unbelievable Prices At Aldi"
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Dan, I Allegedly, "Something is Wrong With the Economy!"
Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly, 10/10/26
"Something is Wrong With the Economy!"
"The economy is sending warning signs that Americans cannot afford to ignore. The low-hire, low-fire job market is leaving workers with fewer opportunities, while businesses are closing, household expenses keep climbing, and uncertainty is spreading across the financial system. Dan from iAllegedly breaks down the latest economic concerns, including the stock market and AI bubble warnings, historic business closures, rising housing and HOA costs, expensive mortgages, government debt, and the growing pressure on American families. The numbers may look fine on the surface, but what is really happening to the economy?
From retirement affordability and rising property expenses to toll road fines, vehicle registration costs, financial fraud, and the importance of emergency preparedness, this is a look at the economic warning signs affecting everyday Americans. With a federal budget deficit approaching $2 trillion, questions about market stability, and businesses with decades of history shutting down, it's time to take a closer look at your finances and prepare for uncertainty. Watch iAllegedly for candid business news, personal finance insights, economic analysis, and the stories that could affect your money, your retirement, and your future."
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Friday, October 9, 2026
"Snyder Reports, 10/9/26"
Full screen recommended.
Snyder Reports, 10/9/26
"Hurricane Isaias: It's Too Late To Evacuate -
Millions Told To Shelter In Place"
"Millions of Americans told to evacuate Hurricane Isaias are now being told to shelter in place. It's too late and too dangerous to leave. A rare Extreme Wind Warning is in effect for more than 500,000 people in the western Florida Panhandle as Hurricane Isaias strengthens to a Category 3 with 115-120 MPH winds. In this update I break down the latest track, landfall timing around 9-10PM Central, 110 MPH gusts from Biloxi to Mobile to Pensacola to Panama City, and the 9-foot storm surge forecast for Destin and Seaside. You'll also see the extreme wind warning text from the National Weather Service for Pensacola, Navarre and Ferry Pass until 8:45PM CT - treat it like a tornado and move to an interior room now - plus waterspout footage off Mobile Bay, what to expect inland to Dothan, Birmingham and Tennessee, and why meteorologists warn more severe storms could follow this season. If you're in Florida, Alabama or the Gulf Coast, stay inside, stay away from windows, and follow local officials. Drop your city and questions below - I'll update after landfall."
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Snyder Reports, 10/9/26
"Hurricane Isaias Shuts Down 63% Of Gulf Oil Production -
Are Gas Prices About To Surge?"
"Hurricane Isaias is now 1 mph below a Category 3 and taking aim at the Gulf Coast - with 62.89% of Gulf oil production already offline. Here's what it means for your gas tank. Gas prices sit at $4.37 today, October 9th, 2026, after falling from the $5.01 high. That drop could reverse fast. Isaias has shut in 1.28 million barrels per day, 121 platforms have been evacuated, and Chevron's Pascagoula and Vertex refineries are in the path. With war in the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine still pressuring oil prices today, experts say fill up today if you can. In this video I break down past hurricanes like Katrina, Rita (10+ months of disruption), Gustav, Ike (6 months) and Ida (96% shut in), do the math on what 3, 7, 14 and 30 days offline means (up to 30M+ barrels), and lay out mild (+10-15 cents), moderate (1-2 week regional gas price surge), and severe (3-4 week shortages in the South) scenarios - plus why workers not returning could extend outages beyond repairs."
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Snyder Reports, 10/9/26
"American Debt Crisis:
20% Behind On Payments - Worst Since 2008"
America's debt problems are flashing a warning not seen since the Great Recession - and the Fed just confirmed it. In this video I break down the Fed's Survey of Consumer Finances showing families behind on loan payments soared from 12% to nearly 20% by end of 2025, with over 8% two months or more behind. Payment-to-income ratios over 40% jumped to 8.6%, the highest since 2013. Plus what a bank insider showed me about late mortgages, why banks are sitting on thousands of defaults instead of foreclosing, and why car repossessions hitting 1.73 million could push toward 3 million. We cover the American debt crisis, rising mortgage default risk, the car repossession surge, and what this great recession 2008 comparison means for your wallet in 2026."
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"Alert! Secret NATO Emergency Meeting! Trump's Fake Diesel Deal; Iran; 6-12 Months Until A.I DIisaster"
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Canadian Prepper, 10/9/26
"Alert! Secret NATO Emergency Meeting! Trump's
Fake Diesel Deal; Iran; 6-12 Months Until A.I DIisaster"
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Musical Interlude: Il Divo, "Wicked Game" ("Melanconia")
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Il Divo, "Wicked Game" ("Melanconia")
Live In London 2011
Musical Interlude: "Peak Focus Soft House Study Music with Beta Isochronic Tones"
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"Peak Focus Soft House Study Music
with Beta Isochronic Tones"
by Jason Lewis
Headphones Are Not Required
"What does this track do? A soft house upbeat study music mix with beta wave isochronic tones. Part of my peak focus for complex tasks series.Designed to produce a deep focus mental state while studying or working. This session stimulates Beta, SMR and Alpha, alternating in 2 minute increments to help keep the user relaxed and engaged. Note: SMR (sensorimotor rhythm) relates to the frequency range between 12 – 15Hz. It’s associated with sensory processing and motor control. Stimulating this can result in relaxed focus and improved attention. This session is meant to speed up the brain while keeping the left hemisphere dominant (good for attention, concentration and reducing emotional response and hyperactivity). ADD and similar disorders are often characterized by “slow-wave” EEG patterns, particularly in the left frontal region. As such, this session stimulates the left brain hemisphere with Beta frequencies and the right with SMR.
Can it be used to help with studying and if so, when should you listen to it? Yes, it can be helpful to use while studying, and if you read through the many comments about this track, you’ll see that many people have successfully used it for studying. You can either listen to it while you are studying, to get your brain into a good mental state when you need it. Or if you are someone that gets a bit distracted by music while studying, listen to it just before you begin.
How Loud Should The Volume Be? There is varying advice and opinions on the impact of volume with brainwave entrainment, with some saying the louder it is the more impact it has. From my own experience, my advice is to play it at a volume level you feel comfortable with. The main thing to consider is that it should be loud enough to hear the repetitive isochronic tones, so you don’t want it so quiet you can hardly hear them. But you also don’t want it so loud that its uncomfortable for you. Somewhere in the middle is my recommendation.
Use this session in the morning or afternoon, to train your brain for better cognition, such as clearer and faster thinking. You can either sit somewhere quiet and comfortable with your eyes closed and give your brain a nice workout, or you can also listen to this while doing an activity that requires a boost in concentration, like studying.
How long should you listen for to get a good effect? It takes around 6 minutes for your brainwaves to fall in step with the tones and become entrained. It then takes time to be guided along the frequency range used in the track. Listening to about half way through is the minimum in my opinion, but 30 minutes is the optimum and preferred length to listen for.
IMPORTANT RECOMMENDATIONS:
• Drink some water – Make sure you are well hydrated before listening to brainwave entrainment.
WHY? Your brain is made up of around 75% water, so it needs plenty of water to function well. When you stimulate your brain in this way, you’re increasing electrical activity and blood flow in the brain and giving your brain a good workout, so it can be a good idea to drink before listening, so that your brain can fire on all cylinders.
• It is not recommended to listen to this while driving or operating machinery.
WHY? Brainwave entrainment involves a process of stimulating your brainwaves and changing your mental state. While this is safe to do and use in normal situations, it can sometimes zone you out during the track, as you focus in on the sound of the tones. This could result in you being distracted temporarily, which is not a good thing while you’re driving or operating machinery. Some people also experience tingling and other sensations from the stimulation. While that might feel quite nice sitting in a comfortable chair at home, it could cause you to be distracted while driving and result in an accident.
• It is not recommended to listen to this while under the influence of drugs or alcohol, or any mind altering substance.
WHY? When your brain is under the influence of drugs or alcohol it’s not operating to it’s full capacity, and you react differently to stimulation and situations, compared to when you are sober. So as a precaution and because I don’t know how you will react in that situation, I recommend you do not use it in that situation.
