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Thursday, December 19, 2024

"How Humanity Discovered We’re All Made Of “Star Stuff'”

"How Humanity Discovered 
We’re All Made Of “Star Stuff'”
by Big Think

"If you zoom out on the question, “Where do you come from?”, you might point to your ancestors who lived centuries ago. Zooming out further, you could look back on the evolution of Homo sapiens in Africa some 300,000 years ago, or the first vertebrates to crawl out of the ocean 370 million years ago, or life first forming on Earth several billion years before that.

But if you really take the long view, you’ll see that humanity’s story was already taking shape before our planet existed. “All of the rocky and metallic material we stand on, the iron in our blood, the calcium in our teeth, the carbon in our genes were produced billions of years ago in the interior of a red giant star,” the astronomer Carl Sagan wrote in 1973. “We are made of star-stuff.” Sagan was far from the first person to note our cosmic lineage, however. This week, we dive into centuries of history to trace how scientists discovered that we are, in a very real sense, the children of ancient stars.

Each one of us - in a very physical and physiological way - is 13.8 billion years old. This is the age of the Universe. It took our cosmos this long to forge the elements and build up the cumulative complexity that makes us what we are. It took the Universe 13.8 billion years to create creatures capable of realizing they are the result of an agglomeration this lengthy.

This is another way of understanding one of Carl Sagan’s most famous sayings. In 1973, Sagan memorably declared we “are made of star stuff.” By this, he meant that the matter within our bodies is the byproduct of deceased stars. We, quite literally, are ancient stardust.

But people haven’t always appreciated this. Far from it. What’s more, Sagan was far from the first to claim we are forged of “star stuff.” The debate - about whether our bodies are comprised of the same ingredients as suns - has raged for centuries. This is the story of how we figured out we are descended from the chemical cauldrons that are suns, and how this transformed our sense of who and what we are.

A seismic shift in worldview: As far back as the early 1500s, the pioneering Swiss alchemist Paracelsus was confidently stating our bodies “are not derived from the heavenly bodies.” The stars “have nothing to do” with us, he stressed: their material bequeaths no “property” nor “essence” to us. Going even further, Paracelsus declared that, even if there “had never been” any stars, humans would have been born - and would continue being born - without noticing any significant difference. He acknowledged we, of course, need our Sun, for warmth and light. But “beyond that,” the distant stars “are neither part of us nor we of them.”

Paracelsus was not alone in this. The dominant view, tracing back to Aristotle, had long assumed that the Earth and other celestial bodies weren’t just separated by a chasm in space, but by distinctions in all other qualities too. The terrestrial and heavenly realms were thought of as separate spheres of existence - governed by entirely different laws and constituted from different materials.

But in the decades after Paracelsus passed away in 1541, a revolution began, merging these two domains by proving the heavenly and Earthly were governed by the same rules. This was thanks to Galileo, his telescope, and the founding of the modern scientific method. As Francis Bacon summed up in 1612, the “separation supposed betwixt” the celestial and the terrestrial had been proved “a fiction.” The forces shaping things down here, Bacon stressed, are the same as those driving orbits up there.

This was a seismic shift in worldview, the proportions of which are hard for us to appreciate today. Throughout the 1600s, ponderers like RenĂ© Descartes began announcing it means we can conclude the “matter of the heavens and of the earth is one and the same.” But even though the following century saw the building of ever-bigger telescopes - to better spy on distant stars - there still remained no way of conclusively confirming this fact. For all anyone knew, the heavens could be made of elements completely alien to those found on Earth.

As the 1800s opened, the stars still seemed distant and unfamiliar enough that the German philosopher G.W.F. Hegel could dispassionately compare them to a “rash” besmirching the night sky. Similarly dismissive, the influential French polymath Auguste Comte asserted in 1835 that our species would never ascertain the elemental ingredients of suns. He boasted that not even the “remotest” posterity will unlock knowledge about the bodily properties of objects beyond our Solar System.

“We must keep carefully apart the idea of the Solar System and that of the Universe,” Comte continued curmudgeonly, “and be always assured that our only true interest is in the former.” For Comte, this proved no tragedy or privation. “If knowledge of the starry heavens is forbidden,” he explained, “it is no real consequence to us.”

Inventor of words like “sociology” and “altruism,” otherwise impressively prescient, Comte was being overconfident. It’s no understatement to say this was - and remains - one of the worst-ever predictions about the future of human inquiry.

In 1859, just two years after Comte died, the field of spectroscopy was founded by Gustav Robert Kirchoff and Robert Bunsen. Using analysis of light emitted and absorbed by objects to ascertain their chemical constitution, their method eventually proved the stars are made of the same elements we find laced throughout mundane matter on Earth. This was thanks to work conducted by Margaret and William Huggins from their private observatory in South London. They proved Paracelsus wrong, and Comte along with him.

In ensuing decades, scientists began announcing that “the whole visible Universe” - from our “central star” to the outermost “nebulae” - had been “reached by our chemistry, seized by our analysis, and made to furnish the proof that all matter is one.” Ninety-one years before Sagan said the same thing, in August 1882, the French spectroscopist Jules Janssen made the claim: “these stars are made of the same stuff as we.”

People found comfort in this. During a 1918 speech, the Canadian poet and physician Albert D. Watson declared that, thanks to the spectroscope, “loftier qualities of our being” were being revealed - hitherto invisible to us. “We are made of universal and divine ingredients,” Watson explained.

He saw this as salutary: It means we should start acting accordingly, to live up to the station implied by our “ingredients.” If we are made of “universal” elements, so too should our “conduct, ambitions, and aspirations” assume an identical scope. Ashes to ashes and dust to dust may still apply, but at least each passing life is a corpuscle made from the same ash as stars.

Others felt similarly. In 1923, the Harvard astronomer Harlow Shapley mused that “man, beast, rock, and star” are all part of the same corporeal family. Astronomy’s “recent” breakthroughs, he explained, have confirmed “the uniformity of all chemical composition.” “We would ask for no higher immortality,” Shapley concluded, than to be “made of the same undying stuff as the rest of creation.”

Shapley reiterated the same message, six years later, in an interview making the cover of The New York Times. It was accompanied by a striking illustration, depicting a human figure against a backdrop of spiral galaxies and streaking comets. The title read: “The Star Stuff That Is Man.” In terms of bodily makeup, we seemed siblings to the stars.
It’s telling Shapley used words like “undying” and “immortality.” It was, at this time, still an open question as to whether the Universe itself was eternal. The evidence had not yet been gathered to decide conclusively either way. Assuming the cosmos was eternal, as most scientists back then did, it was also possible to hold that life itself had also never begun: that living things simply have always existed and forever will, circulating like dust motes in an undying cosmic swirl.

But then, as the century wore on, evidence began accumulating indicating the Universe itself - and therefore, also, matter as a whole - had a hot beginning. Scientists also began remarking that, if this is true, there must have been a time when life also - cosmically speaking - could not have existed, anywhere.

Through the 1940s, the Russian polymath George Gamow developed theories explaining how the most abundant and lightest elements - hydrogen and helium - had been forged in the Universe’s fiery, explosive beginning. But our bodies are comprised of heavier, more complicated elements than these: carbon, nitrogen, oxygen, phosphorus, sulphur.

It fell to the intransigent English astronomer Fred Hoyle to expose - through the 1940s and 1950s - how the heavier elements of our living world had all been cooked within dying stars: by fusing simpler nuclei into more complicated arrangements, before puffing them out into space via the solar death rattle that is a supernova explosion.

In this way, the evolutionary ancestry of all matter had been revealed. Hoyle unveiled the processes through which heavier elements are built up from the lightest, by the systole and diastole of dying stars. He also, through this, revealed our umbilical link to some of the most powerful energetic events in the cosmos.

The children of stars: We aren’t siblings of stars, it turned out. Given we are made from elements originally forged within senile suns, it is truer to say we are their children. This is our genetic link to the Universe: our shared cosmic heritage, the ancient atomic alchemy of the cosmos.

Adding a Shakespearean spin to the motif, the journalist George W. Gray - whilst reflecting on Hoyle’s revelations - mused that “we are such stuff as stars are made of.” “The sense of kinship of life stuff with star stuff is inescapable,” Gray continued, and it touches “physicists” as much as “sentimental laymen.”

From here, the motif became common parlance for popular science. Just a few years prior to Sagan, the German writer Hoimar von Ditfurth repeated the phrase in his 1970 book "Children of the Universe." The cosmos, Ditfurth reflected, “used an entire Milky Way, with its hundreds of billions of suns in order to create the commonplace objects that surround us.” Continuing, Ditfurth marveled: “if certain vast cosmic events had not taken place, nothing in our everyday world would now exist.” This is why, in a very literal sense, each one of us is roughly 13.8 billion years old.

Each of us isn’t just a product of events in our early childhoods, which continue shaping the way we are today. The same link - of the present to the past  - applies just as much to events, interlinked, leading all the way back to the Big Bang. Had they not happened, or happened differently, we wouldn’t be here to ponder today.

Across the ages, one of the eldest assumptions has been that the basic building blocks of our world are sealed away from time. That is, that while the things built from matter, from mountains to monkeys, have ancestries and biographies - in the sense they are born, develop, and decay - atoms themselves don’t suffer such inconveniences. The elements were assumed eternal: not subject to change.

One of the deepest, most surprising, revelations of modern science - uncovered thanks to our probing into things at the largest and smallest scales - has been that matter itself has its biography. That is, the elements have a family history, where what’s simpler sometimes becomes the parent of things more complex. The truth of common descent stretches far beyond biology. When Sagan pronounced that “we are made of star stuff,” he was contributing his bit to this centuries-long effort: representing our cumulative, collective fight to figure out our place in this cosmos and our relationship to it. It turns out this relationship is parental, in the most profound sense. Our very atoms betray the birthmarks of our amniotic link to this aging, explosive Universe."

Ever wonder why there's always "A Look to the Heavens" post?
Home...  ;-)

"We All Know..."

“We all know that something is eternal. And it ain’t houses and it ain’t names, and it ain’t earth, and it ain’t even the stars… everybody knows in their bones that something is eternal, and that something has to do with human beings. All the greatest people ever lived have been telling us that for five thousand years and yet you’d be surprised how people are always losing hold of it. There’s something way down deep that’s eternal about every human being.”
- Thornton Wilder
“I believe that imagination is stronger than knowledge.
That myth is more potent than history.
I believe that dreams are more powerful than facts.
That hope always triumphs over experience.
That laughter is the only cure for grief.
And I believe that love is stronger than death.”
- Robert Fulghum
“For Those Who Have Died”
“Eleh Ezkerah” (“These We Remember”)

“Tis a fearful thing
To love
What death can touch.
To love, to hope, to dream,
And oh, to lose.
A thing for fools, this,
Love,
But a holy thing,
To love what death can touch.
For your life has lived in me;
Your laugh once lifted me;
Your word was a gift to me.
To remember this brings painful joy.
Tis a human thing, love,
A holy thing,
To love
What death can touch.”
- Chaim Stern
Graphic: “Into The Silent Land”,
by Henry Pegram, 1905
“We are travelers on a cosmic journey, stardust, swirling and dancing in the eddies and whirlpools of Infinity. Life is Eternal. We have stopped for a moment to encounter each other, to meet, to love, to share. This is a precious moment. It is a little parenthesis in Eternity.”
- Paulo Coelho
“Don't cry because it's over, smile because it happened.”
- Dr. Seuss
And we shall meet again…
Full screen recommended.
Moody Blues, “The Day We Meet Again”

"How It Really Is"

MORALS? This is 'Murica, fool! "Morals? We ain't got no morals. 
We don't need no morals. I don't have to show you any stinking morals!"

Concept gleefully stolen from here:

"Every Normal Man..."

"Every normal man must be tempted, at times, to spit on his hands,
hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats."
 - H. L. Mencken
“Platitudes are safe, because they're easy to wink at, but truth is something else again.”

“A man who has blown all his options can't afford the luxury of changing his ways. He has to capitalize on whatever he has left, and he can't afford to admit - no matter how often he's reminded of it - that every day of his life takes him farther and farther down a blind alley. Very few toads in this world are Prince Charmings in disguise. Most are simply toads... and they are going to stay that way. Toads don't make laws or change any basic structures, but one or two rooty insights can work powerful changes in the way they get through life. A toad who believes he got a raw deal before he even knew who was dealing will usually be sympathetic to the mean, vindictive ignorance that colors the Hell's Angels' view of humanity. There is not much mental distance between a feeling of having been screwed and the ethic of total retaliation, or at least the random revenge that comes with outraging the public decency.”

“A man has to BE something; he has to matter.”
- Hunter S. Thompson

Dan, I Allegedly, "The Bill Is Coming Due"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly, AM 12/19/24
"The Bill Is Coming Due"

"The bill is coming due, and it's time to pay up. I've got insider info on the massive wave of foreclosures hitting both residential and commercial real estate. You won't believe what my friends in the foreclosure business told me over dinner! Hot Tip: Find out if your landlord is paying their bills before it's too late!
Learn about:
• The shocking drop in multifamily housing starts.
• Elizabeth Warren's scathing letter to Trump.
• Elon Musk's net worth doubling since the election.
• AT&T and Amazon's return-to-office drama."
Comments here:

“Nine Meals from Anarchy”

Nine Meals from Anarchy
by Jeff Thomas

“In 1906, Alfred Henry Lewis stated, “There are only nine meals between mankind and anarchy.” Since then, his observation has been echoed by people as disparate as Robert Heinlein and Leon Trotsky. The key here is that, unlike all other commodities, food is the one essential that cannot be postponed. If there were a shortage of, say, shoes, we could make do for months or even years. A shortage of gasoline would be worse, but we could survive it, through mass transport, or even walking, if necessary.

But food is different. If there were an interruption in the supply of food, fear would set in immediately. And, if the resumption of the food supply were uncertain, the fear would become pronounced. After only nine missed meals, it’s not unlikely that we’d panic and be prepared to commit a crime to acquire food. If we were to see our neighbor with a loaf of bread, and we owned a gun, we might well say, “I’m sorry, you’re a good neighbor and we’ve been friends for years, but my children haven’t eaten today – I have to have that bread – even if I have to shoot you.”

So, let’s have a closer look at the actual food distribution industry, compare it to the present direction of the economy and see whether there might be reason for concern.

The food industry typically operates on very small margins – often below 2%. Traditionally wholesalers and retailers have relied on a two-week turnaround of supply and anywhere up to a 30-day payment plan. But an increasing tightening of the economic system for the last eight years has resulted in a turnaround time of just three days for both supply and payment for many in the industry. This is a system that’s already under sever pressure, and has no further wiggle room should it take significant further hits.

If there were a month where significant inflation took place (say, 3%), all profits would be lost for the month, for both suppliers and retailers, but goods could still be replaced and sold for a higher price next month. But, if there were three or more consecutive months of inflation, the industry would be unable to bridge the gap, even if better conditions were expected to develop in future months. A failure to pay in full for several months would mean smaller orders by those who could not pay. That would mean fewer goods on the shelves. The longer the inflationary trend continued, the more quickly prices would rise to hopefully offset the inflation. And ever-fewer items on the shelves.

From Germany in 1922, to Argentina in 2000, to Venezuela in 2016, this has been the pattern, whenever inflation has become systemic, rather than sporadic. Each month, some stores close, beginning with those that are the most poorly-capitalized. In good economic times, this would mean more business for those stores that were still solvent, but, in an inflationary situation, they would be in no position to take on more unprofitable business. The result is that the volume of food on offer at retailers would decrease at a pace with the severity of the inflation.

However, the demand for food would not decrease by a single loaf of bread. Store closings would be felt most immediately in inner cities, when one closing would send customers to the next neighborhood, seeking food. The real danger would come when that store had also closed and both neighborhoods descended on a third store in yet another neighborhood. That’s when one loaf of bread for every three potential purchasers would become worth killing over. Virtually no one would long tolerate seeing his children go without food because others had “invaded” his local supermarket.

In addition to retailers, the entire industry would be impacted and, as retailers disappeared, so would suppliers, and so on, up the food chain. This would not occur in an orderly fashion, or in one specific area. The problem would be a national one. Closures would be all over the map, seemingly at random, affecting all areas. Food riots would take place, first in the inner cities, then spread to other communities. Buyers, fearful of shortages, would clean out the shelves.

Importantly, it’s the very unpredictability of food delivery that increases fear, creating panic and violence. And, again, none of the above is speculation; it’s an historical pattern – a reaction based upon human nature whenever systemic inflation occurs.

Then… unfortunately… the cavalry arrives. At that point it would be very likely that the central government would step in and issue controls to the food industry that served political needs, rather than business needs, greatly exacerbating the problem. Suppliers would be ordered to deliver to those neighborhoods where the riots were the worst, even if those retailers were unable to pay. This would increase the number of closings of suppliers. Along the way, truckers would begin to refuse to enter troubled neighborhoods and the military might well be brought in to force deliveries to take place.

So what would it take for the above to occur? Well, historically, it has always begun with excessive debt. We know that the debt level is now the highest it has ever been in world history. In addition, the stock and bond markets are in bubbles of historic proportions. They are most certainly popping.

With a crash in the markets, deflation always follows, as people try to unload assets to cover for their losses. The Federal Reserve (and other central banks) has stated that it will unquestionably print as much money as it takes to counter deflation. Unfortunately, inflation has a far greater effect on the price of commodities than assets. Therefore, the prices of commodities will rise dramatically, further squeezing the purchasing power of the consumer, thereby decreasing the likelihood that he will buy assets, even if they’re bargain-priced. Therefore, asset-holders will drop their prices repeatedly, as they become more desperate. The Fed then prints more to counter the deeper deflation and we enter a period when deflation and inflation are increasing concurrently.

Historically, when this point has been reached, no government has ever done the right thing. They have, instead, done the very opposite – keep printing. Food still exists, but retailers shut down because they cannot pay for goods. Suppliers shut down because they’re not receiving payments from retailers. Producers cut production because sales are plummeting.

In every country that has passed through such a period, the government has eventually gotten out of the way, and the free market has prevailed, re-energizing the industry and creating a return to normal. The question is not whether civilization will come to an end. (It will not.) The question is the liveability of a society that is experiencing a food crisis, as even the best of people are likely to panic and become a potential threat to anyone who is known to store a case of soup in his cellar.

Fear of starvation is fundamentally different from other fears of shortages. Even good people panic. In such times, it’s advantageous to be living in a rural setting, as far from the centre of panic as possible. It’s also advantageous to store food in advance that will last for several months, if necessary. However, even these measures are no guarantee, as, today, modern highways and efficient cars make it easy for anyone to travel quickly to where the goods are. The ideal is to be prepared to sit out the crisis in a country that will be less likely to be impacted by dramatic inflation – where the likelihood of a food crisis is low and basic safety is more assured.”
If they act like this over a TV what happens when there's no food?

Adventures With Danno, "Kroger Shopping, Holiday Sales Week Before Christmas"

Full screen recommended.
Adventures With Danno, 12/19/24
"Kroger Shopping,
 Holiday Sales Week Before Christmas"
Comments here:
o
Full screen recommended.
Cash Jordan, 12/19/24
"NYC Thieves Steal So Much Food… 
Families Starve"
Comments here:

Bill Bonner, "Starve the Beast"

"Starve the Beast"
The US Constitution put limits in place. The peoples’ representatives 
in the House were to be held responsible for the budget. 
And ‘only gold and silver’ were to be used as money. What could go wrong?
by Bill Bonner

"Democracy... nothing better than an Utopian  theory, a splendid 
chimera, descriptive of a state of society that never did, 
and never could exist; a republic not of men, but of angels."
- Alexander Fraser Tyler

Baltimore, Maryland - "In the 1970s a young man walked into our office at the National Taxpayers Union in Washington. Grover Norquist was his name. Fresh out of Harvard, bright eyed and bushy tailed, he came to work for us. Little did either of us realize; it would be a hopeless battle. The primary political trend was running against us. To make a long story short, small-ish groups control governments. Their main aim is to transfer power and money from ‘The People’ to themselves. They do so until they run out of other peoples’ money. In the 1970s, they were barely getting started.

It was clear, even from the writings of the early Greeks, that democracies need restraint. Like sugar, debt, alcohol... or the Devil himself... they need limits. When you can vote to spend other people’s money - even money they haven’t earned yet - the danger is that you will spend too much. And then, your over-indebted democracy will tumble into bankruptcy, inflation and dictatorship.

The US Constitution put limits in place. The peoples’ representatives in the House were to be held responsible for the budget. And ‘only gold and silver’ were to be used as money. What could go wrong? But seat belts and airbags could not compensate for bad drivers. US debt increased 100 times since 1969. And the dollar has lost 85% of its value.

In the 1970s, we were still in our 20s. And our naĂ¯ve approach to avoiding this catastrophe, led by a state senator from Maryland, James Clark, was to ask the states to approve a balanced budget amendment, forcing the feds to spend only what they could raise in taxes. Had we succeeded, the US would have avoided $35 trillion in debt... along with the mischief it paid for.But the effort fell short and was abandoned when Ronald Reagan was elected.

Young Grover Norquist, exceptionally smart and energetic, had another idea. It was to ‘starve the beast.’ Grover asked members of Congress to sign on to a Taxpayer Protection Pledge, wherein they swore on their mothers’ graves that they would under no circumstances raise taxes. Back then Republicans still had a residual respect for balanced budgets. Restricting tax revenue looked like a reasonable way to restrain the grasp of government. That effort failed too. Republicans soon realized that - thanks to fake money and the Fed’s low rates - they could cut taxes and still increase spending.

Today, Grover is still at it... trying to turn off the feds’ taps. But we moved on. We became cynicalists (our word). We are not merely ‘cynical,’ about the man coming into the White House... nor about his ability to MAGA the country. We just don’t believe that is the way it works. Even if he were smart, earnest, and competent, he couldn’t overcome the Primary Political Trend. Government is a taker, not a maker. It takes and takes... as much as it can get away with.

People are not angels. They are not devils either. But they are subject to influence, and when they realize that they can use the government to vote themselves ‘benefits’ that someone else, sometime in the future, will have to pay... they are happy to do so. These facts are not really in dispute. But many people believe that Donald Trump is an exceptional leader. Or they think a DOGE led by billionaire geniuses will turn things around.

Today, it almost seems possible. The Wall Street Journal: "Musk Draws First Blood With Spending Bill Bombshell." "With a 4:15 a.m. ET social-media post on Wednesday, Elon Musk declared that a must-do spending bill “should not pass.” By early evening, the bill was dead, leaving the government barreling toward a weekend shutdown just before Christmas. Lawmakers who might have underestimated Musk’s ability to shake up Washington were suddenly having second thoughts."

This is one for the record books. Mr. Musk, not Mr. Trump, seems to be in control of US spending. “Stop the steal,” said Elon’s post. But stealing is what governments do. Most likely, Donald Trump and the elites will have to bring Mr. Musk to heel...and the stealing can continue. And while there is never any guarantee that day will follow night... or that prices will fall when they are super high... or rise when they are super-low - that’s still the best way to bet."

"Christmas Mood In Moscow"

Full screen recommended.
Window to Moscow, 12/19/24
"Christmas Mood In Moscow"
Comments here:
o
Full screen recommended.
Travelling with Russell , 12/19/24
"Russian Typical Brand New Apartment: 
Could You Live There?"
 "I had a chance to tour a Russian typical apartment in Moscow, Russia. 
Yuri and I had a chance to see what it's like to live in a brand new apartment."
Comments here:

Wednesday, December 18, 2024

"Alert! Christmas Rally Cancelled, Markets Implode, Is The Crash Beginning?"

Jeremiah Babe, 12/18/24
"Alert! Christmas Rally Cancelled,
 Markets Implode, Is The Crash Beginning?"
Comments here:
o
Market Data Center, Live Updates:

"Doug Casy: Syria's Collapse and Global Geopolitical Shifts"

"Doug Casy: Syria's Collapse 
and Global Geopolitical Shifts"
by International Man

"International Man: After nearly 14 years of brutal conflict, various jihadist groups backed by Turkey, the US, and Israel finally toppled the Assad government in Syria. What is your take on this?

Doug Casey: I’ve been to Syria twice over the years for about a week at a time. I drove around the country, even including what passes for beach resorts on the small Syrian coast - not that that gave me any special insight into the current situation. Though the country was viewed as a dangerous bastion of evil, I had a great time. Except for active war zones, you can almost use the State Department’s "no go" list as a travel advisor. FWIW, even when I applied for my visa at the Syrian consulate in Beirut, I remember being impressed with their friendly and competent staff.

People forget that Syria is an artificial country. The region called "Syria" has been around for thousands of years, since pre-Roman times. But today’s Syria only came into existence with the breakup of the Ottoman Empire after World War I. It’s not an organic country. Like most Third World countries, it was put together in the drawing rooms of Europe, with zero consideration of local ethnic or religious sensitivities. That’s a guaranteed formula for perpetual chaos in a highly tribal region, where governments are mainly vehicles for theft.

For the last 50 years, it’s been run by the Assad family. Even if you’re a nice guy, or used to be a nice guy, like Bashar al-Assad, when you’re surrounded by lots of nasty people who are holding together a pressure cooker that’s looking to explode, it can’t end well.

International Man: With Syria now fragmented, major powers hold strategic portions of the country:Turkey controls large swathes of northern Syria. Kurdish forces occupy about one-third of the country. Israel has seized additional Syrian territory, with their tanks closing in on Damascus. US puppets hold oil-rich regions and critical border crossings. Russia maintains air and naval bases. Is Syria still viable as a nation-state?What are the implications for the Middle East?

Doug Casey: It was never viable as a nation-state, nor is it now. That’s because the country is no more than a conglomerate of many religious, political, and ethnic groups, all mutually antagonistic. It’s one of the worst possible candidates for being a nation-state.

The best case is that it breaks up into two, three, four, or five new countries that might have more internal cohesion and consistency. What’s going to happen? That’s impossible to predict. We’re looking at chaos. We’re looking at a dogfight between a bunch of rabid dogs. It’s exactly the type of thing the US loves to stick its nose into.

It is strange that Bashar Assad is now supposed to be one of the most evil people in the world. Along with Putin, of course, now that Washington doesn’t have Saddam or Gaddafi to kick around anymore. Neither of them was much worse than the type of dictators that the US has supported everywhere.

The US will likely wind up missing Assad’s more-or-less stable regime. It made black sites available to the CIA in a desperate effort to curry Uncle Sam’s favor. But in the world of realpolitik, no good deed goes unpunished. I suspect Bashar is relieved to be out of office and living in Moscow with his family, where he may go back to practicing ophthalmology. Unless he made off with a few hundred million, which is the minimum for a national leader these days.

As for the Russians, what’s the point of their having naval and air bases on the Mediterranean? They’re indefensible as military propositions. A base may be useful as a refueling station and a jumping-off point for Russian mercenaries in Africa, but there are other options. And if they want to, they can rent it, much the way the US rents naval bases all over the world. It’s just a question of what kind of deal the Russians can cut with whichever Syrian group controls the area.

International Man: Assad was a key ally of Russia and Iran while opposing the US, Israel, and their regional partners. How does Syria’s collapse affect the global balance of power? Does his overthrow give the US Empire a new lease on life?

Doug Casey: I certainly hope not. But the US will almost certainly stay involved in Syria. It will turn into another tar baby to entrap them at great expense and with great risk. On the bright side, it might be useful for stealing and laundering US Government funds, like the Ukraine. The best thing that the US empire can do is totally disinvolve itself from Syria and, for that matter, from Israel and Iran as well. But I don’t think that’s going to happen. Like all declining empires, the US is "on tilt."

As to how Syria’s collapse will affect the global balance of power, we may yet wind up with a new country called Kurdistan. The Kurds, an ethnic group, occupy parts of Turkey, Syria, Iraq, and Iran but have never had their own nation-state. It’s possible that they’ll secede from Syria and then combine with the Kurds in Iraq, who are semi-autonomous. And eventually with those in Iran and Turkey. That could be a template for the rest of the artificially constructed nation-states in the region.

But a better question is: Why should we care what happens to Syria? It’s a concern for the locals but not for a bankrupt power on the other side of the globe that doesn’t have a clue about who’s who in that zoo. You should be much more concerned about what happens with your neighbor across the street.

International Man: Will the US and Israel now be emboldened to take on a more formidable opponent like Iran? How do you think a potential war with Iran would unfold?

Doug Casey: At this point, after its long adventure in Gaza and with enemies on all sides, Israel may be approaching bankruptcy. As is its patron in Washington. It’s pointless, foolish, and dangerous for the US to get involved in the Middle East. There’s nothing to be gained and a lot to be lost. If it does get involved, it’s going to be as Israel’s puppet. A war with Iran could be much more serious than the Korean, Vietnam, Afghan, or Iraq wars, all four of which were expensive disasters fought against primitive countries on the other side of the world.

But a war with Iran amounts to hunting big game. The only possible beneficiary is Israel. And that’s dubious. Because Iran is on the cusp of getting nuclear weapons. If provoked, they might use them pre-emptively against Israel. For what it’s worth, Israel has already annexed about 700 square miles of Syrian territory on the Golan Heights, while the Israeli Air Force destroyed huge amounts of Syrian arms. These are rather bold moves, amounting to unprovoked aggression. Maybe they viewed it as abandoned property since the 200,000-man Syrian Army had just melted away and gone home when Islamic rebels ramped up their attacks.

In today’s world - as always, actually - governments are basically fighting each other. Then, they draw their subjects into the conflict. Ordinary people don’t want war and don’t care about wars. I suggest that, instead of war, governments should just designate hit squads to take out the leaders of whichever opposing government they don’t like. The citizens of both countries would benefit. But they never do. It’s a kind of professional courtesy between rulers.

The Israelis have come close to this ideal with their targeted assassinations, cell phone explosions, and missile strikes on leaders. It’s too bad we can’t put these psychopaths in an octagon to fight it out between themselves, as opposed to giving them the command of huge militaries and letting them draw their people into it."

"The tragedy of modern war is that the young men die fighting 
each other - instead of their real enemies back home in the capitals."
-  Edward Abbey

Musical Interlude: 2002, "The End Is a Beginning"

Full screen recommended.
2002, "The End Is a Beginning"

"A Look to the Heavens"

“Is our Milky Way Galaxy this thin? Magnificent spiral galaxy NGC 4565 is viewed edge-on from planet Earth. Also known as the Needle Galaxy for its narrow profile, bright NGC 4565 is a stop on many telescopic tours of the northern sky, in the faint but well-groomed constellation Coma Berenices. This sharp, colorful image reveals the spiral galaxy's boxy, bulging central core cut by obscuring dust lanes that lace NGC 4565's thin galactic plane.
An assortment of other background galaxies is included in the pretty field of view. Thought similar in shape to our own Milky Way Galaxy, NGC 4565 lies about 40 million light-years distant and spans some 100,000 light-years. Easily spotted with small telescopes, sky enthusiasts consider NGC 4565 to be a prominent celestial masterpiece Messier missed.”

The Poet: Robinson Jeffers, "We Are Those People"

"We Are Those People"

"I have abhorred the wars and despised the liars,
laughed at the frightened
And forecast victory; never one moment's doubt.
But now not far, over the backs of some crawling years, the next
Great war's column of dust and fire writhes
Up the sides of the sky: it becomes clear that we too may suffer
What others have, the brutal horror of defeat -
Or if not in the next, then in the next - therefore watch Germany
And read the future. We wish, of course, that our women
Would die like biting rats in the cellars,
our men like wolves on the mountain:
It will not be so. Our men will curse, cringe, obey;
Our women uncover themselves to the grinning victors
for bits of chocolate."

- Robinson Jeffers

"If You Look..."

"We have got some very big problems confronting us and let us not make any mistake about it, human history in the future is fraught with tragedy. It's only through people making a stand against that tragedy and being doggedly optimistic that we are going to win through. If you look at the plight of the human race it could well tip you into despair, so you have to be very strong."
- Robert James Brown

"Col. Douglas Macgregor: America’s Next War of Choice"

Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom, 12/18/24
"Col. Douglas Macgregor: America’s Next War of Choice"

"Are we on the brink of another catastrophic conflict? In this must-watch conversation, Col. Douglas Macgregor delivers an unflinching analysis of America’s relentless pursuit of war. From reckless foreign policies to the hidden agendas driving Washington’s decisions, Macgregor exposes the alarming truth behind what could become America’s next war of choice. As tensions escalate with global powers, are we being led into a conflict that could shatter the lives of millions? What lessons have we failed to learn from past wars, and how can we stop this dangerous trajectory before it’s too late?

Prepare for a sobering, thought-provoking discussion that will leave you questioning the true cost of empire. Col. Macgregor doesn’t hold back - he lays bare the realities most in power would rather you didn’t know. Are we ready for the consequences? Or are we sleepwalking into disaster?"
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o
Full screen recommended.
Redacted New, 12/18/24
"Emergency! This Is Heading For All Out War 
As Putin Warns Red Line Being Crossed!"
"Well it's happening right before Trump takes office and this is all on purpose - NATO and the U.S. deep state are actively pushing Russia beyond its red line while setting America up for a no-win scenario. What does this mean for America, our economy and President Trump's 2nd term?"
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Gerald Celente, "Judge Andrew Napolitano: Drone Warfare? U.S. Govt. Silent On Drone Surge"

Gerald Celente, 12/18/24
"Judge Andrew Napolitano: Drone Warfare? 
U.S. Govt. Silent On Drone Surge"
"The Trends Journal is a weekly magazine analyzing global current events forming future trends. Our mission is to present Facts and Truth over fear and propaganda to help subscribers prepare for What’s Next in these increasingly turbulent times."
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"Alert! Russian Nuclear Forces On Standby After NATO Assassination"

Canadian Prepper, 12/18/24
"Alert! Russian Nuclear Forces On 
Standby After NATO Assassination"
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The Daily "Near You?"

Scottsboro, Alabama, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

"1,000’s Of Retail Closures - The End Of In Person Shopping"

Snyder Reports, 12/18/24
"1,000’s Of Retail Closures - The End Of In Person Shopping"
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o
Full screen recommended.
Orlando Miner, 12/18/24
"Macy's Closing 65 Stores and Firing Thousands"
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"The Housing Market Is A Bubble Full Of Fraud, And It’s Going To Pop"

Full screen recommended.
Epic Economist, 12/18/24
"The Housing Market Is A Bubble 
Full Of Fraud, And It’s Going To Pop"
"The U.S. housing market is currently in a complete fix, and an unsustainable bubble around it could make things crash as severely as it happened in 2006. A new study shows that not only this bubble is completely fraudulent, but the Federal Reserve, - which has actually created it due to its flawed policies over the past two decades, - isn't able to fix it anymore.

The situation has snowballed and several markets are already entering a crash stage right now. The latest data shared by financial experts and real estate analysts shows that this trend is rapidly spreading to other areas of the country. Today, we're going to share a very important warning about the impending housing bubble burst, so stay tuned until the end of the video and share this message with anyone who may be interested to hear it!
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"A Year Of Chaos: Does A Shocking Magazine Cover Reveal What The Global Elite Have Planned For 2025?"

"A Year Of Chaos: Does A Shocking Magazine Cover Reveal
What The Global Elite Have Planned For 2025?"
by Michael Snyder

"Are we heading into a year that will be characterized by great turmoil? Every year, a magazine known as “the Economist” publishes an issue that is dedicated to what is coming in the year ahead. In the past, many of these issues have turned out to be eerily accurate. For example, the cover of last year’s issue featured images of Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin with very large missiles standing next to each of them. Of course this ended up being one of the biggest news stories of 2024. Ukraine started firing long-range missiles provided by NATO deep into Russian territory, and the Russians responded with long-range missiles of their own. Unfortunately, it appears that the cover for this year’s issue could be previewing some very alarming events that are coming in 2025.

The Economist has been one of the most important mouthpieces for the western elite for decades. It has offices all over the globe, but it is based in the city of London…"Based in London, the newspaper is owned by the Economist Group, with its core editorial offices in the United States, as well as across major cities in continental Europe, Asia, and the Middle East. The ownership list of the magazine includes prominent families such as Rothschild, Cadbury, Agnelli, Schroder and Layton…Aside from the Agnelli family, smaller shareholders in the company include Cadbury, Rothschild (21%), Schroder, Layton and other family interests as well as a number of staff and former staff shareholders.

Ordinary people don’t read the magazine much." It is truly a magazine by the elite and for the elite, and so it provides a tremendous amount of insight into what the elite are thinking. Below, you can see what the cover for their 2025 preview issue looks like…
The first thing that stands out is how dark and ominous this cover is. Are they expecting 2025 to be a dark and ominous year? A black and white image of Donald Trump outlined in red is right in the center of the cover. Obviously they expect him to be the center of attention. Interestingly, a raised red fist that is outlined in red can be seen near the bottom of the cover. Needless to say, a raised fist is often used as a symbol of “resistance” to Trump. There are several other world leaders on the cover as well. Just like in 2024, Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin are featured, and this year Chinese President Xi Jinping also appears.

It is already clear that the conflict in Ukraine will continue to be a major theme in 2025. Are the elite expecting war with China to break out too? Right next to Trump, you can see a very tall white missile, and right beneath Trump there is something that looks like a mushroom cloud. In addition, there are a couple of other symbols on the cover that are related to nuclear war.

This sort of imagery should deeply alarm all of us. Are they trying to warn us that we are getting dangerously close to nuclear war? Or could it be possible that they are suggesting that nuclear weapons could actually be used in combat at some point in 2025? 2024 was certainly a year of war, and I fully expect things to go to an entirely new level in 2025. But let us hope that nuclear weapons are not used any time soon.

Switching gears, directly next to the very tall white missile is an image of a syringe that is more than half-filled with red liquid. That can’t be related to the previous pandemic, because the previous pandemic has been behind us for quite some time. So what are they trying to communicate with this image? Are they suggesting that the world could soon be facing another major pestilence? Red is a color that is often associated with death. So the fact that the liquid inside the syringe is red is more than just a little bit creepy.

As I have detailed in previous articles, at this moment global health authorities are dealing with an outbreak of a mystery illness that is being referred to as “Disease X” in Africa, a new strain of the monkeypox that has started to pop up all over the world, an eruption of the Marburg virus in Rwanda, and a bird flu crisis that never seems to end and that has now jumped into humans. I am convinced that pestilence will be a major theme in 2025, and apparently the Economist does too.

On the cover of the magazine, we also see a dollar sign appear twice, and there are numerous arrows that are pointing both up and down. Are they anticipating that there will be economic and financial turmoil during the year ahead? Of course economic problems have already begun in the U.S., in Europe, and in China. The global economy is rapidly heading in the wrong direction, and many are warning that 2025 is going to be a very hard year.

That is really bad news for those that are on the bottom levels of the economic food chain. Here in the United States, demand at food banks is already at all-time record highs. So what will things look like if a full-blown global economic crisis suddenly erupts in 2025? There are other images on this cover that also seem rather odd. There is an image of Saturn, there is an image of an all-seeing eye, and there is an image of an hourglass. An hourglass is often used to depict the fact that time is running out. And I certainly agree with that.

The truth is that we have been living on borrowed time for quite a while. The elite love to create order out of chaos, and based on this magazine cover they certainly seem to believe that 2025 will be a year of chaos. Perhaps the elite hope that the chaos that is approaching will represent an opportunity for them to regain some of the control that they have lost in recent years. I think that they are starting to understand that the system that they have worked so carefully to construct is beginning to crumble, and now they are desperate to regain the upper hand any way that they can."
o
"Super Creepy: "The World Ahead 2025" Magazine Cover 
Published By The Economist This Is Scary!"

"How It Really Is"

 

"It's Extraordinary..."

“It’s extraordinary how we go through life with eyes half shut, with dull ears, with dormant thoughts. Perhaps it’s just as well; and it may be that it is this very dullness that makes life to the incalculable majority so supportable and so welcome.”
– Joseph Conrad, “Lord Jim”

Dan, I Allegedly, "Warning - Your Dollar is About to Crash - Do This Today"

Dan, I Allegedly, 12/18/24
"Warning - Your Dollar is About to Crash - Do This Today"
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