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Wednesday, January 15, 2025

"How Is One..."

“How is one to live a moral and compassionate existence when one is fully aware of the blood, the horror inherent in life, when one finds darkness not only in one’s culture but within oneself? If there is a stage at which an individual life becomes truly adult, it must be when one grasps the irony in its unfolding and accepts responsibility for a life lived in the midst of such paradox. One must live in the middle of contradiction, because if all contradiction were eliminated at once life would collapse. There are simply no answers to some of the great pressing questions. You continue to live them out, making your life a worthy expression of leaning into the light.”
- Barry Lopez

The Poet: Dylan Thomas, "Do Not Go Gentle Into That Good Night"

"Do Not Go Gentle Into That Good Night"

"Do not go gentle into that good night,
Old age should burn and rave at close of day;
Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

Though wise men at their end know dark is right,
Because their words had forked no lightning they
Do not go gentle into that good night.

Good men, the last wave by, crying how bright
Their frail deeds might have danced in a green bay,
Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

Wild men who caught and sang the sun in flight,
And learn, too late, they grieved it on its way,
Do not go gentle into that good night.

Grave men, near death, who see with blinding sight
Blind eyes could blaze like meteors and be gay,
Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

And you, my father, there on the sad height,
Curse, bless, me now with your fierce tears, I pray.
Do not go gentle into that good night.
Rage, rage against the dying of the light."

- Dylan Thomas
The Marmalade, "Reflections Of My Life"
"The world is a bad place, a bad place, a terrible place to live,
oh, but I don't want to die..."

The Daily "Near You?"

Pearland, Texas, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

"When I See..."

"When I see the blind and wretched state of men, when I survey the whole universe in its deadness, and man left to himself with no light, as though lost in this corner of the universe without knowing who put him there, what he has to do, or what will become of him when he dies, incapable of knowing anything, I am moved to terror, like a man transported in his sleep to some terrifying desert island, who wakes up quite lost, with no means of escape. Then I marvel that so wretched a state does not drive people to despair." 
- Blaise Pascal

Ahh, but it does...
“When the pain of leaving behind what we know outweighs the pain of embracing it, or when the power we face is overwhelming and neither flight nor fight will save us, there may be salvation in sitting still. And if salvation is impossible, then at least before perishing we may gain a clearer vision of where we are. By sitting still I do not mean the paralysis of dread, like that of a rabbit frozen beneath the dive of a hawk. I mean something like reverence, a respectful waiting, a deep attentiveness to forces much greater than our own.”
- Scott Russell Sanders

"None Of You Seem To Understand..."

“A person who has not been completely alienated, who has remained sensitive and able to feel, who has not lost the sense of dignity, who is not yet ‘for sale’, who can still suffer over the suffering of others, who has not acquired fully the having mode of existence – briefly, a person who has remained a person and not become a thing – cannot help feeling lonely, powerless, isolated in present-day society. He cannot help doubting himself and his own convictions, if not his sanity.” - Erich Fromm

"I often question my sanity. Occasionally, it replies."
 - Darynda Jones

“Are You Sane?”

“Are You Sane?”
by Charles Hugh Smith

“A sane person to an insane society must appear insane.”
- Kurt Vonnegut, “Welcome to the Monkey House”

“Madness has engulfed the entire world, with a concentration of power in the hands of a few psychopathic financial elite wielding an inordinate and dangerous expanse of power over the lives of the common man. They are a modern day version of Al Capone, except their weapons of choice aren’t machine guns, but a printing press, peddling debt, creating derivatives of mass destruction, and peddling heaping doses of disinformation. The contemporary criminal class wears Hermes suits, Rolex watches and diamond studded pinky rings, drops $500 to dine at Masa in NYC, travels by chauffeured limo, lives in $10 million NYC penthouse suites, occupies luxurious corner offices in hundred story glass towers, and spends weekends hobnobbing with the other financial elite at their villas in the Hamptons. They have nothing but utter contempt for the lowly peasants who depend upon a weekly paycheck to make ends meet. Why work when you can steal $1 or $2 billion from farmers with no consequences?

The willfully ignorant masses are kept at bay by the selling them a false dichotomy of Republicans versus Democrats, conservatives versus liberals, and capitalism versus socialism. The ruling class distracts the public with fake wars on poverty, drugs and terror, while using these storylines to further enrich themselves and keep the public alarmed and frightened. We’ve been “fighting” the wars on poverty and drugs for over four decades and poverty is at record levels, while drugs are easier to obtain than candy in a candy store. The war on terror is nothing more than a corporate arms dealer welfare plan. The end of the Cold War put a real crimp in the bottom lines of Lockheed Martin and the rest of the peddlers of death. 9/11 and the subsequent undeclared wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya and Syria, with Iran on the horizon, have been a godsend to the bottom lines of the corporations Eisenhower warned about in 1961.

