Monday, December 23, 2024

"How Will You Cope With A Lower Standard Of Living?"

"How Will You Cope With A Lower Standard Of Living?"
by Milan Adams

"The forces are mounting that will eventually overwhelm most Americans and send their standard of living to unknown depths. Americans that have only known the post WWII prosperity are ill equipped and educated to deal with depression level living. Easy credit and instant gratification have created a nation of whining, self absorbed, entitlement minded people with no moral or mental toughness.

Doug Casey believes we are headed for what he calls a super depression created by the ending of a debt super cycle. The bigger the debt cycle the bigger the depression that follows. That’s how reality works and most people are not prepared for reality.

When this depression, which has already started, gets momentum, it will overwhelm the plans of a society that is expecting to get things like social security, pensions and payouts from retirement plans they have paid into for many years. All of those things will disappear almost overnight and leave society gasping and stupefied over what to do. Their reactions will be to yell and scream and try to identify who to blame but the only person they should blame is the one in the mirror.

Many very smart people have raised the alarm and done their best to warn the sleeping public, but those slumbering masses have ignored the warnings and hit the snooze button one more time. The masses do not understand economics, do not want to understand economics and they will pay dearly for that ignorance in the coming days.

When the real unemployment rate becomes common knowledge as it increases substantially, people will be left to survive on what resources they have saved up outside the banking system that cannot be stolen by the politicians and bankers. That is a key point here. The assets you have outside the system that cannot be stolen from you with a few key strokes on some computer.

Those hoping for some miraculous event that will send the U.S. back to the days of manufacturing might and jobs for all will never see it happen. Those days are gone. The west line theory tells us our economy will slow down and become more modest as the shipping center of the world moves west to the next powerhouse region which is Asia. This is what history teaches us.

When people suddenly wake up one morning and they have no job, their retirement is gone and they need to care for their family, what will they do? When government services have collapsed and they suddenly realize they are now living in a third world country with few government services, what will they do? When the banks are closed and only a select few connected people have any type of money or access to goods, what will they do?

This is the reality that many people will face in the future and they have no idea how bad it can get. They refuse to contemplate the harsh reality they will be living in and take steps to mitigate the effects. To do so would be to acknowledge it could happen and they are taking personal responsibility. Personal responsibility is a dirty phrase in today’s entitlement society. To see some of the effects one only has to look at the collapse of society in Venezuela today to see what awaits.

When it happens it will all fall back to you to take responsibility for your family and take care of them for the duration. To do that you need to plan now for that eventuality and build up the resources you will need to provide food, shelter, clothing and security when the system fails to do it for you. You need to be Noah on his ark not the people watching as he floated away.

Having resources stored up is a must but it may not get you all the way through if the situation lasts for many years. That is why you need some type of plan to replace those resources as time goes by and have some way to generate some type of income or at least items to trade. Usable goods are for the short term and things like gold ,silver and production equipment are for the long term to help you get through the crisis with the least amount of pain.

Even with proper planning the days ahead will not be easy as the standard of living of society will fall substantially to levels only seen in failed third world countries or old pictures. The assets actually owned by people today is very small compared to how they live. They will default on their home loan, their car loan, and their credit card debt leaving them with very few real possessions and few ways to move what they have left even if they have some place to go. Ultimately these people will become the new serfs to the wealthy class that will take possession of anything of value. Feudalism will once again rule.

The lack of planning by society will make this a reality if it is allowed. What will you do when everything you have worked a lifetime for is suddenly taken away? Do you have a plan to keep what you have? Do you have a plan to make money when you cannot find a job? Do you have a way to take care of your family until things stabilize? Do you have a home you will not lose if the whole system breaks down? What will you do if electricity or fuel is too expensive to buy or not available to the general population? These are the questions you should be asking yourself now and you better have a good answer because your family will be asking them when the greater depression sets in."

"How It Really Is"

"The principle of spending money to be paid by posterity, under
the name of funding, is but swindling futurity on a large scale."
– Thomas Jefferson, “Letter to John Taylor,” May 28, 1816
o
"Debt to the Penny"
"Total debt of the U.S. government reported daily. Contains information on intragovernmental holdings and debt held by the public. The Debt to the Penny dataset provides information about the total outstanding public debt and is reported each day. Debt to the Penny is made up of intragovernmental holdings and debt held by the public, including securities issued by the U.S. Treasury. Total public debt outstanding is composed of Treasury Bills, Notes, Bonds, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), Floating Rate Notes (FRNs), and Federal Financing Bank (FFB) securities, as well as Domestic Series, Foreign Series, State and Local Government Series (SLGS), U.S. Savings Securities, and Government Account Series (GAS) securities. Debt to the Penny is updated at 3:00 PM EST each business day with data from the previous business day."
An official website of the U.S. government.
Related:

"11 Signs That The Slow-Motion Collapse Of The U.S. Economy Is Far More Advanced Than Most People Think"

"11 Signs That The Slow-Motion Collapse Of The 
U.S. Economy Is Far More Advanced Than Most People Think"
by Michael Snyder

"The fact that economic conditions are getting worse is certainly not good news, but it is better to know in advance what is coming. After four years under Joe Biden, the U.S. economy is a giant mess. We have been witnessing a slow-motion collapse right in front of our eyes, and those at the bottom levels of the economic food chain have been experiencing more pain than anyone else. Of course this is one of the biggest reasons why Donald Trump won the election. Large numbers of poor and working class Americans are desperate for change. Unfortunately, economic conditions have continued to deteriorate since early November. The following are 11 signs that the slow-motion collapse of the U.S. economy is far more advanced than most people think…

#1 When the economy is in good shape, holiday spending increases each year. In 2024, only 16 percent of Americans say that they are going to spend more than last year and 35 percent of Americans say that they are going to spend less… Americans this holiday season say they are seeing a ghost of Christmas past: inflation.

The CNBC All-America Economic Survey finds inflation is still haunting the buying public, leading to what’s shaping up to be just an average season for retailers. Just 16% of respondents say they will spend more, down two points compared to last year. Forty-eight percent said that they’ll lay out the same amount for holiday gifts, up five points. At the same time, 35% say they’ll spend less, down two points as well.

#2 The number of job openings in the U.S. is now the lowest it has been since January 2021, but unlike January 2021 we don’t have a pandemic to blame our poor performance on… US job openings tumbled last month to their lowest level since January 2021, a sign that the labor market is losing some momentum. Still, posted vacancies remain well above pre-pandemic levels. The Labor Department reported Tuesday that the number of job openings dropped to 7.4 million in September from 7.9 million in August. Economists had expected the level of openings to be virtually unchanged. Job openings fell in particular at healthcare companies and at government agencies at the federal, state and local levels.

#3 The manufacturing numbers that we are getting are extremely dismal. For example, the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index just experienced an extremely sharp decline…The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index, a critical gauge of the general business conditions in Philadelphia, has reported a significant drop. The actual figure stands at -16.4, a sharp decline that suggests worsening conditions for manufacturers in the region.

This figure starkly contrasts with the forecasted number of 2.9, highlighting a more severe downturn than initially predicted. Analysts had anticipated a positive shift, indicating improving conditions, but the actual data presents a different, more concerning situation. Moreover, when compared to the previous index value of -5.5, the current reading of -16.4 further emphasizes the severity of the decline. This continuous drop indicates a concerning trend for manufacturers within the Philadelphia Federal Reserve district.

#4 Thanks to rapidly rising mortgage rates, the average U.S. homebuyer just lost $33,250 in purchasing power in just six weeks…Mortgage rates hit 7% on October 28, the highest level since the start of summer and up nearly one percentage point from the 18-month low they dropped to in mid-September. A homebuyer on a $3,000 monthly budget can afford a $442,500 home with a 7% mortgage rate, the daily average 30-year fixed rate on October 28. That buyer has lost $33,250 in purchasing power over the last six weeks; they could have purchased a $475,750 home with the 6.11% average rate on September 17. That was the lowest level since February 2023.

#5 Our cost of living crisis is officially out of control. According to Bank of America, almost a third of all households “spend more than 95% of their disposable income on necessities such as housing costs, groceries and utility bills”…Many Americans are still in a tough spot: Nearly 30% of all US households this year said they spend more than 95% of their disposable income on necessities such as housing costs, groceries and utility bills, according to a Bank of America Institute report, up from 2019 levels.

#6 A recent Lending Tree survey discovered that nearly a quarter of all households couldn’t pay their entire power bill at some point within the past year…LendingTree’s findings about electricity bill costs comes as it reported 23.4% of Americans experienced an inability to cover their entire energy bill or portions of it in the last year, based on Census Bureau Household Pulse Survey data.

#7 The same Lending Tree survey found that about a third of all households had to reduce spending “on necessary things” within the past year in order to pay utility costs…Needing to cover utility bills prompted 34.3% of Americans to curb their spending on necessary things – or eliminate some altogether – in at least one instance in the prior year, LendingTree said.

#8 As I discussed last week, demand is at record levels at food banks all over the nation…Why is demand at food banks all over the country higher than it has ever been before? The media keeps insisting that economic conditions are just fine, but it has become quite obvious to everyone that this is not true. In particular, the rising cost of living has been absolutely crushing households from coast to coast. In the old days, most of the people that would show up at food banks were unemployed. But now food banks are serving large numbers of people that actually do have jobs but that don’t make enough to pay for all of the basics. The ranks of the “working poor” are growing very rapidly, and this is creating an unprecedented crisis all over America.

#9 During normal times, troubled retailers would at least wait until after the holiday season to throw in the towel. But we haven’t even reached Christmas and Party City has already announced that it will be closing all stores…Party City is closing down all of its stores, ending nearly 40 years in business, CNN has learned. CEO Barry Litwin told corporate employees Friday in a meeting viewed by CNN that Party City is “winding down” operations immediately and that today will be their last day of employment. Staff were told they will not receive severance pay, and they were told their benefits would end as the company goes out of business.

#10 Not to be outdone, Big Lots has announced that all 936 of their remaining stores will be shutting down on a permanent basis…Big Lots is beginning ‘going out of business’ sales at all its stores across the US, as it prepares to close its remaining locations. The discount retail chain filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in September, and has already shut hundreds of stores nationwide. In a press release Thursday, the company said it would begin the sales at its 963 remaining locations, after a sale to a private equity firm fell through.

#11 As of the end of November, more than 7,000 store closings had been announced in the United States. That is a 69 percent increase from last year… According to a report from CoreSight Research, U.S. retailers had announced more than 7,100 store closures through the end of November 2024, which represents a 69% increase compared to the same time in 2023. These closures are spread across numerous different sectors of retail from auto parts to restaurants to pharmacies, leaving many consumers wondering which companies will survive. This brings us to GameStop, the beloved retail gaming store, which has not only been closing hundreds of retail store locations since 2020, but also appears to be on track to close hundreds more of its locations in the very near future.

This is what a failing economy looks like. Last week, a prominent mall in downtown San Francisco was empty of shoppers in the middle of the afternoon…Look at all of these beautiful Christmas decorations at the Crocker Galleria mall in San Francisco. It’s 4:47 PM and everybody should be shopping and buying Christmas presents for their family, but nobody is in this mall. There are only three stores left that are open here. The escalators hum on inside this beautiful but empty decorated mall. Outside on Market Street the fentanyl addicts lay folded over while a street performer sings Last Christmas to an empty Street.

Of course the lack of shoppers at that particular mall is just the tip of the iceberg. Unfortunately, the truth is that downtown areas all over California “are crumbling under the weight of homelessness and drug addiction”…California’s biggest downtown areas are crumbling under the weight of homelessness and drug addiction, causing a vital part of its economy to dry out. Cities like Los Angeles and San Francisco have made countless headlines since the pandemic about their drug-infested streets where businesses are quickly pulling out due to high crime rates and low consumer passage.

The number of drug addicts in America is at the highest level ever. The number of homeless people in America is at the highest level ever. They are victims of our slow-motion economic collapse, and the holidays will not be very happy for them. So if you still have food on the table and a warm home to sleep in, you should consider yourself to be incredibly blessed. Sadly, more Americans are being forced out into the streets with each passing day as the slow-motion collapse of our economy accelerates."

"Banks Are Getting Sued for Fraud - Your Money Isn't Safe!"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly, AM 12/23/24
"Banks Are Getting Sued for Fraud - 
Your Money Isn't Safe!"
"Banks sue over Zelle fraud! The shocking truth about this payment platform and the legal battle with banks. Is your money safe? Today we're diving into the wild world of Zelle fraud and the banks fighting back. Plus, I've got some insights on the housing market, bankruptcy trends, and even luxury brands trying to lure you in."
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Bill Bonner, "Big Money"

"Big Money"
We are watching a struggle between money and power.
 Money wants a freer economy... with the usual grift and corruption. 
Power wants what it always wants - more power.
by Bill Bonner

Baltimore, Maryland - "Forbes: "Biden forgives $4.28 billion in student debt for 54,900 borrowers." The relief is a result of fixes the U.S. Department of Education made to the once-troubled Public Service Loan Forgiveness program. Where did Joe Biden get the power to spend Americans’ money without asking Congress? Who knows?

But while the president was doing unconstitutional acts... the markets were making unconscionable moves. Fortune: "Fartcoin hits $1 billion market cap as memecoin market explodes."

And then, as expected... rather than force the feds to actually reduce spending, Republicans got together and agreed to spend even more. Tampa Free Press: "House Republican leaders have announced an internal agreement on a stopgap spending bill, also known as a continuing resolution (CR), to fund the government through March 2025, averting a looming shutdown set for Friday night. The proposed CR includes $110 billion in disaster relief for victims of Hurricanes Milton and Helene, along with a one-year extension of the farm bill, according to multiple reports."

What a lovely Christmas pageant it is! A grand parade of fools and knaves. A circus of freaks and clowns. Yes, here at Bonner Private Research we are enjoying the show. But we’re closing up shop for the holidays. Our readers have more important things to think about than politics, economics, or investments. But our goal is to prevent you from taking the Big Loss... and to that end, we bring some last-minute thoughts.

We believe we are watching a struggle between money and power... between Musk and Trump…between the Primary Political Trend of at least the last 50 years and (possibly) a new direction. Money wants a freer economy... with the usual grift and corruption. Power wants what it always wants - more power. The outcome is in doubt... but many investors are anticipating a huge ‘melt-up.’ They think they face a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity, a new era created by the new MAGA-istas. We hope it works out. But just in case ... here’s our contrary view…

Almost all commentators, on the left and the right, have it wrong. They think we are looking at a struggle between conservatives Trump/Musk/etc on one side and the establishment, wokish, war-mongering liberals on the other. If that were true, we could take our places in the bleachers, rooting for a victory for the conservative cause, hoping for lower deficits, lower inflation, lower interest rates - and a less expensive, less powerful government. Then, we might even expect a business revival. Manufacturing would return to the US... and thousands of rapists and murderers would leave. But that is not what is on offer.

The Republican elite, now including Donald Trump, have a very different agenda from Elon Musk. They spent a lot of time and a lot of money getting power. They’re not going to want to give it up. Instead, they’re going to use it in the same way elites always use government - to take money and power away from ‘The People’ and give it to themselves.

That has been the Primary Political Trend for at least 50 years. It will change at some point, but typically, not until some catastrophe comes along and the elites run out of other peoples’ money. And that suggests that at some point in the not-too-remote future, Messrs. Musk and Trump are headed for a showdown. Mr. Trump is now the most powerful man in the world. He wouldn’t want to see his face taken down from Rushmore... even before it gets there, or share power with a rich guy from South Africa.

Besides... he has his weight to throw around. Bloomberg: "President-elect Donald Trump warned the European Union that its exports will get hit with US tariffs if its member states don’t buy more American oil and gas.  “I told the European Union that they must make up their tremendous deficit with the United States by the large scale purchase of our oil and gas. Otherwise, it is TARIFFS all the way!!!,” he said on Truth Social".

Big Man politics require a Big Stick... which costs Big Money. It seems very unlikely that Trump would give up the pleasure of power for reasons he neither understands nor appreciates. Look for bigger deficits, not smaller ones. And lower asset prices, not higher ones. And if we’re wrong...Well, it won’t be the first time. Happy holidays."

Adventures With Danno, "Grocery Shopping At Target Right Before Christmas"

Full screen recommended.
Adventures With Danno, 12/23/24
"Grocery Shopping At Target Right Before Christmas"
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Jim Kunstler, "A Christmas Prayer"

"A Christmas Prayer"
by Jim Kunstler

"If it's time for you to go, leave willingly, as you would to
accomplish anything that can be done with grace and honor." 
- Marcus Aurelius

"The longest and coldest night of the year is upon us with its portents of endings, the death of things, of people like ourselves, and also bodies of thought, movements of culture and politics. And for all the cold and darkness, you feel the stirrings of things waiting to be born. Christmas is the lovely distraction for a brief spell, and after that, the difficult labor of the nation commences for-real in the long night of the year.

This moment in the cold and dark is also the climax of the Great Pretending. You knew it would come to this for “Joe Biden,” that he would be found-out. That in the waning days of his woebegone term in office, the people around him in the White House would betray him with the truth: that he was mentally unfit for the job from even before the get-go, from those drear days in the fall campaign of 2020 when he hid himself at home in Delaware while the FBI covered-up the massive bribery-and-treason story concealed in Hunter’s laptop. And that for four years since then those people around “Joe Biden” have pretended to the world that he was doing his job, that he was okay, when he was absolutely not okay, as they well knew.

It was only one big lie among the thousands of lies put over by the conspiracy between that gang in the White House and the perfidious organs of the news, especially The New York Times. If you want to see how stupendously dishonest the employees of that newspaper are, read this “roundtable” column of several Times pundits attempting to chew over the state of their patron, the Democratic party. Forgive me for quoting myself in the comment I posted there a half hour ago:

"You’re all quite remarkably clueless and dishonest. Your party is in ruins because your policies are intolerable and often insane: censorship, war, gender lunacy, flooding the country with illegal immigrants - no, not “undocumented” in your parlance, as if it was just some clerical error. And you: Democratic Party aligned journalists are even worse than the politicians, because you’re supposed to make an effort to determine the truth, and you deliberately gaslight the public instead. Shame on you and the Democratic Party. It’s that simple."

It’s hard to know for sure, but it looks an awful lot as though these journalists - in fact, the whole elite intelligentsia across America - are gaslighting themselves, still pretending that they didn’t know what went on, a coup against their own country. Everything they have been saying and publishing is the opposite of reality. And now it is about to all spill out because other people are about to take over the levers of power.

For instance: can the CDC and other agencies of public health continue to lie about disastrous Covid-19 vaccines, about the deaths and disabilities they have caused in millions of people? Under “Joe Biden,” there was no other way for the likes of Rochelle Walensky and Mandy Cohen except to lie. And get this: women were chosen to front for the CDC because you’re not supposed to believe that “Mommy” would lie to you, especially in matters of life and death. There was no other way because the crime was so great and they were all in it so deep - not just Rochelle and Mandy but the hundreds of high-ranking bureaucrats in CDC, FDA, and NIH who went along with all this.

Of course, it’s hard to know whether the Covid-19 affair was just a venal and insane project by Anthony Fauci and his colleagues to play “hero” while making a ton of money...or whether it was actually a deliberate effort by the Intel Blob to queer the 2020 election by forcing a change in the voting procedure that would allow for wholesale fraud, in the service of cancelling Donald Trump. Possibly, it was a mash-up of both.

The truth about all this, and a lot more, is going to come out, whether or not Bobby Kennedy, Kash Patel, and other nominees get confirmed in their jobs, because there are many other figures just as capable behind them who would be nominated and eventually confirmed to run these departments. Those New York Times journalists are gaslighting themselves further if they think that blocking a few nominations is going to save their reputations. This populist revolution is bigger than that. It’s about overturning a paradigm of lies.

We really don’t know if our country is too far gone. The wreckage accomplished under the fakery of “Joe Biden” is prodigious. The financial quandaries alone are enough to sink the Republic in penury, and it will be hard to dodge the truth about that, too, because individual citizens and households know when they are hurting. When they hurt enough, they move to action, visibly, loudly, and you will not miss it.

This ought to be a sobering Christmas then. This is the pause at the end of things when we might consider how important it is to tell ourselves the truth. Chew on that with the sugarplums of the season while we wait for that something that is busy being born."

"Honey Badgers"

Full screen recommended.
Oneindia News, 12/23/24
"Houthi Strikes Paralyze U.S. Defenses in Yemen; 
American F-18 Warplane Destroyed"
Comments here:
o
"Honey Badgers"
Full screen recommended.
"Scott Ritter has humorously described the Yemeni Houthis as "the honey badgers of the Middle East, absolutely fearless and relentlessly ferocious." They just simply don't care. They've declared war on Israel while all the other Muslim states just talk, and daily send missiles and drones to attack Israel and attack any ships connected to Israel in any way. They totally control the 12 mile wide Bab-el-Mandab ("Gate of Grief") strait connecting the Red Sea and the Arabian Sea, which transits 40% of the world's oil. Closing that is having catastrophic consequences on global economies, and the Houthis know it. And so it is...

Honey badgers are the Italian mafia of the animal kingdom. No one, and I mean no one, wants to mess with these savages. They literally wake up and choose violence daily. They are regarded as the most fearless animal in the wild and they back that up every day, all while looking like a ferret on steroids.

Honey badgers woke up and chose violence. They'll combat anything from lions, leopards, hyenas and even cobras and pythons. But how did they become so fearless? How do these compact sized danger-weasels take on the deadliest predators like it was a regular Sunday’s brunch with the girls? These are moments of honey badgers being straight up savages."
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o

Sunday, December 22, 2024

Canadian Prepper, "Alert! Nuclear Black Swan Event?"

Full screen recommended.
Canadian Prepper, 12/22/24
"Alert! Nuclear Black Swan Event?"
Comments here:

God help us...

"So, How Do You Beat The Odds..."

“So, how do you beat the odds when it’s one against a billion? You’re just outnumbered. You stand strong, keep pushing yourself against all rational limits, and never give up. But the truth of the matter is despite how hard you try and fight to stay in control, when it’s all said and done, sometimes you’re just outnumbered.”
- "Meredith", "Gray's Anatomy"

"WTF! Walmart Food Sprayed With Poison By TikTok Loser; More Proof Economy Is Falling Apart"

Jeremiah Babe, 12/22/24
"WTF! Walmart Food Sprayed With Poison By TikTok Loser; 
More Proof Economy Is Falling Apart"
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"MUST VIEW: A Staged Crisis is Set - Party Closes 850 Stores and Fires 16,500 Employees Same Day! Many Others!"

Full screen recommended.
ThisisJohnWilliams, 12/22/24
"A Staged Crisis is Set: Party Closes 850 Stores and Fires
 16,500 Employees Same Day! Many Others!"
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"Kroger Is About To Break Financially As Multiple Stores Go Out Of Business"

Full screen recommended.
Epic Economist, 12/22/24
"Kroger Is About To Break Financially 
As Multiple Stores Go Out Of Business"

“What happened to my local Kroger?” That's a question millions of Americans have been asking in 2024. Thousands of grocery stores are disappearing all over the country, and people deserve to know what is truly going on. Kroger customers, in particular, are seeing store closures happening more frequently than in the past. After decades in business, the company has been closing up shop and leaving hundreds of U.S. communities. From the third quarter of 2023 to the third quarter of 2024, more than 600 locations were shut down by the company, and hundreds of others ceased operations over the past couple of months across Washington state, Oregon, Texas, and Colorado. The closings were a necessary step, according to the grocer."
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Christmas Music, "Wishing You a Warm and Peaceful Christmas"

Full screen recommended.
"Wishing You a Warm and Peaceful Christmas"
"Join us in celebrating the joy of Christmas with our extensive collection of beautifully sung Christmas carols and songs. Our top-notch choir brings each carol to life, perfect for singing along at performances, concerts, church, or right at home.

Christmas is a time for love, for sharing joy and warmth with those around us. I wish you a peaceful Christmas, overflowing with love. May you always have wonderful moments with your family, friends, and loved ones. Thank you for always being there for me. Merry Christmas and wishing you a prosperous and happy New Year!"
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Absolutely, incredibly beautiful!

"Traditional Christmas Classics🎄 Nat King Cole, Frank Sinatra, Dean Martin, Bing Crosby"

Full screen recommended.
"Traditional Christmas Classics🎄 
Nat King Cole, Frank Sinatra, Dean Martin, Bing Crosby"

"A Look to the Heavens"

“The Cat's Eye Nebula (NGC 6543) is one of the best known planetary nebulae in the sky. Its more familiar outlines are seen in the brighter central region of the nebula in this impressive wide-angle view. But the composite image combines many short and long exposures to also reveal an extremely faint outer halo. At an estimated distance of 3,000 light-years, the faint outer halo is over 5 light-years across.
Planetary nebulae have long been appreciated as a final phase in the life of a sun-like star. More recently, some planetary nebulae are found to have halos like this one, likely formed of material shrugged off during earlier episodes in the star's evolution. While the planetary nebula phase is thought to last for around 10,000 years, astronomers estimate the age of the outer filamentary portions of this halo to be 50,000 to 90,000 years. Visible on the left, some 50 million light-years beyond the watchful planetary nebula, lies spiral galaxy NGC 6552.”

Chet Raymo, “Trying To Be Good”

 
“Trying To Be Good”
by Chet Raymo

“A few lines from Mary Oliver's poem "Wild Geese":
    "You do not have to be good.
    You do not have to walk on your knees
    for a hundred miles through the desert, repenting.
    You only have to let the soft animal of your body
    love what it loves."

"I've quoted these lines before, if not here, then elsewhere. When I first read them back in the late 80s, they resonated with what I felt at the time. I had spent part of my earliest adulthood walking on my knees, both literally and metaphorically, seeking to tame what I took to be the animal within. Saint Augustine was whispering in my ear, and Bernanos' gloomy country priest walked at my side. I was ready to follow Thomas Merton into the desert; indeed, I once took myself briefly to the monastery at Gethsemane, Kentucky, where Merton was in residence. That was a journey of more than a hundred miles, and I was busy repenting, although of what I don't know.

As I read those lines from Mary Oliver in middle age, I had long been cultivating the "soft animal" within, immersing myself in the is-ness of things, the flesh and blood, the gorgeously sensual. No more walking on my knees, repenting. I walked proudly upright, with my sketchbook and my watercolors, my binoculars and my magnifier, sniffing the world like an animal on the prowl. I was letting my body learn to "love what it loves." Those were the years I wrote "The Soul of the Night" and "Honey From Stone" - the most intensely creative years of my life. The world offered itself to my imagination, if I may borrow another line from "Wild Geese."

And now, another half-lifetime has passed. The soft animal dozes, the body seeks repose. And I think of the first line quoted above: "You do not have to be good." What could the poet have possibly meant by that? Of course one has to be good. In a cell at Gethsemane or on the bridge over Queset Brook, one has to be good. And so one tries, one tries. The soft animal of the body that nature has contrived for us is not fine-tuned for goodness.”
“Wild Geese”
by  Mary Oliver

"You do not have to be good.
You do not have to walk on your knees
for a hundred miles through the desert repenting.
You only have to let the soft animal of your body
love what it loves.
Tell me about despair, yours, and I will tell you mine.
Meanwhile the world goes on.
Meanwhile the sun and the clear pebbles of the rain
are moving across the landscapes,
over the prairies and the deep trees,
the mountains and the rivers.
Meanwhile the wild geese, high in the clean blue air,
are heading home again.
Whoever you are, no matter how lonely,
the world offers itself to your imagination,
calls to you like the wild geese, harsh and exciting
over and over announcing your place
in the family of things."

"I Am That..."

 

The Daily "Near You?"

Silver City, New Mexico, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

"Assuumptions..."

 

"National Self-Perception"

"National Self-Perception"
 by Jeff Thomas

“This above all: to thine own self be true.” Bill Shakespeare had a talent for phrasing basic truths well, and this quote is no exception. (Even if you lie to others, don’t lie to yourself, or you’re in real trouble.) Much has been said about the American self-image, going back to its inception as an upstart nation that imagined it could succeed as a republic, as Athens had failed to do. And, indeed, the US encountered the same basic problem as Athens: having once created a republic – a nation in which the rights of the individual are foremost. Maintaining that condition is not only a constant battle, but extremely unlikely over time.

As a form of governance, a republic serves its people well; however, since it doesn’t provide its leaders with much in the way of aggrandizement or profit, its leaders are likely to do all they can to degrade the republic into a democracy. Once having accomplished that, they’re likely to do all they can to degrade it to tyranny. As Thomas Jefferson said, “History hath shewn that, even under the best forms, those entrusted with power have, in time and by slow operations, perverted it into tyranny.” He anticipated that, given enough time, the nascent United States would devolve into a tyrannical oligarchy. It has now had that time and has become a tyrannical oligarchy.

It must be said that the US still displays the accoutrements of a proud republic, but, at this point, it’s for show only. The inner workings of the US are not that of a republic, nor even a democracy. The US is quasi-capitalist/quasi socialist amalgam that’s run by a corporatist oligarchy. Whilst it still has an elected president and congress, those individuals are, at this point, cardboard cutouts who are only allowed to pursue their personal pet projects if they fit in with the unelected Deep State that’s truly in charge.

It’s important to mention that the challenge to the republic began in George Washington’s first cabinet, through regular squabbling between the three cabinet members. But, although the deterioration continued for another hundred years, the US did not abandon its principle to stay out of world affairs for its first hundred years. That occurred by 1900, under the voracious nationalist appetite of one Teddy Roosevelt. The US government began its foray into empire and never looked back.

Through two world wars, the US wisely held back as European nations beat each other to pieces. Instead, they supplied the combatants with armaments and charged them in gold. In each war, by the time the US jumped in to win the day, their troops were fresh, their armaments were substantial and much of the wealth of Europe had been transferred to them, assuring that they’d prevail at the end of the war. Consequently, they ended the war the richest nation on earth, whilst the other nations lay in ruins, both physically and economically.

And so began the next era, one in which Americans saw themselves as the “winners” of the wars, as well as the king of the mountain. By 1958, Eugene Burdick and William Lederer had written their novel, “the Ugly American,” which accurately presented American diplomats as presumptuous and arrogant. Although Messrs. Burdick and Lederer were both American, they were highly objective, and made the effort to see the US and its government as outsiders saw them.

Since that time, the US government has, if anything, expanded upon its presumption and arrogance, declaring in no uncertain terms that it regards itself as the world’s policeman and will enforce its power wherever it sees fit, globally. In recent decades, it’s demonstrated that conviction, by invading numerous far-flung nations, often for flimsy reasons and, indeed, sometimes for reasons that later proved erroneous. Tellingly, even when the US has been caught destroying a country for a trumped up reason, the US offered no apology, but continued its aggression.

Americans themselves appear to be of mixed opinion on this behavior. Some Americans recognize the presumptuous and arrogant manner of their leaders and decry such behavior and even fear where it may ultimately lead the US. Yet, others parrot their government’s position that a bit of milk may need to be spilt if the US is to “make the world safe for democracy.” (They often proudly take this stance, even though invading a country halfway round the world, destroying its cities, killing its people and destroying its economy, only to install a puppet government, can hardly be called democracy.)

But, how does the world outside the US see the US? Well, many assume all Americans resemble their leaders – dangerous sociopaths, who represent a threat to the rest of the world. Others are more objective and recognize that the American people and the American leadership are not one and the same. This latter group tend to have greater sympathy for Americans themselves, whilst remaining guarded about their leaders.

However, generally speaking, the world at large observes US national behavior and sees the US as a whole as a potential (if not current) threat. Americans who might nod their heads at this statement are likely to think in terms of the Middle Eastern and Asian countries and they would be correct. However, it goes further than this.

As the “world’s policeman,” the US government frequently decides to punish nations that fail to kowtow to it by applying economic sanctions. The US then advises its allies that they will be expected to do the same. It is at this point that those who had thought themselves allies of the US say, “Hang on, it may not cost you anything to apply these sanctions, but it costs us a great deal.”

As Thomas Jefferson said, “History hath shewn that, even under the best forms, those entrusted with power have, in time and by slow operations, perverted it into tyranny.” As an example, when the US applied sanctions to Russia, then required those sanctions to be supported by countries in the EU, Europe said, “But we get most of our gas from Russia. If we support US sanctions, they may understandably cut off our gas. Unless the US can replace that gas, our people will freeze this winter.” 

However, as the world’s policemen, the reaction by the US has been less than concerned and the US has remained insistent, causing Europeans to meet with Russia to explain that they want no part of the sanctions. Further, the US government is becoming increasingly pointed in its threats of warfare to those perceived adversaries that they’ve not yet invaded – a development that’s increased the nail-biting by both the governments and peoples of US allies.

So, what are we to make of all this? Well, such developments are nothing new historically. Throughout the ages, whenever an empire has become like the pawn in the photo above and has come to see itself as a king, arrogance and presumption have tended to have become the rule. As tensions build, old allies attempt to hold their positions, but, when the volcano eventually does blow, they tend to head for the hills. It’s for this reason that, if and when an empire makes the fatal mistake of seeing itself as omnipotent, it learns (the hard way) that, first, it’s not as strong as it presumes and, second, that its allies were not prepared to be sacrificed for the sake of the self-proclaimed king.

It’s for this reason that, as Doug Casey has said, “Countries fall from grace with amazing speed.” This can also be said for empires, and the US presently displays all the behavior of an empire that’s teetering on the brink of its own fall from grace."

The Poet: William Butler Yeats, "The Second Coming"

"The Second Coming"

"Turning and turning in the widening gyre
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the center cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,
The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere
The ceremony of innocence is drowned;
The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity.
Surely some revelation is at hand;
Surely the Second Coming is at hand.
The Second Coming! Hardly are those words out
When a vast image out of Spiritus Mundi
Troubles my sight: somewhere in sands of the desert
A shape with lion body and the head of a man,
A gaze blank and pitiless as the sun,
Is moving its slow thighs, while all about it
Reel shadows of the indignant desert birds.
The darkness drops again; but now I know
That twenty centuries of stony sleep
Were vexed to nightmare by a rocking cradle,
And what rough beast, its hour come round at last,
Slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?"

- William Butler Yeats, January 1919

"Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world," indeed...

"How It Really Is"

 

"Alas, regardless of their doom, the little victims play!
No sense have they of ills to come, nor care beyond today.”
- Thomas Gray,
“Ode on a Distant Prospect of Eton College”
https://www.poetryfoundation.org/

And everywhere you look faces buried in the phone...

"The Season for Living"

"The Season for Living"
by Sinéad Murphy

"In October 2020, Bob Moran published a cartoon privately on social media. Bob was still employed by The Telegraph newspaper, though he would soon be sacked from this position. Bob’s cartoon was of an old man and woman on a hill, overlooking rolling fields and a nestled homestead. It was titled ‘Never surrender your right to be with the people you love.’ The following year, Bob published a variation on his cartoon. This time, the fields are covered in snow and the man and woman stand closer to one another. The title was still ‘Never surrender your right to be with the people you love.’

Bob’s reputation for righteous resistance to Covid restrictions grew on the back of a #bobmorangetsit hashtag. And so Bob Moran did get it – the fulsome outlines of his first freelance cartoon cut through the amassing complexities of Covid messaging with a statement of searing simplicity: there are people and places that are of you and for you, always.

Pictures do not speak a thousand words. Their force derives from their not speaking any words at all. Words anaesthetize. We take them or leave them. We are not touched by them, or only rarely. And they betray us. Bob’s picture of the man and woman on a hill is denounced by the words beneath it. This old couple are not defending their right to be with one another. They simply are with one another – standing their ground because they are rooted there.

When we defend our right to a fundamental good, we diminish it. We admit as possible what ought to be impossible and thereby concede an essential point. Once being with those you love is made a right of life, it ceases to be a way of life. What had been organic becomes engineered; what had been unwitting becomes knowing. An overlay of cynicism obscures the innocence.

This cynicism dissolves horizons of possibility by relativizing what lies within them, creating scarcity where there had been plenty. Being with the people you love acquires a new limit even if your energies are spent in resisting that limit. Cynicism talks about that for which there had been no words. No matter what side it talks for, it fills what had been silence with words that are shared by all sides of the debate and that are therefore as likely as not to turn on those who use them.

‘Plastic words,’ Uve Pörksen called them, which dispel the unspokenness of what is shared among people – what goes without saying – with talk that is no less destructive of communities for its having the atmosphere of considered objectivity.

‘Rights’ is now such a plastic word, ready for cooption by any perspective on any issue, conferring solemnity on the most trivial arguments and equivocality on the most vital, outing the inconspicuous fundaments of ways of life so as to render explicit what can only be implicit.
The man and woman in Bob’s cartoon have no words for being with one another in their world because being with one another in their world is not up for discussion.

Bob depicts this with a directness that no words could achieve – by the unerring modesty of his lines, by the few elements of his composition, and by the unelaborated affinity between the curves of the woman’s back and the undulation of hills below and between the wisps of the man’s hair and the scatter of clouds above.

This man and woman fit with one another in their world as pieces in a human jigsaw. There is no other place and no other way for them. They are enchanting because they are enchanted. The words beneath them break the spell as words are wont to do. We may agree with them, we may repeat them; but thereafter is only disenchantment.

You can always tell this disenchantment, however righteous may be the cause it would support. It is dogged by fear and fervor – two emotions that will abound this Christmas, now sadly a festival of disenchantment. The fear stems from our latent sense that we have already given ground, that we have cut ties with the great counterforce of impossibility that sustains the man and woman in Bob’s cartoon, and the men and women in all ways of life. That we are not really with the people we love. That we must protest what can only be lived.

A low-hanging, mostly object-less anxiety overshadows our nervous talk, about next year when things will be as they should be or about this year when things will have been as they should be.

Meanwhile, we are prone to peaks of fervor, awash with relief at every half-instance of seeming-being with the people we love, heralding fleeting simulations of belonging as if we have just been saved. We laugh with our mouths wide open. And talk too loudly when it is our turn to shine. And slump to inertia when the limelight moves on. As we lurch between vexation at what is not and euphoria at what is for a moment, we are pursued and in pursuit. Until the feast of fear and fervor is done with for another year.

The couple in Bob’s cartoon do not feel fear or fervor. Their Christmas will be right. Because their Christmas will be. Perhaps we look down upon them, even as we are charmed. Their assurance lacks the sophistication of our ambivalence, for which only words suffice. Ah bless, we say, as we turn from their scene of consolation to resume our battle in the real world.

Yet, in Bob’s picture of the old man and woman is represented the most realistic of all battle plans: lived resistance. We may say what we like, but if we do not buy our food from farm shops, and pay people with cash, and throw out our ‘smart’ devices, and teach our own children to be good and true, we will have lost our way – our way to eat, our way to trade, our way to interact, our way to hope.

And when we have lost our way, we will have only words – the plastic pillar words of ‘health,’ ‘value,’ ‘contact,’ ‘future’ – which we may bandy about to our heart’s content and little effect. It does not matter much what words we use. The furore about online censorhip and hate speech, the proliferation of pronouns and invented designators: all of that is mostly distraction, or temptation to use more words. The more words we use, the fewer ways we live. And living is the thing.

A muted thing, admittedly – standing determinedly at the unmanned checkout, waiting for a man to man it, is an obscure kind of fight. Hardly like the barricades at all. But how much the cosier! There is snugness in a small space that keeps cold and dark outside. So long, of course, as it can keep cold and dark outside.

Bob’s second version of his cartoon expresses this so well. The winds are biting now. The hills, laden with snow. But the distant farmhouse is all the more inviting, all the more a haven for its being a fortress against inclemency. And the old man and woman fit together all the tighter.

A merry chat at the human checkout is the merrier for its being surrounded by the leadenness of robotic exchanges. The human spirit appears to greatest advantage in an environment otherwise bereft. And if a merry chat cannot be amplified on the platforms that broadcast our plastic words, all the better! Those platforms are company platforms; we use them by others’ leave. When we live we make our own platform, chatting happily, smiling pleasurably, all the while drawing in those who stare with yearning. Humanity grows more tantalizing as inhumanity lays siege.

There is a happiness that only comes from keeping menace at bay. It is what has made Christmas so joyous – a festival of warmth and light reclaimed from the frost and the night. A hearth of all things human, with wind and rain out of doors. A good template, then. Truly the season for living. And for giving. Bob Moran has published his first book of cartoons, "Bob: 2020-2024." A fine restorative this Christmas for anyone keeping Empire at bay."

"Russian Typical Brand New Apartment: Could You Live Here?"

Full screen recommended.
Travelling with Russell, 12/22/24
"Russian Typical Brand New Apartment: 
Could You Live Here?"
"What does a Russian typical brand new apartment look like in Moscow, Russia? Join me on a tour of a Russian studio apartment only 5 km from Red Square. What does a Russian typical apartment look like, and could you live there?"
Comments here:
o
Full screen recommended.
Scottish Guy in Moscow, 7/24
"Top 5 Futuristic Moscow Metro Stations, Shocking!"
Comments here:

"New Bill Social Security $1976 INCREASES to $3559 - Do You Qualify?"

"New Bill Social Security $1976 INCREASES to $3559 - 
Do You Qualify?"
by Dr. Ed Weir, PhD, Former Social Security Manager
New Social Security Bill just passed. Social Security Fairness Act or HR82 and
 some people may qualify for extra benefits and extra money. Find out if you qualify.
Comments here:

Dan, I Allegedly, "Free Cars for Sale - $0 Down $0 Payment"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly, 12/22/24
"Free Cars for Sale - $0 Down $0 Payment"
"Free Car Alert: Auto industry's desperate move exposed! Fiat 500e for $0 down, $0/month - is this the death of car sales? Shocking details on emissions scandals, EV incentives, and why dealerships are giving away cars. Plus: Ultra Air Heater sponsor - stay warm for less! Discover why Fiat is practically handing out cars and what it means for you. Learn about the hidden fees, mileage restrictions, and if this deal is too good to be true. Is this the beginning of the end for traditional auto sales? Don't miss out on insider info about living wages, Sears' downfall, and Tesla's massive recall. Get the scoop on gas station mishaps that could destroy your car!"
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"Moscow's Magical Christmas Lights: A Winter Wonderland Experience!"

Full screen recommended.
Another View, 12/14/24
"Moscow's Magical Christmas Lights: 
A Winter Wonderland Experience!"
Comments here:
o
Full screen recommended.
Easy Walking Tour, 12/18/24
"Moscow Street Atmosphere! Walking Tour"
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Incredible seeing what a sane, civilized society can achieve.
Not that we'd know anything about that...

Saturday, December 21, 2024

"Pink Slips Flood Workforce; Party Is Over For Party City; Big Lots Closing All Stores"

Jeremiah Babe, 12/21/24
"Pink Slips Flood Workforce; Party Is Over For Party City; 
Big Lots Closing All Stores"
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