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Friday, January 10, 2025

"Being Poor Ain't Cheap"

"Being Poor Ain't Cheap"
by Joshua Wilkey

"Poor people are cash cows. It makes no sense, really. One would think that poor people, by virtue of being poor, would not be profitable customers. However, for many large corporations that target the poor and working poor, there's big money to be made on the backs of those who have no money.
At Dollar General Store locations, customers can get cash back on their purchases. This is not novel. In fact, most all retailers these days offer this option. Soccer moms get cash back so they can have lunch money for their children. Restaurant patrons can get money back to leave a cash tip for their servers. I sometimes get cash back at the grocery store so I can buy Girl Scouts cookies on the way out. It's a simple process. Click "yes" when the little screen asks for cash back, tap the $20 icon, and the cashier hands you some bucks along with your receipt. We've all done it. For those who are poor and those of us who are not but who have limited retail options, however, there's often a sinister catch.

I noticed this a few years ago, first at Dollar Tree, then at Dollar General. There's a little asterisk after the standard "would you like cash back?" prompt. The footnote indicates that "a transaction fee may apply." The transaction fee is usually $1 no matter the amount of cash back. If one opts to get $10 cash back, one is charged a dollar. That's a ten percent fee, for a service that costs the retailer nothing. It's just another way for retailers like Dollar General to make a profit off of their customers, many of whom are very often living below the poverty line.

If an organic grocer or movie theater were charging a fee of this sort, I would likely be annoyed by it, but I wouldn't be so annoyed that I would write about it. However, the poorest members of our communities do not shop at Whole Foods, and they do not often get a chance to go see the latest blockbuster at the theater. They can afford neither. In fact, they likely do not have either organic grocers or first-run theaters in their neighborhoods. Instead, they have Dollar General. Dollar General's stores grow like kudzo in rural America. Even if there isn't a real grocery store in most tiny communities, there's probably a DG.

These ridiculous transaction fees are but one example of how corporations make billions of dollars by taking advantage of socioeconomically disadvantaged customers with few options. There are many other examples, though, and politicians continue to allow it at the expense of their poorest and most marginalized constituents.
Payday lending is one of the most sinister ways that large corporations exploit poor people. For those who are not familiar, payday lending goes something like this: People who are running short on money but who have a verified record of regular income (whether it be Social Security, SSI, payroll, etc.) are able to go to payday lenders and receive a cash loan to be repaid on payday. Often, borrowers are unable to repay their full loan balances and simply “roll over” their loan until a future payday, accruing all sorts of fees and additional interest. The annualized interest rate on these loans is often in the triple digits. Yes, that’s right. Sometimes the annual interest rate is over one hundred percent.

In defense of this practice, many payday lenders and their high-dollar lobbyists argue that they are simply offering a service to poor borrowers that said borrowers cannot obtain anywhere else. This is partially true. The poorest members of society have no access to traditional forms of credit. Some even lack access to checking accounts because of low credit scores or a history of financial missteps.

I know some people who make occasional use of payday lending because they genuinely have emergencies arise that they could not address without a short-term infusion of cash. I also know people, including members of my own family, who have been riding the high-interest payday loan merry-go-round for years, and who have paid thousands more back than they have borrowed yet still owe more. In debating the role of payday lending in our communities, it is essential that we take a nuanced approach. Some form of short-term credit is necessary for those mired in poverty. However, it is flat-out immoral that we regulate payday lending so loosely in many places that people end up feeling crushed under the weight of small high-interest loans that they have no hope of ever repaying. Taking out a $1,000 payday loan should not mean a person becomes tied to tens of thousands of dollars in debt.
Another egregious example of corporations exploiting the poor is rent-to-own retailing. Companies like Aaron’s and Rent-a-Center purport to offer a valuable service for the poor. Because those at the bottom of the socioeconomic spectrum are seldom able to save for big-ticket items like appliances or furniture, these retailers offer a pay-by-the-month scheme that often requires no credit check and no money down. The result is that customers pay as much as three times the retail price of the item, assuming they are able to make payments until the item is paid for. When they are not able to maintain the payments, the retailers simply show up to repossess the items.

Like payday lenders, rent-to-own retailers argue that they provide a valuable service to poor consumers. However, many observers, myself included, conclude that some rent-to-own practices are ethically questionable and tend to target vulnerable consumers who need immediate access to essentials like appliances and bedding. In many states, companies are not required to disclose the final price of the items. Instead, they simply tell customers the amount of the monthly or weekly payments. Because companies call the arrangement "rent-to-own," in many places they are not required to disclose the amount of "interest" customers will pay because it technically isn't interest. When consumers can no longer afford the payments and have to return the item, they often get no credit for payments they have made even if they have paid substantially more than the item is worth. Many customers never realize that they are paying as much as three times the retail price for their items. Those who do realize it likely have no choice apart from going without a bed or refrigerator.

In some instances, state attorneys general have successfully sued major rent-to-own retailers for violating usury and consumer protection laws. However, because these retailers are covered generally by state laws rather than by federal laws, there exists a hit-and-miss patchwork of regulations. Some consumers enjoy greater protections than others. The only determining factor is their location. Those states with more corporation-friendly attorneys general are unlikely to see any activity that might force retailers to behave more ethically toward their customers, because such enforcements will result in a drop in profitability for the retailers. Many major corporations spend good money to be sure that politicians protect their interests rather than the interests of consumers. Rent-to-own retailers and payday lenders are no exception. The poor, of course, can’t afford lobbyists or political contributions.

There are some who will argue that the free market, not the federal government, is the best solution to corporations that exploit the poor. However, those at the bottom of the socioeconomic spectrum, especially the rural poor, do not live in anything resembling a free market. Also, it is important that we label the behavior of rent-to-own companies and payday lenders as what it is: exploitation.

In the hills of Appalachia, poverty is often the rule rather than the exception. One of the most poverty-stricken ZIP codes in the United States is Manchester, Kentucky. Manchester is located in Clay County, which has a population of just over 20,000 people. According to the most recent US Census data available, the per-capita income average between 2011 and 2015 was just $13,802 (less than half the national average) and 46% of the population lives below the poverty line. In Manchester, Rent-a-Center is often the go-to option for poor people looking to buy appliances or furniture. The county has a Walmart, but the nearest discount appliance and furniture dealers are miles away, too far for many to drive. There are some locally-owned options, but few in Clay County are able to pay cash for major purchases given the high rate of poverty and the low rate of employment.