In reality, the politicians are interchangeable and bought off by corporate and special interests. The people are sold a fable, and controlled opposition is the fairy tale. They perpetuate the welfare/warfare state that enriches Wall Street, the military industrial complex, the healthcare service complex, politically connected mega-corporations and the corporate media propaganda complex. The American people are given the illusion of choice by their keepers. The system is rigged. The real decisions are made by unelected secretive men who operate in the shadows and use their wealth to direct the decision making of the politicians, government bureaucrats, and corporate entities that benefit from those decisions. Edward Bernays described a society that existed in the 19th Century, 20th Century, and has now grown to immense proportions in the 21st Century:

“Political campaigns today are all sideshows. A presidential candidate may be ‘drafted’ in response to ‘overwhelming popular demand,’ but it is well known that his name may be decided upon by half a dozen men sitting around a table in a hotel room. The conscious manipulation of the masses is an important element in democratic society. Those who manipulate this unseen mechanism of society constitute an invisible government which is the true ruling power of our country.” 
– Edward Bernays

The manipulation of the masses has been perfected by the ruling class through decades of corporate mass media messaging the purposeful dumbing down of the populace through government public school education that teaches children how to feel rather than how to think. The conscious manipulation of the masses has been designed to produce obedient non-thinking consumers of corporate products, educated to believe the accumulation of material goods with debt constitutes wealth, to fear whatever the government tells them to fear, and never look up from their iGadgets long enough to actually think for themselves. We are bombarded with Orwellian memes designed to keep us sedated and pliant, as the ruling class pillages the national wealth and expands their power and control over our lives.

Conform; Stay Asleep; Do Not Question Authority; Obey; Consume; Reproduce; Submit; Watch TV; Buy; Follow; Doubt Humanity; No New Ideas; Feel, Don’t Think; Fear; Accumulate; Honor Apathy; Believe Experts; Surrender; Spend; No Independent Thought; Win; Want More; Hate; Succumb To Desire; Yield To Power; Choose Safety Over Liberty; Choose Security Over Freedom

This insane world was created through decades of bad decisions, believing in false prophets, choosing current consumption over sustainable long-term savings based growth, electing corruptible men who promised voters entitlements that were mathematically impossible to deliver, the disintegration of a sense of civic and community obligation and a gradual degradation of the national intelligence and character.

Vonnegut and Huxley’s social commentary reveals a basic truth that societies and human beings have been prone to bouts of madness over the course of decades and centuries. Humans are a weak species, susceptible to the vagaries of greed, lust, gluttony, wrath, sloth, envy and pride. The seven deadly sins are in full bloom today, as the American empire descends through Dante’s inferno of reality TV, celebrity worship, religious zealotry, adulation of wealthy titans, military conquest and worship of false idols.

This is where the interests of those in power and those being ruled have coincided, as a fiat based monetary system allowed unlimited spending to keep the welfare/warfare state growing, enriching the crony capitalists, deepening the power of the state, and providing the masses with foreign made trinkets, baubles, corporate logoed clothing, techno-gadgets, and pimped out financed wheels. The concepts of self-restraint, discipline, saving for a rainy day, prudence, discretion, and deferred gratification are rarely displayed in modern day America. In a case of mass delusion, Americans have convinced themselves to live for today, recklessly ignore their futures, irresponsibly spend money they don’t have on things they don’t need, neglect their civic duty towards future generations, choose ignorance over knowledge, and vote for spineless politicians who promise them entitlements that are mathematically impossible to honor. The public’s foolish attitude towards debt accumulation matches the arrogance of our gutless, intellectually dishonest leaders.”

John Wilder, "The French, Broken Windows, And The Intentional Destruction Of Wealth"

"The French, Broken Windows, 
And The Intentional Destruction Of Wealth"
By John Wilder

"Dead French dude Frédéric Bastiat was a French economist who died in 1850, but not after having written books and essays that influence economics to this day. Bastiat was handicapped by having to speak and write in French, which has the disadvantage of sounding exactly like a cat when it is drowning in Jell-O® Instant Tapioca Pudding™. This is combined with the disadvantage of the French using letters more or less randomly in ways not at all related to the sounds they make.

