Saturday, January 14, 2023

"Has Our Luck Finally Run Out?"

"Has Our Luck Finally Run Out?"
by Charles Hugh-Smith

"Long-term cycles escape our notice because they play out over many years or even decades; few noticed the decreasing rainfall in the Mediterranean region in 150 A.D. but this gradual decline in rainfall slowly but surely reduced the grain harvests of the Roman Empire, which coupled with rising populations resulted in a reduced caloric intake for many people. This weakened their immune systems in subtle ways, leaving them more vulnerable to the Antonine Plague of 165 AD.

The decline of temperatures in Northern Europe in the early 1300s led to “years without summer” and failed grain harvests which reduced the caloric intake of most people, leaving them weakened and more vulnerable to the Black Plague which swept Europe in 1347.

I’ve mentioned the book "The Fate of Rome: Climate, Disease, and the End of an Empire" a number of times as a source for understanding the impact of natural cycles on human civilization. It’s important to note that the natural cycles and pandemics of 200 AD didn’t just cripple the Roman Empire; this same era saw the collapse of the mighty Parthian Empire of Persia, the kingdoms of India and the Han Dynasty in China.

In addition to natural cycles, there are human socio-economic cycles of debt and decay of civic values and the social contract: a proliferation of parasitic elites, a weakening of state finances and a decline in the purchasing power of wages/labor. The rising dependence on debt and its eventual collapse is a cycle noted by Kondratieff and others, and Peter Turchin listed these three dynamics as the key drivers of decisive discord of the kind that brings down empires and nations. All three are playing out globally in the present.

In this context, the election of Donald Trump in 2016 was a political expression of long-brewing discontent with precisely these issues: the rise of self-serving parasitic elites, the decay/corruption of the social contract and state finances and the decades-long decline in the purchasing power of wages/labor.

Which brings us to karma, a topic of some confusion in Western cultures more familiar with Divine Retribution than with actions having consequences even without Divine Intervention, which is the essence of karma. Broadly speaking, the U.S. squandered the opportunities presented by the end of the Cold War 40 years ago on hubristic Exceptionalism, wars of choice, parasitic elites and an unprecedented waste of resources on unproductive consumption.

Now the plan – for lack of any real plan – is to borrow trillions of dollars to fund an even more spectacular orgy of unproductive consumption, on the bizarre belief that “money” can be conjured out of thin air in essentially infinite quantities and squandered, and there will magically be no consequences of this trickery in the real world.

Actions have consequences, and after 30 years of waste, fraud and corruption being normalized by the parasitic elites while the purchasing power of labor decayed, the karmic consequences can no longer be delayed by doing more of what’s hollowed out the economy and society.

Which brings us to luck. As a general rule, historians seek explanations which leave luck out of the equation. This gives us a false confidence in the predictability and power of human will and action and cycles. Yes, cycles and human action influence outcomes, but we do a great disservice by shunting luck into the shadows as a non-factor.

If Emperor Pius had chosen someone other than Marcus Aurelius as his successor, someone weak, vain and self-absorbed like so many of Rome’s late-stage emperors, then Rome would have fallen by 170 AD as the Antonine Plague crippled finances and the army, and the invading hordes would have swept the empire into the dustbin of history. It can be argued that only Marcus Aurelius had the experience and character to sell off the Imperial treasure to raise the money needed to pay the soldiers and spend virtually his entire term in power in the front lines of battle, preserving Rome from complete collapse. That was good judgement by Pius but also good luck.

As we ponder luck, consider the estimate that had the meteorite that wiped out the dinosaurs 65 million years ago struck the Earth 30 minutes earlier or later, it would not have generated the Nuclear Winter that destroyed the dinosaurs. (A direct hit in deep water would have spawned a monstrous tsunami, but no dust cloud. A direct hit on land would have raised a dust cloud but without the water vapor/steam generated by the vaporization of millions of gallons of sea water, the cloud wouldn’t have risen high enough to encircle the planet.) That was bad luck for the dinosaurs, and good luck for the mammals who replaced them.

The global economy has been extraordinarily lucky for 75 years. Food and energy have been cheap and abundant. (If you think food and energy are expensive now, think about prices doubling or tripling, and then doubling again.)

In our complacency and hubris, we attribute this to our wonderful technologies, which we assume guarantee us permanent surpluses of energy and food. The idea that technology has reached hard limits or that it could fail doesn’t occur to us. We’ve taken good luck to be our birthright because it’s all we’ve known. We attribute this good fortune to things within our control–technology, wise investments and policies, etc. The possibility that all these powers that we consider so godlike are insignificant doesn’t occur to us because we’ve enjoyed the favorable winds of luck without even being aware of it.

We are woefully unprepared for a long run of bad luck. My sense is the cycles have turned and the good luck has drained from the hour-glass. Energy and food will no longer be cheap and abundant, our luck in leadership will vanish, and our vaunted technologies will fail to maintain an abundance so vast that we can squander the finite wealth of soil, water, resources and energy on mindless consumption.

I’m reminded of a line from an Albert King song, "Born Under a Bad Sign" (composed by Booker T. Jones and William Bell): “If it wasn’t for bad luck, I wouldn’t have no luck at all.” The next five years might have us singing this line with feeling."
o
Albert King, "Born Under a Bad Sign"

Friday, January 13, 2023

"Russia's Super Duper Uber Winter Offensive"

Full screen recommended.
Defense Politics Asia, 1 /13/23:
"Russia's Super Duper Uber Winter Offensive"

"There are many talks, predictions and analysis by everyone on how Russia will do it's winter offensive. Or would it even happen? And with the change in leadership structure for the Russian Special Military Operation, the winter offensive is looking really likely to happen soon.

DPA believes the 3 deputy commanders of the SMO will be split into managing 3 fronts, with each taking full charge of one front.

Surovikin is likely to carry on his "good work" on the Eastern Front that the fighting is currently raging.

Oleg Salyukov, whom is the commander of all Russian ground forces, is reported to be visiting troops in Belarus. Which is a signal that he would be in charge of the Northern Front. But we do not think Belarus would want to change the status quo, and thus the invasion from the north is unlikely to come from Belarus, but from Russia itself.

Alexei Kim, would then naturally be in charge of the southern front, with either an amphibious operation in the western part of Odessa oblast, or east of Odessa in the Mykolaiv oblast, OR, to start a Zaporizhzhia Offensive towards Zaporizhzhia city through to Dnipro city. Watch the full video for the full analysis."
Comments here:

"On The Road To Economic Hell; Get Healthy And Debt Free Now!"

Jeremiah Babe, 1/13/23:
"On The Road To Economic Hell; 
Get Healthy And Debt Free Now!"
Comments here:

"Target: Civilization"

"Target: Civilization"
by Jeffrey Tucker

"Two weeks ago, Southwest Airlines had a massive meltdown but they weren’t the only airline affected. Flight delays ruined vacations and travel plans for millions the world over. It was never clear why. Oh sure, blame the weather but that has become a strangely opaque excuse. You look outside and the weather seems fine but then someone snaps at you: Can’t you see that the snow is bad in Buffalo?

So on it goes and when the weather excuse runs out, they blame the airlines themselves. And I’m sure there is plenty of blame to go around. One party that always seems to evade responsibility is the FAA itself. The other morning the FAA itself grounded all planes in the U.S. for three hours. Why? It was some computer glitch. We still don’t get it really. It sure felt like a lockdown. Maybe it was all deliberate to get us used to a system that doesn’t work. Maybe we’ll travel less. Maybe we’ll just give up.

OK, you can call me paranoid, and maybe I’m wrong in my speculations about this incident but look at the bigger picture, whether it is forcing electric cars on us or floating the idea of banning gas stoves. The bottom line is that there are people out there who want to control how we live.

Burn No More: The latest thing on the chopping block is the gas stove. The Biden administration’s Consumer Product Safety Commission has floated the idea of a national ban on them based on some cockamamie study that they cause health and respiratory problems.

You say that they can never get away with it? Think again. These regulators are unbearably powerful. They have every intention of carrying out their wishes, and are enjoying every minute of it. They have disdain for Congress and scoff at your protests. They believe they alone are in charge and you have nothing to say about it.

Think of all the stuff they have already wrecked. Look around at your household appliances. Energy-use and water restrictions have degraded the washing machine, refrigerator, dishwasher, the shower, the toilet, clothes dryers, steamers and irons, dishwashers, freezers, and so much more. Even the refrigerators are shrinking in size, all in the interest of institutionalizing austerity.

The clothes washers no longer use enough water to get things clean. The result is that our clothing is dull and dirty compared only to a generation ago. You can add all the liquids you want and it still won’t work. Sure, you can add bleach but that only wrecks the fabric. When was the last time you saw sheets that were truly bright white? There is a reason for this. It’s all deliberate, and caused by overregulation of appliances. Really clean absolutely requires roiling hot water and lots of it, plus phosphates to whisk the soap away. Without that, you get what you have today: dull and dirty everything.

Sadists in Charge: All this should be a clue about what’s going on. There are sadists in charge of the regulatory apparatus. It’s not really about saving water and energy. Even if it were, that alone would be objectionable. The whole point of energy and water is to serve the human experience, not to impose privation on the planet.

Then there’s the attack on the gas-powered car, which allows us to drive long distances even in cold weather and fully control the machine. The electric vehicle is another matter. It makes us wholly dependent on the grid and limits our mobility. In cold weather, it is worse. You end up having to stop every few hours to beg for a charge and wait another hour if you are lucky enough to find a working machine. After a while, demoralization sets in and you decide it is not worth it.

Sure, there are things you can do to outsmart this imposed impoverishment, such as hack your showerhead with a corkscrew to remove the flow stopper. But there is no fixing the toilet, the dishwasher (which now runs for hours just to leave spots), or the refrigerator (which will break in five years anyway).

In time, they want now to get rid of your ability to cook with fire, thus removing from our lives a crucial primal connection to our roots and innate desire to be around it. Ever sat by a bonfire? Everyone stares for hours because it meets an inner need. No one stands around an induction stove. They’re downright creepy. The only technology these people approve of is a thoroughly censored smartphone. They want everything to work like that: centralized, anodyne, and feeding you nonstop propaganda.

How Will We Cook Our Bugs? The very notion that an electric stove is better than a gas one would be disputed by any competent chef in the entire world. Instead of cultivating instincts based on what you see in the flames, you must trust some digital display to know the temperature, which is absurd. I can’t prove it but the heat itself seems different, like the difference between incandescence and fluorescence. One seems real, the other fake.

I’ve cooked on both and absolutely dread electric stoves. There are loads of dishes that require real fire, all of which would be impossible to make otherwise. I was just in a Mexican restaurant that put their chefs on display using stoves with flames that lap up 14 inches over the air and sear the fresh-made pasta as it is swished around in the pan. There is simply no way to do this otherwise.

Fine, if you want some new tech, great. Go for it. But don’t pretend that you are really cooking. You are buying into the baloney. Also, I’ve met very few people who have used both gas and electric who would honestly choose electric. But if they do, again, fine. But don’t force that choice on everyone else. That regulators say it is bad for our health tells all that you need to know about them. They want us living in a fully sanitized, boring, and unworkable environment in which we never have contact with anything real.

Above all else, they are somehow out to demonize fossil fuels, as if electricity doesn’t use coal too and the trucks that transport it and deliver it don’t use gas. They have even degraded the basic gas can so that it no longer works properly. Oh, we should also mention that gas itself, which now includes corn which is sticky, wrecks engines, and causes the gas itself to degrade over time.

Burning Down the House: Do you see what’s happening here? It’s all deliberate. All the things we love and that make life grand are being taken away from us. The larger truth here is that this war on civilization has been going on for decades. History is supposed to move forward with ever higher living standards. That progress has stopped!

The trajectory must end now. Decades of regulations need to be repealed. The whole population needs to rise up and say no to the forced austerity and rule by the elite cadre of techno-primitivists. They have driven down the standard of living by force and are far from done with us yet.

Some good news from the GOP-controlled House: they’re talking about abolishing the IRS and maybe the income tax itself. Neither will happen of course, but such ideas were never in the public sphere in my lifetime. There’s a mighty revolt afoot in the land today. It’s about time!"

"Why China Will Shut Down The Australian Economy In 2023"

Full screen recommended.
"Why China Will Shut Down The Australian Economy In 2023"
by Epic Economist

"For the past decade, China has been growing rapidly. Rapid urbanization and industrialization mean that China is in need of minerals and raw materials. And China’s development thirst has been fulfilled by Australia. Beijing is Australia’s largest trading partner, accounting for nearly one-third of Australia’s exports and one-fifth of Australia’s imports.

In 2019, China accounted for 82 percent of Australia’s iron ore exports. And guess what? Australian coal is home to China’s thermal power stations. But this economic bond is more complex than you think. Australia is also a leading supplier of liquified natural gas to China. This year, the LNG exports are somewhere between 18-19 billion Australian dollars. And if you think this is just it. You are mistaken.

China has also become the engine of Australia’s services sector. Universities in Canberra, Melbourne, and Sydney are home to significant enrollments from Chinese students. As of June 2019, there are around 164,317 Chinese students completing their education on Aussie turf.

Australia might be on its knees And if the Chinese economy does not stabilize in the next few months, we are afraid it would be an economic winter in Melbourne, Canberra, and the entire of Australia.

Inflation is galloping and the unemployment rate is rising in China. At first glance, you might argue that once things get right, Australia would be back to business. Some could also argue that this is short-term. And once Omicron is controlled, Chinese students and tourists would resume their pre-Covid spending habits. But things might never go back to the normal. Especially when it comes to trade between China and Australia. The reason lies in China’s property market crash.

For the last 3 decades, the property sector has been the main fuel for the Chinese economy. Despite the current geopolitical environment, a sudden decoupling from China would be a big mistake since it accounts for almost 40 percent of Australia’s exports. However, it would be wise for Australia to pursue a policy of trade diversion and look for alternative buyers.

For example, when China refused to buy Australian coal in 2020, it went to Indonesian markets. This created demand gaps in India, Japan, and South Korea, which was fulfilled by Australian coal. See, Australia needs to be smart. Dark times await. The clouds of harsh economic winters will remain for a while."

"A 1968 Musical Interlude"

Mason Williams, "Classical Gas"
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Full screen recommended.
Paul Mauriat, "Love is Blue"

"A Look to the Heavens"

“To some, the outline of the open cluster of stars M6 resembles a butterfly. M6, also known as NGC 6405, spans about 20 light-years and lies about 2,000 light years distant. M6 can best be seen in a dark sky with binoculars towards the constellation of Scorpius, coving about as much of the sky as the full moon. 

Like other open clusters, M6 is composed predominantly of young blue stars, although the brightest star is nearly orange. M6 is estimated to be about 100 million years old. Determining the distance to clusters like M6 helps astronomers calibrate the distance scale of the universe.”

The Poet: Jane Hirshfield, "The Task "

"The Task" 

"It is a simple garment, this slipped-on world.
We wake into it daily - open eyes, braid hair - 
a robe unfurled
in rose-silk flowering, then laid bare.
And yes, it is a simple enough task
we've taken on,
though also vast:
from dusk to dawn,
from dawn to dusk, to praise, and not
be blinded by the praising.
To lie like a cat in hot
sun, fur fully blazing,
and dream the mouse;
and to keep too the mouse's patient, waking watch
within the deep rooms of the house,
where the leaf-flocked
sunlight never reaches, but the earth still blooms." 
- Jane Hirshfield

"Sometimes..."

 

"Douglas Macgregor: This Is Much Worse Than They're Telling You"

Full screen recommended.
Redacted, 1/13/23:
"Douglas Macgregor: 
This Is Much Worse Than They're Telling You"
"Col. Douglas MacGreggor joins Clayton Morris to 
talk about the devastating realities on the battlefield in Ukraine."
Comments here:

A Must Read! "America’s Dumbest War"

"America’s Dumbest War"
By Bob Moriarty

"According to documents put out by a report service working for Congress the US has launched 251 foreign military interventions in the last thirty years. The report also says the US started more than 80% of all military conflicts since the end of World War II. We are in luck because the US (Stanford University IT Department says that using the words America or American should be forbidden) may well have fought their next to last war because it is having unintended consequences no one could have forecast. Actually that is not true either. They were forecast.

Before I dive into why this war is so obscenely stupid and self destructive, I’d like to comment about something I have learned about life in general. To succeed overall, you need to be good at something. It could be singing. It could be writing. It could be working as a mechanic or a cook. Actually it could be nearly anything. You just need to find something you are good at.

Once you find something that you are good at, you need to do more of it. Frankly there are a couple of things I am good at that somehow manage to pay the bills but there are hundreds of more tasks I am pretty useless at. So do more of what you are good at and less of the things you are not good at and you will get along just fine.

Can I give you a classic example? Let’s say you work for the government. You got your job because basically you are a freak. You think that you would make a great luggage thief. You take a flight; you stand around the luggage area after the flight and see a bag you would like so you walk off with it. Alas, the baggage area has cameras all over so you get caught.

That would be something you would not be good at. So you should avoid doing it in the future for a happy life. While you didn’t actually get fired for being a freak and a thief, you are not better off; you are worse off so you should avoid doing that again. But you are a freak working for Biden/Obama so you steal a second high value piece of luggage from a totally different airport after a different flight. Also equipped with dozens of totally different cameras. You get caught a second time.

If you are good at something do more of it. If you are bad at something, do less of it. Else there will be consequencesIn the Biden administration being a freak is not an opportunity killer. It’s a basic requirement. And it’s not really the Biden administration because Biden himself is pretty much a freak. He should be in an old folk’s home wearing diapers. Or at least wearing diapers. But this is really the third term of the Obama administration with Obama pulling the strings of his minions, Susan Rice, Victoria Nuland and Avril Haines.

If you were good at fighting wars or even just stealing luggage from airports clearly you should focus on that for a happy life. Alternatively, if you are not good at fighting wars or stealing luggage, you should probably avoid both.

If I was to go down the list of the 251 interventions since 1990 I could probably find one or two that clearly America somehow was better off. It might be a stretch to conclude that. After all, wars are bloody expensive and well, bloody. I was in a war once. We lost. Big surprise. I came to the conclusion that no one really wins any war. All that happens is that one side loses a lot more than the other and eventually realizes it is something they are not good at so they stop fighting.

Saying America won World War II is actually silly. First of all we lost 415,000 of our young men and it cost a lot of money. And you should take into account the fact that the Soviet Union actually fought the 80% of the Germans who died. So if anyone “won” World War II, it wasn’t the US.

But you couldn’t possibly have 251 conflicts in thirty years without someone being better off. That of course would be the Military Industrial Complex (MIC) that both Eisenhower and MacArthur warned us about. The MIC doesn’t care about winning a war. They certainly don’t care about how many young Americans die fighting stupid wars. Their blood represents dividend checks for Raytheon or Lockheed-Martin or DuPont. We now have the MIC running the Defense Department with the FBI, the CIA and the DOJ responsible for determining whom the figurehead president should be.

But to give them credit where credit is due, the MIC and CIA have done the most magnificent job possible with the war in Ukraine. They took a clown running the most corrupt country in Europe, perhaps in the world, that stole millions of dollars from his fellow Ukrainians and murdered another 14,000. Elected on a platform of ending the conflict with Russia and eliminating widespread corruption, he did neither and seems to be controlled by very real Nazis."
Full, highly recommended article here:

Hey Good Citizen! Don't you want to know what YOU 
and all of us have paid $121 billion for?

The Daily "Near You?"

Fairmont, Minnesota, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

"Davos Men"

"Davos Men"
"Your moral betters prepare for their annual, 
world improving confabulation."
By Bill Bonner and Joel Bowman

Paris, France - "Paris is gray. But not grim. People are out and about. Face masks have almost disappeared. But everybody grumbles…and in France, as in America, elite deciders are making everyday life harder. One thing: they’ve banned the use of outdoor heaters, which were ubiquitous in sidewalk cafes. You used to be able to sit outside near the gas heater and enjoy the street life. No more…

Meanwhile, we are working our way through a list of things that can go wrong. The World Economic Forum (WEF) calls it a “polycrisis.” We prefer the half-word “cluster” as it is more descriptive of the disaster to come. Inflation, for example. The WEF’s Global Risks survey signals higher living costs as one of its near-term flash points. And here’s the latest. CNBC reports: "Inflation just dropped to 6.5% - but the 'most important' factor in predicting if it will keep falling is up 0.4%"

In Thursday's CPI report, "services less rent of shelter" showed a 0.4% increase in December. …since wages are "the largest cost in delivering these services," [Powell] said, that might indicate out-of-control wage growth…

There is “sticky” inflation…and inflation of the Teflon variety. The non-sticky inflation includes things that go up and down readily – such as oil and commodities. The ‘sticky’ inflation comes from things such as wages and shelter, that don’t get marked-to-market on a daily basis.

Yesterday’s numbers tell us that the sticky part may become a tar baby – hard to get rid of. In the ‘services including rents’ category, for example, prices are up more than 7%. Much of that is wages. And nobody takes a wage cut to fight inflation.

“Davos Men”: WEF is a sinister organization. It believes the common man is a dope – which, of course, he is. But it also believes that it – or rather its adherents, the great and the good from all over the world – are geniuses, which they are not. They are human too…just better at school…or better at getting their names in the paper…or simply lucky enough to have no tender feelings nor nuanced thoughts that might keep them from making fools of themselves. With no real weight – neither inner dignity nor outward-facing principles – they rise to the top, like plastic bottles, floating in a fetid swamp.

The list of attendees has recently been released. It includes the usual public policy jackasses…as well as a large group of people in private industry who have become “Davos Men” and are ready to lead the rest of us to the promised land. The problem is that when you look more carefully at the land they are promising, it looks more and more like a prison. It is a prison constructed by true believers, who think they know what is best for us.

Which brings us to their polycrises…and to our cluster. Included among the coming tempests – at the top of both of our lists – is the deflation of asset prices and the potential for a worldwide, 1930s-style depression. But looking out further…over 10 years… their survey focuses on bigger threats. Its top five are all related to ‘climate change.’ They think human activity is ruining the planet.

On our list, by contrast, in number 4 position, is a very different crisis – a man-made catastrophe, a little like the disaster in China of the ‘Great Leap Forward,’ in which 50 million people died – caused by an almost religious faith in ‘green’ power.

This Tilted World: WEF could be right. Maybe the planet really is warming. And maybe it will pose problems. But there are a lot of unknowns. Is the planet heating up because of something we do? We don’t know for sure. Is a warmer earth a bad thing? Don’t know. Could we stop it? We don’t know that either. Would we be better off if we tried…how much would it cost? Again, question marks. Would it be worth it? Who knows?

The risk we see is not a climate disaster, but a much more likely public policy cluster. The odds are in our favor. We know of no major, ambitious and costly public policy that wasn’t a catastrophe – from the Crusades and the Inquisition to the trenches of WWI and the jungles of Vietnam…all were disasters.

Yes, there are plenty of squishy unknowns in our cluster too. But the ground is dry. Fossil fuels are 1) cheaper than green energy, 2) already in place and ready for duty, and 3) reliable; they do the job even when the sun doesn’t shine and the wind doesn’t blow.

Replacing fossil fuel with ‘green’ energy, even gradually, will almost certainly lower living standards. (Today’s standards of living depend on energy at today’s prices.) In our developed world, we sit on a fat cushion of wealth, made possible by economies using traditional energy. Would lower living standards be a bad thing? We don’t know. But what about those billions of people who sit on hard benches…for whom air conditioning and automatic transmissions are still a dream? They live on $5 a day…and barely stay alive.

We don’t know. But combined in a cluster of market correction, war, and other calamities, tilting the whole world towards an expensive and untested new energy system is risky. Some of the world’s 8 billion humans are bound to fall off."
o
Joel’s Note: In a pop-up city, nestled in the lush countryside of one of the world’s richest countries, your enlightened (yet ever so humble) overlords will soon gather to discuss your future... your children’s future... and the future of the entire planet. Chances are, you’re not going to like what they have to say. But hear them out; it’s for their own good.

Spirited on luxury private jets angel wings, thousands of personkind’s finest moral exemplars will journey to the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, next week to engage in an cloistered mass debate over how best to organize the miracle of life here on this precious blue orb. Where you can go, and when... How much you can spend, and on what… Which ideas are permitted and which constitute “misinformation.” What is is prohibited, and what is mandatory…

And because their own ideas are so very popular, the Davos Men will only need 5,000 members of the Swiss military to protect them from the plebeians outside the city gates. That’s in addition to the thousands of ordinary uniformed police officers that will be hitting the streets… and the fighter jets that will be patrolling the skies overhead. From the official SwissInfo.ch

Ten days before the 2023 edition, the military has begun work on security installations, the defence ministry said on Friday. Like every year, the military is supporting the civilian authorities in canton Graubünden in preparation for the major event. It notes that the Swiss parliament renewed approval for 5,000 members of the Swiss army to guarantee the security of some 3,000 WEF participants for the years 2022 to 2024. The high-level event attracts wealthy, high-profile business and political figures from around the world, along with academics and other leaders of society.

Safety protocols (for them… not you), include “permanent patrolling by armed fighter jets, ground-based air defense, additional radars, increased airspace surveillance and air police service around the clock.”

All completely carbon neutral, of course. And fear not, obedient prole, while you’re being scolded for driving the kids to school in your soccer van and told “no more gas stoves for you!” your elites will be traveling to the event in private jets which, as we all know, run on compost and solar power. Hermès speed!"
o
Related:

"When We Have Time...."

“How small a portion of our life it is that we really enjoy. In youth we are looking forward to things that are to come; in old age, we are looking backwards to things that are gone past; in manhood, although we appear indeed to be more occupied in things that are present, yet even that is too often absorbed in vague determinations to be vastly happy on some future day, when we have time.”
- Charles Caleb Colton, “Lacon”
o
"The problem is, you think you have time."
- Buddha
o
“There Is No Reality Anymore…”
by Thad Beversdorf

“I‘d love to change the world, but I don‘t know what to do,
so I’ll leave it up to you…” 

“What a great lyric that is from the late 60′s, early 70′s English band “10 Years After.”* I believe this describes that uneasy feeling of discontent that sits deep in the stomach, beneath the day to day exteriors, of so many people today. The world is like a black hole in that it seems to be getting smaller and smaller as the years go by but also heavier and heavier with each passing day.

When I was a teenager and my friends and I were taking reality obscuring substances, one of my buddies (this means you Nichol) would stop us at certain points throughout the night for a reality check. This was just a few moments where we ‘d all gather our senses to make sure the world was still right and then we’d venture back into obscurity. I feel that reality is an old world term. There is no reality anymore. With advances in technology came unending possibilities of if you can dream it they can make it so. The ubiquitous flow of information ensures that the truth is always available but never known with certainty. It means there is no such thing as a reality check. It’s like that dream inside a dream inside a dream. Which reality is real anymore? How deep does the rabbit hole go?

We are raised with pretty standard ideals of what the world is meant to be but these ideals seem to take place only in the movies. It must be incredibly difficult for our young people to reconcile the two worlds, I know it is for me. That which they learn as a child and that which they find has replaced it as a young adult. Our leaders are despicable, arrogant and egotistical fools who pretend we elect them because we don’t see them for what they are. But we elect them because we feel we have no choice. We know what we want the world to be. We know what it should look and feel like. And we know it is not the world in which we live today. I know I’d love to change the world but I don’t know how and so I’ll leave it up to you. And so we continue to move forward down this path, each step uneasy as though something ungood is lurking just around the next corner.

We are able to put that feeling out of our minds for the most part but our subconscious is always aware that things are off. We have all kinds of self help books and new age theories that attempt to make sense of it all and explain why we just aren t happy the way we envision happy should be. Perhaps the only reality is the reality that the world isn’t what we had hoped it would be and we don’t know how to make that right. I’d love to say that if we just stand up and do the right thing, act from our hearts and have good intentions that it could change the world. But quite honestly there are ill-intentioned people that are constructing this new world in which we sub-exist.It is them and us, but they’d never say it that way. Certainly though their intention is not for us to co-exist along side them.

But so we carry on and we, move forward, to the best of our abilities. We accept the good with the bad and acknowledge that everything is a trade off. We believe that if we go to college we stand a better chance in life and so we borrow our first 10 years of post college wages to get an edge over the next guy who is doing the same. When we get out of school we know that it is time to buckle down and get serious. We put our lives on hold in order to focus on the future with the idea that one day we will be sitting on the porch with the person we love, the one we put on hold for all those years, and we will then enjoy our life’s work then.

But then we get further in debt because we need a sleeker car and we need a bigger house but it’s ok because we can just work a little more. And then the kids come and as far as we got to know them they are great, I think. But it’s ok because they just finished college and now they’ve moved back in as the job market is tough out there and so we’re paying off their student loans. Eventually they get away and begin their life’s journey and they take their debt with them. And then we realize, god I’m almost 60. But it feels great because that means soon I’ll be there on the porch getting to know the one I love again and life will be grand at that point.

But then we turn 65 and we realize all those policies that were implemented by all those well-intentioned decision makers have actually left us with very little. And we say it’s ok because we’d be bored anyway just sitting on the porch. And so we take a job waving at people in Walmart but feel like OMG how did I get here. But the shift ends and we go home anxious to spend time with the one we love because, although it’s a terrible thought, we are aware we’re both getting long in the tooth. And so we arrive home only to realize the one we love is now sick and that it’s too late for our days sitting on the porch getting to know each other again. We do everything we can but we cannot afford to help that person who stood quietly behind us all those years as healthcare costs are unrealistically out of touch with reality. And then it hits us that despite taking all the right steps to ensure we have a great life we failed to ever really be happy, to really love and to really accept love. And then it really hits us, this world provides but one shot.

Well, then that feeling of uneasy discontent that shadowed us when we were young is now an intense pain in our heart. And we look out at the world and we ask ourselves how could this have happened? I did everything they told me I was supposed to do, I did everything right! And it becomes clear that life was a chance to change the world, but we didn’t know what to do, and so we left it up to…”

Greg Hunter, "Weekly News Wrap-Up 1/13/23"

"Weekly News Wrap-Up 1/13/23"
Biden Doc Doo Doo, Ukraine Sucking, Fed Interest Increase
by Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com

"Vice President Joe Biden is now in doo doo after government documents have been discovered at one of his homes. They say the documents could be planted, stolen, a national security threat or just plain illegal for him to have. What will come of it? Is this going to be like the John Durham investigations with lots of fanfare and zero results? Is this a ploy to get Biden to step down? Who knows, but Biden is not going to prison for this.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy took time out of his busy war schedule to speak at the Golden Globes, which was a ratings disaster. Zelenskyy reassured the audience, “There will be no third world war.” Zelenskyy has been touting how well Ukraine is doing against Russia. In the propaganda world, Ukraine is doing great. In the real world, it is still sucking. Speaking of sucking, now military brass is starting to worry about sucking U.S. war stockpiles dry after sending more than $100 billion in military help to Ukraine. There is no end in sight to the war or the money funding it.

Everybody is expecting the Fed to stop fighting inflation and start cutting interest rates. The latest CPI data says that is not going to happen anytime soon. Inflation is still more than three times above the 2% target rate at 6.5%. Also, services inflation soars to its highest level in 40 years. Rent inflation is also headed straight up. Expect more Fed rate increases–not cuts." There is much more in the 48-minute newscast.

Join Greg Hunter on Rumble as he talks about these
 stories and more in the Weekly News Wrap-Up for 1/13/23:

"How It Really Is"

"This Affects All of Us"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, iAllegedly 1/13/23:
"This Affects All of Us"
"We got the inflation numbers, but they really aren’t as good as everybody’s talking about. We are seeing the fact that food prices have shot up and energy bills are out of control."
Comments here:

"Strange Prices At Big Lots! This Is Ridiculous! What's Next!?"

Full screen recommended.
Adventures With Danno, 1/13/23:
"Strange Prices At Big Lots! This Is Ridiculous! What's Next!?"
"In today's vlog we are at Big Lots, and are noticing some strange price increases! We are here to check out skyrocketing prices, and a lot of empty shelves! It's getting rough out here as stores seem to be struggling with getting products!"
Comments here:

"Are You Ready? The Entire Central Bank Run Financial System Is Coming Apart By Design"

Gregory Mannarino, AM 1/13/23:
"Are You Ready? The Entire Central Bank Run 
Financial System Is Coming Apart By Design"
Comments here:

Jim Kunstler, "Glug Glug, Gurgle Gurgle"

"Glug Glug, Gurgle Gurgle"
by Jim Kunstler

“When bad men combine, the good must associate; else they will fall one by one, an unpitied sacrifice in a contemptible struggle.” - Edmund Burke

"You thought the Titanic sinking was an astounding spectacle? Looks like the ship of the Deep State got some holes ripped in its hull and may be fixing to go down sometime in 2023. The fun-and-games about voting for Speaker of the House are over. Time to get down to bidness and compel some folks to do some ‘splainin’ under oath. You don’t know for sure who will be chair exactly of which congressional committee, but there will be several of them running at the same time, looking to shake out some verifiable truth from the dumpster of misrule, sedition, and perfidy that America fell into the past decade. Here are a couple of my top outlines for inquiries.

Covid-19. Forget about Fauci for the moment. First, subpoena the various deputies working under him going back as far as the twentieth century and see what they know about the twisted path that gain-of-function research on corona viruses traveled from the DOD’s DARPA to the labs of Dr. Ralph Baric at the U of North Carolina, to labs in Canada, Ukraine, and finally to Wuhan Institute of Virology in China. Then put Dr. Fauci’s ass in the witness chair and wring out the ‘splainin.’ Ask about the patents on the various parts of C-19 and on the mRNA “vaccines” cooked up to fight it, and who got the royalties emanating off all of that. Ask him how he continued gain-of-function research post-2014 after the White House directed it to stop. Ask him to ‘splain’ his relations with one Peter Daszak of the EcoHealth Alliance.

Ask Deborah Birx to ‘splain’ exactly what was going on in that White House C-19 task force. Why did the public health officers demonize early treatments with known, safe, drugs and censor anyone who spoke out against their insane policies. What did the task force know about Pfizer and Moderna’s “vaccine” trials. Ask Rochelle Walensky how come she and the CDC kept pushing mRNA shots and boosters long after a broad array of injuries and deaths presented from their use. Put Bill Gates’s ass in the chair and have him ‘splain’ the labyrinth of funding mechanisms he set up to push “vaccines” all over the globe and how his tentacles happen to penetrate into the World Health Org (WHO). Ask him if he ever had conversations with the leadership of the WHO and the World Economic Forum (WEF) about population reduction and methods for achieving it.

Weaponization of Government. Time for FBI Director Christopher Wray to ‘splain’ how come he sat silently in possession of the Hunter Biden laptop — stuffed as it was with deal memoranda about payoffs from Ukraine and other foreign lands — through the first impeachment of Mr. Trump in late 2019 and early 2020, from the initial House hearings through the Senate trail… when said laptop was full of exculpatory evidence proving that Mr. Trump had a good reason to inquire about those matters in a phone call with V. Zelensky. Ask Mr. Wray what he knows about the roles of “whistleblower” (CIA agent) Eric Ciaramella and Intel Agency Inspector General Michael Atkinson and their relations with former House Intel Committee chair Adam Schiff. Ask Mr. Wray how many federal agents were involved in the January 6 riot at the Capitol building, both inside and outside. Ask him why one Ray Epps was never indicted for incitement captured on video. Ask him why the FBI never made a murder or manslaughter referral in the death of Ashli Babbitt. Don’t let him bullshit the committee about “ongoing investigations” blah blah. Ask Mr. Wray if he directly ordered his agents to monitor and censor social media companies, and, if not him, who did?

Summon the ghost of James Comey to ‘splain’ the finer points of RussiaGate: how he fell for Hillary Clinton’s Steele Dossier prank, how he used Columbia University law professor Daniel Richman to leak info about confidential meetings with Mr. Trump, whether he ordered Peter Strzok’s sandbagging operation on Gen. Mike Flynn. the FISA court shenanigans, the hiring of Crowdstrike instead of using FBI forensic experts to vet evidence, the run-up to “Crossfire Hurricane,” the roles of International men of mystery Stefan Halper and Josef Mifsud in the operations to incriminate Trump appointees, Nellie Ohr’s role as a DOJ-FBI go-between with the Fusion GPS company.

Let’s hear from former CIA director John Brennan about the “17 Intel Agencies” who swore Russia was behind 2016 election interference and then about the 50-odd distinguished intel officers and other high officials who swore that Hunter Biden’s laptop was a Russia put-on job. Ask former Attorney General Bill Barr to ‘splain’ if he was informed about the Hunter Biden laptop when the FBI got it in 2019. Bring back former AG Jeff Sessions to ‘splain’ how the Mueller Special Counsel’s office was stuffed with Democratic Party activist Lawfare cadres, and how he determined if Mr. Mueller was mentally up to the job. Bring in Mr. Mueller to ‘splain’ how he testified that in the two-year course of his inquiry he never heard of the company Fusion GPS.

Find a special booster chair for Merrick Garland to ‘splain’ how come so many January 6 suspects are being held indefinitely pre-trial in the DC lockup on rinky-dink charges under the harshest conditions (solitary confinement, denial of medical care) in defiance of due process of law, in particular the constitutional right to a speedy trial. Ask Mr. Garland why he’s devoting vast resources of the DOJ to pursue ever more January 6 protesters on rinky-dink charges. Ask him to ‘splain’ how it came to pass that he went after parents protesting at school boards about indecent sex ed for little children and racist anti-white indoctrination. Ask him about sending SWAT teams on predawn raids to the homes of investigation targets whose lawyers volunteered to deliver them to the FBI offices. Ask him why he appointed a RussiaGate-involved lawyer, one Robert K Hur, as Special Counsel in the “Joe Biden” classified document matter.

That’s just my short list of areas to begin excavations. The Biden Family influence-peddling operation would be a fertile ground for a dedicated inquiry of a special committee. So would the adventures of Democratic Party Lawfare election engineer Marc Elias, along with the election funding activities ($400-million) of Mark Zuckerberg’s Center for Technology and Civic Life in 2020. I’m sure readers can think of a thousand other matters worth airing in the public arena.

One somewhat disconnected thought, a sort-of postscript: The World Economic Forum’s annual jamboree at Davos, Switzerland, opens this coming Monday. Der Schwabenklaus, Bill Gates, and an international cast of global Big Machers will be in one room for the opening plenary session all at the same time. Think about it. Just sayin’."

Musical Interlude: Bruce Springsteen, "My Home Town"

Bruce Springsteen, "My Home Town"
"Now Main St. white washed windows, in vacant stores,
Seems like there ain't nobody wants to come down here no more.
They're closing down the textile mill cross the railroad tracks,
Foreman says these jobs are goin' boys,
And they ain't comin' back, to your hometown..."

Thursday, January 12, 2023

"Economy Left For Dead AS FED Loses Control; Chickens Starve In California; Inflation Numbers Rigged"

Jeremiah Babe, 1/12/23:
"Economy Left For Dead AS FED Loses Control; 
Chickens Starve In California; Inflation Numbers Rigged"
Comments here:

Gerald Celente, "The Deeper Biden Sinks The More He'll Ramp Up WW3"

Very strong language alert!
Gerald Celente, 1/12/23:
"The Deeper Biden Sinks The More He'll Ramp Up WW3"
Comments here:

"15 Interesting Facts Of The Screwed Up State Of The U.S. Economy"

Full screen recommended.
"15 Interesting Facts Of The Screwed 
Up State Of The U.S. Economy"
by Epic Economist

"The current state of the U.S. economy doesn't look good at all. In fact, legendary investor Michael Novogratz is explicitly warning that “the economy is starting to fall apart”: “We are going into recession really fast, and you can see that in lots of ways,” he said. “Housing is starting to roll over. Inventories have exploded. There are layoffs in multiple industries, and the Fed will continue to hike interest rates until inflation rolls over.”

"Businesses are nervous, and sentiment is at risk of breaking -- even if nothing goes wrong," added Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, "And plenty could go wrong. A severe downturn could materialize swiftly if businesses lose faith, and there is a good chance they will. The economy is throttling back. Way back," he alerts. Several indicators are pointing to more trouble ahead. What most people still don't realize is that we're facing the combined threat of a recession, tumbling stocks, crashing home prices, mass layoffs, and stubborn inflation all at once. And the end game is going to be catastrophic.

Even the four biggest American banks are now getting ready for shrinking profits, Reuters reported. “U.S. banking giants are forecast to report lower fourth-quarter profits this week as lenders stockpile rainy-day funds to prepare for an economic slowdown that is battering investment banking,” the outlet highlighted. JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo, along with Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, are the six largest lenders expected to amass a combined $5.7 billion in reserves to prepare for soured loans. That is more than double the $2.37 billion set aside a year earlier. "With most U.S. economists forecasting either a significant recession this year, banks will likely incorporate a more severe economic outlook," said Morgan Stanley analysts led by Betsy Graseck in a note. The six banks are also expected to report an average 17% drop in net profit in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, according to preliminary analysts' estimates from Refintiv. When even the largest banking institutions in the country are facing financial losses, then we know something really wrong is happening in our economy.

The crisis we're about to face will be like no other. Many experts believe that the recession that is staring us in the face will be even worse than what we went through more than a decade ago. "This one is going to be even bigger because the economy has a lot 'more debt now than it did in 2008," explains economist Peter Schiff. "And Americans are less able to pay it when interest rates rise because the balances are much greater. So, we’re in much worse shape as a result of all the bailouts and all the stimulus that papered over the last crisis. Now the one we’re dealing with is going to be much worse because we kicked the can down the road instead of solving the problem when we had a chance,” he stresses.

It is crystal clear now that the ripple effect of decades of reckless monetary decisions made by our leaders is now catching up with us, and the next chapters of this collapse will be even darker than the ones before. Our entire economy is crumbling down and we're all at risk of going down with it. In today's video, we compiled several stats that expose the dire state of the U.S. economy, as well as forecasts, projections, and warnings from some of the brightest minds in the economic and financial world."