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Monday, February 17, 2025

"Zachary"

“Zachary”
by Tim Knight

“A handwritten letter arrived in my mailbox last week from a reader. In it was a note from whom I would guess is an elderly gentleman, thanking me for my work both on Slope and on Tastytrade, but politely asking me to use the phrase "God damn it" less frequently, since he found it upsetting. The handwriting on the paper trembled like leaves in an autumn breeze, and it was obvious it took time and effort to send me this two-page missive. It meant something to him.

It never occurred to me that I ever used this phrase in a video, let alone often enough to cause concern. All the same, the letter, as with the many other letters I have received over the years, made an impression. For one thing, it made me wonder how angry I must be in order for this kind of sentiment to seep through, since I wasn't even aware I was saying it.

Which leads me to the topic at hand. Specifically, a man. A terribly deformed man whom I think about almost daily. For now, I'll call him Sup.

One summer evening, a few months ago, I was walking with my family down University Avenue, the central boulevard in our town, and the location of dozens of high-end retail stores that cater to the insatiable appetite of the affluent consumers in my fair city. "Sup?" came from the voice from below. (As is: "What's up?") I glanced around and didn't see the speaker. That is, until I looked lower. There, standing on the brick sidewalk on the corner of Bryant and University Avenues was a person unlike any I had ever seen before.

His head, torso, and arms were normal. There were two things obviously terribly wrong with 1117-suphim: first, his back was completely malformed, with a huge hump, and second, his legs - or what passed for legs - were just a few inches long. He appeared to be mixed race (the politically incorrect term, I think, is "mulatto") and he had a big afro.

"How you guys doin' this evening?", he asked. I stammered that we were pretty good, although I confess being a little surprised. That brief exchange ended the conversation, and my family and I continued on to Umami Burgers for dinner. In the receding distance, I heard this fellow chatting up other people as they passed, asking for a dollar from anyone who would listen.

From that day forward, I paid attention to that corner whenever I passed it in my car or walked by it during my downtown errands. Sup, as I called him, was on that corner more often than not. On occasion, I'd see a special wheelchair near him, which I suppose he could hoist himself onto and roll to wherever it was he lived (if such a place existed). But he was never in it. He was also on the sidewalk at knee level.

What struck me about Sup the most was his attitude. This guy was seriously and, dare I say, grotesquely deformed. When he moved from one place to another, he typically did so by pressing his hands against the ground and swinging his torso and tiny legs forward, much like an ape at the zoo. Although his short stature made him easy to miss, once people saw him, they couldn't help but take note. I can only imagine the range of reactions he's ever received.

But back to his attitude: this guy was relentlessly positive. And I don't mean grinning, giggling, and thumbs-up positive. I'm talking about a self-evident confidence, determination, and cachet. He gave salutations to everyone who passed; he casually smoked on a cigarette while chatting up people who would talk to him; and he made verbal passes at good-looking women as they strolled by (enjoying, incidentally, a supremely good view of their legs from his two-foot high vantage point). In spite of all this, most people tried their best to ignore him. They just felt too awkward (as if they were the ones who were entitled to feel uneasy).

Since I'm an unrelentingly self-referential twit, I pondered these observations in the context of my own behavior. Here was this guy who had every reason to feel sorry for himself. His tremendous physical deformities were going to dominate whatever impression he might possibly give to someone. He was begging on a street corner for dollar bills. He was being passed every day by countless numbers of people, many of them affluent, some of them stinking rich, while he begged for a little money to eat. And yet he was totally unfazed (in spite of, I wager, some cruel reactions or mean utterances offered by heartless strangers).

I, on the other hand, have a PhD in self-pity. I'm a white American male - by definition, a privileged class - who has a perfectly good body, good health, a zillion dollar house, and enough money to live the rest of my life without working another day. I've got a beautiful wife, magnificent children, and a good income that doesn't rob me of any personal freedom. And yet I am seized on a virtually daily basis with how miserable and rotten my life is, and how I don't deserve any of the bad things that have ever happened to me. I dare feel sorry for myself due to solvable personal problems or the fact the stupid stock market refuses to fall.

Sure, if I cornered you and shared a couple of drinks, I could probably conjure up enough tales-of-woe to get you to agree that, yeah, poor Tim is a pathetic sumbitch, and it's no wonder he's often tempted to jump in front of the next CalTrain that passes by. Indeed, most people on this planet would be able to surgically extract some sliver of their lives and make it seem sad. Hell, Elon Musk could surely give grisly tales from his multiple failed marriages, although I imagine it would be a Herculean feat for anyone to actually conjure up sympathy for the guy.

Sup, in sharp contrast to this morose malaise, was just plain cool. On more than one occasion, I'd see that he had managed to coax a couple of women - attractive young women - over to talk to him, and he was just smoking his cig, chatting them up, casual as could be. I don't know what he said to get their attention, but whatever it was, it worked. God knows the guy has chatted up more good-looking women than I ever have in my own life. That's me in the corner.

I've long been tempted to interview the guy, because there's so much I want to know about him. Where is he from? What's his background? What's his physical malady all about? What are the most interesting, kind, and nasty things people have said to him? What are some interesting stories from the many months he's been hanging out at this particular corner? What does he hope the future brings to him? How does he manage to stay so upbeat?

I haven't done the interview yet, and I'm not sure if I ever will. I mean, it takes a certain amount of gumption to start quizzing a guy up and down; he might react poorly to the whole thing. But I've got a suspicion he would be all too glad to tell his story. I'm more worried about my ability to do the interview than his interest in answering my questions.

However, I took one baby step in that direction a few days ago. I was walking by, and as usual, he tosses out - "Sup, man? Got a dollar for me?" I was on my way to my mailbox, so I replied, "In a minute." I suppose he gets this kind of brush-off all the time, but I was sincere. I was going to come back with a dollar in a minute, because there was something I wanted to buy with it.

"Yo, yo!" he said as I returned to the corner. I handed him a dollar and asked, "What's your name?" In my mind, the question was "What's your real name?", since I had known him as "Sup" all these months.

"Zachary."
"OK, have a good night." And I left.

So now at least I had a real name for this person. That was a more dignified, after all, since I had heretofore attached a goofy moniker to him. But I really need to interview this guy one of these days. In a way, I admire him, even though his disposition and attitude just make me loathe myself even worse than before. I mean, seriously, what right do I have?

So be it. Zachary is one tough hombre. Respect.”

"The Only Animal..."

"Man is the only animal that laughs and weeps; for he is the only animal that is
struck with the difference between what things are, and what they ought to be."
- William Hazlitt

"How It Really Is"

As always...

Dan, I Allegedly, "I’ve Been Banned for Life from Walmart"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly, 2/17/25
"I’ve Been Banned for Life from Walmart"
"Banned from Walmart for life - can you believe it? In today’s video, we’re talking about how one woman’s self-checkout scam led to her being banned from all 4,600 Walmart locations nationwide. It’s wild! From sneaky barcode swaps to store policies cracking down on theft, Walmart is taking major steps to combat fraud - and it’s impacting everyone. Plus, I’m sharing updates on layoffs, economic shifts, and some shocking stories about GrubHub, Chase Bank, and Panera Bread closures. We’ve got a lot to cover, so stick around as we dive into the consequences of these scams and how they’re changing the way we shop. Self-checkout drama, rising egg prices, and even AI job cuts - it’s all here. Don’t miss the insights and advice on staying valuable in your job during these uncertain times."
Comments here:

Bill Bonner, "Forget the Tariffs"

"Forget the Tariffs"
by Bill Bonner

Baltimore, Maryland - "How it brings back memories! Back in the 1970s, as head of the National Taxpayers’ Union, we thought we could shame Congress into reducing spending by pointing out all the many wasteful, and often silly, ways the money got spent. Highways to nowhere…’studies’ of the obvious…fraud and improper payments -  millions of dollars were being wasted. But who cared? The purpose of the federal government is to transfer money from the public to the special interests. ‘Waste’ was just part of the deal.

And now the amounts are in billions and Elon is hard at work trying to eliminate ‘waste’ and ‘inefficiency’ - along with sending men to mars, boring huge holes in the ground, dominating the electric car market and doing $100 billion mergers and acquisitions.Is he sincere? Is The Donald behind him? Or, are they both just putting on a show?

We don’t know. But it will take more than just grandstanding to change the course of history. And it will require more than a sneaky tax hike to bring deficits under control. Herewith, among other things, is what we learned 50 years ago. “Tariffs are going to make us rich as Hell,” says Trump. Nobody believes it. Tariffs benefit select insiders with good lobbyists who are able to sell mediocre products at higher prices. In no case in history have tariffs ever made consumers better off.

And now this. Forbes: "Trump Says Value-Added Taxes Will Be Considered Tariffs." "President Donald Trump said Saturday value-added taxes, taxes levied to goods during each stage of production which are widely used in Europe, will be considered tariffs as part of the reciprocal tariff plan he argues would level the playing field in global trade - though economists project they would increase inflation this year.

Huh? The president proposes ‘reciprocal tariffs?’: "They charge us, we charge them. It’s the same thing, and I seem to be going in that line as opposed to a flat fee tariff.” Poor Mr. Trump… he doesn’t know where he’s going. No compass. No star to steer by. Tariffs for friends and foe. For immigration control…drug wars…foreign policy scams…25%…60%…10%… whatever.

He now says that when a foreign country taxes its citizens with VAT, he should do the same…but as a ‘tariff.’ ‘Reciprocal’ sounds fair. But if King Herod decides to murder all the children of Judea, should we murder our children too, just to stay even? In the 1960s, should we have let our central planners take charge…forced Americans to do pointless work…and made them all poor-- just to keep up with the Soviet economy?

Trump is right about one thing. A tariff is a tax. But it doesn’t make us rich; it makes us poor, falling mostly on our own households… not foreign countries nor big corporations. As we showed last week, real incomes are dropping, not rising, under the weight of 9% everyday price inflation. Even the feds’ inflation numbers show prices on the rise. CNN: "US inflation heats up to 3% for first time since June Consumer prices rose 0.5% from December - the fastest pace since August 2023 - resulting in an annual inflation rate of 3% for the 12 months that ended in January….

“The long national nightmare of inflation isn’t over yet for consumers, businesses, and investors,” Chris Rupkey, chief economist at FwdBonds, wrote in commentary issued Wednesday morning. “There could be some seasonality that pushes prices up at a faster clip in January, but today the news for [Federal Reserve] officials is all bad.”

Further evidence comes from Bloomberg: "The share of outstanding US consumer debt that’s in delinquency rose in the fourth quarter to the highest in almost five years, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York report. Total household debt - which is primarily composed of mortgages, student loans, auto loans and credit-card balances - rose 0.5% to a record $18 trillion.

We’ve gotten no call from the White House. But if Mr. Trump asked for our advice, we’d give it to him straight: Forget the tariffs. What really matters is the total amount of a society’s output that is crippled, diverted, or wasted by the feds. The more the feds take…the less is left for everyone else. The challenge is simple to understand, but hard to do: you have to reduce spending, regulations, taxes (including tariffs), and inflation…not add to them. And don’t squander your time squabbling with federal employees or trying to root out ‘waste.’ Instead, just cut the budget. Spending must be reduced, not by a few billions here and there, but by trillions of dollars. Milei in Argentina cut government spending by 40% in his first year in office.

So much hot air and smoke coming from the DC area, but is there a burning desire to reduce the size and the reach of the federal government? Back in the ‘70s, we might as well have been rubbing two wet sticks together. We got nowhere. Then, Ronald Reagan was elected. His budget director, David Stockman, made a valiant effort to slow spending, too. When that failed there were various rear-guard actions up to and including the Tea Party movement in this century. But the feds won every battle. Then as now, big government makes it possible for elites to get something at others’ expense. They won’t give it up until the money runs out. Stay tuned."

"Meta Firing 4000 Workers as Tech Workers Have 0 Jobs"

Full screen recommended.
Market Gains, 2/17/25
"Meta Firing 4000 Workers as 
Tech Workers Have 0 Jobs"
Comments here:
o
Full screen recommended.
Market Gains, 2/17/25
"Redfin Fires Hundreds of Workers as 
Tech Sector Collapses"
Comments here:

Adventures With Danno, "Kroger: This Was A Bad idea, But Here We Go"

Full screen recommended.
Adventures With Danno, 2/17/25
"Kroger: This Was A Bad idea, 
But Here We Go"
Comments here:

Jim Kunstler, "Krakatoa Blows"

"Krakatoa Blows"
by Jim Kunstler

“'Save democracy' is code phrase for a club of delusional people who belong 
to a delusional group that does delusional things to justify their delusions.” 
- Wendy Williamson

"You’ve got to wonder who at CBS-News thinks it’s a good idea to quadruple down on mendacious grandstanding when the network faces a $20-billion lawsuit from Donald Trump - for assisting Kamala Harris’s campaign (aka election interference) - while the FCC under new Commissioner Brendan Carr questions the network’s license to operate on the grounds of “news distortion” and violation of the broadcast news fairness doctrine.

So, on Sunday night February 16, CBS’s flagship news show, 60-Minutes, pitched a doubleheader of knowingly faked-up feature pieces intended to scramble American minds to benefit the Party of Chaos and its manager, the US Intel Blob. The first piece was a sob-story on how sad and unjust DOGE’s deconstruction of the USAID money-laundering operation is. Yeah, boo-hoo. They interviewed several part-timers and consultants pretending to be long-term employees of the outfit. Complete horse-shit, and they knew it. What really matters is that a whole lot of bureaucrat grifters (and politicians) won’t get paid anymore...and the Blob won’t be able to soften-up faraway nations for plunder with its color revolutions and other hijinks.

The second piece was a ringing endorsement of Germany’s current censorship campaign, arresting ordinary citizens for mean tweets. Their camera crew followed the German Gedankenpolizei entering apartments and seizing cell phones. The viewing audience was asked to shed tears for German Green Party politician, Renate Künast, who got dissed on “X” (“misogynist comments” and insults) - the same week that an Islamic immigrant maniac drove a car into a Munich crowd on-purpose, injuring 39 people, including two dead (one, a child). No mention of that incident on 60-Minutes, or, more generally, that illegal immigration is the big taboo subject behind all the censorship.

CBS actually preceded that gaslighting job with a bit of Sunday morning constructed Orwellian fake syllogistic idiocy by Face the Nation host Margaret Brennan, who said that free speech caused the Holocaust against the Jews. Her reasoning: free speech allowed the Nazis to gain power, therefore...Auschwitz...therefore, free speech is bad. Guest, Sec’y of State Marco Rubio, told her that he could not associate himself with her thesis. In fact, once in power, the Nazis totally controlled speech and news and did not permit other political parties to even exist. All of this, you understand, is just deliberate Gramscian distortion-and-perversion of language - black is white, up is down - to defeat any attempt at coherent public debate today.

The conclusion you might draw from all this is that CBS is terrified of free speech, and is trying desperately to hide the Blob’s long-running criminal racketeering activity - which they have aided and abetted for years and deserve to lose their license over, plus pay billions in penalties, and go out of business - a rather existential predicament.

Reality distortion is no longer working so well with Mr. Trump in the White House. Here is what’s behind the USAID brouhaha and why it matters. By 2016, the Blob had become a fullblown, independent, parasitical organism on US governance. It had several purposes: 1) to keep itself in perpetual power by paying off its voting blocs of “the poor and marginalized,” 2) to pay its corps of bureaucrat managers (of the “poor and marginalized”) handsome salaries to win their everlasting allegiance, and 3) to pay-off elected officials to keep voting the money flows for all that. All this created a massive class of Democratic Party activists dedicated to overthrowing the republic so as to usher-in their social equity nirvana. And all that was sheer hubris. More recently, nemesis arrived on the scene and all this institutional Blob power had to be diverted to a massive ass-covering operation, now in full, florid failure. And, worst of all for the Blobists, evidence of actual crime is accruing at a frightful, fast pace.

With the confirmation of Kash Patel later this week, Mr. Trump’s agency team will be complete. What follows will be a Krakatoa of revelation, drastically altering the climate of US politics for years to come. You should learn exactly how many FBI and CIA agents were moiling and roiling in the J-6 mob. You’ll find out what the J-6 DNC pipe bomb caper was all about. You’ll find out why RussiaGate was never properly investigated or adjudicated... how the Adam Schiff/Alexander Vindman/Eric Ciaramella impeachment op worked...how the Clinton Foundation made a zillion dollars...where all the money went that got poured into Ukraine... and much much more.

You will also soon start getting some actually reliable information out of CDC, FDA, NIH, and other public health agencies. Do you suppose that Tony Fauci is the only person who must answer for Covid-19? I expect many of the following persons who were high-ranking officials - nearly all of them completely obscure to the public - to be asked under oath what they thought they were doing:

Robert R. Redfield, M.D. — Director of the CDC

H. Clifford Lane, M.D. — Deputy Director for Clinical Research and Special Projects, Clinical Director, NIAID

Sarah W. Read, M.D., M.H.S. — NIAID Principal Deputy Director

Jill R. Harper, Ph.D. — NIAID Deputy Director, Science Management

Carl W. Dieffenbach, Ph.D. — Director, Division of AIDS

Daniel Rotrosen, M.D. — Director, Division of Allergy, Immunology, and Transplantation

Emily Erbelding, M.D., M.P.H. — Director, Division of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases

Anne Schuchat, M.D. — Principal Deputy Director, CDC

Sherri A. Berger, Ph.D. — Chief Operating Officer, CDC

Debra Houry, M.D., M.P.H. — Acting Director, CDC's National Center for Injury Prevention and Control

Nancy Messonnier, M.D. — Director, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases

Francis S. Collins, M.D., Ph.D. — Director, NIH

John Jernigan, M.D., M.S. — Director, Division of Healthcare Quality Promotion

Ruth J. Etzel, M.D., Ph.D. —Director, National Center for Environmental Health/Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR)

Dana Meaney-Delman, M.D. — Acting Director, Office of Public Health Preparedness and Response

Lawrence A. Tabak, D.D.S., Ph.D. — Principal Deputy Director, NIH

Joshua A. Gordon, M.D., Ph.D. — Director, National Institute of Mental Health


Walter J. Koroshetz, M.D. — Director, National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke

Gary H. Gibbons, M.D. — Director, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute

Richard J. Hodes, M.D. — Director, National Institute on Aging

Shannon N. Zenk, Ph.D., M.P.H., R.N. — Director, National Institute of Nursing Research

I’m sure many more names can be added to the list. They must have known, and found out early on, that Covid-19 was created with US Government grants (possibly through DARPA), that the mRNA vaccines were ineffective and harmful, that the lockdowns were shuck and jive, and that public health officials were paid a lot of money in royalties while all this was going on. If they haven’t shredded or deleted the info - and it’s still possible that Tulsi Gabbard can find it, anyway - the gaslight will finally get turned off and the sunlight will shine in. You know this is going to happen."
o

"Economic Market Snapshot 2/17/25"

"Economic Market Snapshot 2/17/25"
Down the rabbit hole of psychopathic greed and insanity...
Only the consequences are real - to you!
"It's a Big Club, and you ain't in it. 
You and I are not in the Big Club."
- George Carlin
o
Market Data Center, Live Updates:
Comprehensive, essential truth.
Financial Stress Index

"The OFR Financial Stress Index (OFR FSI) is a daily market-based snapshot of stress in global financial markets. It is constructed from 33 financial market variables, such as yield spreads, valuation measures, and interest rates. The OFR FSI is positive when stress levels are above average, and negative when stress levels are below average. The OFR FSI incorporates five categories of indicators: creditequity valuationfunding, safe assets and volatility. The FSI shows stress contributions by three regions: United Statesother advanced economies, and emerging markets."
Job cuts and much more.
Commentary, highly recommended:
"The more I see of the monied classes,
the better I understand the guillotine."
- George Bernard Shaw
Oh yeah... beyond words. Any I know anyway...
And now... The End Game...
o

Sunday, February 16, 2025

"Douglas MacGregor: Israel & Iran: Why The Conflict Will Lead to WW3, Ukraine War Decided"

Soar Financially, 2/16/25
"Douglas MacGregor: Israel & Iran: 
Why The Conflict Will Lead to WW3, Ukraine War Decided"
"In this episode of Soar Financially, Kai Hoffmann speaks with Colonel Douglas MacGregor, a renowned geopolitical expert. They discuss the rising tensions between Israel and Iran, the ongoing war in Ukraine, and the shifting balance of global power. MacGregor shares his insights on why the U.S. is closer to disaster than many realize, how NATO is weakening, and why a major regional conflict could erupt by March. They also explore China’s strategic position, Russia’s growing influence, and whether the U.S. is prepared for the challenges ahead. Is NATO on the path to extinction? Will the Middle East crisis spiral into a WW3? And what does this all mean for global stability in 2025?"
Comments here:

"$100 For Dinner: Families Are Cracking Under Inflation; U.S. Soldiers Going Hungry; Ft. Knox Audit"

Jeremiah Babe, 2/16/25
"$100 For Dinner: Families Are Cracking Under Inflation; 
U.S. Soldiers Going Hungry; Ft. Knox Audit"
Comments here:

Musical Interlude: 2002, "River Of Stars"

Full screen recommended.
2002, "River Of Stars"

"A Look to the Heavens"

"NGC 1333 is seen in visible light as a reflection nebula, dominated by bluish hues characteristic of starlight reflected by interstellar dust. A mere 1,000 light-years distant toward the heroic constellation Perseus, it lies at the edge of a large, star-forming molecular cloud. 
This telescopic close-up spans about two full moons on the sky or just over 15 light-years at the estimated distance of NGC 1333. It shows details of the dusty region along with telltale hints of contrasty red emission from Herbig-Haro objects, jets and shocked glowing gas emanating from recently formed stars. In fact, NGC 1333 contains hundreds of stars less than a million years old, most still hidden from optical telescopes by the pervasive stardust. The chaotic environment may be similar to one in which our own Sun formed over 4.5 billion years ago."

"Could Be Worse..."

"I'd been in hairier situations than this one. Actually, it's sort of depressing, thinking how many times I'd been in them. But if experience had taught me anything, it was this: No matter how screwed up things are, they can get a whole lot worse."
- Jim Butcher
Dig your way out, they said...

"Amazon Firing 1,700 Workers as Entire Warehouses Close"

Full screen recommended.
Market Gains, 2/16/25
"Amazon Firing 1,700 Workers as 
Entire Warehouses Close"
Comments here:
"So far 27,000 layed off..."
o
Full screen recommended.
Market Gains, 2/16/25
"3,000 Employees Just Got Fired From The CDC"
Comments here:
o
Full screen recommended.
ThisisJohnWilliams, 2/16/25
"The End of Government Jobs, 
300,000 Federal Workers Fired in 7 Days"
Comments here:

Includes a horrifying, comprehensive report.

What happens to all these people? Where will they go?

The Daily "Near You?"

Sand Springs, Oklahoma, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

The Poet: Robinson Jeffers, "We Are Those People"

"We Are Those People"

"I have abhorred the wars and despised the liars,
laughed at the frightened
And forecast victory; never one moment's doubt.
But now not far, over the backs of some crawling years, the next
Great war's column of dust and fire writhes
Up the sides of the sky: it becomes clear that we too may suffer
What others have, the brutal horror of defeat -
Or if not in the next, then in the next - therefore watch Germany
And read the future. We wish, of course, that our women
Would die like biting rats in the cellars,
our men like wolves on the mountain:
It will not be so. Our men will curse, cringe, obey;
Our women uncover themselves to the grinning victors
for bits of chocolate."

- Robinson Jeffers, 1937

"Danger..."

“At the approach of danger there are always two voices that speak with equal force in the heart of man: one very reasonably tells the man to consider the nature of the danger and the means of avoiding it; the other, even more reasonable, says that it is too painful and harassing to think of the danger, since it is not a man’s power to provide for everything and escape from the general march of events; and that it is therefore better to turn aside from the painful subject till it has come, and to think of what is pleasant. In solitude a man generally yields to the first voice; in society to the second.”
- Leo Tolstoy, “War and Peace”
“All our mortal lives are set in danger and perplexity: one day to prosper,
and the next – who knows? When all is well, then look for rocks ahead.”
- Sophoclese, “Philoctetes”
Free Download:
A little light reading from Tolstoy…
Freely download “War and Peace”, by Leo Tolstoy, here:

"Once Upon a Time, The End"

"Once Upon a Time, The End"
by Martin Zamyatin

"Those that can make you believe absurdities
can make you commit atrocities."
- Voltaire

"The small group of devoted followers gathered around Chicago housewife Dorothy Martin sat in stunned silence as the clock on her suburban living room wall struck midnight on the twentieth of December, 1954…and nothing happened. Many had left jobs and spouses and given away all their money and possessions in order to await the arrival of alien beings from the planet Clarion, who Martin had assured them would descend at that appointed hour, carrying the faithful few off in their flying saucers just before huge floods engulfed the planet Earth. Finally, four hours after their scheduled departure time, Martin broke her silence.

As the group readjusted their bras, belts, and zippers - having been instructed to discard any metal objects which might interfere with the aliens’ telepathic radio transmissions - their tearful host revealed the reason why their intergalactic rescuers had failed to appear: Apparently it had all been only an elaborate test of faith, and the group’s advanced state of enlightenment had saved the entire planet from a watery destruction!

Surprisingly, only one or two of Martin’s followers were unconvinced by this perfectly rational explanation. Among them, however, was social psychologist Leon Festinger, who had secretly infiltrated the group. Festinger would later write about Martin - using the pseudonym of Marian Keech - in his groundbreaking 1958 book, "When Prophecy Fails." (Not surprisingly, Festinger is credited with coining the psychological term ‘cognitive dissonance.’)

Following publication of Festinger’s book, the group predictably collapsed under the weight of public ridicule. Martin fled to Peru to warn the clueless natives about the imminent re-emergence of Atlantis, before later resurfacing in Arizona, where she joined crackpot L. Ron Hubbard’s nascent pseudoscientific movement, Scientology.

It seems that for as long as people have inhabited the world, they have anticipated its imminent demise. (In fact, the oldest known apocalyptic prediction is depicted on Assyrian tablets from 2800 BC.) In what may be the earliest example in European folklore, a Frankish villager wandered off into the forest in 591, only to be accosted by a swarm of ravenous flies. Overwhelmed, the poor fellow completely lost his mind and returned to his village clothed in animal pelts, claiming he was Jesus Christ, sent to gather his flock before the coming Rapture. (Perhaps resenting the competition, a local bishop hired a gang of thugs to capture the Lord of the Flies, who they rapturously hacked into little bits.)

The failure of one apocalyptic prophecy not only failed to deter its devoted followers but in fact spawned several entirely new religions. When the world failed to end as predicted in the ‘Great Disappointment’ of 1843-44, Massachusetts preacher William Miller’s tens of thousands of followers splintered off to found the Seventh Day Adventists, as well as the obnoxious doorknockers known as Jehovah’s Witnesses. When the next fateful year of 1874 passed without the desired fireworks, the latter’s charismatic founder, Charles Taze Russell, explained that Jesus had indeed returned, but was invisible to all except the truly devout. (Predictably, few dared admit to being lacking in the requisite level of faith.)

The founder of Mormonism, Joseph Smith, had declared way back in 1832 that 1890 would be the year of Jesus’s long awaited return engagement. (Later jailed for fraud, Smith somehow failed to predict his own deliverance by an angry mob at age 39.) Russell revised the fateful year to 1881…then 1914…and finally, 1918. (The latter dates spanned World War I and the Spanish Flu epidemic, events that while apocalyptic for many, fell short of being world ending.)

Our own time has seen the horrors of the Peoples Temple - in which 914 adults and children committed suicide in the jungles of Guyana in 1978; the Branch Davidians, an offshoot of the Seventh Day Adventists - 75 of whom died in the FBI standoff at Waco in 1993; Aum Shinri Kyo -whose poison gas attacks on the Tokyo subway in 1994-95 left 19 innocent people dead; and -neither least nor unfortunately, last - Heaven’s Gate, 39 of whose members committed suicide in 1996, fully expecting (like Dorothy Martin) their spirits to be carried away by aliens hiding in the wake of an approaching comet.

It was probably no coincidence that all of these cults were acting in anticipation of an impending Bible-inspired Day ofJudgement. One is tempted to blame these kinds of incidents on the delusions of a small minority of misguided religious fanatics, except that millions of people alive today are expecting an imminent Biblical apocalypse. In a 2012 global poll, fully one out of 7 people said they thought the world would end during their lifetime - and rather ominously, Americans topped the list of doomsayers at 22%. Since their government has the means to fulfil their death wish many times over, one can only hope their gloomy prediction won’t one day become a self-fulfilling prophecy. Just call it a bedtime story for humanity."

"There Are Some Oddities..."

"There are some oddities in the perspective with which we see the world. The fact that we live at the bottom of a deep gravity well, on the surface of a gas covered planet going around a nuclear fireball 90 million miles away and think this to be normal is obviously some indication of how skewed our perspective tends to be."
- Douglas Adams

"How It Really Is"

 

"The One Day Eviction is Here - Get Ready to Move Out!"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly, 2/16/25
"The One Day Eviction is Here - 
Get Ready to Move Out!"
"Big changes are here for renters and landlords! In today’s video, I’m talking about the shocking new “1-day eviction” policy that’s causing a huge stir. From the CARES Act eviction moratoriums to the current push for lightning-fast evictions, this is a must-watch if you’re a renter, landlord, or just curious about how this affects the housing market. Iowa has already embraced a 3-day eviction rule, but could a federal 1-day eviction policy be next? Let’s break it all down and discuss the controversies, including mortgage fraud, insurance headaches, and the state of the rental market. Landlords are fed up, tenants are stressed, and it’s clear the system is at a breaking point. What does this mean for you? And can anyone really get evicted within 24 hours? I’ll also share my thoughts on skyrocketing costs—from insurance to breakfast—plus some jaw-dropping stories about housing scams, Disneyland’s insane prices, and even the latest news from Hertz and Tesla."
Comments here:

"The Truth We Can’t Accept"

"The Truth We Can’t Accept"
by Paul Rosenberg

"There is a simple fact that people are unable to ingest. You can explain it with charts, graphs and documentation… and they may even like the sound of it… but it soon fades and is forgotten. This truth is simply too foreign to us; it doesn’t fit within our mental universe. Most of us don’t particularly fight it, but we're very slow to integrate it. So please bear in mind that this may affect you too.

This truth is massively good news, by the way, which is strange too: Bad news people believe instantly; good news they doubt instantly. All that said, here's the news:

Scarcity upon Earth has been fundamentally overcome. We’ve been growing more food than we can eat for decades now, and we could grow much more if we needed to.

Building houses for everyone would be no problem: we have the entire set of technologies and processes worked out, materials are available and there's no lack of people who’d be glad to work as a homebuilder.

Likewise providing quality medical care to all is well within our reach, and of course cars and roads are no problem. So, before I get to support and objections, I’ll restate our main point: The doors to a golden age have swung open before us, but we're having a hard time accepting that it’s real.

But Why Can’t We Believe It? Before I get to the details of our disbelief, let me tell you were you can find all the documentation you’d like: 

• "The Other Side of Scarcity". We cover many of the primary sources in this issue, and even studies showing an increase in intelligence from overcoming scarcity.
• The work of Julian Simon, especially "The Ultimate Resource and The State of Humanity." You’ll find lots of hard data in these.
• The work of Stephen Moore and Johan Nordberg. Particularly "It’s Getting Better All The Time and Progress."

And just to support this a bit, here’s part of a presentation from Norman Borlaug, the man who revolutionized modern agriculture (Nobel Prize, etc.) and saved a billion lives in the process. It was delivered in in September of 2000: "I now say that the world has the technology – either available or well advanced in the research pipeline – to feed on a sustainable basis a population of 10 billion people."

You’ll find similar passages in the resources noted above. So, from a scientific standpoint, our main points are very solid, and on the production side, scarcity was overcome some decades ago. Why then is this non-believable? First of all, we’ve been raised to believe in regimentation; to see it as the path to paradise and to treat it as a sublime invention. But regimentation is entirely focused on the bad: We believe that by suppressing evil we create a better world for ourselves. And so, anything that smells of a present golden age - a good age - is incompatible with our beloved regimentation. That means that our deep assumptions would have to be revised, and that's uncomfortable. Beyond that sits the fact that scarcity is a psychological necessity to us. If we no longer need to fight over resources, how do we show ourselves superior?

Objections to this discussion tend to be indirect, dealing with things like “human desires are infinite.” These, however, are paper arguments: we’re discussing concrete things like food and houses. And, of course, there is a difference between wants and needs. Wants are bounded only by our imaginations, and so are unfit for a serious and this-worldly discourse. A comfortable home, good food and reliable transportation are needs. Ferraris, mansions and caviar are wants.

Likewise, arguments over finite resources are distractions: We have plenty of materials right now (including fuels for both fission and fusion). Additionally, there are planets and asteroid belts waiting for us in the not-too distant future. In actual fact there are fewer starving people all the time. Moreover, the cause of whatever starvation remains is almost wholly political, not technological.

So…What we need is to talk about these things: To review the sources, examine the graphs and start working this into ourselves as an actual possibility. We really are ready to step into a golden age, as impossibly foreign as that may seem. In fact, we’ve been doing precisely that, mostly by accident, for decades. If we worked at it, we might go down in history as the generation that transformed humanity forever."