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Friday, March 27, 2026

"People Can Sense What's Coming Will Be Worse Than A Financial Crisis"

Full screen recommended.
Epic Economist, 3/27/26
"People Can Sense What's Coming 
Will Be Worse Than A Financial Crisis"

Something is shifting beneath the surface of the American economy, and more people are starting to feel it even if they can't quite put it into words. In this video, we're walking through some of the most telling signs that a major financial disruption may be closer than most people think, and why this one could look very different from anything we've seen before.

Michael Burry, the investor who famously predicted the 2008 crash, is raising the alarm again. His concern this time centers on the structural vulnerability of passive investing, the reversal of baby boomer capital flows, and the collapse of corporate buybacks that have been quietly propping up stock valuations for years. When someone with that track record starts talking about crashes becoming more violent and longer in duration, it's worth paying attention.

But the warning signs don't stop with the stock market. The U.S. Treasury has now acknowledged that the federal government holds roughly $6 trillion in assets against nearly $48 trillion in liabilities, and that figure doesn't even account for the long-term obligations tied to Medicare and Social Security. At the same time, over 111 million Americans are carrying credit card balances every month, with more than 27 million only able to afford minimum payments. Personal and commercial bankruptcies are climbing, and many households are already choosing between paying bills and buying groceries.

What makes this moment particularly fragile is how interconnected all of these pressures are. As the 2008 crisis showed us, it doesn't take a total collapse to trigger a chain reaction. It just takes enough stress in the right places. And right now, the stress is spreading across multiple fronts simultaneously, from a weakening job market and rising entry-level unemployment to an oil crisis that is driving up the cost of nearly everything Americans buy on a daily basis.

The situation in global energy markets is adding another layer of complexity that the economy is poorly positioned to absorb. With oil above $110 a barrel and diesel crossing five dollars a gallon, the stagflation pressure on households and the Federal Reserve is intensifying in ways that leave very little room to maneuver. Higher energy costs mean higher prices across the entire supply chain, and a Fed that cannot cut rates without risking more inflation is a Fed with its hands tied.

Perhaps most concerning is what is happening in the banking sector away from the headlines. Hundreds of banks are reporting unrealized losses that exceed half their total capital. Shadow banking funds are locking redemption gates, trapping investor money inside. The Federal Reserve has been injecting billions into the system through overnight repos at a scale not seen since the early days of COVID. These are not the kinds of signals that show up in a healthy system.

If any of this resonates with you, drop a comment below and share your perspective. And if you want to keep following along as we track where all of this is heading, make sure you subscribe so you don't miss what's coming next."
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