• Who should NOT listen to this audio? Those who should not listen to this video/audio include: Those who are prone to or have had seizures, epilepsy, pregnant or wear a pacemaker should NOT listen to this video/audio.
WHY? There is insufficient research data in this area, so as a precaution, if you are among the categories listed above, I would recommend you consult a doctor or medical professional before listening to this video/audio.”
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Whether you want to know it or not we're all in the fight of our lives, for our lives. Some of you reading this will not survive, and I may not either, so I for one will take any edge I can get, and so should you. This works, I suggest you use it.
- CP
"A Look to the Heavens"
“Blown by fast winds from a hot, massive star, this cosmic bubble is huge. Cataloged as Sharpless 2-308 it lies some 5,000 light-years away toward the constellation of the Big Dog (Canis Major) and covers slightly more of the sky than a Full Moon. That corresponds to a diameter of 60 light-years at its estimated distance. The massive star that created the bubble, a Wolf-Rayet star, is the bright one near the center of the nebula. Wolf-Rayet stars have over 20 times the mass of the Sun and are thought to be in a brief, pre-supernova phase of massive star evolution.
Fast winds from this Wolf-Rayet star create the bubble-shaped nebula as they sweep up slower moving material from an earlier phase of evolution. The windblown nebula has an age of about 70,000 years. Relatively faint emission captured by narrowband filters in the deep image is dominated by the glow of ionized oxygen atoms mapped to a blue hue. Presenting a mostly harmless outline, SH2-308 is also known as The Dolphin-head Nebula.”
"This Beautiful World"
Full screen recommended.
,
"This Beautiful World"
"All music, lyrics, and creative direction are original. AI was used as a creative tool to shape the visuals, but the heart of the story is fully human. Thank you for watching. If this journey touched you, I’d love to hear which place stayed with you the most."
Native American Elder, "3 Weaknesses You Must Never Show No Matter Who Is Watching"
Full screen recommended.
Native American Elder,
"3 Weaknesses You Must Never Show
No Matter Who Is Watching"
Comments here:
Delta Blues Brother, "These Were the Good Days"
Full screen recommended.
Delta Blues Brother,
"These Were the Good Days"
"Most people don’t recognize the good old days while they’re living them. They notice them later. After the house gets quiet. After the pictures fade. After the voices they loved become memories. After ordinary mornings start looking like gifts. "These Were the Good Days" is a warm Delta blues reflection about gratitude, aging, memory, family, simple moments, and learning to recognize a good life before it becomes nostalgia. The resonator guitar rolls gently through the song like sunlight moving across an old wooden floor. The harmonica drifts with warmth and tenderness, carrying the feeling of a memory you didn’t know you were making at the time. The groove stays peaceful, bittersweet, and deeply human… like someone finally learning that ordinary days are often the ones we miss most. This is the blues of noticing. Not chasing more. Not waiting for someday. Not realizing too late that today was already enough."
The Poet: David Whyte, "In the Beginning"
"In the Beginning"
"Sometimes simplicity rises
like a blossom of fire
from the white silk of your own skin.
You were there in the beginning
you heard the story, you heard the merciless
and tender words telling you where you had to go.
Exile is never easy and the journey
itself leaves a bitter taste. But then,
when you heard that voice, you had to go.
You couldn't sit by the fire, you couldn't live
so close to the live flame of that compassion
you had to go out in the world and make it your own
so you could come back with
that flame in your voice, saying listen...
this warmth, this unbearable light, this fearful love...
It is all here, it is all here."
~ David Whyte
Kahlil Gibran, "The Prophet: On Good and Evil "
"The Prophet: On Good and Evil "
"Of the good in you I can speak, but not of the evil.
For what is evil but good tortured by its own hunger and thirst?
Verily when good is hungry it seeks food even in dark caves,
and when it thirsts it drinks even of dead waters.
You are good when you are one with yourself.
Yet when you are not one with yourself you are not evil.
For a divided house is not a den of thieves; it is only a divided house.
And a ship without rudder may wander aimlessly among
perilous isles yet sink not to the bottom.
You are good when you strive to give of yourself.
Yet you are not evil when you seek gain for yourself.
For when you strive for gain you are but a root
that clings to the earth and sucks at her breast.
Surely the fruit cannot say to the root,
Be like me, ripe and full and ever giving of your abundance.
For to the fruit giving is a need, as receiving is a need to the root.
You are good when you are fully awake in your speech,
Yet you are not evil when you sleep
while your tongue staggers without purpose.
And even stumbling speech may strengthen a weak tongue.
You are good when you walk to your goal firmly and with bold steps.
Yet you are not evil when you go thither limping.
Even those who limp go not backward.
But you who are strong and swift,
see that you do not limp before the lame, deeming it kindness.
You are good in countless ways,
and you are not evil when you are not good,
You are only loitering and sluggard.
Pity that the stags cannot teach swiftness to the turtles.
In your longing for your giant self lies your goodness:
and that longing is in all of you.
But in some of you that longing is a torrent rushing with might to the sea,
carrying the secrets of the hillsides and the songs of the forest.
And in others it is a flat stream that loses itself in angles and
bends and lingers before it reaches the shore.
But let not him who longs much say to him who longs little,
Wherefore are you slow and halting?
For the truly good ask not the naked,
Where is your garment?
nor the houseless, What has befallen your house?"
- Kahlil Gibran
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Freely download a PDF version of "The Prophet" here:
"The Truth"
I've always believed you can handle the truth, given the chance...It may not be what you want to hear, but it is the truth to the best of my ability to determine. What you do with it is of course up to you... - CP
"How Did It Get So Crazy, So Fast?"
"How Did It Get So Crazy, So Fast?"
by John Wilder
"One of the comments on a post a few weeks back asked a pretty good question: “How did we get so crazy, so fast?” The answer actually involves several intertwining threads, mice, Soviets, and gasoline engines, so let’s see of we can weave a web that covers at least a chunk of what has made us so crazy, so quickly. This is a distillation of the last seven years’ worth of study and writing, so some of it might be pretty familiar. Also, it’s not necessarily complete yet, but here are the major threads that I see that have led to what Heinlein called The Crazy Years.
First: Societal Malaise Due to Abundance: I’ve written several times about John Bumpass (that’s his real middle name according to the Internet) Calhoun’s Mouse Utopia experiment, see immediately below this paragraph for links to two previous posts. The short summary is Dr. Calhoun asked a crazy question: what would happen if you gave a population of mice everything they could want: food, water, freedom from predation, space to live, bedding material, and places to make nests.
The result? The mice died out. At a certain point they stopped mating, mother mice stopped taking care of infant mice, gangs formed, and some mice (the “beautiful ones”) just spent their time grooming themselves and not really interacting. If this sounds like Reddit® or TikTok™ or the Democratic National Convention, well, you’re right. For a certain subset of the population, abundance has ruined them.
I think it started in the 1960s. I’m just guessing. I like to blame the hippies, so they’re likely the early-version. It then continued into the wildest era of abundance the world has ever seen: the 1990s. If you look at any time lapse, that’s when the United States started leading the world (it has spread now, literally) in having obesity, not hunger, be the bigger (pun intended) health problem.
I think this started to manifest itself, big time, in the music of the 1990s. We went from Warrant singing about Cherry Pie to Kurt Cobain mumbling about how living in the suburbs with all the Pop Tarts™ his fat face could eat was killing him. Turns out that shotguns are even more deadly than Pop Tarts©. Who knew? We had a generation that was lost because they had everything. I think a candidate for the hallmark phrase of this Crazy Cause is: “Why are we even here, dude?”
Second: Societal Anxiety Due to No Challenges: I recently made the comment on X® that a lot of people would e better off if they had been bullied as kids. Was I serious? Yeah, I was. One response was, “Why do you want to make things worse?”
The truth is, for me, that bullies actually helped me build my character and my resolve. And, believe it or not, sometimes the bullies were right and the things that they bullied me about (second graders can be assholes) were things I needed to fix to be a better person. Did I lift harder to get stronger because of it? Yes. Did I develop the internal resilience so that the people who (rightfully) bullied the smarmy second grader that I was eventually earned the respect of the bullies?
Yes. Males, even young males, need to develop a hierarchy and understand their place in it and why they are inferior to Chuck Norris.
No child is born perfect, and it is the challenges in life that help define and develop character. Without challenge, development is stunted.
I think that today’s twentysomethings have the problem that they look into a future that certainly looks grim to them, yet they’ve never had a chance to develop their character and are told again and again how perfect they are and how their choices are important.
Newsflash: the choices of a second grader generally deserve about as much attention as the choices my dog wants to make. Both will eat all of the cake in the house if you let them and make messes everywhere. It’s our job as parents to not care what they think when it’s important to develop character and virtue.
As a society we face many of the same problems: what is it we stand for and what are we trying to accomplish? We don’t have Soviets to fight, we’re actively encouraging invaders into our country to replace us, and we don’t have any cool national purpose like the Apollo program. I think a candidate for the catchphrase of this crazy cause is: “Why am I so worthless?”
Third: Societal Atomization Due To Tech: As humans, we have minds that are built around smaller social systems, mainly. The big move from rural to urban happened in the west only recently. Our legacy social structure is (mainly) to live in a town for a very long time, put down roots, make friends, make a reputation.
Most people aren’t leaders, they’re followers, and want to be led. Why else would sane people want zoning regulations? But now, put us in a constantly churning urban landscape where we don’t know the next-door-neighbor in the apartment building? Who do we turn to? Well, whatever latenightjokeman says or whatever TikTik™ says or whatever InstaFace© allows to be printed. People are defining themselves on how YouTube™ says Europeans feel about Donald Trump.
They are also allowed to pick whatever gender they are. How do I know tech is driving this? Back when COVID made everyone homeschooled, transgenderism dropped. Why? No one to identify to – which is why “transwomen” with no girl parts get offended when gynecologists won’t give them appointments. Yes. That’s a thing.
The iPhone™ is a big driver. It puts connections in the hands of kids. I talked with one Millennial, and he said that at the start of his high school career, kids “cruised main” looking for other kids. By the end of high school, it was all phones. Friendships dropped, and dating dropped. Mix that with the first two causes above, and it leads to fewer kids.
Dating sites magnify this, and make every girl “4” think that she deserves a Chad ranked 9 or higher because one time a drunk Chad had sex with her. This leads to Chads being happy, but girls being sad and hollow inside. I think a catchphrase for this Crazy Cause is “Who or what the heck am I?”
Result of these interacting strands of Crazy are a large number of people who:
• Stand for nothing.
• Have no examples of virtue other than seeking money in their lives.
• See no point in anything other than the present moment.
• Are distracted.
• Think they’re too good for PEZ™.
• Are filled with the combination of anxiety and narcissism.
• Do and feel whatever the media tells them to do.
• Haven’t built social circles of any particular strength – clubs and churches are on constant decline.
There’s good news. All of this is self-limiting. We’re not mice, and plenty of good humans haven’t fallen into Calhoun’s Behavioral Sink. Many of those same people have overcome challenges sufficient to shape their character for the better. Finally, there are enough of us that don’t follow. We lead. Or we choose our own path. And? We’re gonna win."
"Trump Warns Of Coming Great Depression, It's Already Begun; Margin Debt Nightmare"
Jeremiah Babe, 10/9/26
"Trump Warns Of Coming Great Depression,
It's Already Begun; Margin Debt Nightmare"
Comments here:
"This Is What Makes Your Self-respect So Important..."
“We are all alone, born alone, die alone, and - in spite of True Romance magazines - we shall all someday look back on our lives and see that, in spite of our company, we were alone the whole way. I do not say lonely - at least, not all the time - but essentially, and finally, alone. This is what makes your self-respect so important, and I don’t see how you can respect yourself if you must look in the hearts and minds of others for your happiness.”
Hunter S. Thompson, "The Proud Highway:
Saga of a Desperate Southern Gentleman, 1955-1967
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