In addition to the rent-to-own retailers, Clay County also has no less than five payday lenders, but only two traditional banks. Conveniently, the primary shopping center in Manchester currently houses a Dollar General, a Rent-a-Center, and two payday lending branches, all within feet of one another.

In places like Manchester, rent-to-own and payday lending outfits thrive. They do so often to the detriment of the poor folks who frequent their businesses. Those promoting the so-called free market approach might argue that customers are not forced to do business with these types of companies. However, given their dire financial circumstances and lack of available options, poor people in Manchester have little choice. They are excluded from participating in the wider world of commerce, often because of forces beyond their own control.

Manchester is not a rare exception. Particularly in central Appalachia, rent-to-own retailers are often the only option for poor people, and payday lenders outnumber banks by large measure. In addition to being food deserts, many poverty-stricken communities are retail deserts. In the most isolated rural areas in Appalachia, Dollar General is one of the only available retail options. Within ten miles of our house in rural Jackson County, NC, there are four Dollar General stores, and our community isn't even particularly isolated. Dollar General is the closest store to our home, and my wife and I tend to shop there by default because it is either that or a ten minute drive to the closest grocery store, or worse, a twenty minute drive into town. While we have the resources to go to town any time we want, many of our neighbors do not. The folks in the trailer park down the road often walk to Dollar General because they have few other options. This does not seem much like a free market driven by competition. Therefore, "free market" solutions simply do not work here.

Dollar General is, I believe, fully aware of the demographics of their shoppers. They know that there are often few ATMs near their locations, and their customers often lack access to traditional banking anyway and end up paying fees of three or four dollars to access their money at ATMs. Especially for people who depend on Social Security or SSI for their income, access to money is an important issue. Dollar General and similar retailers, it seems, understand this. Their solution is not to offer a resource for their customers but to profit from their customers’ limited access to funds. It's cheaper than an ATM, but it's a fee more affluent shoppers never have to think about. While there is nothing illegal about this, it is certainly morally questionable.

That’s the thing about the so-called free market. It makes no accounting for moral right or wrong. That, free market proponents allege, is up to the consumers. Poor consumers, however, still need to eat. They still need ovens and beds. Consumer choice and self-advocacy is often, like so many forms of social or political action, a full-stomach endeavor. When one is hungry, one’s ability to be an activist is diminished. When poor people have no choice but to do business with the greedy companies who reap a hefty profit from their customers' lack of options, those drawing the short straw simply do what they must to survive. Surviving is what poor people do best, and it makes for a miserable life. I know, because I have been there.

When poor people have little option but to do business with discount retailers who charge cash-back fees, rent-to-own retailers who charge inflated prices, and payday lenders who mire their customers neck-deep in impossible-to-pay-back high-interest loans, they are even less likely to ever escape poverty. The stark reality is that poor people often pay substantially more for essentials – bedding, appliances, housing – than would those of us with means. If my wife and I needed a new washer, we'd shop around for the best deal and go buy it. In fact, we might even buy it from Amazon Prime and get free two-day shipping. When my mother, who lived her entire life in poverty, needed a new washer, she was forced to buy one from a rent-to-own outfit that charged her an outrageous delivery fee and hassled her every time she was even a few hours late on a payment. She probably ended up paying $2,000 for a $450 washer. The poor do not have access to Amazon Prime like the rest of us because they can't afford a hundred bucks a year to subscribe. They do not get free delivery and obscenely low prices. They get fleeced.

The limited options available to those in poverty are rarely considered by the political ideologues who are so prone to victim-blaming. These retailers, who are all too often protected by state and federal lawmakers from both parties, package their predatory tactics as opportunities. What they are really selling are tickets on yet another segment of the poverty train. The politicians who protect them should be deprived of options and see just how much more expensive it is to survive. They should be ashamed for protecting those who profit from poverty, and those of us who know about it and have the resources to fight back should be ashamed for letting it happen to our neighbors."

"The Easy Credit, High Interest Rate Swindle"

"The Easy Credit, High Interest Rate Swindle"
by Charles Hugh Smith

"When 21% interest rate credit cards are the only thing keeping the lid on awakening and revolt, that's not a sustainable fix.bThe easy credit, high interest rate swindle has been a financial feature of the landscape for so long it's rarely examined for what it is: not just a reliably profitable swindle, but as a safety valve for a broken system. We all know how it works, either from experience or observation: credit cards are distributed like candy on Holloween, with one little kicker: a dose of financial fentanyl is included: insanely high rates of interest, i.e. 21% and up, and rapacious late fees.

The credit card issuers know most of the uncreditworthy creditors they sent cards to will eventually default, but this is fine because the high interest rates and stiff penalties will extract enough wealth from the debt-serfs to make the game profitable. This foreknowledge is what makes it a swindle: we know you want credit, we know you'll quickly get over your head and owe us a balance, and we know the exorbitant monthly interest on that ballooning balance will eat you alive, and you'll default.bBut we also know enough of you will struggle on, paying the interest and penalties, for long enough to make the swindle profitable: the writedowns of defaults will be more than offset by the interest and penalties.

All this is obvious, and dismissed as "the free market in action:" nobody forced folks to accept the credit card, or forced the company to issue the cards, everyone knew the interest rate was 21%, and so high interest and defaults are just desserts to all involved. All this is certainly true: nobody was coerced into agreeing to those terms. But like everything else in our broken system, this isn't the whole story.

The untold story is the decades-long decay of the purchasing power of wages has put the "American lifestyle" out of reach for many. In a consumer economy, only four things are valued: profits, wealth, power and attention. These provide status, i.e. a sense of selfhood in the social hierarchy.

A consumer economy greases the gears of commerce with infinite desire: there's always a new "must have" novelty that grants status, a new experience that begs to be ticket-punched with a selfie, and in the Attention Economy created by social media platforms, another "like" or "heart" to seek for self-validation: look at me! I'm worthy of attention!

