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Friday, March 27, 2026

"The Collapse of Everyday Life in America Is Worse Than It Looks"

Full screen recommended.
The Unfolded States, 3/27/26
"The Collapse of Everyday 
Life in America Is Worse Than It Looks"
"Everyday life in America has not suddenly collapsed, but the cost structure behind it has changed in a way that is harder to ignore. Even as inflation slows, housing, healthcare, insurance, and basic living expenses remain elevated, reshaping what it actually takes to maintain a middle-class lifestyle. This video breaks down the real gap between income and cost of living in America, showing how fixed expenses, rising debt, and reduced financial flexibility are creating a system that looks stable on the surface but is becoming more constrained underneath. If you’ve noticed that your income doesn’t stretch as far as it used to, this is not just a personal issue. It reflects a broader shift in the US middle class and the way everyday life is being reshaped in 2026."
Comments here:

"Alert! Multiple Nuclear Plants Hit! Another Aircraft Carrier! Russia Halts All Exports!"

Full screen recommended.
Prepper News, 3/27/26
"Alert! Multiple Nuclear Plants Hit! 
Another Aircraft Carrier! Russia Halts All Exports!"
Comments here:

"People Can Sense What's Coming Will Be Worse Than A Financial Crisis"

Full screen recommended.
Epic Economist, 3/27/26
"People Can Sense What's Coming 
Will Be Worse Than A Financial Crisis"

Something is shifting beneath the surface of the American economy, and more people are starting to feel it even if they can't quite put it into words. In this video, we're walking through some of the most telling signs that a major financial disruption may be closer than most people think, and why this one could look very different from anything we've seen before.

Michael Burry, the investor who famously predicted the 2008 crash, is raising the alarm again. His concern this time centers on the structural vulnerability of passive investing, the reversal of baby boomer capital flows, and the collapse of corporate buybacks that have been quietly propping up stock valuations for years. When someone with that track record starts talking about crashes becoming more violent and longer in duration, it's worth paying attention.

But the warning signs don't stop with the stock market. The U.S. Treasury has now acknowledged that the federal government holds roughly $6 trillion in assets against nearly $48 trillion in liabilities, and that figure doesn't even account for the long-term obligations tied to Medicare and Social Security. At the same time, over 111 million Americans are carrying credit card balances every month, with more than 27 million only able to afford minimum payments. Personal and commercial bankruptcies are climbing, and many households are already choosing between paying bills and buying groceries.

What makes this moment particularly fragile is how interconnected all of these pressures are. As the 2008 crisis showed us, it doesn't take a total collapse to trigger a chain reaction. It just takes enough stress in the right places. And right now, the stress is spreading across multiple fronts simultaneously, from a weakening job market and rising entry-level unemployment to an oil crisis that is driving up the cost of nearly everything Americans buy on a daily basis.

The situation in global energy markets is adding another layer of complexity that the economy is poorly positioned to absorb. With oil above $110 a barrel and diesel crossing five dollars a gallon, the stagflation pressure on households and the Federal Reserve is intensifying in ways that leave very little room to maneuver. Higher energy costs mean higher prices across the entire supply chain, and a Fed that cannot cut rates without risking more inflation is a Fed with its hands tied.

Perhaps most concerning is what is happening in the banking sector away from the headlines. Hundreds of banks are reporting unrealized losses that exceed half their total capital. Shadow banking funds are locking redemption gates, trapping investor money inside. The Federal Reserve has been injecting billions into the system through overnight repos at a scale not seen since the early days of COVID. These are not the kinds of signals that show up in a healthy system.

If any of this resonates with you, drop a comment below and share your perspective. And if you want to keep following along as we track where all of this is heading, make sure you subscribe so you don't miss what's coming next."
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Musical Interlude: Vangelis, “Hymn”

Vangelis, “Hymn”

"A Look to the Heavens"

"In silhouette against a crowded star field along the tail of the arachnalogical constellation Scorpius, this dusty cosmic cloud evokes for some the image of an ominous dark tower.
In fact, clumps of dust and molecular gas collapsing to form stars may well lurk within the dark nebula, a structure that spans almost 40 light-years across this gorgeous telescopic portrait. Known as a cometary globule, the swept-back cloud, is shaped by intense ultraviolet radiation from the OB association of very hot stars in NGC 6231, off the upper edge of the scene. That energetic ultraviolet light also powers the globule's bordering reddish glow of hydrogen gas. Hot stars embedded in the dust can be seen as bluish reflection nebulae. This dark tower, NGC 6231, and associated nebulae are about 5,000 light-years away."

Chet Raymo, “Cosmic View”

“Cosmic View”
by Chet Raymo

“When writing about Philip and Phylis Morrison’s “Powers of Ten” the other day I found I had made the following notation in the flyleaf, perhaps a dozen or more years ago:

Britannica
 32 volumes
 1000 pages per vol
 1200 words per page
 5 letters/wd
 = 200 million letters. So, 200 million letters in the 32 volume set of the Encyclopedia Britannica. Why was I making that estimate? I can think of several possibilities. Perhaps…

1. I was making a comparison with the number of nucleotide pairs in the human DNA; that is, the number of steps- ATTGCCCTAA, etc.- on the double-helix. If the information on the human genome- an arm’s length of DNA in every human cell- were written out in ordinary type, it would fill 15 sets of the Encyclopedia Britannica. Nearly 500 thick volumes of information labeled YOU. Think of that for a moment. Fifteen 32-volume sets of the Encyclopedia Britannica in every invisibly-small cell of your body. And every time a cell reproduces, all of that information has to be transcribed correctly. Did I say the other day that it took a semester to stretch the imagination to grasp the universe of the galaxies? It could take another semester to stretch the imagination to grasp the scale of the molecular machinery that makes our bodies work.

Or maybe…

2. I was trying to give an insight into the complexity of the human brain. There are something like 100 billion nerve cells in the brain. That’s equivalent to the number of letters in 500 sets of the Britannica! Each many-fingered neuron connects to hundreds of other neurons, and each synaptic connection might be in one of many levels of excitation. I’ll let you calculate the number of potential states of the human brain. We’ve left behind the realm of Britannica. Even talking of libraries would be insufficient. I was marveling here recently about the amount of digital memory Google must command to store all of those 360-degree Street View images from all over the planet, all of it instantly retrievable by anyone with access to a computer and the internet. I imagined banks and banks of electronics in some cavernous building in California. Big deal! I’m sitting here right now in the college Commons and I can bring to mind street views of every place I’ve lived since I was three or four years old.