Bastiat was heartily anti-socialist, and was ahead of the curve, especially in France where they had a socialist revolution every year that the groundhog doesn’t see his shadow on Bastille Day. As I look to the country around us, and especially Los Angeles, I see that it’s probably time to trot out Bastiat’s old parable of the broken window, which is featured in his essay, "That Which Is Seen, and That Which Is Not Seen."

In the parable, a snotty kid accidentally breaks a window at his father’s shop. What does the father sell? He’s French, so probably cigarettes and baguettes and marionettes. Regardless, the father has to call the guy who fixes windows, who is thrilled. He gets to charge the father for fixing the window, he buys some glass, cuts it, and installs it. Since he needs more glass, he even orders some from the French Glass Factory, and they make a tiny bit of profit, too. What a great story! This is what makes the economy zoom, right? This is what Bastiat referred to as That Which Is Seen.

Well, not exactly. The window as it was sitting there was just fine. It was doing its job, letting the French people with their little, beady eyes get light so they could smoke and import foreigners. There was nothing wrong with it.

That pane of glass represented wealth, if you will. It was built in the past, sure, but it was doing its job, being a window. When the snotty little kid broke it, he destroyed wealth. Money that could have been used for his father to buy a new machine to plant cigarette seeds so he could grow packs of Marlboros™ will have to wait.

Broken windows, while putting a few francs into the pocket of the guy who fixed the window, overall made the country poorer. That wealth could have done a nearly infinite number of things rather than fix the window. Bastiat referred to that as That Which Is Not Seen.

When I look at the fire that just swept through Los Angeles, I think about Bastiat. Billions of dollars of damage has been done in Los Angeles – and that was only after hitting two or three homes.

I kid. But there are devastated areas where Governor Gavin Newsom is salivating at the thought of the economic activity associated with rebuilding. He promised to remove “red tape” so that rebuilding could be less costly – which means that he knew all along that the “red tape” was nothing more than a means to destroy wealth by creating a vast sea of pockets that had to be filled with money before the building could start.

The impact of the fires is due to mismanagement and neglect of the important systems that society actually needs to prevent tragedy at scale. There is a case for the protection to society brought by fire departments – even Bastiat would agree to that. But we need competent people to run them, unless, of course, the goal is to have broken windows so that Gavin’s friends can buy up California land at the greatest discount of the past fifty years.

If it so obvious when there’s a fire, why isn’t it obvious when, during the Great Depression, the USDA drove herds of cattle off of cliffs to kill them to bring prices up, all while families were starving? Did that create wealth? Why wasn’t it obvious when Obama tried to kickstart the economy by buying up perfectly usable cars in his Cash for Clunkers scheme just to explicitly destroy wealth so that more people would be forced to go out and buy cars? Yup, breaking more windows to give jobs to the guys who replace windows.

Beware of those that would break windows to create prosperity. War, of course, is the ultimate window breaking machine, I mean, outside of the GloboLeftElite that run places like Detroit and LA and San Francisco and Baltimore and...well, I guess war is the second biggest window breaking machine outside of GloboLeftElite leadership. Except the GloboLeftElite doesn’t give us cool things like jet engines and large airplanes and microwaves and the AR platform to compensate for the rubble and poverty. The GloboLeftElite just gives us the poverty via broken windows, and calls it progress. The real bright side? At least the GloboLeftElite doesn’t speak French."
o
Freely download
"That Which Is Seen, and That Which Is Not Seen", by Frédéric Bastiat, here:

"How It Really Is"

 

"Trump Turns On Netanyahu! Forces Israel To End The War And Stop The Bloodshed"

Full screen recommended.
Kim Iversen, 1/15/24
"Trump Turns On Netanyahu! Forces Israel
 To End The War And Stop The Bloodshed"
Comments here:
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Owen Jones, 1/15/25
"The US Admits Israel Has Lost In Gaza"
Comments here:
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Full screen recommended.
Hindustan Times, 1/15/25
"Hamas-Israel Ceasefire Deal Sealed, 
But A Darker Houthi Game Begins"
"Palestinian Militant group Hamas and Israeli government have agreed to a ceasefire deal on January 15. The sealed ceasefire deal between marks a hopeful pause in hostilities after a war which lasted for over 14 months. The agreement includes provisions for the release of hostages and military withdrawals, offering a glimmer of hope for peace amid ongoing conflict. However, concerns are growing regarding the potential impact of the Houthi movement, which remains a significant threat to Israeli security. Watch the video for more details."
Comments here:

Dan, I Allegedly, "It’s All Fake Out There"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly, AM 1/15/25
"It’s All Fake Out There"
"AllState's shocking privacy violation scandal - they've been secretly tracking drivers and selling their personal data to third parties like Gas Buddy without consent. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is taking action with a major lawsuit against the insurance giant. Uncovering more shocking revelations in today's video:

• Why 20% of current job listings are completely fake.
• The real story behind AllState's invasive tracking app.
• How insurance companies are monitoring your every move.
• New lawsuit exposes massive data privacy breach.
• What this means for your insurance rates and personal information.

Get the full story on how AllState has been profiting from selling your private driving data and what you can do to protect yourself. Plus, breaking coverage of other major stories including the fake job listing crisis, changes at Starbucks, and the latest real estate market developments."
Comments here:

Bill Bonner, "Debbie Does D.C."

Debbie Wasserman Schulltz (D-FL)
"Debbie Does D.C."
The prevailing Primary Political Trend is down - towards more debt, 
inflation, and corruption. It is the product of the two 
leading political parties, both of them sharing the same drive for more.
by Bill Bonner

Baltimore, Maryland - "Mr. Trump, with all his ‘yes men,’ geniuses and jackasses, won’t change course. Look for more war, debt, and corruption. MSN: "Dozens of Congress members outperformed the stock market in 2024. The stock market had a record-breaking run last year, but members of Congress still managed to outperform it with their portfolios making staggering gains in industries where they wield legislative power and influence, such as tech and energy.

More than 20 members made almost double the S&P 500 average gain of 24.9 percent last year. The top five performers - Rep. David Rouzer (R-NC), Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL), Ron Wyden (D-OR), Roger Williams (R-TX), Morgan McGarvey (D-KY) - increased the value of their portfolio value by more than 100 percent, according to a new report."

Arriving at Dulles airport on Saturday, we drove up towards the beltway. If you want to understand what has happened to the nation just look out the window. Companies put their corporate headquarters close to Washington…because, that’s where the money is. You’ll be impressed and appalled by the development all along the ‘access corridor’ that leads to the capitol city. Big. new office buildings... huge parking lots... housing developments stretching out onto the horizon... all the way to the Blue Ridge mountains.

When we were growing up, a few people we knew made the long drive in the capitol to work for the Feds. The pay wasn’t very good, they reported, but the work was secure. People gladly traded income for job security. But as time went by, Washington gained money and power. Federal workers don’t worry about getting fired…and earn the highest wages in the nation. Today, the average hourly wage in the capitol is 35% more than the rest of the nation... with an average income per family over $100,000.

Many of those families live out in the Maryland or Virginia suburbs. In Virginia, they have substantially shifted the cultural and political gravity of the state from rural south... to urban north with Dixiecrat voters evolving into modern Republicans or Democrats. In Maryland, neighboring counties also became reliably pro-government. And even to the shores of the Chesapeake, many families owe their daily bread to the Pentagon or the FDA, not from producing goods or services for their neighbors.

As we laid out yesterday, the prevailing Primary Political Trend is down - towards more debt, inflation, and corruption. It is the product of the two leading political parties, both of them sharing the same drive for a bigger, more powerful central government. Washington, DC is, in rough measure, a way to understand it. As the reach of the government expands, the city does too. And the real economy - relatively - contracts. A society only produces so much surplus. If it is well invested - in new businesses and new capacity - wealth grows. If it sinks into a federal swamp, on the other hand, the nation is poorer.

But even if the average citizen loses ground, the ‘casta politica’ as Argentine president Javier Milei calls it, does well. Take Debbie Wasserman Schultz. As the crumbs drop off of the gluttons’ table in Washington, the Florida Democrat has shown a remarkable ability to catch them.

In 2022, for example, Ms. Schultz was on the House Natural Resources Committee and focused her trading on energy stocks. Her portfolio went up 50% that year... while the S&P lost 19%. Another big win came this past year. The S&P was hard to beat, with a 25% gain. But Ms. Schultz pulled off the kind of performance that defies the odds... and probably the law. Her portfolio gained an incredible 142% - nearly six times the S&P.

How did she do it? The Hill reports: Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fla.), whose portfolio posted the second-biggest gain after Rouzer, purchased shares of the satellite operator Viasat in October while ranking member of the House Appropriations subcommittee on military construction. Viasat has received more than $2.7 billion in government contracts since fiscal 2020, primarily from the Department of Defense, according to federal contract data. Way to go, Debbie."
The best little whorehouse, well, anywhere...

"The only difference between the Republican and Democratic parties is the velocities 
with which their knees hit the floor when corporations knock on their door."
- Ralph Nader

Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Jeremiah Babe, "The Damage Is Done - California Fire Victims May Be Eligible For A Whopping $770 Federal Payment"

Jeremiah Babe, 1/14/25
"The Damage Is Done - California Fire Victims 
May Be Eligible For A Whopping $770 Federal Payment"
Comments here:

Gerald Celente, "Gold Up, Markets Up, Israel Peace Deal Fake Or Real?"

Strong language alert!
Gerald Celente, 1/14/25
"Gold Up, Markets Up,
 Israel Peace Deal Fake Or Real?"
"The Trends Journal is a weekly magazine analyzing global current events forming future trends. Our mission is to present facts and truth over fear and propaganda to help subscribers prepare for what’s next in these increasingly turbulent times."
Comments here:

"2025: The Year the Federal Debt Bubble Bursts"

"2025: The Year the Federal Debt Bubble Bursts"
by Nick Giambruno

"I expect 2025 to be a year of profound transformation, where old paradigms are rendered obsolete. While nothing is certain, I think we can count on radical changes in 2025. Navigating new paradigms in finance, geopolitics, and energy will be crucial for investors.

A primary focus in my research is to put together the pieces to reveal the true Big Picture and get positioned in unstoppable investment trends ahead of the crowd with smart speculations. I’m more interested in getting the Big Picture right than gambling on short-term trades in rigged markets. Understanding the Big Picture has always been essential. But given the scale of changes looming, I can’t think of another year in living memory where it will be more critical than in 2025.

Of particular importance is the US governments financial situation, which has been gradually deteriorating for decades. It’s not surprising that many people are complacent. They’ve long heard about the debt problem, and nothing has happened. However, I think there’s an excellent chance that 2025 could be the year we see a paradigm shift, shattering conventional mental and financial models for the federal debt.

A crucial tipping point was reached in 2024 when the interest expense on the federal debt exceeded the defense budget for the first time. It’s on track to exceed Social Security and become the BIGGEST item in the federal budget.
Historian Niall Ferguson summed it up nicely: "Any great power that spends more on debt service (interest payments on the national debt) than on defense will not stay great for very long. True of Habsburg Spain, true of ancien régime France, true of the Ottoman Empire, true of the British Empire, this law is about to be put to the test by the US beginning this very year."

The US government will soon have to choose to: Cut defense spending amid the most chaotic geopolitical period since WW2. Default on its promises regarding Social Security, Medicare, Veterans’ Benefits, and welfare generally. Though it may try, the US government cannot continue to pay for entitlements and defense even if their current levels stay flat into the future. But they won’t stay flat. Both are set to grow significantly in the years ahead.

Tens of millions of Baby Boomers - about 22% of the population - will enter retirement in the coming years. Cutting Social Security and Medicare is a sure way to lose an election.

With the most precarious geopolitical situation since World War 2, defense spending is unlikely to be cut. Instead, defense spending is all but certain to increase. Former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates recently said: "Barely staying even with inflation or worse is wholly inadequate. Significant additional resources for defense are necessary and urgent."

In short, efforts to reduce expenditures will be meaningless unless it becomes politically acceptable to make chainsaw-like cuts to entitlements, national defense, and welfare while reducing the national debt to lower the interest cost. In other words, the US would need a leader who - at a minimum - returns the federal government to a limited Constitutional Republic, closes the 128 military bases abroad, ends entitlements, kills the welfare state, and repays a large portion of the national debt. However, that’s a completely unrealistic fantasy. It would be foolish to bet on that happening. That’s why Elon Musk and DOGE are being set up for failure.

The Bottom Line: The government cannot even slow the spending growth rate, let alone cut it. Expenditures have nowhere to go but up - way up. The most likely outcome is that the US will try to have its cake and eat it too by paying for both growing defense and domestic obligations via currency debasement. That’s why I’m confident that ever-increasing currency debasement is the inevitable outcome of the US government’s debt spiral. It’s a self-perpetuating doom loop from which they cannot escape. It’s like being on a runaway train with no brakes.

I suspect 2025 will be the year this becomes evident as previous mainstream conceptions about the national debt collapse:

“We owe it to ourselves.”
“Deficits don’t matter.”
“Treasuries are risk-free return.”
“The national debt is sustainable as long as we can print money.”
“The US will never default.”

These have long been ridiculous tropes that many investors believed. 2025 could be the year the people who believe this nonsense receive a harsh reality check."

Gregory Mannarino, "Food And Energy Costs Set To Skyrocket As Dollar Dies!"

Gregory Mannarino, PM 1/14/25
"Food And Energy Costs Set To Skyrocket As Dollar Dies!"
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Musical Interlude: Ludovico Einaudi, "I Giorni"

Full screen recommended.
Ludovico Einaudi, "I Giorni"

"A Look to the Heavens"

"Do you see the bat? It haunts this cosmic close-up of the eastern Veil Nebula. The Veil Nebula itself is a large supernova remnant, the expanding debris cloud from the death explosion of a massive star. While the Veil is roughly circular in shape and covers nearly 3 degrees on the sky toward the constellation of the Swan (Cygnus), NGC 6995, known informally as the Bat Nebula, spans only 1/2 degree, about the apparent size of the Moon. That translates to 12 light-years at the Veil's estimated distance, a reassuring 1,400 light-years from planet Earth.
In the composite of image data recorded through narrow band filters, emission from hydrogen atoms in the remnant is shown in red with strong emission from oxygen atoms shown in hues of blue. Of course, in the western part of the Veil lies another seasonal apparition: the Witch's Broom Nebula."

"Words..."

"Words ought to be a little wild, for they
are the assaults of thoughts on the unthinking."
- John Maynard Keynes

"Mencken, Where Are You Now That We Need You?"

"Mencken, Where Are You Now That We Need You?"

"Henry Louis Mencken, The “Sage of Baltimore”, (September 12, 1880 – January 29, 1956) was an American journalist, essayist, satirist, cultural critic, and scholar of American English. He commented widely on the social scene, literature, music, prominent politicians, and contemporary movements. His satirical reporting on the Scopes Trial, which he dubbed the "Monkey Trial," also gained him attention."
"The men the American people admire most extravagantly are the most daring liars; the men they detest most violently are those who try to tell them the truth."

"The demagogue is one who preaches doctrines he knows to be untrue to men he knows to be idiots."

"When a candidate for public office faces the voters he does not face men of sense; he faces a mob of men whose chief distinguishing mark is the fact that they are quite incapable of weighing ideas, or even of comprehending any save the most elemental - men whose whole thinking is done in terms of emotion, and whose dominant emotion is dread of what they cannot understand. So confronted, the candidate must either bark with the pack or be lost... All the odds are on the man who is, intrinsically, the most devious and mediocre."

"When somebody says it’s not about the money, it’s about the money."

"A professional politician is a professionally dishonorable man. In order to get anywhere near high office he has to make so many compromises and submit to so many humiliations that he becomes indistinguishable from a streetwalker."

"The average man never really thinks from end to end of his life. The mental activity of such people is only a mouthing of cliches. What they mistake for thought is simply a repetition of what they have heard. My guess is that well over 80 percent of the human race goes through life without having a single original thought."

"I have little belief in human progress. The human race is incurably idiotic. It will never be happy."
- H. L. Mencken

"Very Little Competition..."

 

"The One Chance..."

“You get that one chance; and damn it, you’ve got to take it! If there’s one lesson I know I will take with me for eternity, its that there are those things that might happen only once, those chances that come walking down the street, strolling out of a café; if you don’t let go and take them, they really could get away! We can get so washed out with a mindset of entitlement – the universe will do everything for us to ensure our happiness – that we forget why we came here! We came here to grab, to take, to give, to have! Not to wait! Nobody came here to wait! So, what makes anyone think that destiny will keep on knocking over and over again? It could, but what if it doesn’t? You go and you take the chance that you get; even if it makes you look stupid, insane, or whorish! Because it just might not come back again. You could wait a lifetime to see if it will… but I don’t think you should.”
- C. JoyBell C.

The Daily "Near You?"

South Jordan, Utah, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

"Will Civilization Collapse?"

Full screen recommended.
Academy of Ideas,
"Will Civilization Collapse?"
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o
"The Collapse Of Complex Societies"
"Political disintegration is a persistent feature of world history. "The Collapse of Complex Societies," though written by an archaeologist, will therefore strike a chord throughout the social sciences. Any explanation of societal collapse carries lessons not just for the study of ancient societies, but for the members of all such societies in both the present and future. Dr. Tainter describes nearly two dozen cases of collapse and reviews more than 2000 years of explanations. He then develops a new and far-reaching theory that accounts for collapse among diverse kinds of societies, evaluating his model and clarifying the processes of disintegration by detailed studies of the Roman, Mayan and Chacoan collapses."
Freely download “The Collapse of Complex Societies” here;

“The Myth of Human Progress”

Full screen recommended.
“The Myth of Human Progress”
by Chris Hedges

“Clive Hamilton in his “Requiem for a Species: Why We Resist the Truth About Climate Change” describes a dark relief that comes from accepting that “catastrophic climate change is virtually certain.” This obliteration of “false hopes,” he says, requires an intellectual knowledge and an emotional knowledge. The first is attainable. The second, because it means that those we love, including our children, are almost certainly doomed to insecurity, misery and suffering within a few decades, if not a few years, is much harder to acquire. To emotionally accept impending disaster, to attain the gut-level understanding that the power elite will not respond rationally to the devastation of the ecosystem, is as difficult to accept as our own mortality. The most daunting existential struggle of our time is to ingest this awful truth – intellectually and emotionally – and continue to resist the forces that are destroying us.

The human species, led by white Europeans and Euro-Americans, has been on a 500-year-long planetwide rampage of conquering, plundering, looting, exploiting and polluting the Earth – as well as killing the indigenous communities that stood in the way. But the game is up. The technical and scientific forces that created a life of unparalleled luxury – as well as unrivaled military and economic power – for the industrial elites are the forces that now doom us. The mania for ceaseless economic expansion and exploitation has become a curse, a death sentence. But even as our economic and environmental systems unravel, we lack the emotional and intellectual creativity to shut down the engine of global capitalism. We have bound ourselves to a doomsday machine that grinds forward, as the draft report of the National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee illustrates.

Complex civilizations have a bad habit of destroying themselves. Anthropologists including Joseph Tainter in “The Collapse of Complex Societies,” Charles L. Redman in “Human Impact on Ancient Environments” and Ronald Wright in “A Short History of Progress” have laid out the familiar patterns that lead to systems breakdown. The difference this time is that when we go down the whole planet will go with us. There will, with this final collapse, be no new lands left to exploit, no new civilizations to conquer, no new peoples to subjugate. The long struggle between the human species and the Earth will conclude with the remnants of the human species learning a painful lesson about unrestrained greed and self-worship.

“There is a pattern in the past of civilization after civilization wearing out its welcome from nature, overexploiting its environment, overexpanding, overpopulating,” Wright said when I reached him by phone at his home in British Columbia, Canada.

“They tend to collapse quite soon after they reach their period of greatest magnificence and prosperity. That pattern holds good for a lot of societies, among them the Romans, the ancient Maya and the Sumerians of what is now southern Iraq. There are many other examples, including smaller-scale societies such as Easter Island. The very things that cause societies to prosper in the short run, especially new ways to exploit the environment such as the invention of irrigation, lead to disaster in the long run because of unforeseen complications. This is what I called in ‘A Short History of Progress’ the ‘progress trap.’ We have set in motion an industrial machine of such complexity and such dependence on expansion that we do not know how to make do with less or move to a steady state in terms of our demands on nature. We have failed to control human numbers. They have tripled in my lifetime. And the problem is made much worse by the widening gap between rich and poor, the upward concentration of wealth, which ensures there can never be enough to go around. The number of people in dire poverty today – about 2 billion – is greater than the world’s entire population in the early 1900s. That’s not progress.

If we continue to refuse to deal with things in an orderly and rational way, we will head into some sort of major catastrophe, sooner or later. If we are lucky it will be big enough to wake us up worldwide but not big enough to wipe us out. That is the best we can hope for. We must transcend our evolutionary history. We’re Ice Age hunters with a shave and a suit. We are not good long-term thinkers. We would much rather gorge ourselves on dead mammoths by driving a herd over a cliff than figure out how to conserve the herd so it can feed us and our children forever. That is the transition our civilization has to make. And we’re not doing that.”

Wright, who in his dystopian novel “A Scientific Romance” paints a picture of a future world devastated by human stupidity, cites “entrenched political and economic interests” and a failure of the human imagination as the two biggest impediments to radical change. And all of us who use fossil fuels, who sustain ourselves through the formal economy, he says, are at fault.

Modern capitalist societies, Wright argues in his book “What Is America?: A Short History of the New World Order,” derive from European invaders’ plundering of the indigenous cultures in the Americas from the 16th to the 19th centuries, coupled with the use of African slaves as a workforce to replace the natives. The numbers of those natives fell by more than 90 percent because of smallpox and other plagues they hadn’t had before. The Spaniards did not conquer any of the major societies until smallpox had crippled them; in fact the Aztecs beat them the first time around. If Europe had not been able to seize the gold of the Aztec and Inca civilizations, if it had not been able to occupy the land and adopt highly productive New World crops for use on European farms, the growth of industrial society in Europe would have been much slower. Karl Marx and Adam Smith both pointed to the influx of wealth from the Americas as having made possible the Industrial Revolution and the start of modern capitalism. It was the rape of the Americas, Wright points out, that triggered the orgy of European expansion. The Industrial Revolution also equipped the Europeans with technologically advanced weapons systems, making further subjugation, plundering and expansion possible.

Wright explained this further on our call. “The experience of a relatively easy 500 years of expansion and colonization, the constant taking over of new lands, led to the modern capitalist myth that you can expand forever. It is an absurd myth. We live on this planet. We can’t leave it and go somewhere else. We have to bring our economies and demands on nature within natural limits, but we have had a 500-year run where Europeans, Euro-Americans and other colonists have overrun the world and taken it over. This 500-year run made it not only seem easy but normal. We believe things will always get bigger and better. We have to understand that this long period of expansion and prosperity was an anomaly. It has rarely happened in history and will never happen again. 

We have to readjust our entire civilization to live in a finite world. But we are not doing it, because we are carrying far too much baggage, too many mythical versions of deliberately distorted history and a deeply ingrained feeling that what being modern is all about is having more. This is what anthropologists call an ideological pathology, a self-destructive belief that causes societies to crash and burn. These societies go on doing things that are really stupid because they can’t change their way of thinking. And that is where we are.

And as the collapse becomes palpable, if human history is any guide, we like past societies in distress will retreat into what anthropologists call “crisis cults.” The powerlessness we will feel in the face of ecological and economic chaos will unleash further collective delusions, such as fundamentalist belief in a god or gods who will come back to earth and save us.”

As Wright told me: “Societies in collapse often fall prey to the belief that if certain rituals are performed all the bad stuff will go away. There are many examples of that throughout history. In the past these crisis cults took hold among people who had been colonized, attacked and slaughtered by outsiders, who had lost control of their lives. They see in these rituals the ability to bring back the past world, which they look at as a kind of paradise. They seek to return to the way things were. Crisis cults spread rapidly among Native American societies in the 19th century, when the buffalo and the Indians were being slaughtered by repeating rifles and finally machine guns. People came to believe, as happened in the Ghost Dance, that if they did the right things the modern world that was intolerable – the barbed wire, the railways, the white man, the machine gun – would disappear.

We all have the same, basic psychological hard wiring. It makes us quite bad at long-range planning and leads us to cling to irrational delusions when faced with a serious threat. Look at the extreme right’s belief that if government got out of the way, the lost paradise of the 1950s would return. Look at the way we let oil and gas exploration rip when we knew that expanding the carbon economy was suicidal for our children and grandchildren. The results can already be felt. When it gets to the point where large parts of the Earth experience crop failure at the same time then we will have mass starvation and a breakdown in order. That is what lies ahead if we do not deal with climate change.

If we fail in this great experiment, this experiment of apes becoming intelligent enough to take charge of their own destiny, nature will shrug and say it was fun for a while to let the apes run the laboratory, but in the end it was a bad idea.”

The Poet: David Whyte, "The Opening of Eyes"

"The Opening of Eyes"

"That day I saw beneath dark clouds
The passing light over the water,
And I heard the voice of the world speak out.
I knew then as I have before,
Life is no passing memory of what has been,
Nor the remaining pages of a great book
Waiting to be read.
It is the opening of eyes long closed.
It is the vision of far off things,
Seen for the silence they hold.
It is the heart after years of secret conversing
Speaking out loud in the clear air.
It is Moses in the desert fallen to his knees
Before the lit bush.
It is the man throwing away his shoes
As if to enter heaven and finding himself astonished,
Opened at last,
Fallen in love
With Solid Ground."

~ David Whyte

"We Must Not Forget..."

 

"We Do Choose..."

"All men and women are born, live suffer and die; what distinguishes us one from another is our dreams, whether they be dreams about worldly or unworldly things, and what we do to make them come about... We do not choose to be born. We do not choose our parents. We do not choose our historical epoch, the country of our birth, or the immediate circumstances of our upbringing. We do not, most of us, choose to die; nor do we choose the time and conditions of our death. But within this realm of choicelessness, we do choose how we live."
- Joseph Epstein
"George Harrison knew something most of us didn't and still don't: there is a reality beyond the material world and what we do here and how we treat others affects us eternally. As he sings in "Rising Sun":
"But in the rising sun you can feel your life begin,
Universe at play inside your DNA.
You're a billion years old today.
Oh the rising sun and the place it's coming from
Is inside of you and now your payment's overdue."
Lyrics here:
"Death twitches my ear. 'Live,' he says, 'I am coming.'"
~Virgil (Publius Vergilius Maro)