Viewed through the lens of decaying purchasing power, credit is now necessary to fill the gap between earnings and expenses. Second and third gig jobs help fill the gap, but all the goodies of the "American lifestyle" are still out of reach without the plastic fantastic of credit. OK, so the take-home pay is $1,800, and the rent is $1,800, the gig jobs buy food and pay utilities, but what about the trip to Vegas and the tickets to the "must see" concert tour? Isn't this what credit cards are for?

Indeed. At first, the gamers in the credit-casino see a way to win: pay off the balance at 21% with a 0% interest new card dangled oh so compellingly, and then repeat this more or less forever. But the swindlers know the game all too well, and after the third or fourth such offer, all the cards revert to 21%.

Filling the gap between what wages once funded and what they no longer fund now with credit doesn't work because the interest soon consumes the income needed to pay for essentials. This widening gap between earnings and expenses must be filled, or those who can no longer afford the "American lifestyle" become a political wrecking ball. Imagine if credit card interest rates were capped at conventional 30-year mortgage rates plus 1%, so 7% plus 1% = 8% as the top rate for credit card balances. And imagine late fees were capped at $20.

Credit card lenders would immediately stop issuing cards to uncreditworthy households, as the losses would no longer be covered by sky-high interest rates and penalties. Absent the 21+% interest rates, credit is no longer profitable except to those with very high credit scores--the type of people who pay off the cards every month, paying the issuers zero interest or penalties. Oh boo-hoo, there goes our fat profits.

The reality is easy credit is the safety valve for a system that is no longer affordable to the masses depending on wages for their livelihood. Without easy credit, people would be forced to wake up to the reality that the "American lifestyle" they desire is out of reach, and this will eventually anger them as they see the top 10% enjoying the riches bestowed by asset bubbles, and the next 10% enjoying the professional salaries and benefits of top earners.

When the essentials are no longer affordable, people start doing things like tearing down the Bastille, and authorities respond by suppressing the rage with a whiff of grapeshot, and then things unravel faster than anyone believed possible.

It's increasingly common to promote a debt jubilee as the solution, but this doesn't address the core issue, which is the widening gap between earnings and the cost of essentials. A debt jubilee is just another flavor of an expedient stopgap measure intended to keep the broken, corrupt system glued together for another year or two, to make it seem as if the system isn't fundamentally broken and soaring inequality isn't its primary dynamic.

When 21% interest rate credit cards are the only thing keeping the lid on awakening and revolt, that's not a sustainable fix. As noted here recently, the problem with using financial fentanyl as the "solution" is no one can tell if the dose is fatal until it's too late."

"How It Really Is"

 

Yeah, imagine that...

Dan, I Allegedly, "The 2025 Stock Market Crash - Major Economic Shifts Coming"

Dan, I Allegedly, AM 1/10/25
"The 2025 Stock Market Crash - 
Major Economic Shifts Coming"
"2025 Market Crash? Renowned trading expert Bob Kudla reveals shocking predictions about what's coming for the markets in 2025. Get ready for major economic shifts that could make 2024 look tame by comparison. In this exclusive interview, Bob breaks down why 2025 could bring dramatic changes to stocks, bonds, and the entire financial system. Learn about the potential collapse in revolving credit, why the bond market is sending warning signals, and how AI could eliminate millions of white-collar jobs."
Comments here:

Bill Bonner, "The Intrinsic Value of Fartcoin"

"The Intrinsic Value of Fartcoin"
There is a time for everything, a time for peace and a time for war, 
and a time when politics takes command and civilization 
marches backward, when people feel the eternal verities no longer apply.
by Bill Bonner

Youghal, Ireland - "A kiss is still a kiss…and a bubble is still a bubble…Picking fights with other people is still not a good idea…Spending more than you can afford still leads to bankruptcy…And people who say they are going to stop taking so many drugs…or drinking so much…or spending so much, etc. etc. still don’t always follow through.

As expected, Elon Musk has already given up on his stated aim of shaving $2 trillion off the US budget. Huff Post: "Elon Musk Walks Back Vow to Find $2 Trillion In Wasteful Spending." "Republican budget guru Elon Musk admitted Wednesday that his vision of $2 trillion in spending cuts is not very realistic. The billionaire entrepreneur and President-elect Donald Trump consigliere said in an interview on his website X with Mark Penn, a Democratic pollster turned marketing executive, that the $2 trillion figure was merely aspirational. "

Which just goes to show how serious the commitment was. Musk’s original estimate was 100% too high…off by a trillion dollars. It was just election fluff. Balancing the budget was never a real goal…but merely an ‘aspirational’ goal. Musk says he’d be happy with a $1 trillion cut. Our forecast: He won’t get anywhere near it. But wait. Even if Musk/Ramaswamy subtract $1 trillion…the Trump team will probably add a trillion. So, what do we have? Net? Nothing. The debt still rises to $40 trillion next year…and $50 trillion by 2030. And the US still goes broke.

There is a time for everything…a time for peace and a time for war…and a time when politics takes command and civilization marches backward…when people feel the eternal verities no longer apply and they can do whatever they can get away with. Then, they turn to ‘aspirations’…

New tech will liberate them from the old restraints…new government will give them a fresh start…a new system…a new idea…a new Maximum Leader…a new Great Helmsman… He’ll unleash the frackers in the US…and turn the drillers loose on the Greenland Ice Shelf (said to have 100 billion barrels of oil)…and he’ll cut taxes in the US…reduce prices for US ships transiting the Panama Canal…and bring good jobs back to the US (by imposing tariffs on foreign-made goods).

So you see…no need to tackle the hard job of reducing spending….not when there are so many aspirations in the air. And wouldn’t it be beautiful to have Canada as part of the US…with all that maple syrup and so many Christmas trees? What? You say we already have plenty of maple syrup and Christmas trees? Well...don’t be so negative!