By the way…

3. The number of letters in 500 sets of the Britannica is about the number of stars in the Milky Way Galaxy.

And…”

"We Are Doomed And Challenged..."

"The apple cannot be stuck back on the Tree of Knowledge; 
once we begin to see, we are doomed and challenged
 to seek the strength to see more, not less."
- Arthur Miller

Joel Bowman, "Everyday Apocalypse"

"Everyday Apocalypse"
by Joel Bowman

“The sky is falling! The sky is falling!”
~ A reminder from Chicken Little

Buenos Aires, Argentina - "Everyday, we learn a little more about the End of the World... War in the Holy Lands... the rise and rise of the machines... the imminent collapse of global stock markets... another Seth Rogan movie…

Newspapers, in their predictable, hyperventilating manner, kvetch and moan about mankind’s imminent demise... that the ‘climate crisis’ is about to boil (or freeze!) us to death... how the (latest) government shutdown is going to drive the economy into a ditch... that the country (any country!) has never been this divided... Here’s a smattering of the latest, from the popular presses...

"Dow falls 400 points, briefly enters correction territory as Trump’s Iran extension fails to soothe markets" – wails CNBC.

"Welcome to a Multidimensional Economic Disaster - The AI boom wasn’t built for the polycrisis" – cries The Atlantic.

"Iran war energy crisis equal to 70s twin oil shocks and fallout from Ukraine war, says IEA chief" – bleats The Guardian.

Whoa! We can hardly imagine what might happen when the situation escalates to a multidimensional amber alert polycrisis times 10x Ukraine plus Vietnam to the power of Climate Armageddon, LGBTQIA++… Perusing the headlines, one could be forgiven for thinking life on planet earth had never been so fraught, we humans never so imperiled.

Go Touch Grass: To be sure, our congressional overlords are indeed working tirelessly to ensure no problem goes left un-exacerbated. Whether it’s spending too much of other people’s money, bombing vital energy infrastructure on the other side of the planet or generally throwing their toys out of the crib whenever they don’t get their own way... And yet, despite their worst efforts, the sun still rises in the east and sets in the west... a rose by any other name still smells as sweet... and the barista who crafts our morning espresso still goes about her business with a pretty smile and a cheerful nod.

In our go-go world of incessant doomscrolling, gluttonous newsfeeding and performative alarmism, it pays every now and then to disconnect, to step back from the screen, to “go touch grass,” as the kids say. Ah, but what about our own Notes From the End of the World, we hear you ask? Does the title itself (cheekily conceived) not portend an ominous apocalypse? A fiery armageddon? A hellish End of Days?

After all, the End of the World is not only a convenient geographic location from which to pen these riotous Notes... it also implies a long-prophesied Day of Reckoning. But this, too, can be interpreted in many ways. Looking back over history, we are delighted to discover that there’s nothing new about the End of the World. In fact, doomsday cults are as old as the days are long. Herewith, a little perspective, heading into the weekend...

The Beginnings of the Ends - From the Essene order of Jewish ascetics, who saw their rising up against the Romans in 66-70 AD as a prelude to the coming of the Messiah... to Hilary of Poitiers, the French bishop who predicted the end of the world in 365 AD... to the trembling triumvirate of Hippolytus of Rome, Sextus Julius Africanus and Irenaeus, who foretold the second coming of Christ (based on the dimensions of Noah’s Ark) in 500 AD... history is full of end time predictions. (Sextus later reset his cataclysm clock from 500 to 800 AD, presumably due to a cubit rounding error made while measuring the Ark’s upper deck.)

Over the centuries, brigades of bed-wetting panic artists came forth to wail and gnash their teeth over this or that Date of Decimation (DoD). Popes and priests, astrologers and kabbalists, false prophets, TV evangelists, Malthusians, pyramidologists and hucksters of every stripe stepped up, each with their own crackpot explanation and, usually, a collection plate in hand.

Even allegedly sane individuals fell prey to what Freud called “the death wish.” Mathematician John Napier, artist Sandro Botticelli, navigator Christopher Columbus and gadfly reformer Martin Luther all predicted fire and brimstone of varying descriptions. And yet... here we are, still among what the British author Virginia Woolf called the “army of the upright.” And ready to chart a new journey in our history...

A Precipice, of Sorts: Of course, mankind’s tendency to fear the worst is understandable. In a very real sense, we are always standing at the “End of the World”... carried by the tide of time to the farthest reaches of human achievement and knowledge (such as it is). We exist at the bleeding edge of all that has come before us, dwelling on the precipice of all human experience, standing on the shoulders of giants.

We peruse the pages of history, until and including this morning’s newspaper, then we look out ahead... into an unlived abyss, fraught with all manner of possibilities, tantalizing and terrifying alike. Any wonder we occasionally get a case of the wobbles! Happily, those dusty tomes, when carefully studied, reveal great and continuous cycles. The rise and fall of empires, of cultures and currencies, and of grand political movements, the likes of which may be just beginning again.

Down here at our little End of the World, for instance, things are looking up. From the Ministro de Economía: "The Economy Grew 0.4% Monthly in January and Reached a New Historic High. In January, the Monthly Economic Activity Estimate (EMAE) reached a new historical high, both in the seasonally adjusted series and in the trend-cycle indicator The EMAE recorded a 0.4% monthly growth without seasonality in January 2026.

In year-over-year terms, the indicator recorded an expansion of 1.9% and stood 8.3% above the level of January 2024. Excluding Public Administration and Defense, 10 of the 14 remaining EMAE sectors recorded growth in the year-over-year comparison. Among them, Fishing (+50.8%), Agriculture, Livestock, Hunting and Forestry (+25.1%), and Mining and Quarrying (+9.6%) stood out."

Two-and-a-bit years ago, this place was not only hopelessly politically divided, but also economically bankrupt and on the very brink of hyperinflation. Today, against the dire warnings of PhDs and the sour lamentations of public intellectuals, it stands at the edge of a brand new dawn, apocalypse be damned! The way is not always easy... or even apparent... but as the great Roman statesman, Marcus Tullius Cicero once wrote: “The greater the difficulty, the greater the glory.” Now kindly excuse us, dear reader, while we go touch some grass. Stay tuned for more Notes From the End of the World..."

Judge Napolitano, "INTEL Roundtable w/Johnson & McGovern - Weekly Wrap March 27"

Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom, 3/27/26
"INTEL Roundtable w/Johnson & McGovern - 
Weekly Wrap March 27"
Comments here:
o
Full screen recommended.
Dialogue Works, 3/27/26
"Larry Johnson & Col. Wilkerson:
 US–Iran Ground Conflict Could Devastate Israel & UAE"
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Bill Bonner, "Lions Led By Donkeys"

The Anzac cove on the Gallipoli peninsula, in Turkey.
"Lions Led By Donkeys"
by Bill Bonner

‘Not Winston Churchill we’re dealing with...’
 - Donald Trump, referring to UK prime minister Keir Starmer

Baltimore, Maryland - "History is a long tale of woe and witless wonders. The public record is full of them. From the Crusades to the Great Leap Forward to Epic Fury. Each one is absurd in its own way...but also much like the ones that came before it. And now, what is the best reference for what we are seeing in the Middle East?

Certainly, the War Against Iraq is a precedent. Very similar. The attack was launched on trumped up charges. It vilified Iraq’s strongman as a monster. And it brought overwhelming force to bear on a relatively minor and unprepared opponent. George W. Bush was able to announce a ‘mission accomplished.’ But what was the mission? Whatever it was, the War on Terror ended up costing the US as much as $5 trillion, leaving plenty of terrorists still on the ground and political power both in Iraq and Afghanistan now largely back in the hands of people who hate us.

But at least the invasion of Iraq respected the trappings of international law - even in breach - and was careful not to alienate the rest of the world. The Trump Team and its Israeli sidekicks didn’t seem to care about allies. They invited them only after the war took a nasty turn. Every invitation was refused, leaving the two attackers on their own. This time, it’s the Iranians who have globalized the conflict by closing the Strait of Hormuz.

And while the Iraqis were clearly whupped, the Iranians are still defiant. For them, this is a struggle for survival. America’s leaders see it only as a diversion...a ‘war of choice’ that they can walk away from whenever POTUS ‘feels’ it’s time to go. Trouble is, after having somewhat destroyed Iran’s conventional defenses, the empire now faces unconventional or a guerrilla war, where its advantages are less clear. “It’s not Winston Churchill we’re dealing with,” said Trump, after Britain showed its reluctance to join the fight. And thank God.

WWI was one of the biggest disasters in world history. Nobody stood to gain much. Almost all parties were losers. And today, if you decided to visit the WWI graveyards of Europe...and spend a minute at each grave, 40 hours per week, 50 weeks per year...it would take you 83 years to view them all.

The war was already six months old when the soldiers - mostly ‘colonials’ from Australia, New Zealand, Ireland and India - landed on the Gallipoli peninsula. At that stage, the shrewd thing for Britain to do would have been to withdraw. It had everything to lose and nothing to gain. And had it pulled out then, it might have saved the empire and the pound sterling. But that’s not the way History works. Once in the war, Britain felt it had to win. Its soldiers are described today as ‘lions led by donkeys.’ The lions died, and the donkeys brayed for victory.

Churchill, foremost among the hinds, was First Lord of the Admiralty. He was adamant that the key to victory lay in control of the Dardanelles. The problem was similar to that which now faces Trump. Britain had gotten itself into a war in which it had no real business. And when Germany’s ally - the Ottoman Empire - closed the vital strait from the Black Sea to the Mediterranean, Churchill thought it would be a cakewalk to re-open it. The problem was not the shipments of oil, but the transit of food, that concerned him. Britain imported much of its wheat, meat and sugar. Consumer prices were rising. But it was not just the importers who suffered; the Russian Tsar - allied to Britain and France - relied on export revenues from selling food and raw materials, much of it shipped through the Dardanelles.

The campaign was an abject failure. The Ottoman Turks held the high ground. And they could not be dislodged. They may have been poor marksmen and poorly trained soldiers, but they were able to inflict about 250,000 casualties on British and French forces.

Russian finances were severely weakened, contributing to the eventual overthrow of the Tsarist regime. As for Britain, the losses were similarly profound. The Turks had been viewed as a backward people who posed no real threat to European powers. It turned out, they weren’t so primitive after all. It was obvious that the British Empire was in decline. And the Gallipoli campaign helped bring down all three empires - Tsarist Russia, the Ottoman Turks, and the UK.

It had been sold to Parliament, by Churchill, as a clean, surgical mostly-naval operation that would be over quickly with few casualties and minor costs. It didn’t work out that way. It rarely does. Stay tuned."
o
“History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes,”
- Mark Twain
Lions led by donkees...
Full screen recommended.
Battle Guide, 4/24/25
"The Impossible Landing at Gallipoli: 25, April 1915 "
"Just after dawn on 25th April 1915, under the cover of a formidable naval bombardment, thousands of British troops made their way towards land. In front of them, entrenched along these cliffs, Ottoman riflemen waited, poised to defend their homeland at all costs. It was the beginning of a brutal fight which would last for 8 months and cost tens of thousands of lives."
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o
Glenn Diesen, 3/27/26
"John Mearsheimer: "Iran Holds All the Cards" - 
The Strategic Defeat of the U.S."
"Prof. John Mearsheimer explains why Iran holds all the cards and could devastate the US and the global economy by going up the escalation ladder. A U.S. defeat in Iran, which appears inevitably, will also result in a much wider strategic defeat of the US position in the international system. John J. Mearsheimer is the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, where he has taught since 1982."
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o
And 10,000 body bags will come home...
Ask her if it was worth it...

The Poet: W.H. Auden, "September 1, 1939"

"September 1, 1939"

"Defenseless
under the night
Our world in stupor lies;
Yet, dotted everywhere,
Ironic points of light
Flash out
wherever the Just
Exchange their messages:
May I, composed like them
Of Eros and of dust,
Beleaguered by the same
Negation and despair,
Show an affirming flame."

- W.H. Auden
"On September 1, 1939, the German army under Adolf Hitler launched an invasion of Poland that triggered the start of World War II (though by 1939 Japan and China were already at war). The battle for Poland only lasted about a month before a Nazi victory. But the invasion plunged the world into a war that would continue for almost six years and claim the lives of tens of millions of people."
And here we are, badly losing a war with Iran, and on
 the brink of a nuclear World War III, having learned... nothing...

The Daily "Near You?"

Pearland, Texas, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

Robin Williams, "Greatest Speech in Movie History"

Full screen recommended.
Robin Williams, 
"Greatest Speech in Movie History"

"Just For One Day"

"Just For One Day"
by Paul Rosenberg

'Most people fail to appreciate the fresh opportunity that each day brings them. Their programming requires them to snort derisively at any positive description of humanity. After all, the systems of this world are built upon the assumption that mankind is weak, stupid, and generally inadequate to a moral existence. As a result, most people have become addicted to bad news.

Nonetheless every day is a fresh start, a situation created by nature itself. So, please consider this: What if, just once, you got out of bed and imagined that you were a fresh being in the universe? And more than that, a good, creative, potent being. What if you imagined yourself free of obligations and intimidations, charting a fresh course? What if you looked at your life as if it were beginning anew?

Is it an intolerable thought that you should put aside your well-groomed fears, wake up to a blank slate, and hold that position for just one day? And if we can’t allow ourselves this one productive entertainment, what has happened to us?

You Don’t Actually Suck: Our opinions of ourselves are usually out of touch with reality. To prove that, you need only to slow down, clear your mind, and answer a few questions:

Can you remember a moment from your childhood when someone was notably kind or loving toward you? You have at least one, yes? So, in detail, what was it like and how did you feel?

Can you remember a time you stood up for someone who was being unfairly insulted or abused? What exactly did you do, and how did it make you feel?

Can you remember a time when you did something because it was right, even though you knew you’d suffer for it? How did it feel to push through the fear and do it?

Have you ever done something out of nothing but simple, honest benevolence? How did that feel?

Did you answer these questions? Did you relive the experiences a little? You see, you don’t actually suck. You’ve merely been made to believe so… by people and systems who profit from your bad opinion of yourself.

What’s Life For? You are alive, and this life you possess doesn’t have a preset direction; it’s you who choose where to direct it. Our lives have the meaning we give them, and we give them meaning through exercises of will.

You have immense capabilities, but only you can choose to use them. If you spend your entire life reacting to darkness and threat, you’ll never learn to be a potent being. Instead, you’ll stay in a tight little shell, talking about everything bad that happens in the world and seeking more and more bad news because it justifies your shell. Does that sound like a good way to spend a life?

When? Ever? So, when do we pull away from the carnival of bad news? When do we lift up our eyes and consider the radical possibility that we have good things in us? When do we consider our virtues and abilities… and start using them as a first choice?

For most people the answer is “never.” Not once in a complete human lifetime. And that’s tragic. In fact, it’s premature death. Most people aren’t specifically choosing this of course – it’s a choice thrust upon them – but it ends with them never living by their own light. Instead, they find a “doesn’t hurt too badly” groove and plod along until they tip into a grave.

But what if we picked a day and chose to live as if we were wonderful? If you’re so deeply terrified that that will lead to doom, make it your day off or a vacation day. Get up and spend that day as if you were a luminous being. Flatly pretend if you must, but do it for a day. Is that really so evil a concept that you can’t allow it to exist? So, when is it that we choose to wake up and be wonderful, just for one day?

Pick One: Every tomorrow is a new day and a new chance to be wonderful. So pick a day and wake up to a blank slate. Turn away from the knee-jerk objections that ram their way into your mind; they can have the other 364 days. Try being wonderful. Pull out your calendar, pick a month and day, circle it, and then do it. You might like it."

Dan, I Allegedly, "Cash Is Back! For a Reason"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly, 3/27/26
"Cash Is Back! For a Reason"
"Cash is making a major comeback - and it’s not by accident. In this episode of I Allegedly, we break down why states are now forcing businesses to accept cash and what this means for your financial freedom, privacy, and the future of digital control. As talks of a cashless society and central bank digital currencies grow louder, this sudden shift raises serious questions: is this about helping the poor and elderly - or is something bigger happening behind the scenes? At the same time, we’re seeing rising crime, collapsing commercial real estate, failing infrastructure, and a mass exodus from high-tax states like California and New York. Businesses are shutting down, train systems are deteriorating, and even wealthy investors are walking away. This is a critical moment for the economy, and the consequences of political decisions are finally hitting hard. Stay informed, protect your money, and understand what’s coming next."
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Adventures With Danno, "Massive Sales At Kroger!"

Full screen recommended.
Adventures With Danno, 3/27/26
"Massive Sales At Kroger!"
Comments here:

"How It Really Is"

 

"Iran Just Struck IDF Base Filled With Soldiers As Netanyahu Sends Appeal For Ceasefire"

Full screen recommended.
OPTM, 3/27/26
"Iran Just Struck IDF Base Filled With Soldiers 
As Netanyahu Sends Appeal For Ceasefire"
Comments here:

"March, 22-26: Invisible Wounds" (Excerpt)

"March, 22-26: Invisible Wounds"
by NO1

Excerpt: "A ceasefire fixes nothing.There’s this meme going around. You’ve probably seen it:
It’s so absurd because it’s basically true…Trump gave Iran 48 hours to open Hormuz or he’d obliterate their power plants, starting with the biggest one first.Within that window, Israel struck Natanz – Iran’s main uranium enrichment facility.

Iran’s response was immediate and precisely calibrated: 7 separate missile strikes on Dimona and surroundings. Not the reactor itself. Not the research centre. Close enough that 47 high-level personnel had to be evacuated by helicopter, close enough that THAAD failed to intercept, but deliberately not close enough to cause a radiation event. That’s a warning shot.

Official death toll before Arad, before Dimona: 19. In total. For 3 weeks of shelling. That last attack was the single worst “difficult event” of this war. 20 died in Arad, over 100 injured. Tasnim’s Hebrew desk has a slightly different number: 1,281 excess deaths. 61 additional deaths per day, sourced from cemetery records and 703 ZAKA movements [ZAKA transports the dead].

92% of Israelis want the war to end. The schools are closed. Airport is shut. Daily life has been reduced to sheltering and praying that the next siren is a false alarm. They want it to stop. God, do they want it to stop.

3 weeks in and the country is on its knees. Gaza did 65 weeks. But who’s counting. Funny how empathy works. The ICJ called it a plausible genocide. Next door. Nobody surveyed the rubble in Gaza. Nobody checked if the 2 million people drinking sewage water wanted it to stop too. They did, by the way. In case anyone was wondering. And nobody cared enough to stop it.

Karma’s a bitch."
Full, most highly recommended article is here:

"The Cycles Warn The US Cannot Defeat Iran"

"The Cycles Warn The US Cannot Defeat Iran"
by Martin Armstrong

"Will the United States be defeated by Iran? Based on my cyclical analysis, historical precedent, and current trajectory, let me give you the answer that will make the neocons furious: YES. The United States will be defeated in Iran—not necessarily not just on the battlefield, but STRATEGICALLY, ECONOMICALLY, and POLITICALLY.

Sending in troops that end up with thousands in returning home in body-bags will show the entire world that Iran can defeat the mighty USA. That will send a smoke signal to Russia and China that the US cannot possible defend both Europe and Taiwan while also tied up defending Netanyahu.

Sending in troops will be a suicide mission. This is not going to be D-Day. We do not have the troops to conquer Iran, and Netanyahu does not care how many Americans will die for his personal vendetta. Iran has a major army, and this is NOT going to be a cakewalk. The advice being given to Trump is such a bald-faced lie that it is putting the entire world at risk, all for the defense of the sadistic character of Netanyahu. Sending in troops will be a suicide mission. We do NOT have the personnel to wage this war, and my sources are screaming that even the Marines are not renewing all because this is NOT a war that is in the American interest, but is a religious war for Netanyahu.
The military strength of Iran is far superior and Trump may claim we have already won by taking out their Navy and bombing their above ground operations, but Iran has dozens of deep underground facilities that nothing should of a nuke would possible reach. Aside from that, I would be very concerned that Iran is now pushing for a nuclear weapon ASAP and they have the missile capability. Once they announce that they now have the nukes, this changes everything.

Israel is effectively out of defense. Trump is now taking resources from Ukraine and sending them to Israel, which will not change the outcome. Iran has strategically planned for the end game and has the largest stockpile of ballistic missiles perhaps in the world, but certainly in the region.
Now even Saudi Arabia is demanding the US wipe out Iran for now Epic Fury has risen the Epic Persian Lion. They have seriously underestimated Iran and Trump did not listen to American intelligence and took Netanyahu’s word instead.

I warned that the war cycle turned up in 2014 and that would begin in Ukraine. But I also warned that WWIII will NOT be a single front, but we are looking at wars around the globe. The computer is showing this is going to extend into 2028 and that it should have turned higher exponentially here in 2026.

The half-cycle turning point was here in 2026. At the last WEC I also warned that 2026 would be a Panic Cycle Year when it came to war, markets, and the economy. It pains me deeply to see how the Neocons have infiltrated the Trump Administration and that this insane arrogance will lead to the defeat of the United States for the stated goals of regime change, causing a revolution, destroying their ballistic missiles, and ending their nuclear program have all failed. At this point, if I were Iran, I would be working night and day to finish that nuke for that is the only way at this point to discredit Netanyahu. This was a stupid move sold to Trump that just killing the Ayatolla would bring down the government which was totally fictional. Now Trump risks the entire stability of the world as a whole all for Netanyahu. Instead of securing the future for Israel, Netanyahu may undermine its future as it can no longer defend against Iranian missiles and Russia is now sending drones to Iran."

"Lockdown 2.0: The IEA Has Released 10 Guidelines To Help The Public Prepare For The Coming Fuel Shortages And “Energy Lockdowns”

by Michael Snyder

"Are we really going to go through this again? It appears that the Iranians are absolutely determined to keep traffic through the Strait of Hormuz paralyzed until they get what they want. In order to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, an absolutely massive military operation would be required, and perhaps we will see such an operation in the days ahead. But for now approximately 2,500 ships continue to be trapped inside the Persian Gulf, and this is already starting to create fuel shortages in some parts of the globe. If the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened for months, the fuel shortages will become extremely serious and it is inevitable that “energy lockdowns” will be imposed.

Don’t think that it can’t happen. Even now, the term “energy lockdown” is trending on social media all over the world… A new term has begun trending on social media as the global oil crisis deepens: “energy lockdown.” While the phrase evokes memories of COVID-19 restrictions, experts say it describes something very different - a set of government-enforced or encouraged measures to reduce fuel, gas and electricity consumption in response to severe supply shocks.

The term gained traction following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to the Iran-Israel-US conflict, which has cut off about 20% of global oil supplies. On March 24, the sixth anniversary of India’s first COVID-19 lockdown, the term peaked as public anxiety mixed with historical memory.

As you will see below, so far most of the energy-saving restrictions which have been introduced are voluntary. But as global energy supplies get tighter and tighter, it is probably just a matter of time before mandatory restrictions become widespread.

The International Energy Agency is giving us some clear indications of what could be ahead. They have just released a list of 10 emergency guidelines that some users on social media are calling a “playbook” for future energy lockdowns… The “World’s energy watchdog” has announced a list of emergency measures the public should take to help deal with the ongoing energy crisis triggered by the war in the Middle East. Many on social media have branded the emergency energy playbook as “lockdown 2”. One critic said: “We’re not doing this again.” The International Energy Agency (IEA) has released the list of guidelines encouraging countries across the globe to reduce fuel usage.

The suggestions given in the report, called “Sheltering from oil shocks”, consists of 10 steps focused on curbing fuel consumption. The IEA has also advised member countries – such as the UK and Australia – to prepare emergency measures to overcome oil demand. Needless to say, we are not being encouraged to wear masks this time around. But we are being encouraged to avoid driving and to stay home. The following is the full list of 10 guidelines that the IEA has just released…

٭Work from home where possible.
٭Reduce highway speed limits by at least 10km/h.
٭Encourage public transport.
٭Alternate private car access to roads in large cities on different days.
٭Increase car sharing and adopt efficient driving practices.
٭Efficient driving for road commercial vehicles and delivery of goods.
٭Divert LPG (liquified petroleum gas) use from transport.
٭Avoid air travel where alternative options exist.
٭Where possible, switch to other modern cooking solutions.
٭Leverage flexibility with petrochemical feedstocks and implement short term efficiency and maintenace measures.

I think that they realize that there simply is not going to be enough fuel for everyone if this war does not end soon. This is going to be particularly true in Asia, because they buy more than 80 percent of the oil that travels through the Strait of Hormuz… Countries across Asia are reviving Covid-era playbooks — from work-from-home policies to fuel-saving curbs and subsidies — as they scramble to respond to a deepening energy crisis triggered by the Iran war, Reuters reported. The region is at the frontline of the disruption, buying more than 80% of the crude that transits the Strait of Hormuz — a vital artery that has been largely blocked since the conflict began on February 28.

This isn’t a crisis that is going to happen in a few weeks or a few months. This is a crisis that is happening now. As I write this article, national governments in Asia “are preparing for worst-case energy scenarios”…Governments across Asia are preparing for worst-case energy scenarios that could include a prolonged and severe disruption to supplies, even as the U.S. draws up a plan to end the war in Iran.

South Korea shifted into crisis mode on Wednesday, setting up an emergency economic task force to urgently prepare for adverse scenarios. The Philippines declared a national emergency, citing an “imminent danger of a critically low energy supply.” Japan is reviewing its entire supply chain of petroleum-related products as the likelihood builds of shortages and knock-on effects across the economy, while India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi warned the war could cause unprecedented challenges for the nation.

During a couple of his recent speeches, Modi made some comments that have caused a great deal of concern in India…In his speeches in the Lok Sabha and Rajya Sabha on Monday and Tuesday about the West Asia conflict, Prime Minister Narendra Modi recalled how India faced the COVID-19 pandemic and the associated global supply chain disruptions. “In the past too, our government did not allow the burden of global crises to fall on the farmers,“ Modi said in his address in Lok Sabha on the West Asia crisis on Monday. On Tuesday, speaking in the Rajya Sabha, PM Modi almost repeated what he had said the day before in the Lok Sabha. Modi called upon the nation to “remain prepared and united, just as it had stood together during the COVID-19 pandemic.”

Following those speeches, Internet searches for “energy lockdown” absolutely skyrocketed. People in India really are concerned that we could see a repeat of the darkest days of the pandemic. Even now, the ceramics industry in the state of Gujurat has been “shut down for the best part of a month” due to a lack of fuel… In the western state of Gujurat, a shortage of gas rather than oil has seen the region’s ceramics industry shut down for the best part of a month. With no end in sight to the Iran conflict, the 400,000 people employed in the trade have been left in limbo. “I will have to go hungry if I continue staying here without work,” Sachin Parashar, a migrant worker, told a local news channel.

In the vast metropolis of Mumbai, approximately 20 percent of the hotels and restaurants have already been shuttered…In Mumbai – a city of more than 22 million people – as many as a fifth of all hotels and restaurants fully or partially shut in the first weeks of March. Items which take longer to cook are absent from menus. Long queues have formed across the nation as people try to get their hands on gas cylinders, even as the government tries to calm fears of a shortage. “The situation [in restaurants] is dire. Cooking gas simply isn’t available,” Manpreet Singh, of the National Restaurant Association of India, which represents about 500,000 restaurants, told the BBC.

This war hasn’t even been going on for a month yet. So what will things look like if this war continues for at least several more months?

In Sri Lanka, every Wednesday is now a “public holiday” in a desperate attempt to conserve fuel. In Pakistan, schools have been closed for two weeks and cricket fans are being urged to stay home… In Pakistan, authorities have asked cricket fans to stay home and watch matches on television instead of travelling, in an effort to save fuel. At the same time, the government is considering limits on how much fuel vehicles can use, according to sources familiar with the plan.

The situation is also worsening in Bangladesh, where long lines have formed at fuel stations, with some stretching up to a kilometre. Many fertilizer plants have been shut down to conserve energy, while the government is trying to secure about $2 billion in loans to meet rising power demand during the summer months.

Here in the United States, we should be very thankful that we are not as dependent on Middle Eastern oil as we once were. Because just about everyone in Asia is really hurting right now. Japan is tapping into their strategic reserves, and South Korea is strongly considering it…The two east Asian nations are being rocked by surging import costs, forcing factories to scale back and governments to tap emergency reserves. apan, which imports more than 90% of its oil from the region, has begun tapping strategic reserves. South Korea is weighing reserve releases and emergency support measures.

Just about all of the oil that is used by the Philippines comes from the Middle East, and they have already declared a national energy emergency…The Philippines just became the first country to declare a national energy emergency, warning of “an imminent danger of a critically low energy supply.” The island imports 98% of its oil from the gulf.

Needless to say, this is just the beginning. If the war does not end soon, Europe will start to run out of fuel next month… However, without a return of crude deliveries from the Gulf to global buyers via the crucial Hormuz channel, Europe could face shortages of fossil fuels within weeks, according to Wael Sawan. The Shell chief executive told an oil industry conference in Texas: “South Asia was first to get that brunt. That’s moved to south-east Asia, north-east Asia and then more so into Europe as we get into April.”

We have never seen anything like this. If this war stretches into the summer, there will be global panic. Already, panic buying has caused shortages at hundreds of gas stations in Australia…Hundreds of service stations across Australia have run out of fuel, with the federal government inking a deal with Singapore, one of the country’s biggest sources of refined petroleum, to keep supplies of diesel and petrol flowing.

Concerns are now broadening to supplies of fertilizer and other chemicals, heaping more pressure on the Albanese government’s leveraging of overseas exports of coal and gas in a bid to handle of the crisis. The energy minister, Chris Bowen, told federal parliament on Monday that 109 outlets in Victoria had run out of at least one grade of petrol, that there were 47 outlets in Queensland with no diesel and 32 without regular unleaded, and that 37 stations in New South Wales had run out of petrol.

I wish that I could tell you that the war will be over quickly and that conditions will return to normal very soon. But I can’t do that.

The CEO of BlackRock, Larry Fink, is telling us that he believes that if the price of oil reaches 150 dollars a barrel it will cause a global recession…BlackRock CEO Larry Fink is warning that a prolonged conflict between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran could drive the price of oil to $150 a barrel and plunge the world into a “stark and steep recession.” The remarks come as U.S. military operations against the Islamist regime enter their twenty-fifth day, and amid weeks of energy and financial market volatility.

“Rising energy prices is a very regressive tax. It affects the poor more than the wealthy,” Fink notes, while further cautioning that Iran could force “years above $100, closer to $150 oil, which has profound implications in the economy.” The $150-a-barrel benchmark, according to the BlackRock CEO, is an important line to avoid crossing, as doing so would result in “a probably stark and steep recession.”

I believe that he is wrong. I believe that if the price of oil reaches 150 dollars a barrel and stays there, it will cause a global depression. I wish that I was exaggerating, but I am not. We really have entered one of the most chaotic chapters in human history, and most of the population still has no idea what is in front of us."

"On The Meridian of Time..."

“On the meridian of time there is no injustice: there is only the poetry of motion creating the illusion of truth and drama. If at any moment anywhere one comes face to face with the absolute, that great sympathy which makes men like Gautama and Jesus seem divine freezes away; the monstrous thing is not that men have created roses out of this dung heap, but that, for some reason or other, they should want roses. For some reason or other man looks for the miracle, and to accomplish it he will wade through blood. He will debauch himself with ideas, he will reduce himself to a shadow if for only one second of his life he can close his eyes to the hideousness of reality. Everything is endured – disgrace, humiliation, poverty, war, crime, ennui – in the belief that overnight something will occur, a miracle, which will render life tolerable.”
- Henry Miller

"Great Was It's Fall"

"Great Was It's Fall"
by Edward Curtin

"When it comes, it comes on slowly
The day feels holy, a hush falls down
Whispered names, remembered faces
From desperate places, all gather ‘round"
Tom Paxton, “Come on, Holy”

"Early morning and the first heavy snow is falling. It is beautiful. I walk around the lake in the holy hush. Alone except for two newly arrived ducks swimming on an open patch of icing water. When I stop to watch them, the soft sound of the falling snow grows gradually louder, beating drums, like truly listening to Beethoven, not the lionized one, about whose honored status James Agee wrote “is the one surest sign of fatal misunderstanding, and is the kiss of Judas,” but the Beethoven whose music you won’t hear nicely but will hurt you and for which you should be glad.

Although I have come here to flee for an interlude the sound of the world’s anguish and to contemplate its beauty, I am deflected, as usual. How could I not be? Isn’t it true as the poet Rilke said, that “beauty is nothing / but the beginning of terror,” and we, with all our strange thoughts inside us, try to swallow the sobs that accompany all our joys.

My brother-in-law died unexpectedly a few days ago. I watch the ducks swim so placidly in circles and I wonder.

I realize that my thoughts are meaningless to most but me, a minor writer in a world of screamers, yet I record them here to learn what I may think and to share with a few other human souls the musings of a distraught man in a world made mad and running red like a butcher’s bench with the blood of the innocent shed by ruthless people. I am old but hope I am forever young with a strong foundation that will help me find some insights along this path. Who knows?

I have spent many decades lost in beauty and an intense scholar’s study of the propaganda the world’s rulers use to convince the gullible that their intentions are pure and their actions are carried out for the common good. Few have heeded my findings. Why should they?

While the rulers’ endless lies should be apparent, they are not, for too many people have built their own lives upon foundations made of sand, and though they are shaking, few believe they will fall. And to think the official doll’s house of fabricated reality within which they dwell and upon whose words they build their lives will also fall – that is deemed impossible.

William Saroyan, in his 1939 play “The Time of Your Life,” (winner of both the Pulitzer Prize for Drama and the New York Drama Critics Circle Award) has a minor character, the Arab, repeat, “No foundation. All the way down the line.” That is all he has to say. “No foundation. All the way down the line.” Concise and cutting to the bone. True then, but much, much truer now.

Then came World War II and the defeat of Germany, Japan, and their allies with the United States dropping atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki after fire-bombing Tokyo, Dresden, Cologne and dozens of other Japanese and German cities, intentionally killing vast numbers of civilians.

And if that wasn’t enough, the future CIA Director Allen Dulles, James Jesus Angleton, and colleagues brought nearly 2,000 Nazis scientists, engineers, biological weapons experts to the U.S. to work in government programs, while helping thousands more flee justice by helping them escape to South America and other places along the “rat lines.”

Thus the U.S. became the evil they denounced in others, and it could rightly be said Hitler triumphed in defeat. Upon this evil foundation, which is now crumbling, the U.S. empire was built despite its alleged Christian underpinnings.

There’s an old saying: "And everyone who hears these words of mine and does not do them will be like a foolish man who built his house on the sand. And the rain fell, and the floods came, and the winds blew and beat against that house, and it fell, and great was the fall of it. And when Jesus finished these sayings, the crowds were astonished at his teaching, for he was teaching them as one who had authority, and not as their scribes." Mathew 7:21-29

Being alone on my walk helps me focus on the elementary truth that we are all mortal and that beauty is terrifying since it evokes the anguish of its and our endings. And when we go, end, pass on, or die – take your pick – all the secret thoughts, hopes, memories, lives, and dreams we have had will vanish with us, if we have not, while living, found a way to tell the truths we harbor in our secret hearts. We will be but mysterious melodies others might hum without grasping our lyrics, as the Gershwin brothers referenced in their song “They Can’t Take that Away From Me.” Our melodies may linger on for a while once our songs have ended, as the songwriter says, but who we really were will vanish with us into the mists of time.

In quiet moments of timeless reflection, everyone knows we are complex creatures; just as they quickly don their masquerades when time resumes to face the faces that they face to deny such complexity.

When I left the ducks to their circle games, I continued on my way along the lake. The snow blew from the north into my face and made it hard to see. The lake and the neighboring woods disappeared and so did my thoughts as I constantly wiped my eyes of snow. But I felt a certain joy beyond telling.

As the snow and wind eased up, I saw up a hill through a cut in the woods a large doe with her three fawns grazing under some sheltering pine trees on posted property owned by a local college. A smart mother, I thought, since I knew shotgun deer hunting season was underway.

It was then that the hushed peace of the morning was broken by a few shotgun blasts from the western woods. Did the doe and her fawns, who in days past I would often meet and converse with at very close range along the road, take heed? Can such creatures learn to avoid men with guns? Why were the hunters on the prowl for deer to kill? Did they need the meat to eat, or did they just get their kicks from the killing and slicing and gutting of once living creatures who never did them any harm?

I wondered – and leave that wondering to you – as my mind turned to the genocide in Gaza and the murder of the innocent in so many other places by men with guns and weapons more amazing in their killing power, manufactured in spotless factories by people indifferent to how their bread is buttered. But I knew that the workers on the factory floors were no more guilty than those whose butter comes from investments in these ghoulish places. Yes, Thoreau knew: "Do not ask how your bread is buttered, it will make you sick if you do – and the like. A man had better starve at once than lose his innocence in the process of getting his bread. If within the sophisticate man there is not an unsophisticated one, then he is but one of the devil’s angels."

When I was about four years old, I went with my mother to the local butcher shop. When Sol the butcher came to wait on my mother, I noticed his white apron was covered in blood, so I asked him if he cut himself. He laughed and asked me if I would like a slice of liverwurst. Didn’t Hitler claim to be a vegetarian because of animal suffering?

The shotgun blasts increased on my way home. I stopped to gather some long-needle pine and wild red berry branches for our mantle since it was December and the birth of the Prince of Peace was approaching. My knife slipped and I cut my finger, the blood dripping onto the white snow matched the berries’ redness. It was startlingly beautiful, but the cut was painful as I stanched it with a few tissues.

When I got home and was bandaging my finger and my wife was decorating our mantle with my cuttings, I recalled an analysis of our current situation offered by the French demographer, Emmanuel Todd, “The Dislocation of the West.”

Todd is an all facts guy, an historian, a sociologist, a middle-of the roader, far from a romantic dreamer, an analyst of the extensive data that he gathers. Years back, based on data analysis, he correctly predicted the fall of the Soviet Union. Now he is predicting the fall of the West based on certain specific variables that he considers key. When I read his work and heard him talk, I concurred completely, for I had for years, based on my work in the sociology of religion, reached the same conclusion without all his data to back me up.

We in the West, he says, are living at a time when nihilism, meaninglessness, and zero religious belief is the norm. It has come on slowly over a century and a half to the point where nothing seems holy. We have passed from a Zombie religious state when traditional religious values, but not belief, survived somewhat, to a time when nihilism undergirds everything. A nihilistic foundation, meaning no foundation. Reality has been undermined and a zombie state of lostness prevails, and irrational pure evil state nihilism lives for endless war. Moral values have disappeared behind a façade of fake belief.

If Thoreau were around, he might ask people what they really believed about God, death, and moral values, and the stuttering responses would befit the times. But no one is asking. The song is over but only the melody lingers on, even as Bing Crosby sings “O Little Town of Bethlehem” on a cyber sale at Amazon.

Todd is a data man, a non-believer, a normal academic, and yet from his research he probably sounds to many as if he is unhinged. But he is just repeating what Jesus, Saroyan’s character, and the Protestant theologian Paul Tillich (in 1948) all said was happening with the shaking and undermining of the Western foundation. Hell would break loose. Nihilism would triumph.

And it did, of course, and will unless... I don’t know; Todd has no answer. "I think of all the blood in the woods, on the tracks, all the blood being shed everywhere, the killers licking their chops, the earth indifferently drinking all the blood, and the words of the French poet Jacques Prevert’s “Song in the Blood”:

"Where’s it going all this spilled blood?
Murder’s blood, war’s blood, misery’s blood,
And the blood of men tortured in prisons,
And the blood of children calmly tortured by their papa and their mama,
And the blood of men whose heads bleed in padded cells,
And the roofers blood when the roofer slips and falls from the roof,
And the blood that comes and flows in great gushes with the newborn,
The mother cries,
The baby cries,
The blood flows,
The earth turns,
The earth doesn’t stop turning,
The blood doesn’t stop flowing,
Where’s it going all this spilled blood?
Blood of the blackjacked,
Of the humiliated,
Of suicides,
Of firing squad victims,
Of the condemned,
And the blood of those that die just like that by accident."

But then my wife suggested that Todd and I may be wrong. When religious belief was strong in the West, weren’t nations and people slaughtering their enemies in the name of religion? Don’t many social scientists use data to argue points that lack counterpoints? Haven’t people long been fanatical killers in the name of religion and for their gods? When did morals or religious belief ever stop the shedding of blood? Such times are few and far between. Perhaps religious belief is not the explanatory variable that Todd thinks it is and seemed so to me when I first read his work and even concurred with it a few minutes ago.

Could not the key be that mysterious human attribute – love – that like despair cannot be measured, that finds in every other living creature a part of oneself, just the inkling in our hearts that everyone is us and should always be treated as an end and not a means, especially at a time when the spiritual has been subordinated to the technical, everything has become means, and the ends have disappeared.

It may sound laughable to suggest that Fyodor Dostoevsky explained it better than all the data gatherers in his story “The Dream of A Ridiculous Man”: "It is so simple: in one day, in one hour, everything would be settled at once. The one thing is – love thy neighbor as thyself – that is the one thing. That is all, nothing else is needed. You will instantly find how to live."

Or as Jesus said and other great religious leaders affirmed: "Though I speak with the tongues of men and of angels, and have not charity [love], I am become as sounding brass, or a tinkling cymbal." - Corinthians 13

Who can explain it? Who can tell you why? Not this fool. I can only wonder as I wander in the beautiful falling snow. Like Dostoevsky, “I will not, I cannot believe that evil is the normal condition of men. Yet all of them only laugh at my belief.” It’s understandable."

Freely download "The Dislocation of The West", by Emmanuel Todd, here: