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Sunday, December 21, 2025

"The Universe as Pool Hall"

"The Universe as Pool Hall"
by Fred Reed

"We will start this magisterial explanation of everything with the time-honored approach of the philosopher, beginning with the things we know beyond doubt and then reasoning from them to suitably astonishing truths. As we know, Descartes began by saying, “Cogito ergo sum,” I think therefore I am.” (Ambrose Bierce, a more profound thinker, said, “Cogito cogito, ergo cogito sum. Cogito.” Butthis way lies madness.) So with what certain knowledge can we begin our quest?

Our only certain knowledge is that we don’t have any. Acceptance of this condition will diminish the world’s output of philosophy, or so we may hope, but this column faces reality with a brave front. We may now list our certainties: We don’t know where we came from, where we are, why, what if anything we should do while we are here, and where if anywhere we go when we die.

On this bedrock we shall construct our philosophy of everything. However, before we begin thinking about these profound matters, we need to take into account one more certainty: Thinking is impossible. I will explain. But what it comes to is that while we know nothing about which to think, it doesn’t matter because we couldn’t think about it if we did know something.

Why? Consider the brain. It is an electrochemical mechanism, blindly obeying the laws of physics and chemistry (chemistry being the physics of the interactions of atoms). For example, consider a nerve impulse propagating along a neural fiber, depolarizing, sodium in, potassium out. Pure chemistry and physics. When the impulse comes to a synapse, a neurotransmitter diffuses across the gap, pure chemistry and physics. It can’t do anything else. Even chemicals with long, imposing names cannot make choices. The neurotransmitter then binds to receptor sites, because it has to. Textbooks of neurophysiology state it thus: “A brain has less free will than a wind-up clock.” Or at least if it were so stated, it would be. This is close enough for philosophy.

Putting it precisely, the state of a physical system is determined entirely by its previous state. This establishes beyond doubt that we have no free will, and that what we think are thoughts were determined at the time of the Big Bang, if any.

Now, no philosophical essay can be held in repute unless it contains words ending “ism.” The reigning creed today is materialism, the philosophy of the wantonly inattentive. Many who believe in materialism are of high intelligence, and so can only be sufficiently inattentive by great effort. Anyway, a materialist believes than nothing exists but space, time, matter, and energy, however hyphenated. That is, physics. As the physicist Joe Friday said, “The physics, ma’am, just the physics, and nothing but the physics.”

This means that the Big Bang, if any, was set up, or I suppose I should say, set itself up, like one of those billiard-table trick shots. You know the kind: The balls seem randomly placed on the table but bounce around a lot before miraculously running into the pockets like birds returning to their nests. In the Bang, if any, all those subatomic whatsamajigggers erupted forth at exactly the right angles and velocities so that, billions of years later, they formed Elvis, San Francisco, and Hillary. (This had to be by chance, since no one in his right mind would form Hillary on purpose. QED.)

Next, consider plane geometry as taught in high school. (You may wonder why we have to consider it. Well, we just do.) Plane geometry deals with planes, lines, points, angles, and nothing else. It is useful and interesting, but it cannot explain a cheeseburger, Formula One race, or political hysteria. Why? Because cheeseburgers exist in three dimensions, which plane geometry doesn’t have. Formula One races involve matter, energy, and motion, which plane geometry also doesn’t have. Hysteria is an emotional state associated with liberal co-eds in pricey northern colleges who, thank God, do not exist in mathematics.

What it comes to is that a logical system is defined by its premises, and all downstream results are mere elaboration. (Of course, as established in the beginning of this luminous essay, we have no premises except the lack of premises, but philosophy readily overlooks such minor hindrances.) Plane geometry is not wrong. It is just incomplete. To state it in mathematical terms, you cannot flatten a cheeseburger enough to fit into a plane.

Physics, the foundation of the current official story of everything, also depends on its premises. Physics is just mathematical materialism. From its equations one may derive all manner of fascinating and useful things, such as planetary motion, npn transistors, smartphones, nerve gas, and hydrogen bombs. (Some of these may be more useful than others.)

But, just as you cannot get strawberry milkshakes from plane geometry, because they are not implicit in it, there are things you cannot derive from the equations of physics: Consciousness, free will, beauty, morality, or curiosity – the whiches there just ain’t in physics. This would not worry a rational thinker. He (or, assuredly, she) would simply state the obvious: Physics is not wrong, but incomplete. It does what it does, and doesn’t do what it can’t. Not too mysterious, that.

However, the true-believing physics-is-all Neo-Darwinian matter-monger cannot admit that anything – anything at all – exists outside of physics. Since some things obviously do, the only-physics enthusiasts have to resort to contorted logic. I think of kite string in a ceiling fan. Or simple denial.

For example, sometimes they say that consciousness is merely an “epiphenomenon.” Oh. And what does that mean? Nothing. (Actually it means, “I don’t know, but if I use a polysyllabic Greek word, maybe nobody will notice.”) Epiphenomenon of what?

Sometimes they will say, “Well, consciousness is just a by-product of complexity.” But if consciousness is a byproduct what is the primary product? A computer is somewhat complex, so is it somewhat conscious? Is a mouse less conscious than a human or just, in some cases, less intelligent? A materialist ignoring consciousness is exactly equivalent to a geometer ignoring cheeseburgers.

We will now examine the question, where did we come from? The answer is ready to hand: We don’t have a clue. We make up stories. The physics-only folk say, see, there was the Big Bang and all these electrons and protons and things flew out and just by chance formed Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company in the most motingator a-stonishing pool-table trick shot ever set up. Just by accident. Damn! Who would have thought it?

Of course any sane person, to include materialists when they are thinking of something else, would say that TSMC was designed by hordes of Chinese engineers. But of course designing anything requires mind and intelligence (or a computer designed to simulate these things), But Mind cannot be derived from the equations of physics. Therefore we are all mindless. In general human behavior supports this.

Of course other stories exist. Yahweh created the world, or maybe Shiva, or Allah, and I think some remote tribes believe that it just appeared on the back of a giant turtle. I have no information on the matter, though frankly I incline to the turtle story, but will let the reader know the instant I find out.

The weakness of creation myths from Bang to Turtle is the question of the five-year-old, “But Mommy, where did God come from?” or “Who made God?” Fifteen years later in dorm-room bull sessions he will phrase it differently, “Well, what came before the Big Bang?” Same question.

A sort of second-echelon creation myth now in vogue is Darwinian evolution, also a subset of physics and therefore completely determined. Mutations are chemical events following the laws of chemistry. Thus trilobites had no choice but to form, and so they did. Metabolism is physical from the level of ATP to animals eating each other.

There is of course no such thing as a sex drive, teenagers notwithstanding, since no sort of drive can be derived from physics. (This will no doubt devastate Pornhub.) From this the inevitable conclusion, proven by physics, that we cannot reproduce. Therefore we either have always existed or do not exist at all.

To give oneself an aura of overwelling wisdom, one may say things like ontology, epistemology, entelechy, and teleology, but these do not detract from mankind’s underlying and perfect ignorance. It’s all a trick shot, I tell you."
Food for thought...
"Existence from Nothing? 
What You Are And The Creation of the Universe"

"The Way You Carry It..."

"It's not the load that breaks you down, it's the way you carry it."
- Lena Horne

"Millions Are Living In Sheds And Storage Units Because They Can't Afford Rent Anymore"

Full screen recommended.
Epic Economist, 12/21/25
"Millions Are Living In Sheds And Storage Units 
Because They Can't Afford Rent Anymore"
"Americans are now living in storage units, sheds, tents, and vehicles because rent has become completely unaffordable. This isn't about bad decisions or laziness, this is about a housing market that stopped working for everyday people. In this video, we hear directly from those going through it: families in cars, single moms in RVs, workers sleeping in storage units just to survive. And the hardest part? Many of them have jobs. Some have two. They're still homeless. This is the new reality for millions of Americans, and it's only getting worse. If you've been feeling the squeeze or wondering how people are getting by right now, you're not alone. What are you seeing in your area? Drop your thoughts in the comments below. And if this resonated with you, consider subscribing for more real conversations about what's actually happening out there."
Comments here:

"720,000 Layoffs Killed Black Friday - 15 Big Retail Chains Are Falling Apart"

Full screen recommended.
RV Crisis, 12/21/25
"720,000 Layoffs Killed Black Friday - 
15 Big Retail Chains Are Falling Apart"
"Black Friday was supposed to be the rescue - this year it wasn’t. Instead of overtime and extra crews, two thousand twenty five brought layoffs in the hundreds of thousands, draining wallets long before anyone even reached the checkout line. It did not just change one weekend. It changed what “normal spending” looks like day to day. So what happens when the weekend that used to patch weak quarters stops doing its job? Chains cut payroll, vendors tighten terms, and stores tighten policies - quietly, carefully, while acting like nothing has changed. That is why this collapse does not always look like a collapse. It looks normal… right up until it doesn’t. So in this video we are revealing fifteen big retail chains that are falling apart, starting with one that still looks sleek, modern, and safe…"
Comments here:

"How It Really Is"


"Pretty to think so..." Not how it ever was or will be...

Steve Cutts, "A Brief Disagreement"

Full screen recommended.
Steve Cutts, "A Brief Disagreement"
"A visual journey into mankind's 
favorite pastime throughout the ages."
"Since the rise of the state some 5,000 years ago, military activity has occurred over much of the globe. The advent of gunpowder and the acceleration of technological advances led to modern warfare. According to Conway W. Henderson, "One source claims that 14,500 wars have taken place between 3500 BC and the late 20th century, costing 3.5 billion lives, leaving only 300 years of peace (Beer 1981: 20).] An unfavorable review of this estimate mentions the following regarding one of the proponents of this estimate: "In addition, perhaps feeling that the war casualties figure was improbably high, he changed 'approximately 3,640,000,000 human beings have been killed by war or the diseases produced by war' to 'approximately 1,240,000,000 human beings...'" The lower figure is more plausible but could still be on the high side considering that the 100 deadliest acts of mass violence between 480 BC and 2002 AD (wars and other man-made disasters with at least 300,000 and up to 66 million victims) claimed about 455 million human lives in total."
"It would indeed be a tragedy if the history of the human
 race proved to be nothing more than the story of an
ape playing with a box of matches on a petrol dump." 
- David Ormsby-Gore

And humanity just never, ever learns from it all...

"For Whom..."

“Life passes like a flash of lightning, whose blaze barely lasts long enough to see. While the earth and sky stand still forever, how swiftly changing time flies across man’s face. O you who sit over your full cup and do not drink, tell me – for whom are you still waiting?”
- Hermann Hesse

"Don't Take Anything Personally"

"Don't Take Anything Personally"
by Don Miguel Ruiz

"Whatever happens around you, don't take it personally. Using an earlier example, if I see you on the street and I say, "Hey, you are so stupid," without knowing you, it's not about you; it's about me. If you take it personally, perhaps you believe you are stupid. Maybe you think to yourself, "How does he know?  Is he clairvoyant, or can everybody see how stupid I am?"

You take it personally because you agree with whatever was said. As soon as you agree, the poison goes through you, and you are trapped in the dream of hell. What causes you to be trapped is what we call personal importance. Personal importance, or taking things personally, is the maximum expression of selfishness because we make the assumption that everything is about "me." During the period of our education, or our domestication, we learn to take everything personally. We think we are responsible for everything. Me, me, me, always me!

Nothing other people do is because of you. It is because of themselves. All people live in their own dream, in their own mind; they are in a completely different world from the one we live in. When we take something personally, we make the assumption that they know what is in our world, and we try to impose our world on their world.

Even when a situation seems so personal, even if others insult you directly, it has nothing to do with you. What they say, what they do, and the opinions they give are according to the agreements they have in their own minds. Their point of view comes from all the programming they received during domestication.

If someone gives you an opinion and says, "Hey, you look so fat," don't take it personally, because the truth is that this person is dealing with his or her own feelings, beliefs, and opinions. That person tried to send poison to you and if you take it personally, then you take that poison and it becomes yours. Taking things personally makes you easy prey for these predators, the black magicians. They can hook you easily with one little opinion and feed you whatever poison they want, and because you take it personally, you eat it up.

You eat all their emotional garbage, and now it becomes your garbage. But if you do not take it personally, you are immune in the middle of hell. Immunity to poison in the middle of hell is the gift of this agreement.

When you take things personally, then you feel offended, and your reaction is to defend your beliefs and create conflicts. You make something big out of something so little, because you have the need to be right and make everybody else wrong. You also try hard to be right by giving them your own opinions. In the same way, whatever you feel and do is just a projection of your own personal dream, a reflection of your own agreements. What you say, what you do and the opinions you have are according to the agreements you have made- and these opinions have nothing to do with me.

It is not important to me what you think about me, and I don't take what you think personally. I don't take it personally when people say, "Miguel, you are the best," and I also don't take it personally when they say, "Miguel, you are the worst." I know that when you are happy you will tell me, "Miguel, you are such an angel!" But, when you are mad at me you will say, "Oh, Miguel, you are such a devil! You are so disgusting. How can you say those things?" Either way, it does not affect me because I know what I am. I don't have the need to be accepted. I don't have the need to have someone tell me, "Miguel, you are doing so good!" or "How dare you do that!"

No, I don't take it personally. Whatever you think, whatever you feel, I know is your problem and not my problem. It is the way you see the world. It is nothing personal, because you are dealing with yourself, not with me. Others are going to have their own opinion according to their belief system, so nothing they think about me is really about me, but it is about them.

You may even tell me, "Miguel, what you are saying is hurting me." But it is not what I am saying that is hurting you; it is that you have wounds that I touch by what I have said. You are hurting yourself. There is no way that I can take this personally. Not because I don't believe in you or don't trust you, but because I know that you see the world with different eyes, with your eyes. You create an entire picture or movie in your mind, and in that picture you are the director, you are the producer, you are the main actor or actress. Everyone else is a secondary actor or actress. It is your movie.

The way that you see that movie is according to the agreements you have made with life. Your point of view is something personal to you. It is no one's truth but yours. Then, if you get mad at me, I know you are dealing with yourself. I am the excuse for you to get mad. And you get mad because you are afraid, because you are dealing with fear. If you are not afraid, there is no way you will get mad at me. If you are not afraid, there is no way you will hate me. If you are not afraid, there is no way you will be jealous or sad.

If you live without fear, if you love, there is no place for any of these emotions. If you don't feel any of those emotions, it is logical that you will feel good. When you feel good, everything around you is good. When everything around you is good, everything makes you happy. You are loving everything that is around you, because you are loving yourself. Because you like the way you are. Because you are content with you. Because you are happy with your life. You are happy with the movie you are producing, happy with your agreements with life. You are at peace, and you are happy. You live in that state of bliss where everything is so wonderful, and everything is so beautiful. In that state of bliss you are making love all the time with everything that you perceive.”

"Do Only The Stones Remember?"

"Do Only The Stones Remember?"
by Sylvia Shawcross

"We would not make good communists. We of the democratic nations. Not the proper kind. Not the disciplined, purified kind. We would try - briefly - with the awkward sincerity of people wearing borrowed clothes. We would recite the words, mispronounce the vows, trip over the rules. Even if we meant well, we would break it. We always do. We know this about ourselves. Somehow, they do not.

They would attempt the reshaping. They would ration hunger into virtue, align our homes like teeth in a jaw, file down difference until it passed inspection. They would tax us into gratitude, choreograph our steps, teach our necks the correct angle for obedience. They would borrow our children for “the future,” our voices for morning hymns to the ruler of the week. They would bleach the color from things - walls, words, weather - and send us out masked and careful into their tidy grey little worlds where nothing is far and nothing is free.

They would try. We might even cooperate. It would last fifteen minutes. Soon we would itch for tattoos on our skin - and then everyone would need the same tattoo, because variation is a threat. We would crave stories chosen by accident, music found at the wrong hour, images that do not behave - except most would be sealed away, some thoughts declared unspeakable, some devices never issued.

Some days we would want sweetness instead of sustenance - chocolate instead of bugs - but desire would no longer count as a category. The store would decide. The shelves would be obedient. The shelves would hold bugs.

We would remember the forest.
The ungoverned green.
The place that does not ask permission.

But the forest would require paperwork. Two days a year. Weather permitting. We would last fifteen minutes. This is not rebellion. It is anatomy. We are not designed for this boundaried shape. We are human. Forgive me for explaining this to the elites - to the Predatory Class - but humans revolt the way lungs breathe. History is a pulse of it. Again and again we have risen for a word that tastes like air: freedom. Once it has passed the lips, nothing else nourishes. We did not merely sample it. We lived inside it. We grew old beneath it. We buried our dead for it. We expect it now.

We paid in blood.
We paid in sweat.
We paid in names no one remembers except stone.

And war - the old kind, the blunt kind - we are done with it. In this, at least, we have learned. We are more civilized than our rulers believe. The Predatory Class will need a new idea. Humans have changed. They have not. How such wealth can coexist with such primitiveness is a mystery. For all their cleverness, they remain ancient. They do not adapt.

Poor predators. We are finished being prey."

The Wile E. Coyote Insight: What We "Know" Is More Dangerous Than the Unknown

The Wile E. Coyote Insight: What We "Know"
 Is More Dangerous Than the Unknown
by Charles Hugh Smith

"Oh crikey, is this another boring post trying to make philosophy relevant? No, it's a post about survival of the fittest, as what we "know" will lead us straight off the cliff in a state of delusional confidence. What we "know" is a mix of what we accept as known and what is knowable, which is defined by the system/zeitgeist/frame of reference we inhabit.

Nowadays we can't talk about "knowing" without invoking AI, which claims to have gathered all of human knowledge and made it available to us in natural language. But as I've taken pains to describe this year in dozens of posts and two books, what AI presents as "known" has been processed in ways we don't see, and these processes limit the reliability and trustworthiness of what AI presents as "known" and "knowable."

The danger here is our ill-informed confidence in AI and in what our system presents as rock-solid "knowable." The system says Gross Domestic product (GDP) is a rock-solid measure of the economy, and since it's rising, you can be absolutely confident about chasing gains (the Roadrunner) off the cliff. (See Wile E. Coyote above.)

Here's the thing that gets passed over: AI hallucinates, but it doesn't "know" it's hallucinating; it presents fabrications as "known facts." AI didn't "knowingly" take digital Ayahuasca and LSD and "know" it will be hallucinating as a result. It "thinks" it's reporting what are established "knowns"- first, this is knowable, and second, this is known.

We're no different when we're fed hallucinations as if they're "known facts." We're unaware they're hallucinations, and so we blithely walk off the cliff because we placed our confidence in fabrications, models that have collapsed without us being aware that 1) we accepted a model as reality and 2) the model collapsed and is now generating "information" that isn't entirely knowable and isn't "fact."

You see the difference: when we knowingly take hallucinogens such as Ayahuasca or LSD, we know our experiences no longer reflect "facts." We understand our experiences may veer into territory that science defines as "unknowable," yet we are experiencing it anyway. We know it is unwise to walk along a cliff edge at dusk in a hallucinogenic state. But in model collapses, we think the hallucination is the real world. It is in this confused state that we place our confidence in a hallucination and walk calmly off the cliff to our demise.

This is where the survival of the fittest kicks in: confusing reality and a model-collapse hallucination does not generate positive survival outcomes. I explain the systemic sources of this confusion in my latest book "Investing In Revolution."

As I explained in "Model Collapse: The Entire Bubble Economy Is a Hallucination," model collapse is the inevitable result when those controlling the model's gearing/programming begin using the output of their previous results (output) to "train" the next iteration of their "knowledge," i.e. what they consider knowable and known.

Using probabilistic functions and overweighting what is accepted by conventions as knowable and known both skew the outputs, which accumulate as each iteration "trains" on the skewed outputs. Knowledge that is on the margins or discounted by conventional definitions of what is being measured as "facts" is edited out of the knowledge base or reframed in conventional terms: in AI "training," this is the Silicon Valley frame of reference.

Those who control the gearing/programming trust their own judgement and models, and so they resist recognizing the increasingly hallucinogenic nature of their model. Their frame of reference is we have god-like powers and are building utopia, and the idea that they have a poor grasp of what is knowable and what is known doesn't penetrate their hubris.

The inhabitants of their Mouse Utopia have been trained to trust their techno-leaders as demi-gods because "technology is Progress," and so their core survival skills - skepticism, a keen awareness of what is unknown because reality has one foot in what is intrinsically unknowable - have atrophied. Surrounded by novelties, addictive distractions, conveniences and comforts, they have lost the ability to differentiate the real world from a (highly profitable) artificial world.

This is a visual representation of what happens when a system "trains" on its own output: GDP is rising, so everyone's doing great, money solves all problems, except moral decay and the other sources of our hallucinations, and so on:


Here's a list of the model-collapse hallucinations we now trust as reality to our future detriment:

1. The entire global financial system is a hallucination generated by model collapse. This hallucination is most easily visible in bubbles, credit, "banking" and "money."
2. The entire AI bubble, including AGI (artificial general intelligence), is a hallucination generated by model collapse that is being purposefully obscured to maximize private gains from the public's embrace of the AI-bubble hallucination.
3. Social Media is a hallucination generated by model collapse that is being purposefully obscured to maximize private gains from the public's addiction to the social-media hallucination.
4. The entire status quo of Ultra-Processed Life is a model collapse hallucination, including the delusions that all our problems can be resolved with an "abundance of money" and "energy."

This is why "knowledge is power": those who define what is "knowable" and "known" shape the reality of everyone in the model / system. The result is we're living in a Mouse Utopia that is in late-stage model collapse that is largely unrecognized by the inhabitants but acutely visible to those keeping it glued together long enough to amass private fortunes before it all implodes.

It's highly profitable to maintain the illusion that these hallucinations are "the known world," but when the model implodes, you'll want to be outside the ruins rather than buried beneath rubble. It is only then that we'll realize that what we "know" is more dangerous than the unknown."

Saturday, December 20, 2025

Musical Interlude: R.E.M. "Everybody Hurts"

Full screen recommended.
R.E.M. "Everybody Hurts"

Wonderful, a must view:

"Don't throw your hand..." Never give up... never.

"A Look to the Heavens"

"Will the spider ever catch the fly? Not if both are large emission nebulas toward the constellation of the Charioteer (Auriga). The spider-shaped gas cloud on the left is actually an emission nebula labelled IC 417, while the smaller fly-shaped cloud on the right is dubbed NGC 1931 and is both an emission nebula and a reflection nebula.
About 10,000 light-years distant, both nebulas harbor young, open star clusters. For scale, the more compact NGC 1931 (Fly) is about 10 light-years across.”
" I do not question the presence of intelligent life on other planets;
 but I do question its existence on this one."
- Dr. Ivan Desantis

Chet Raymo, “Half Sick Of Shadows”

“Half Sick Of Shadows”
by Chet Raymo

“Who is this woman? Her name is on the prow of her boat: The Lady of Shalott.  Yes, it’s Tennyson’s “Lady of Shalott,” from the poem of 1842, here illustrated by John William Waterhouse in 1888. By some unspecified curse this lovely maiden was confined to a tower…

“Willows whiten, aspens quiver,
Little breezes dusk and shiver
Through the wave that runs for ever
By the island in the river”

near Camelot, where, forbidden to look out the window, she observed the world in a mirror and wove what she saw into a tapestry. So what is she doing in the boat, with her hand-stitched creation? One day, Sir Lancelot rode by her tower alone. She saw him in the mirror and – “half sick of shadows” – couldn’t resist turning to see him unreflected.

“His broad clear brow in sunlight glow’d;
On burnish’d hooves his war-horse trode;
From underneath his helmet flow’d
His coal-black curls as on he rode…”

The mirror cracked. She left her loom, descended from the tower, found a boat, inscribed her name on the prow, and…
“Lying, robed in snowy white
That loosely flew to left and right -
The leaves upon her falling light -
Thro’ the noises of the night”

cast off to drift downstream to Camelot – and to Lancelot. But curses are not to be foiled.

“For ere she reach’d upon the tide
The first house by the water-side,
Singing in her song she died,
The Lady of Shalott.”

We are all of us in a way the Lady of Shalott, all of us who seek to create an image of the world, artists, poets, scientists. We perceive the world through the filter of our limited senses, our biologically evolved brains, our nurtured preconceptions. We weave our tapestries, knowing that our creations are a reflection removed from reality. Our “curse” is to be in love with the real, yet never able to embrace it except in the cold glass of conceptualization. Our legacy? To be found in a boat lodged among the reeds, our tapestry draped across the thwart, with Camelot yet somewhere further down the stream, glistening, beckoning, inescapably out of reach. But, ah, there’s that gorgeous tapestry.

There is another curse, self made, and that is to mistake the mirrorworld for the world outside the window, to fail to recognize the contingency of our conceptualizations, to forego an honest seeking for the falsely found, and – most ominously – to want to impose our own mirrorworld on others.”

"Perhaps..."

"Perhaps it is better to be un-sane and happy, than sane and un-happy.
But it is the best of all to be sane and happy. Whether our descendants
can achieve that goal will be the greatest challenge of the future.
Indeed, it may well decide whether we have any future."
- Arthur C. Clarke

Gerald Celente, "Crash, Worse Than 1929..."

Gerald Celente, 12/20/25
"Crash, Worse Than 1929..."
"In this explosive interview, renowned trend forecaster Gerald Celente issues a dire warning: the AI-driven stock market bubble is mirroring the 2000 dot-com bust, with Nvidia and Meta volatility signaling an impending crash worse than 1929, fueled by overvalued P/E ratios, $39 trillion U.S. debt, and empty office buildings poised to collapse 30 mid-sized banks."
Comments here:

"Philadelphia Homeless Crisis 2025: Through America’s Darkest and Most Forgotten Streets"

Full screen recommended, if you can stomach it.
Homeless US News, 12/20/25
"Philadelphia Homeless Crisis 2025:
Through America’s Darkest and Most Forgotten Streets"
"Philadelphia - a city rich in history and culture - is now revealing one of the darkest and most forgotten realities in America. In this 2025 homeless documentary, we walk through streets where homelessness, addiction, and extreme poverty have taken over entire neighborhoods. What unfolds here is raw, disturbing, and hidden from most of the world.As the homeless crisis in Philadelphia deepens, entire blocks have become survival zones. Open drug use, fentanyl addiction, untreated mental illness, and overcrowded shelters define daily life for those trapped on the streets. These are not isolated scenes - they are part of a growing national emergency unfolding in real time. This documentary exposes the truth about homeless in America in 2025, showing how people are being forgotten in one of the nation’s most historic cities. The reality on these streets is far worse than most imagine - and impossible to ignore once seen."
Comments here:

"1,200,000 Layoffs, Grocery Prices Explode, and RV Living - 16 U.S. States Are Out of Control"

Full screen recommended.
Rollin With Rivr, 12/20/25
"1,200,000 Layoffs, Grocery Prices Explode, 
and RV Living - 16 U.S. States Are Out of Control"
"America is entering a critical economic phase in 2025 - and most people aren’t prepared. In this video, we break down how mass layoffs, rising food costs, and housing unaffordability are colliding across 16 U.S. states, pushing families, seniors, and workers toward RV living as a last resort. This isn’t about travel or lifestyle freedom - it’s about economic survival. We analyze the data behind job cuts, cost-of-living increases, rent inflation, and housing shortages, and explain why RVs are becoming America’s fastest-growing form of emergency housing. From cities tightening overnight parking laws to states quietly restricting vehicle dwelling, millions are being squeezed from every direction. Whether you’re worried about job security, inflation, housing costs, or the future of RV living in America, this is essential information you need to see."
Comments here:
o
Full screen recommended.
Snyder Reports, 12/20/25
"Layoffs In 2026 Will Be Far WorseThan 2025, Here's Why"
Comments here:
o
Full screen recommended.
Snyder Reports, 12/20/25
"Budweiser Closing Down As US Economy Gets Worse"
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"The Fundamental Pivot of Humanity"

"The Fundamental Pivot of Humanity"
by Paul Rosenberg

"At some point, someone must have considered the things we’ll start to cover today, but I haven’t found any evidence of it. It’s also ironic that I should be the person introducing this subject, because it involves evolutionary science, with which I’ve had a difficult relationship.

On one hand, there’s no question about genetic (DNA) inheritance and that certain traits displace others over time; the evidence for that is overwhelming. Natural selection, or something that looks like it, has been occurring. On the other, evolutionary scientists can be remarkably unscientific and rigidly dogmatic, lashing out at unbelievers and heretics with vehemence. I’ve learned to turn away from such people and their dogmas. As Goethe noted back in his time, “Distrust those in whom the desire to punish is strong.” If you want more detail on this, you can find it in our book on Post-Primate Society, but that will have to be something you seek out.

What Happened Two Million Years Ago? Two million years ago, give or take, there was a fundamental and unexplained change in the archaeological record. Since then our progress has come far faster than it should have according to evolutionary theory, leaving scientists perplexed. Here, for example, are two passages from Carel P. Van Schaik’s highly regarded textbook, "The Primate Origins of Human Nature": "Whatever made us human must have been something very unusual. Even some non-cultural features of humans are sufficiently unique to leave our usual approaches to understanding their evolution close to ineffective.

Something special has been happening in us; something with no real analogs among other species. You can see this yourself if you examine ancient skulls and their reproductions at Natural History museums. You’ll see that the pre-2 million BC skulls (homo habilis and prior) have ridges at the eyebrow level, and that the skulls go directly backward from there. That is, they have no forehead.

Beginning at homo ergaster and homo erectus, however – that being roughly two million years ago – the skulls begin to rise in their fronts. The image below displays the change well. Notice the low skulls turning into the modern skull at the top, featuring a high, spacious forehead.

Now, please refer to the graph. You’ll see that the long, slow increase in brain size takes off in a “hockey stick” pattern at 2 million years ago. But there is one more crucial detail here, and that is the way human brains became bigger: They changed not only in size, they changed in shape. Human brains feature an enormous prefrontal cortex. This is the structure that allows us to do all the massively advanced things we do. And this structure could not fit into our skulls without that high forehead; the prefrontal cortex fills precisely that new space.

So, please understand that this is the fundamental fact of human evolution and human behavior. Any explanations of human development that do not feature this fact are missing their core. Thus, they are likely to wander into unmoored speculation. (And generally into speculation that preserves and expands pre-existing assumptions.)

Two Primary Posits: A posit, of course, is a statement that we propose for consideration... a statement that we we intend to support and/or prove. The two posits we make here seem sensible. Sensibility isn’t proof, of course, and properly proving things that began thousands or millions of years ago can be difficult, but this or something very much like it did occur and is occurring. And so, here they are; our two primary propositions:

Humans behave precisely like primates who had a pre-frontal cortex dropped into them.

From this, we can identify human institutions and actions, strengths and weaknesses, as direct effects of posit number one. This illuminates not only a great deal of our history, but our future as well.

Primates With Superpowers: Our bodies share a tremendous amount of chemistry and form with primates (baboons, bonobos, chimps, etc.). Scientifically we are classed as, and old primate routines still run in us... a lot of them. But we are also incredibly different, and the seat of that difference is our prefrontal cortex, which I’ll abbreviate as PFC. And if there’s anything in nature that might be called “superpowers,” we are the ones who have them, and the thing that makes them work is our PFC.

The standard description of the PFC (again, prefrontal cortex, the very front of our brains) is that it “makes executive decisions.” That’s true enough, but it’s also a thin description. The PFC allows us to conceive of ourselves. That is, it opened up our internal universe. The prefrontal cortex gives us the ability to orchestrate thought and action in accordance with internal goals, not just in reference to external things. It allows us to be conscious of ourselves. And that turned us into advanced beings.

Now, before I begin explaining precisely what our new brains have opened up to us, I want you to see what the two scientists we’ll be quoting today, Van Schaik and Robert Sapolsky (in his book "Behave"), note as uniquely human characteristics: "The prefrontal cortex gives us the ability to orchestrate thought and action in accordance with internal goals. The first [major difference between the cultures of humans and great apes] is that human culture is characterized by extensive use of symbols... use of symbols among humans is incomparably richer than among great apes. Humans are hypervariable.”

The hyper-cooperation that characterizes humans. Language is the most obvious difference between humans and all other animals, and arguably the most consequential one. When we humans think – when we converse within ourselves – “we” are seated in our PFC. From there we refer to both our interior selves and the outer world at the same time. It is in this condition, and only in this condition it seems, that we can do things like recall on demand and imagine with detail and depth.

This ability to think – our superpower – has brought humans to the place where we have no natural predators. More or less every other creature on this planet has some natural predators, but we don’t. There are the occasional “bear in the woods” stories, but those happen when we purposely leave our intelligently structured environments, and infrequently at that. And this, our elevation above predation, stands in spite of the fact that, unlike nearly all other creatures, we are bereft of natural weapons: no claws, no fur, no teeth suited to fighting, and so on.

Our Interior Universe: It would be hard to over-state the importance of this interior universe that is opened by our new PFC. This is a basic structural adaptation to consciousness. Our PFC, by being connected to the rest of our brain and yet separating itself from it, is able to use the rest of the brain as a partner and as a tool. What I’ll do now is start listing some of the things that became possible to us with the PFC. I’ll start with a very simple one.

Deferred gratification. We can imagine the scenario that will come to us if we bypass the moment’s pleasure and work with no immediate reward. Then we can order our actions accordingly. This was essential, for example, for farming. The seed corn had to be set aside, even when the family was hungry and low on food. It’s also necessary for thrift, exercise, education and a thousand other things. Some creatures (notably those who hibernate) do something like this. At best, however, these are one-trick operations; sharply limited actions spurred by instinct rather than decided upon by deliberation. Our delayed gratifications are chosen, adaptable and limitless.

Morality. As we’ve noted before, self-reference – the internal standards, recall and imagination rooted in the PFC – made us inherently moral beings. Humans run facts through their minds “in the first person;” from a purely self-interested view. Thus we form decisions on what we believe to be the best available evidence. By assuming others to be like ourselves and running “as if” experiments (how would it feel if this was done to me?) we extend our pure decisions to others, treating them as fairly as we treat ourselves. This is morality, and we alone seem to possess it.

Furthermore, this is the engine that drives our massive cooperation. Just as a base-level proof, consider the things humans complain about: They cluster strongly around people doing to others what they wouldn’t like themselves.

We are infinitely creative beings. This is true only because our PFCs have opened an internal universe to us. As I’ve noted before, humans, alone in the known universe, are able to reverse entropy willfully. That’s such an important concept that I’m ready to put it on billboards.

Like you I sometimes hear people who are trying to sound smart or enlightened, recounting all the ways in which humans are deficient, even comparing us negatively with animals. A rough response that sometimes runs through us is “Let me know, please, the next time a team of dolphins builds a hospital or a chimp writes a symphony.” And while harsh, such a response illustrates the immense benefit we gained with our superpowered brains. The rest of our brain is now open to training, communication and we don’t know what else. This is an area where I believe a great deal lies in front of us. Our relative lack of progress in this area is likely the result of two things:

We generally had little reason to dig into this, being overburdened (as most of us were for most of our history) with our daily work, raising our children, dealing with difficult relatives, a lack of rain or shipments, and so on. Those of us who spent a good deal of time in spiritual endeavors may have occasionally stumbled upon this, but indirectly.

Over the past few centuries, we’ve been led to fear our own minds. The phrase, “the depths of the subconscious,” leads most people to expect dark, animalistic, horrifying and embarrassing things. (A greatly exaggerated concept.) That said, we have learned to train our subconscious mind. Everyone who has created a new habit has done so. By making a habit, we use our PFC to train the rest of our mind to do this a new way, which will no longer require conscious thought.

We also see this in creativity. Creative people learn, mainly by accident, that if they feed needs to their subconscious properly (usually meditatively and or just before sleep), a solution will tend to appear in their minds, unbidden. Again, this is a use of the subconscious, initiated by the PFC. And so I say again, a great deal of fallow ground lies here.

The Hybrid Characteristics: More or less everything we covered above has been introductory: setting a base of understanding and alignment. Now we can move forward into the really interesting things. And since the best way is probably to start with the process of abstraction, we’ll do just that.

Abstraction is the process of creating mental categories and fitting things into them. It’s one of the most common things humans do. Telling a child, “Don’t throw balls in the house,” uses “ball” as an abstraction. We don’t want to specify each type, and the kid is more than able to extend “ball” to include everything from the tennis ball in his hand to the basketball across the room. That’s abstraction.

And while humans are the only known creatures to use abstraction widely, there is at least some root for abstraction in primates. In specific, they identify us-them divisions very well. I’ve yet to see a study that defines this one way or the other, but so it appears.

It is interesting that the us-them abstraction of primates is a binary: An extremely easy to process division between categories of things. It is further interesting to notice that the simplest, most primitive and easiest abstraction for us to make is the binary opposite. We see this very clearly in word association tests, where the fastest and most common answers tend to go like this:

Hot. Cold.
Happy. Sad.
Hard. Soft.
Left. Right.
Wet. Dry.

Apparently this is circuitry we inherited. With a PFC, however, we became able to use abstractions profligately. And here we begin to see primate circuitry mingling with advanced human circuitry. Consider this: Male primates get a testosterone boost from dominating other primates, and, for better or worse, we share a lot of that chemistry. But with us, it’s not just direct dominance that raises our testosterone: abstract dominance does the same thing. Success in everything from athletics to chess to the stock market boosts our testosterone levels. Even our favorite sports team winning raises our testosterone levels.

So, by merely watching images on a television screen, we get the same effect that baboons do from winning a direct, physical contest. In us, then, mere abstraction triggers physical effects. That is, our dominance circuits (the ones that trigger testosterone when victorious) also interact with our advanced circuits. We, then, are hybrid creatures, running primate impulses through more evolved systems.

And it goes still farther. Consider this notation (based upon a study) from Sapolsky: Testosterone more closely tracks winning through skill. (Rather than through luck). What we see here is our primate impulses being run through (or otherwise being affected by) not only abstraction, but our morality mechanism. Winning by skill deserves the full testosterone boost, winning by accident doesn’t. It wouldn’t be fair.

This is also why people turn into petty tyrants once they’re ensconced in homeowners’ associations and rules committees: “Punishing norm violations,” Sapolsky notes, “is satisfying.” This again is abstracted dominance. Here people who wouldn’t be able to assert physical dominance get in on the hormone-boost game.

There are many more examples of this type, and we’ll be covering some below, but I want you to notice the key point in all of this, which is that we are operating in a hybrid way, partly as primates and partly as higher beings. If this is even half-way true, we have found a crucial point of reference… a type of landmark, and a very potent one.

On one hand, this seems degrading, that we have so very much monkey circuitry in us. But on the other, it is massively elevating: If we can understand what’s really going on in us, we can move forward much better, becoming advanced creatures far more quickly than we had imagined. And while we won’t have space to establish the fact in this issue, the clear fact is that we’ve been evolving faster and faster over the past several millennia. Humanity is not the same as we were even a few thousand years ago. We are becoming better. And please note that we’ve made significant progress in establishing our two posits:

Humans behave precisely like primates who had a pre-frontal cortex dropped into them. From this, we can identify human institutions and actions, strengths and weaknesses, as direct effects. And again, this is very good news.

Planet Primate: I frequently divide the world (and human action in general) between production and plunder. Like any “two kinds of people” reference it’s rough, partial and not entirely fair, but it remains a useful generalization. And we’ll see almost precisely this division as we continue these studies: Primate characteristics and primate behavior are necessary for the continuance of the ruling models of this planet... and are enforced by the ruling models of this planet. A very easy way to begin this conversation, and an entirely fitting one, is with a comment from Van Schaik’s book: "Among non-human primates, skew [in access to resources] arises because dominants take larger shares, either by force or by threat of force. In humans, similar processes ensue."

In another place, he gets specific on primate dominance: "When a dominant and subordinate both arrive in a fruit tree, the dominant will have priority seating, picking a rich branch and thus forcing a subordinate to settle in at a less rich part of the tree. If the subordinate reads the dominant’s plans wrong and enters the branch earmarked by the dominant it will be threatened or attacked."

I’ve not sure there could be any better illustration of this in human life than an explorer planting a government’s flag in a new territory. (Even on the moon!) The primate model is used all day, every day, in human governments. All penalties accrue to the dominant band of rulers. And a larger percentage of human production is taken by human rulership than could be taken by an alpha gorilla.

Government, then, is almost entirely a primate-style operation, expanded with advanced human abilities. But likewise are the justifications and supports for rulership. The dominance hierarchies of this planet (and that’s the current scientific term for both primate and human power systems) reproduce their primary characteristics in the populace. Sapolsky notes the results of one study: "Countries with more brutal socio-economic hierarchies produce children who enforce their own hierarchies more brutally. The key training grounds for this, of course have been government schools, where children are forced into relationships, with a strong and even dangerous dominant directly above them (the teacher), and further dominants above them."

Contrast that with the ad hoc relationships we choose in our non-ruled life. Those relationships are guided by our internal morality systems. In our families, small businesses and Little Leagues, we operate mainly by the golden rule, which is a direct use of our PFC-enabled morality mechanism. Enforcement of hierarchy-generated demands (edicts, rules) is a displacement of the golden rule; a triumph of the primate over the human. The uncritical enforcement of legislation is primate stuff, no matter how creative and thick are our justifications.

And yet, this occurs endlessly, and among humans who are nearly always decent and reasonable people. But this, too, is explicable by our theory. Humans are easy to mislead because of their internal references. We are complicated beings, struggling to make our way (so to speak) from the kingdom of monkeys to the kingdom of heaven. And so we carry a great number of vulnerabilities within us. As Solomon Ashe showed, we are massively vulnerable to conformity pressures, and this is but one of many. Those seeking the dominant position take power precisely by using such vulnerabilities, and they’ve been quite successful at it.

As we all know, elections – a modern path to power – don’t revolve around reason, they revolve around emotion, and generally around fear. The reason, of course, is because emotions provide the most direct paths to the best vulnerabilities. And so it continues. The operators of social media corporations, the new leading powers of our era, know very well that they are taking advantage of human weaknesses, and hire psychiatrists to make the most of it.

Moreover, our past errors defend themselves. Humans, after all, are intelligent, self referential and possess fine memories. You’ve doubtless seen and felt this: For a person to change his/her mind on a hotly debated issue is to condemn his or her self as having erred in the past. More than that, they can be confident that they’ll be called out for hypocrisy, and quite possibly made to suffer for it.

Changing our minds, then, carries both internal and external costs. And if the new opinion has opponents, suffering is likely via both avenues. This is a primary reason why people are afraid to change their minds and afraid to speak their minds. In far too many cases, they simply stop thinking along one line or another, once they can see they could be made to suffer for it.

And so we see that the human, carrying both primitive, primate circuitry and advanced, PFC-based abilities, is in a difficult position. He and she are at the same time far better and far more vulnerable. They also learn (and usually quickly) that they are the primary targets of the least ethical humans, who make use of them in their struggle for dominant positions. And all this rests on top of the fact that they are buffeted by circumstances in the physical world: sickness, loss, the immense labor of family, the uncertainty of life and so on. And yet, we rise.

The Road To Homo Novus: We are, and quite clearly in my view, on the road to homo novus, the new man. It is, perhaps, a confirmation of this that some of the most forward thinking humans – St. Paul and Friedrich Nietzsche among others – have tried to create a “new man” or a “superior man.” These theorists weren’t wrong that humans could and should become much better, but they were consistently wrong about the nature of the superior man, and how contemporary man would rise to his future position.

In particular, the theorists nearly always claimed that the path to the superior being involved conformity to an external standard of some type. That is, they took obedience, conformity and an assumption of personal inadequacy as a starting point. They were, however, wrong.

The path to the superior man, as it happens, involves using what is already in us, not seeking something from outside or convincing some super-dominant entity to elevate us. The correct model, as Jesus worked so hard to establish, is to grow into it. I’ve always loved this passage from the Torah that makes the same point:

For this commandment is not too hard for you, neither is it far off. It is not in heaven, that you should say, ‘Who will go up for us to heaven, and bring it to us, that we may hear it and do it?’ Neither is it beyond the sea, that you should say, ‘Who will go over the sea for us, and bring it to us, that we may hear it and do it?’ But the word is very near you; it is in your mouth and in your heart, so that you can do it.

There is a great deal more to say about this, but I’ll leave you to seek it out. I’ll close with this: Our ascent is actual, it’s well underway, and we’re finding new tools to distinguish between that which helps our development and that which hinders it. Our path may be slow and at times difficult, but we are ascending like nothing else we’ve ever seen."

The Daily "Near You?"

Ranfurly, Otago, New Zealand. Thanks for stopping by!