We’ll let you know when God reveals His plans to us. In the meantime, we take our guesses. And we don’t see any reason to guess that spending more than you can afford, year after year, will end any differently now from the many times it has been tried before…

Or that today’s bubble in leading tech (AI) stocks will turn out differently than past tech bubbles…in ’29, ’66, and ’99. Recall those grim days in March 2000, when the leading stocks fell 30% in less than three weeks. But what we face today is much more dangerous than the bubble of 2000. Back then, the US had $5.5 trillion in debt. The debt level actually went down between 1999 and 2000. The Fed could come to the rescue. Its fed funds rate was over 6% in 1999. It promptly cut back to just 1%.

This time, federal debt is more than six times as much. And it’s increasing by about $7 billion every working day. A 500-basis point cut in the Fed’s key rate today would open the gates of Hell. Because inflation is now on everyone’s computer screen. The value of the US 10-year bond, the basic brick of the whole world’s capital edifice, would dissolve. Yields would soar. Debt couldn’t be refinanced. Payments would be missed. Companies would go out of business. Fartcoin would go back to where it belongs – at zero.

Yesterday, Dan told us that our markets probably couldn’t stand a 5% yield – which we are rapidly approaching. What would happen if a 10% yield, last spotted in the 1980s and believed to be extinct – suddenly reappeared? We don’t know, but we expect to find out. We’ll find out too what happens when you don’t fulfill the aspirations of the people who elect you."
o

Research Note, by Dan Denning: "Negative federal saving! That’s a term you’ll find in a December report from the Congressional Budget Office. But what does it mean?

It means that government deficits reduce the total savings of the entire country. Over time, regular deficit spending makes the nation’s economy poorer, despite any ‘money multiplier’ effects of transfer payments, subsidies, or defense spending. What’s more, government spending increases inflation, further reducing the value of private savings. The ‘net’ effect, according to the CBO, is $21.4 trillion in negative savings over the next ten years (the figure in the bottom right corner of the table above). If the projections are right, you’re looking a total federal debt o $57.5 trillion by 2034.

The CBO’s figures are taken from the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA). Those were the accounts our old mentor Dr. Kurt Richebacher used to have physically mailed to him in Cannes, back in the early 2000s, before they were easily available on the Internet. Dr. Richebacher would call me at my desk in Paris, barking about the latest NIPA figures.

The projections are driven by mandatory growth rates in federal spending and current trends. To reverse those trends, you need a lot less spending or a lot more growth (or both). CBO could be wrong (projecting trends ten years out is a bit of a fool’s game). But it’s going to take something extraordinary to reverse the Primary Political Trend.

You could probably pump all the oil in Greenland or in the Gulf of America and the deficit would still go up. That’s even if you create a new national oil company and pump all the oil profits back into the US Treasury. As Dr. Kurt used to say...this is an outrage. But it's also a fact. No amount of optimism is going to change it."
o
Related:

Gregory Mannarino, "Situation Critical: The World Debt Market Is Flasing Red, And We Have A Problem"

Gregory Mannarino, AM 1/10/25
"Situation Critical: The World Debt Market 
Is Flasing Red, And We Have A Problem"
Comments here:

Adventures With Danno, "Shocking Prices At Aldi"

Full screen recommended.
Adventures With Danno, AM 1/10/25
"Shocking Prices At Aldi"
Comments here:
o
Speaking of food...
Full screen recommended.
The Philly Captain, 1/10/25
"The Italian Market, Best Food In Philadelphia"
Comments here:

I lived right there, 1 block from the Market for 27 years.
Amazing place... Yo! lol

Jim Kunstler, "Apocalypse Still Unspooling"

Full screen recommended.
"Apocalypse Still Unspooling"
by Jim Kunstler

"'Climate Change' has been identified: it's a 28-YO man
 from Reseda in a black hoodie holding a lighter and some matches." 
- Peach Keenan

“Life imitates art,” Oscar Wilde quipped, a most insightful glimpse into the human condition delivered as a wise-crack. Very Hollywood. Too bad there were no late-night talk shows in Oscar’s time. It took more than eighty years, but the apocalyptic burning of Los Angeles depicted at the climax of Nathanial West’s 1939 novel The Day of the Locust has finally come - the city of dreams turned into one big flaming nightmare. The adumbrations of this fiasco will darken our national life for years to come.

Who knew that the best way to convert Utopian Woke Democrats back into a reality-based thought system would be to burn their houses down? The wealthy showbiz folk occupying the moral high ground of the Pacific Palisades voted Democratic by 90-percent. They were fully on-board with the agenda of the Party of Chaos, especially Diversity-Equity-and-Inclusion (DEI) and the open border that allowed a deluge of mysterious strangers to flood the country.

Now, reports come across the “X” wires that these mystery folk are cruising the wreckage in the canyons on scooters and in cars to loot anything left of value. The police are shown on video capturing a mystery migrant with a blowtorch suspected of starting the latest outbreak named the Kenneth Fire on the edge of the San Fernando Valley. Loud-and-proud DEI firefighters were stymied in their work by neighborhood fire hydrants that were disappointingly not “full of water,” as they put it. Is that how it works? Each hydrant is supposed to get filled up on a regular schedule by water pixies?

You know by now that LA Mayor Karen Bass was unavailable for the early innings of the conflagration, having flown to the West African nation of Ghana for the inauguration of the new president John Dramani Mahama. But she managed to scramble back in time to mourn the smoldering ruins of Malibu. Governor Gavin Newsom dallied on a smoke-filled street with CNN’s disaster specialist, Anderson Cooper, pretending to manage the situation, which was, in fact, completely out of control. Among the things the governor has been criticized for is poor forest and brush management. Mr. Newsom has been lately working to pass a $25-million bill to fund measures for “Trump-proofing” California. For that same $25-million, he could have hired 500 workers at $50,000-a-year to cut brush around Los Angeles County. That is, if he didn’t avail himself of work-gangs from the California penitentiaries.

Even “Joe Biden” was in town, to announce the creation of a new national monument, the Chuckwalla National Monument, south of Joshua Tree National Park - 125 miles out in the Mojave Desert from LA. But he had helpful phone conversations with Governor Newsom... promises of federal funding to build Malibu back better. I wonder if the folks still camping out in tents back in the Mountains of Carolina heard about that. This same week “JB” also announced another $500-million aid package for Ukraine. Anybody wondering why “America First” helped get Mr. Trump elected?

You can’t overstate the amount and degree of family devastation to be endured in the months and years ahead. For one thing, many homeowners recently had their fire insurance cancelled. Decades of punitive bureaucracy made rate increases difficult in wildfire-prone areas, so companies like Allstate decided to quit doing business in the state. So, many of the thousands of lost houses will be total losses. A great many of these were multi-million-dollar houses, even modest ones built in the 1960s, due to the extreme desirability of neighborhoods like Pacific Palisades, the Hollywood Hills, and Malibu Beach. Some middle-class people had their entire nest-eggs vested in these houses.

Comedian and podcaster Adam Carolla put out an insightful video rant about just how difficult it will be to rebuild, even if you had homeowner’s insurance - or happened to be a very wealthy Hollywood actor. He put a spotlight on the monumentally obstructive permitting process in Los Angeles County, including additional onerous environmental agency hurdles that anyone would meet attempting to construct a new building in California. Also consider: where are the thousands of competent building contractors going to come from to work on so many replacement houses in one locality at the same time? The bottom-line is that an awful lot of formerly middle-class and even well-off people will be homeless possibly for years ahead. You have not begun to hear about this.

You also have to wonder how this disaster will end up affecting the movie industry. Show business in LA had been on-the-ropes for quite a while preceding the big fire. Woked-up management putting out woked-up movies did enough damage on top of momentous changes in movie exhibition and distribution, writers and actors’ strikes, and super high-priced union labor for movie technicians. The movie business started in LA mainly because of its beautiful Mediterranean climate. You could shoot film outdoors year-round. The industry has been stealthily bailing out of California for years, moving to places like Vancouver and Atlanta. Now, in the smoking ruins, how many showbiz people are ready to run shrieking from the Golden State? And how much is the economic impact of this local disaster a harbinger of a more general national downturn to come? Probably a lot, I’m thinking."
o
Related:
"10 Dead, 10,000 Structures Burned In Los Angeles 
Area Inferno As Fire Damage Could Exceed $150 Billion"
Excerpt: "Fires raging across the Los Angeles area entered their fourth day, killing at least ten people, forcing the evacuation of 180,000 residents, and destroying more than ten thousand structures. Preliminary estimates place damages and economic losses up to $150 billion.

As of Friday morning, five fires are burning across the LA County area. The largest, the Palisades Fire, has scorched 20,000 acres and is considered "one of the most destructive fires in the history of Los Angeles," according to the LA fire chief on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Eaton Fire has burned 14,000 acres. The newest fires are Kenneth and Hidden Hills, which expanded in the overnight hours."
Full, horrifying article is here:
o

Canadian Prepper, "Alert! L.A. Mass Looting, Apocalyptic Fire Growing"

Full screen recommended.
Canadian Prepper, 1/9/25
"Alert! L.A. Mass Looting, Apocalyptic Fire Growing"
Comments here:

Thursday, January 9, 2025

Jeremiah Babe, "Los Angeles Fires Vaporize Neighborhoods; Home Insurance Time Bomb; FEMA Is Broke"

Jeremiah Babe, 1/9/25
"Los Angeles Fires Vaporize Neighborhoods; 
Home Insurance Time Bomb; FEMA Is Broke"
Comments here:

Gerald Celente, "As LA Burns, Pennies For Firefighting Planes, Trillions For Bombers To Kill Millions"

Strong language alert!
Gerald Celente, 1/9/25
"As LA Burns, Pennies For Firefighting Planes, 
Trillions For Bombers To Kill Millions"
"The Trends Journal is a weekly magazine analyzing global current events forming future trends. Our mission is to present Facts and Truth over fear and propaganda to help subscribers prepare for What’s Next in these increasingly turbulent times."
Comments here:

Musical Interlude: Procol Harum, "A Whiter Shade of Pale"

Full screen recommended.
Procol Harum, "A Whiter Shade of Pale" 
Procol Harum performing "A Whiter Shade of Pale"
 with the Danish National Concert Orchestra and choir at
 Ledreborg Castle, Denmark in August 2006.

"A Look to the Heavens, With Chet Raymo"

“Reaching For The Stars”
by Chet Raymo

“Here is a spectacular detail of the Eagle Nebula, a gassy star-forming region of the Milky Way Galaxy, about 7,000 light-years away. The Eagle lies in the equatorial constellation Serpens. If you went out tonight and looked at this part of the sky – more or less midway between Arcturus and Antares – you might see nothing at all. The brightest star in Serpens is of the third magnitude, perhaps invisible in an urban environment. No part of the Eagle Nebula is available to unaided human vision. How big is the nebula in the sky? Hold a pinhead at arm’s length and it would just about cover the spire. I like to think about things not mentioned in the APOD descriptions.

If the Sun were at the bottom of the spire, Alpha centauri, our nearest stellar neighbor, would be about halfway up the column. Sirius, the brightest star in Earth’s sky, would be near the top. Let’s say you sent out a spacecraft from the bottom of the spire that travelled at the speed of the two Voyager craft that are now traversing the outer reaches of the Solar System. It would take more than 200,000 years to reach the top of the spire.

The Hubble Space Telescope cost a lot of money to build, deploy, and operate. It has done a lot of good science. But perhaps the biggest return on the investment is to turn on ordinary folks like you and me to the scale and complexity of the universe. The human brain evolved, biologically and culturally, in a universe conceived on the human scale. We resided at its center. The stars were just up there on the dome of night. The Sun and Moon attended our desires. “All the world’s a stage,” wrote Shakespeare, and he meant it literally; the cosmos was designed by a benevolent creator as a stage for the human drama. All of that has gone by the board. Now we can travel in our imagination for 200,000 years along a spire of glowing, star-birthing gas that is only the tiniest fragment of a nebula that is only the tiniest fragment of a galaxy that is but one of hundreds of billions of galaxies we can potentially see with our telescopes.

Most of us still live psychologically in the universe of Dante and Shakespeare. The biggest intellectual challenge of our times is how to bring our brains up to speed. How to shake our imaginations out of the slumber of centuries. How to learn to live purposefully in a universe that is apparently indifferent to the human drama. How to stretch the human story to match the light-years.”

"Perhaps Everything Terrible..."

“How should we be able to forget those ancient myths that are at the beginning of all peoples, the myths about dragons that at the last moment turn into princesses; perhaps all the dragons of our lives are princesses who are only waiting to see us once beautiful and brave. Perhaps everything terrible is in its deepest being something helpless that wants help from us. So you must not be frightened if a sadness rises up before you larger than any you have ever seen; if a restiveness, like light and cloud shadows, passes over your hands and over all you do. You must think that something is happening with you, that life has not forgotten you, that it holds you in its hand; it will not let you fall.”
- Rainer Maria Rilke

"And The Hell Of It Is..."

"You go up to a man, and you say, "How are things going, Joe?" and he says,  "Oh fine, fine... couldn't be better."  And you look into his eyes, and you see things really couldn't be much worse. When you get right down to it, everybody's having a perfectly lousy time of it, and I mean everybody. And the hell of it is, nothing seems to help much.
- Kurt Vonnegut

"People are sad. People are broke. People are worried about money, people are worried that they're not enough and not amounting to anything and they don't feel good about themselves. People have rough times, and everybody's pretending it's not true, and we need to break that veneer."
- Eve Ensler

"Excellence..."

 

The Daily "Near You?"

Cripple Creek, Colorado, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

"Doug Casey on the End of Western Civilization"

"Doug Casey on the End of Western Civilization"
by International Man

"International Man: The decline of Western Civilization is on a lot of people’s minds. Let’s talk about this trend.

Doug Casey: Western Civilization has its origins in ancient Greece. It’s unique among the world’s civilizations in putting the individual - as opposed to the collective - in a central position. It enshrined logic and rational thought - as opposed to mysticism and superstition - as the way to deal with the world. It’s because of this that we have science, technology, great literature and art, capitalism, personal freedom, the concept of progress, and much, much more. In fact, almost everything worth having in the material world is due to Western Civilization.

Ayn Rand once said "East minus West equals zero." I think she went a bit too far, as a rhetorical device, but she was essentially right. When you look at what the world’s other civilizations have brought to the party, at least over the last 2,500 years, it’s trivial. I lived in the Orient for years. There are many things I love about it - martial arts, yoga, and the cuisine among them. But all the progress they’ve made is due to adopting the fruits of the West.

International Man: There are so many things degrading Western Civilization. Where do we begin?

Doug Casey: It’s been said, correctly, that a civilization always collapses from within. World War 1, in 1914, signaled the start of the long collapse of Western Civilization. Of course, termites were already eating away at the foundations, with the writings of people like Jean-Jacques Rousseau and Karl Marx. It’s been on an accelerating downward path ever since, even though technology and science have been improving at a quantum pace. They are, however, like delayed action flywheels, operating on stored energy and accumulated capital. Without capital, intellectual freedom, and entrepreneurialism, science and technology will slow down. I’m optimistic we’ll make it to Kurzweil’s Singularity, but there are no guarantees.

Things also changed with the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913. Before that, the US used gold coinage for money. "The dollar" was just a name for 1/20th of an ounce of gold. That is what the dollar was. Paper dollars were just receipts for gold on deposit in the Treasury. The income tax, enacted the same year, threw more sand in the gears of civilization. The world was much freer before the events of 1913 and 1914, which acted to put the State at the center of everything.

The Fed and the income tax are both disastrous and unnecessary things, enemies of the common man in every way. Unfortunately, people have come to believe they’re fixtures in the cosmic firmament. They’re the main reasons - there are many other reasons, though, unfortunately - why the average American’s standard of living has been dropping since the early 1970s. In fact, were it not for these things, and the immense amount of capital destroyed during the numerous wars of the last 100 years, I expect we’d have already colonized the moon and Mars. Among many other things.

But I want to re-emphasize that the science, the technology, and all the wonderful toys we have are not the essence of Western Civilization. They’re consequences of individualism, capitalism, rational thought, and personal freedom. It’s critical not to confuse cause and effect.

International Man: You mentioned that the average American’s standard of living has dropped since the early 1970s. This is directly related to the US government abandoning the dollar’s last link to gold in 1971. Since then, the Federal Reserve has been able to debase the US dollar without limit. I think the dollar’s transformation into a purely fiat currency has eroded the rule of law and morality in the US. It’s similar to what happened in the Roman Empire after it started debasing its currency. What do you think, Doug?

Doug Casey: All the world’s governments and central banks share a common philosophy, which drives these policies. They believe that you create economic activity by stimulating demand, and you stimulate demand by printing money. And, of course, it’s true, in a way. Roughly the same way a counterfeiter can stimulate a local economy.

Unfortunately, they ignore that, and completely ignore that the way a person or a society becomes wealthy is by producing more than they consume and saving the difference. That difference, savings, is how you create capital. Without capital you’re reduced to subsistence, scratching at the earth with a stick. These people think that by inflating - which is to say destroying - the currency, they can create prosperity. But what they’re really doing, is destroying capital: When you destroy the value of the currency, that discourages people from saving it. And when people don’t save, they can’t build capital, and the vicious cycle goes on.

This is destructive for civilization itself, in both the long term and the short term. The more paper money, the more credit, they create, the more society focuses on finance, as opposed to production. It’s why there are many times more people studying finance than science. The focus is increasingly on speculation, not production. Financial engineering, not mechanical, electrical, or chemical engineering. And lots of laws and regulations to keep the unstable structure from collapsing.

What keeps a truly civil society together isn’t laws, regulations, and police. It’s peer pressure, social opprobrium, moral approbation, and your reputation. These are the four elements that keep things together. Western Civilization is built on voluntarism. But, as the State grows, that’s being replaced by coercion in every aspect of society. There are regulations on the most obscure areas of life. As Harvey Silverglate pointed out in his book, the average American commits three felonies a day. Whether he’s caught and prosecuted is a subject of luck and the arbitrary will of some functionary. That’s antithetical to the core values of Western Civilization.

International Man: Speaking of ancient civilizations like Rome, interest rates are just coming off the the lowest levels they’ve been in 5,000 years of recorded history. Trillions of dollars’ worth of government bonds trade at negative yields. Of course, this couldn’t happen in a free market. It’s only possible because of central bank manipulation. How will artificially low interest rates affect the collapse of Western Civilization?

Doug Casey: It’s really, really serious. I previously thought it was metaphysically impossible to have negative interest rates but, in the Bizarro World central banks have created, it’s happened.

Negative interest rates discourage saving. Once again, saving is what builds capital. Without capital you wind up as an empty shell - Rome in 450 A.D., or Detroit today - lots of wonderful but empty buildings and no economic activity. Worse, it forces people to desperately put their money in all manner of idiotic speculations in an effort to stay ahead of inflation. They wind up chasing the bubbles the funny money creates.

Let me re-emphasize something: in order for science and technology to advance you need capital. Where does capital come from? It comes from people producing more than they consume and saving the difference. Debt, on the other hand, means you’re living above your means. You’re either consuming the capital others have saved, or you’re mortgaging your future.

Zero and negative interest rate policies, and the creation of money out of nowhere, are actually destructive of civilization itself. It makes the average guy feel that he’s not in control of his own destiny. He starts believing that the State, or luck, or Allah will provide for him. That attitude is typical of people from backward parts of the world - not Western Civilization.

International Man: What does it say about the economy and society that people work so hard to interpret what officials from the Federal Reserve and other central banks say?

Doug Casey: It’s a shameful waste of time. They remind me of primitives seeking the counsel of witch doctors. One hundred years ago, the richest people in the country - the Rockefellers, the Carnegies, and such - made their money creating industries that actually made stuff. Now, the richest people in the country just shuffle money around. They get rich because they’re close to the government and the hydrant of currency materialized by the Federal Reserve. I’d say it’s a sign that society in the US has become quite degraded.

The world revolves much less around actual production, but around guessing the direction of financial markets. Negative interest rates are creating bubbles, and will eventually result in an economic collapse.

International Man: Negative interest rates are essentially a tax on savings. A lot of people would rather pull their money out of the bank and stuff it under a mattress than suffer that sting. The economic central planners know this. It’s why they’re using negative interest rates to ramp up the War on Cash - the push to eliminate paper currency and create a cashless society.

The banking system is very fragile. Banks don’t hold much paper cash. It’s mostly digital bytes on a computer. If people start withdrawing paper money en masse, it won’t take much to bring the whole system down. Their solution is to make accessing cash harder, and in some cases, illegal. That’s why the economic witch doctors at Harvard are pounding the table to get rid of the $100 bill. Take France, for example. It’s now illegal to make cash transactions over €1,000 without documenting them properly.

Negative interest rates have turbocharged the War on Cash. If the central planners win this war, it would be the final deathblow to financial privacy. How does this all relate to the collapse of Western Civilization?

Doug Casey: I believe the next step in their idiotic plan is to abolish cash. Decades ago they got rid of gold coinage, which used to circulate day to day in people’s pockets. Then they got rid of silver coinage. Now, they’re planning to get rid of cash altogether. So you won’t even have euros or dollars or pounds in your wallet anymore, or if you do, it will only be very small denominations. Everything else is going to have to be done through electronic payment processing.

This is a huge disaster for the average person: absolutely everything that you buy or sell, other than perhaps a candy bar or a hamburger, is going to have to go through the banking system. Thus, the government will be able to monitor every transaction and payment. Financial privacy, even what’s left of it today, will literally cease to exist.

Privacy is one of the big differences between a civilized society and a primitive society. In a primitive society, in your little dirt hut village, anybody can look through your window or pull back the flap on your tent. You have no privacy. Everybody can hear everything; see anything. This was one of the marvelous things about Western Civilization - privacy was valued, and respected. But that concept, like so many others, is on its way out…

International Man: You’ve mentioned before that language and words provide important clues to the collapse of Western Civilization. How so?

Doug Casey: Many of the words you hear, especially on television and other media, are confused, conflated, or completely misused. Many recent changes in the way words are used are corrupting the language. As George Orwell liked to point out, to control language is to control thought. The corruption of language is adding to the corruption of civilization itself. This is not a trivial factor in the degradation of Western Civilization.

Words - their exact meanings, and how they’re used are critically important. If you don’t mean what you say and say what you mean, then it’s impossible to communicate accurately. Forget about transmitting philosophical concepts.

Take for example shareholders and stakeholders. We all know that a shareholder actually owns a share in a company, but have you noticed that over the last generation shareholders have become less important than stakeholders? Even though stakeholders are just hangers-on, employees, or people who are looking to get in on a shakedown. But everybody slavishly acknowledges, "Yes, we’ve got to look out for the stakeholders." Where did that concept come from? It’s a recent creation, but Boobus americanus seems to think it was carved in stone at the country’s founding.

We’re told to protect them, as if they were a valuable and endangered species. I say, "A pox upon stakeholders." If they want a vote in what a company does, then they ought to become shareholders. Stakeholders are a class of being created out of nothing by Cultural Marxists for the purpose of shaking down shareholders."

Editor’s Note: This is going to be the most turbulent decade in US history…The 2020s ​will be more ​dangerous than the 1930s, the 1940s, and even the 1860s. That's because severe crises are brewing on multiple fronts and converging. The whole system will have a complete reset, and soon. It could be the BIGGEST thing since the founding of the USA."

"Is There An Answer..."

"Is there an answer to the question of why bad things happen to good people? The response would be to forgive the world for not being perfect, to forgive God for not making a better world, to reach out to the people around us, and to go on living despite it all, no longer asking why something happened, but asking how we will respond, what we intend to do now that it has happened."
- Harold S. Kushner

The Poet: Charles Bukowski, “Mind and Heart”

“Mind and Heart”

“Unaccountably we are alone,
forever alone,
and it was meant to be
that way,
it was never meant
to be any other way -
and when the death struggle begins
the last thing I wish to see is
a ring of human faces
hovering over me -
better just my old friends,
the walls of my self,
let only them be there.

I have been alone but seldom lonely.
I have satisfied my thirst
at the well of my self
and that wine was good,
the best I ever had,
and tonight, sitting,
staring into the dark
I now finally understand
the dark and the
light and everything
in between.

Peace of mind and heart arrives
when we accept what is:
having been born into this strange life
we must accept
the wasted gamble of our days,
and take some satisfaction in
the pleasure of leaving it all behind.

Cry not for me.
Grieve not for me.
Read
what I’ve written
then forget it all.
Drink from the well
of your self and begin again.”

- Charles Bukowski

"You Know..."

"You know, we never see the world exactly as it is. We see it as we hope it will be or we fear it might be. And we spend our lives going through a sort of modified stages of grief about that realization. And we deny it, and then we argue with it, and we despair over it. But eventually, and this is my belief, we come to see it, not as despairing, but as vitalizing. We never see the world exactly as it is because we are how the world is."
- Maria Popova

"The Only Thing Necessary for Evil to Triumph Is…"

"The Only Thing Necessary for Evil to Triumph Is…"
by Paul Rosenberg

"I’m betting that most of my readers can complete this phrase. The problem is, it isn’t quite true. Edmund Burke, its supposed source, was a good man, but that doesn’t make the saying true. Here’s the complete passage, in the form most of us know: The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing.

Yes, there is a time when good men and women must stand up for what’s right, even when it involves risk, but that moment comes only after evil has already been well established and is powerfully on the move.

Fighting evil may be an essential thing, but it isn’t the first problem - it matters only after thousands or millions of mistakes have already been made. And if those first mistakes had not been made, great fights against evil wouldn’t be necessary.

Where Evil Comes From: Let’s begin with a crucial point: Evil is inherently weak. Here’s why that’s true: Evil does not produce. It must take advantage of healthy and effective life (aka productive men and women) if it’s to succeed. Evil, by its nature, is wasteful and destructive: It requires the production of the good in order to do its deeds.

How much territory could Caesar have conquered on his own? How many people could Joe Stalin have killed with no one to take his orders? How many people could Mao have starved to death without obedient middlemen? With duteous followers, however, evil rulers killed some 260 million people in the 20th century.

The truth is that evil survives by tricking the good into doing its will. Without thousands of basically decent people confused enough to obey, evil would fail quickly. The great tragedy of our era is the extent to which evil has been successful in convincing people to service it. Good people having yielded their wills arm evil, accommodate evil, and acquiesce to its actions. 

Hannah Arendt summarized it this way: "The sad truth is that most evil is done by people who never make up their minds to be good or evil. People end up supporting evil because they don’t want to make up their minds at all. They want to avoid criticism and vulnerability, so they hold to the middle of the pack and avoid all risk. These people wouldn’t initiate murders by themselves, but in the name of duty, loyalty and/or the greater good, they cooperate with evil and give it their strength. Each plays a part, but not so large a part that they’ll have to contemplate its effects."

Sins of Obedience: People think of murder, lying, and robbery as sins, but none of those has nearly the death toll of obedience. Basically decent men and women obey agents of evil for very mundane reasons. The process often goes like this:

Confused and intimidated, they look for what’s being punished and what isn’t.

They try not to make waves.

They learn that they can avoid making waves best if they adopt the perspectives of their overlords.

So they run the overlords’ slogans through their minds as a default program.

In the end, these people don’t make up their minds. Rather, they take on the minds of their overlords and do their will. And so, the vast majority of evil done on Earth traces back to minds and wills that have been abandoned to fear.

So…This is what the famous quote should say: 'The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to obey.' We should be painting that saying on our walls."
o
Full screen recommended.
"Why Are People So Obedient? 
Compliance and Tyranny"

"How It Really Is"

 

"California Wildfire Live, Six Wildfires Burning In Los Angeles County, Live Palisades Fire"

Full screen recommended.
Crux, AM 1/9/25
"California Wildfire Live, Six Wildfires Burning 
In Los Angeles County, Live Palisades Fire"

"Wildfires rage across Los Angeles, causing widespread devastation as they stretch resources to the limit. At least five people lose their lives and hundreds of buildings are destroyed. More than 100,000 residents are evacuated while another 100,000 remain under evacuation warnings. The fires, which began on January 7, continue to burn uncontained, fuelled by fierce winds that hinder firefighting efforts. Water shortages also impede the response, particularly in Pacific Palisades where a fire has consumed nearly 12,000 acres and destroyed over 1,000 structures, marking it as one of the most destructive wildfires in the city’s history.

In Pasadena, the Eaton Fire forces 100,000 residents to flee and claims at least five lives. Mayor Victor Gordo provides updates while Fire Chief Chad Augustin confirms that wind conditions are expected to improve, allowing containment efforts to begin. Over 750 firefighters and 60 strike teams, including reinforcements from Arizona, are working tirelessly to control the fire, which has spread across 10,600 acres. Five separate fires burn across Los Angeles County, holding the city in a pincer move. None of the fires are contained as state officials report that resources and water supplies remain critically stretched."
Comments here:

Dan, I Allegedly, "LA is On Fire - No Water, No Mayor - LA's Fire Crisis Exposed"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly AM 19/25
"LA is On Fire - No Water, No Mayor - 
LA's Fire Crisis Exposed"

"LA's $18M fire department budget cuts have left thousands defenseless as massive fires tear through Southern California's wealthiest neighborhoods. The devastating consequences of reduced firefighter overtime and insufficient resources are now evident as homes burn and residents flee.In this eye-opening video, we examine how budget cuts have crippled LA's firefighting capabilities, leaving even multimillion-dollar properties vulnerable. From empty water towers to understaffed fire stations, the impact of these decisions is causing unprecedented destruction across the Palisades and surrounding areas. Learn about the real consequences of these cuts:
• 30,000+ acres burned.
• Thousands of structures destroyed.
• 300,000 homes without power.
• Critical water supply failures.
• Firefighters forced to stand down due to overtime restrictions."
Comments here:

Adventures With Danno, "Kroger Shopping After Massive Snowstorm"



Full screen recommended.
Adventures With Danno,1/9/25
"Kroger Shopping After Massive Snowstorm"
Comments here: