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Thursday, August 3, 2023

“More To Come…”

“More To Come…”
By Jeff Thomas

“Years ago, when visiting the US, I’d often watch late night television. Just prior to each interval, in order to ensure that viewers would sit through the adverts, the show would run a panel that said, “More to Come.” This, of course, was effective, as the viewer would be anticipating that the best part of the program would come in a later segment and would be more likely to continue watching.

Today, we’re looking at the reverse of that situation. The program we’re watching is The Decline and Fall of the American Empire and those who recognize the decline are viewing with ever-increasing trepidation, the developments that are unfolding there. Even those of us who are not American and don’t live there are glued to our screens, as we’re aware that were viewing the early stages of a collapse that promises to be the greatest social, political and economic event that we’re likely to see in our lifetimes.

Following World War Two, the US was in a boom beyond anything the world had ever seen. The Americans came to the war late, after having built up their manufacturing capacity for war dramatically, at the expense of the Allied powers in Europe. And they did this, essentially for free. It was paid for with the gold from the vaults of the European allies. After the war, Europe was trashed and it would take decades for them to get on their feet again. Meanwhile, the US had been going flat out in production, had first-rate modern factories and, most important, held the majority of the world’s gold.

The 1944 Bretton Woods Agreement ensured that the US dollar would become the world’s default currency and, later, become the petrodollar, ensuring American hegemony over much of the rest of the world. There can be no doubt that, in the first decades after the war, the US had an amazing run and was, arguably, one of the best places to live in the world.

But, unfortunately, as so often happens, American political and industry leaders became full of themselves and couldn’t resist going out on limb to gain even more for themselves. In so doing, they turned the US from the world’s foremost creditor nation into the world’s foremost debtor nation. Worse, when they reached this unprecedented point, they opted to just keep going.

Worse still, it would appear that today’s leaders are aware that the mother of all bubbles that they’ve created is going to pop sometime in the near future, as they’re preparing themselves for the mother of all pushbacks from the populace when the crashes come.

The FBI, CIA, NSA, and a host of other authorities have either been created or expanded, allowing the creation of the world’s foremost police state. And, beginning in 2001 with the Patriot Act, have created a host of laws to assign authority to any of those bodies to exert ever-increasing control over the population. Capital controls, migration controls, higher taxes, confiscation of deposits in banks and quite a bit more have been passed in legislation, including the ability to declare the US in its entirely to be a “battle zone,” through which habeas corpus and the court system can be suspended nationally.

Yipes. (Or, blimey, depending on where you’re from.) At this point, any American who’s paying attention could be forgiven if he’s genuinely frightened at where his government is going with all this.

And so, we come back to the title of this essay – “More to Come.” A regular flow of proposed laws is now coming down the pipeline that would have been considered the stuff of a bad movie a few decades ago, but is now only too real and threatening to the freedoms of the average citizen. Instead of “more to come” meaning that the best is still on the way, the opposite would appear to be the case, and the worst is here, now.

But, how can this be, we ask ourselves. Surely those in power – the politicians, the industrialists, the central bankers, etc., must have seen this coming and, if that’s so, surely they’d have done something to stop it. Well, historically, that’s never been the case. Those in the greatest positions of power have never suddenly reversed an empire when it was about to self-destruct. What they tend to do instead is to guard against becoming casualties of the disaster they’ve created.

So, is that what’s happening this time around? In a word, yes. The Bernie Madoffs of the world go to jail. However, those who commit the same fraudulent acts from within the system never go to jail. For example, if the heads of a bank commit massive fraud, the bank pays an enormous fine. The fine is then paid by the stockholders. And should the fine be large enough to crash the bank, the bankers can appeal to the government to bail them out, as they’re “too big to fail.” Thus, the taxpayers pick up the bill.

At this point, what we’re witnessing is an era in which laws are regularly being passed to ensure that the creators of the bubble will get a “Get Out of Jail Free” card and others will sustain the losses.

This is the very essence of what happens in an endgame run. Just as a hitman who places a bomb in a building makes his exit before the bomb can go off, the creators of bubbles safeguard themselves before the economic bomb can go off. They have no intention of being around to live with the resultant devastation that they’ve put into play.

Pete Townshend wrote prophetically, “Won’t Get Fooled Again,” in 1971, in which he hopes that the latest gang of leaders will be better than the last. In the final line of the song, he grimly announces, “Meet the new boss – same as the old boss.”

And, in fact, this is the usual outcome. Perhaps the reason why empires collapse much in the same way, time and again, and their citizens consistently fail to see it coming, is that empires general last a long time before collapsing. The Venetian Republic lasted 200 years. The Spanish Empire lasted just over 120 years. Holland lasted 130 years, Russia – 200, the UK, just under 120. And it’s been much the same for the others. In every case, they last longer than a single lifetime, so it’s rare that any individual sees more than one empire collapse in his own lifetime and doesn’t understand that empires don’t end with a whimper. They end with a crescendo, not unlike the Who’s “Won’t Get Fooled Again.”

We are witnessing the collapse of the world’s foremost empire. This is not mere conjecture. The US has all the symptoms that we’re now coming close to the final stages. And, if history plays out yet again, as it has repeatedly, we can expect that, in the lead-up to the collapse, the controls by governments will become increasingly draconian. As we consider, “more to come,” we should be braced for the likelihood that the worst controls are yet to be revealed.”

The Daily "Near You?"

Maxwell, California, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

The Poet: Langston Hughes, "Dreams"

"Dreams"

"Hold fast to dreams
For if dreams die
Life is a broken-winged bird
That cannot fly.
Hold fast to dreams
For when dreams go
Life is a barren field
Frozen with snow."

- Langston Hughes

"As I've Aged"

“As I’ve Aged"
- Author Unknown

“You ask me how it feels to grow older. I’ve learned a few things along the way, which I’ll share with you…

As I’ve aged, I’ve become kinder to myself, and less critical of myself. I’ve become my own friend. I don’t chide myself for eating that extra cookie, or for not making my bed, or for buying that silly cement gecko that I didn’t need, but looks so avante-garde on my patio. I am entitled to a treat, to be messy, to be extravagant.

I have seen too many dear friends leave this world too soon, before they understood the great freedom that comes with aging. Whose business is it if I choose to read or play on the computer until 4 AM and sleep until noon? I will dance with myself to those wonderful tunes of many years ago, and if I, at the same time, wish to weep over a lost love… I will.

I will walk the beach in a swim suit that is stretched over a bulging body, and will dive into the waves with abandon if I choose to, despite the pitying glances from the jet set. They, too, will get old.

I know I am sometimes forgetful. But there again, some of life is just as well forgotten. And I eventually remember the important things. Sure, over the years my heart has been broken. How can your heart not break when you lose a loved one, or when a child suffers, or even when somebody’s beloved pet gets hit by a car? But broken hearts are what give us strength and understanding and compassion. A heart never broken is pristine and sterile and will never know the joy of being imperfect.

I am so blessed to have lived long enough to have my hair turning gray, and to have my youthful laughs be forever etched into deep grooves on my face. So many have never laughed, and so many have died before their hair could turn silver.

As you get older, it is easier to be positive. You care less about what other people think. I don’t question myself anymore. I’ve even earned the right to be wrong. So, to answer your question, I like being old. It has set me free. I like the person I have become. I am not going to live forever, but while I am still here, I will not waste time lamenting what could have been, or worrying about what will be. And I shall eat dessert every single day (if I feel like it). May our friendship never come apart especially when it’s straight from the heart!”

"Not Such An Easy Business..."

“Over the years you get to see what a struggle life is for most people, how tough it is, how easy it is to be judgmental and criticize and stand outside of situations and impart your wisdom and judgment. But over the decades I've got more tolerant of people's flaws and mistakes. Everybody makes a lot of them. When you're younger you feel: "Hey, this person is evil" or "This person is a jerk" or stupid or "What's wrong with them?" Then you go through life and you think: "Well, it's not so easy." There's a lot of mystery and suffering and complication. Everybody's out there trying to do the best they can. And it's not such an easy business.”
- Woody Allen

"How It Really Is"

 

Gerald Celente, "Economic Hell is Coming!"

Full screen recommended.
Gerald Celente, 8/3/23
"Economic Hell is Coming!"
"In this video, trend forecaster Gerald Celente criticizes the global economy's artificial prop-up through low/negative interest rates and "fake money." He warns of an impending "economic hell" due to high, underreported inflation rates. Celente also highlights the wealth gap, with big corporations and the wealthy benefiting at the expense of average workers. He predicts a decrease in inflation but an increase in gold prices as the dollar weakens. Lastly, he speculates that the BRICS countries, tired of U.S. hegemony, may consider gold-backed currencies."
Comments here:

Bill Bonner, "Bombs Bursting In Air"

Bregenz, Austria and Lake Constance at sunset.
"Bombs Bursting In Air"
Ratings agency downgrades US Government credit, 
cites "expected fiscal deterioration"...
by Bill Bonner

Bregenz, Austria - "We got here just in time for the fireworks. Bregenz is just across the river from Switzerland…and only a stone’s throw from Liechtenstein and Germany too. And on Tuesday night, we crossed the river to visit friends in Switzerland. They live in a castle, perched on a hill overlooking the entire valley down to Lake Constance. At the bottom, down in what is now a wine cellar, is a pediment that was put up in the 10th century. Above it rose the castle – reworked after mischief, fires, and many years of neglect had done their damage. And upon the castle was a circular tower. It was from this vantage point, after dinner, that we waited for the colorful explosions.

As it happened, we expected fireworks on Wall Street too. The rating agency, Fitch, had just downgraded US debt. CNBC: "Nasdaq drops more than 2% in worst day since February as Fitch downgrade ignites selloff." "Fitch Ratings cut the long-term foreign currency issuer default rating for the U.S. to AA+ from AAA Tuesday night, citing “expected fiscal deterioration over the next three years.” The last time the U.S. got a downgrade from a major ratings agency was in 2011 when Standard & Poor’s cut the rating to AA+ from AAA.

Bombs Bursting In Air: As expected, US bonds went down. Yields went up. Bloomberg: "Treasury Yields Hit 2023 Highs." "US 10-year yield climbs as much as 10 basis points to 4.12%." Increasing the cost of loans – in a country with $32.6 trillion in debt already…that needs to borrow $1 trillion per month (in this quarter) – is bound to have consequences. It is those ‘consequences’ that we are waiting for.

In the meantime, Tuesday was the Swiss national holiday, commemorating an event that happened a long time ago. In 1291, three cantons – Uri, Schwyz, and Unterwalden – got together, forming the nucleus of what grew into the Swiss Confederacy. Remarkably, the cantons have been able to hold onto their rights and power. Even today, few people know or care who the president of Switzerland is. It doesn’t matter, because the real power is at the local, cantonal level.

As soon as it began to get dark, the fireworks began. Clusters of white sparkles…great, booming bombs…dazzling displays of shooting red stars and bursting incendiaries – everyone seemed eager to blow up something. “I’m disappointed,” said our host. “It’s usually more dramatic. People compete with their neighbors to put on the biggest show. I guess the Swiss are just feeling more subdued.”

From Whip to Wage: The US also began as a confederacy of independent states, much like the Swiss cantons. But American states lost their independence to their central government in a series of power grabs by Washington. Today, Americans can scarcely recall or imagine that it could be any different. In the recent Supreme Court decision on abortion, for example, most people were surprised when the court decided that reproductive rights were up to the states, not the federal government.

The biggest power grab by the feds came in the mid-19th century. Lincoln sent the US Army to bring the states of the southern confederacy into line. Since then, no state has seriously challenged Washington’s power.

But there was more to that story. Back then, slavery was being made obsolete by the Industrial Revolution; it was just cheaper to drive people with slave wages than to drive them with whips. The whole world was turning against slavery. But not at the same rate. In the Deep South of the USA, on the big plantations, slavery (apparently) still paid. In the North it did not. Was it so surprising that northerners led the opposition to it? They could enjoy the piety of opposing slavery, without the cost of giving something up.

Into the Mud: Ultimately, it was fossil fuel that put slavery out of business in the 1800s…not the high-minded intentions of Yankee abolitionists. The Industrial Revolution made it possible for machines to do far more work than a human slave. After thousands of years, keeping people in bondage became bad business…and then, just bad. Now, the Industrial Revolution has run its course. And today, the abolitionists have coal, oil and gas in their sights. They think they can make the world a better place by trampling down the internal combustion engine and gas-fired power plant.

But wait; they owe their wealth to coal, oil, and gas…don’t they? How could they turn against them? Oh dear reader...we have to sink into the mega political mud a bit further, don’t we? Stay tuned…"

Dan, I Allegedly, "It’s Not My Fault"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly, 8/3/23
"It’s Not My Fault"
"The United States just had its credit rating downgraded by Fitch. We’re going to have to start paying more money as a country to borrow money. Some of our politicians are blaming other people as a result of this. "
Comments here:

"Nightmare Trip To Kroger! These High Prices Are Hurting Everyone!"

Full screen recommended.
Adventures With Danno, AM 8/3/23
"Nightmare Trip To Kroger! 
These High Prices Are Hurting Everyone!"
"In today's vlog, we are at Kroger and are noticing massive price increases on groceries! This has become a complete nightmare as we are seeing yet another wave of price increases around the country and around the world."
Comments here:

Gregory Mannarino, "Is This The Beginning Of A Super-Meltdown?

"It's a Big Club, and you ain't in it. 
You and I are not in the Big Club."
- George Carlin
No, we just get the consequences, as always...
Gregory Mannarino, AM 8/3/23
"Is This The Beginning Of A Super-Meltdown? 
The 10 Year Yield IS Spiking! Let's See"
Comments here:

Wednesday, August 2, 2023

"Alert! Massive Attack On Moscow Coming; US Citizen Captured; Attack Near Romania"

Full screen recommended.
Canadian Prepper, 8/2/23
"Alert! Massive Attack On Moscow Coming; 
US Citizen Captured; Attack Near Romania"
Comments here:

"Shipping Prices Will Double From Current Levels As Supply Chain Nightmare Begins"

Full screen recommended.
"Shipping Prices Will Double From Current Levels
 As Supply Chain Nightmare Begins"
by Epic Economist

"Have you noticed that delivery delays are becoming a lot more frequent recently? That’s because a new set of supply chain disruptions are impacting the shipping and trucking industry right now. Both maritime and road transportation companies are facing labor and capacity issues, increased costs, and bankruptcies in recent months, and these problems are rapidly pushing freight and shipping rates to levels last seen in the 2021 crisis, when supply chain bottlenecks triggered a 500% spike in transportation costs, consequently making the price of the items we buy and consume shoot up at retail stores and supermarkets from all around the nation. So far this year, three of the biggest trucking companies in the U.S. have collapsed, and the latest of such incidents is threatening to bring widespread empty shelves back to our local stores in the next few weeks. The 2023 supply chain nightmare has already begun, and today, we're going to reveal what’s truly behind this crisis.

While major shipping companies continue to report better-than-expected financial results, freight rates are now averaging $3,998 per forty-foot equivalent unit, meaning that they’re 85% more expensive than before the outbreak hit the U.S., according to data provided by Hapag-Lloyd, the world’s fifth-largest shipping line. These rates are expected to soar even more during the fall, the U.S. peak importing season. In the past two weeks alone, the average spot-market price to ship a 40-foot container from Asia to the US West Coast rose 34%, as reported by transport data firm Xeneta.

Conditions have changed drastically in recent months, as major shipping companies have gone under, erasing capacity and eliminating thousands of jobs from the system. In order words, the labor issues that caused U.S. ports to be clogged up just a couple of years ago, and wreak havoc on the trucking industry due to a shortage of drivers

Yellow was a 99-year-old firm, that became famous for its competitive prices, and its huge fleet of over 12,000 trucks that shipped freight across America for big brands such as Walmart and Home Depot. As it turns out, the firm’s bankruptcy will affect more than just the supply chain, but also American taxpayers because Yellow owed the federal government a huge amount of money. As of late March, the company had an outstanding debt of about $1.5 billion. Of that, $729.2 million was owed to the federal government.

The U.S. job market is going to suffer, too. Yellow’s closure is the biggest in terms of jobs and revenue in the U.S. trucking industry, according to industry experts. Over 30,000 workers were left without jobs due to the firm’s bankruptcy. Even the cost of sending packages between states is going up this month. The US Postal Service increased the cost of Priority Mail by about 5.5%. Priority Mail Express became 6.6% more expensive, First Class Package Service prices were bumped up by 7.8% and Priority Mail commercial rates increased by about 3.6%. That’s why we should all start getting ready for chaos at supply chains once again. The catalysts of this crisis may be different from last time, but they’re creating problems just as severe as those we have faced before. After supply chains have been broken, they were never the same, and every time a new bottleneck emerges, we are at risk of seeing cascading failures on the system that can rapidly plunge our entire country into disarray."
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"Warning: Bank Closures And Trucking Companies Collapsing Means Big Trouble Ahead"

Jeremiah Babe, 8/2/23
"Warning: Bank Closures And Trucking Companies 
Collapsing Means Big Trouble Ahead"
Comments here:

"Thousand Of Truck Drivers Laid Off! More Banks Closing! Be Ready For The Collapse!"

Adventures With Danno, PM 8/2/23
"Thousand Of Truck Drivers Laid Off! More Banks Closing!
 Be Ready For The Collapse!"
"In today's video, we go over the recent collapse of The Yellow Freight Company and how they just laid off over 30,000 employees. This is a huge blow as these truck drivers keep our country running. We also explain how many local banks inside grocery stores have quietly been closing their doors!"
Comments here:

Musical Interlude: Neil H, "To the Gateway of Eternity"

Neil H, "To the Gateway of Eternity"

"A Look to the Heavens, With Chet Raymo"

“Like Rubies Ringed With Gold”
by Chet Raymo

“Here’s a Hubble Space Telescope composite photograph of two colliding galaxies in the constellation Corvus.
Each of the three books of Dante’s “Divine Comedy” ends with the same words: “the stars.” The Inferno concludes with distant stars glimpsed through the narrow exit of hell. “We emerged,” says the poet, “and saw the stars.” The poet’s journey through Purgatory ends on Earth’s highest mountain, with the heavens seemingly not so far away. He is “ready to ascend to the stars.” Finally, Dante looks down upon the stars from above, from the luminous realm of Paradise. He has experienced “the Love that moves the sun and the other stars.” The beauty of that final destination, the Empyrean Sphere that encloses the created universe in divine brilliance, taxes the poet’s powers of description:

“I saw light in the shape of a river
Flashing golden between two banks
Tinted in colors of marvelous spring.
Out of the stream came living sparks
Which settled on the flowers on every side
Like rubies ringed with gold…”

Nothing in Dante’s experience could have prepared him for the splendors of the heavens as revealed by the Hubble. The photograph of colliding galaxies in Corvus is a work of genius in the tradition of the “Divine Comedy” – imagination in service to humankind’s loftiest aspirations and longings.

In Dante’s time, astronomy was one of the seven liberal arts – with grammar, rhetoric, logic, arithmetic, geometry, and music – required of every student who aspired to a university degree. Of all the secular sciences, astronomy was deemed most likely to lead one to the contemplation of things divine. Yesterday’s Hubble pic made the hair stand up on the back of my neck, which is about as close to the divine as I ever get. Dante’s “Divine Comedy” is based on the medieval astronomical conception of the world – a system of concentric spheres centered on the Earth and bounded just up there by the Empyrean.

In the Hubble photograph of colliding galaxies we see something akin to Dante’s paradisal vision, but it is not a cosmos centered on the Earth. Here are other Suns and other Earths being born, in prodigious numbers, massive stars destined to die soon as supernovas, and other less massive stars that will live long lives, perhaps evolving life or consciousness on their planets. We see in the Hubble photograph a universe of a fullness and dimension that makes Dante’s human-centered cosmos of concentric spheres seem like a dust mote in an immense cathedral.

Astronomy is no longer a required course of study in our universities, and it’s something of a shame. Who can look at the photograph of colliding galaxies and not be moved to rapture? An understanding of the size, age, and prodigality of the universe should be part of every liberal arts graduate’s intellectual furniture.”
Freely download “The Divine Comedy” by Dante Alighieri, here:

The Poet: Anne Sexton, “Courage”

“Courage”

“It is in the small things we see it.
The child’s first step,
as awesome as an earthquake.
The first time you rode a bike,
wallowing up the sidewalk.
The first spanking when your heart
went on a journey all alone.
When they called you crybaby
or poor or fatty or crazy
and made you into an alien,
you drank their acid
and concealed it.

Later,
if you faced the death of bombs and bullets
you did not do it with a banner,
you did it with only a hat to
cover your heart.
You did not fondle the weakness inside you
though it was there.
Your courage was a small coal
that you kept swallowing.
If your buddy saved you
and died himself in so doing,
then his courage was not courage,
it was love; love as simple as shaving soap.

Later,
if you have endured a great despair,
then you did it alone,
getting a transfusion from the fire,
picking the scabs off your heart,
then wringing it out like a sock.
Next, my kinsman, you powdered your sorrow,
you gave it a back rub
and then you covered it with a blanket
and after it had slept a while
it woke to the wings of the roses
and was transformed.

Later,
when you face old age and its natural conclusion
your courage will still be shown in the little ways,
each spring will be a sword you’ll sharpen,
those you love will live in a fever of love,
and you’ll bargain with the calendar
and at the last moment
when death opens the back door
you’ll put on your carpet slippers
and stride out.”

~ Anne Sexton

"We Like To Think..."

“We like to think that we are rational beings; humane, conscientious, civilized, thoughtful. But when things fall apart, even just a little, it becomes clear we are not better than animals. We have opposable thumbs, we think, we walk erect, we speak, we dream, but deep down we are still routing around in the primordial ooze; biting, clawing, scratching out an existence in the cold, dark world like the rest of the tree-toads and sloths.”
- “Grey’s Anatomy”

Greg Hunter, "We Are at the End of Civilization – Gerald Celente"

"We Are at the End of Civilization – Gerald Celente"
By Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com

"Renowned trends researcher and publisher of “The Trends Journal,” Gerald Celente, says the trend for the world is very dark because of the increasing prospects for a World War. Celente pointed out a year ago to an unsuspecting public that “World War III has already started.” There is no end in sight to the Ukraine war, and it is only getting more intense. Celente says, “We are at the end of civilization. Let’s talk about the Ukraine war. Thanks to the U.S. and NATO, they ramped up a situation that would have been over a year ago if we minded our own business. Now, it’s bombs away in Moscow with the drones they are sending in. World War III has begun, and we are on the verge of nuclear annihilation. Look at these people on the cover of the Trends Journal. They are out of their minds. They are evil, demonic, psychopathic, pathological lying freaks."

Since 2014, Celente and his Trends Journal has been warning “Washington is driving the world to the final war.” Looks like we are in the final war now. Celente says the people currently in office in Washington D.C. will do anything to hold on to power. This includes massive cheating in the 2024 Election and jailing Trump if the Deep State can pull it off. Despite the fact Donald Trump is leading the GOP field for the White House in 2024, Celente says they will make sure he does not return to office by cheating him out – once again. Celente also says that Bobby Kennedy Jr. looks like he is trending higher, but he, too, will have to contend with the cheating.

If the cheating does not look like it’s going to work, Celente says, “When all else fails, they take you to war.” Celente says he would not be surprised if a war does not ramp way up before the 2024 Election.

Celente has more bad news you need to consider on the economic trend. The higher interest rates go to fight inflation, the more it will damage the economy. Celente contends the Fed is going to lower interest rates just in time for the 2024 Election. Celente says, “When they lower interest rates, the dollar is going to dive. This will be the beginning of the death of the dollar. Gold prices are going to skyrocket. The only reason gold prices are low is because of the strong dollar. Then you will start seeing the beginning of the unwinding of the economy. That’s the beginning of the death. Also, look at the BRICS (currency) and the 40 countries that have already joined and don’t want the dollar.”

In closing, Celente says, “People need to get prepared physically, mentally and spiritually because you are in a fight for your life. United we stand and divided we die.” There is much more in the 53-minute interview.

Join Greg Hunter on Rumble as he goes One-on-One with the top trends researcher on the planet, Gerald Celente. He’s the publisher of “The Trends Journal", which has new original cutting-edge material each and every week. 

The Daily "Near You?"

Sydney, Australia. Thanks for stopping by!

"Doug Casey: The Collapse of American Cities"

"Doug Casey: The Collapse of American Cities"
by International Man

"International Man: What made big American cities attractive places to live in the past?

Doug Casey: Well, it’s not just American cities; it’s cities in general. Throughout all of history, cities have equated with civilization. Cities offer safety, comfort, wealth, and community. They’re a medium for people to exchange ideas and trade easily. The Ascent of Man is built on cities and wouldn’t have been possible without them. Civilization is all about specialization and division of labor. The larger the city, the freer the society, the greater the possibilities.

American cities have been among the best in history because America itself has offered more freedom and less government restrictions than anything in the past. It’s no mystery why American cities should have been so great in the past, but things are changing. To destroy cities is to destroy civilization.

International Man: American cities have visibly deteriorated across all metrics in recent years. For an increasing number of people, the value proposition of living in cities no longer makes sense. What is your take?

Doug Casey: I presume everybody’s heard the mnemonic, "Hard times create strong men, strong men create good times, good times create weak men, and weak men create hard times." Unfortunately, American civilization has reached the stage where it’s getting soft, weak, and degraded.

I place the State - government - at the root of this collapse. It’s implemented welfare, which not only allows but encourages people to consume without producing. So-called "democracy" has created class warfare, wherein everyone tries to gain control of the government to gain wealth and power. It’s created an unstable society, inventories of people that have been correctly called "useless mouths." They’re incapable of anything beyond consuming and voting. Governmental policies have turned the cities into cesspools.

That little aphorism about weak men that we quoted earlier can be seen as a variation of the 2nd Law of Thermodynamics - one of the few laws that I believe in. It states that everything winds down over time unless there’s an adequate input of energy to keep things going. In other words, to stay healthy, they should produce more than they consume. But that’s no longer true. Many American cities are now net drains on the country.

The collapse that American cities are experiencing has been very quick from a historical point of view. You can lay part of it to the general degradation of society, which has been actively promoted by academia, the media, and the entertainment industry. Wokesterism, a philosophy of neo-Marxism, racism, and rabid collectivism, has totally captured governments everywhere. But especially in the cities, from which their corrupt and degraded ideas spread out to the general population.

International Man: What will happen to the already tight budgets of many cities as their most productive residents continue to leave in increasing numbers? What are the implications?

Doug Casey: Well, the degradation affecting American cities is actually nothing new. It’s happened across time and space throughout history. Babylon rose and fell and went back to dust. The Egyptian, Hittite, and Assyrian Empires all vanished. The golden age of Athens lasted less than 100 years. After Rome collapsed, cows and goats grazed in the forum during the following Dark Ages. It doesn’t have to happen that way, but that’s the general trend of things. At this point, the American empire is collapsing, and its cities are leading the way.

International Man: If not cities, where would you recommend people consider living?

Doug Casey: Well, certainly not the suburbs. They used to be a good alternative that allowed some space, sunshine, and other advantages of a rural environment while maintaining many of the advantages of a city. But no longer. If you’re going to get out of the city, forget the suburbs.

It’s best to head for small towns, especially those in red states. If you narrow the focus further, choose a small town on a body of water - the ocean, a river, or a lake, preferably with mountains nearby. Those things make them more recreation-oriented. More pleasant and amenable, drawing economically successful people. California was perfect 75 years ago. But, as they say, that was then. And this is now - a different world.

International Man: A recent article in the NY Times claimed there are over 26 Empire State Buildings worth of empty office space in New York City. What are the implications of this trend on commercial real estate and financial markets? Are there any speculative opportunities you see?

Doug Casey: That’s a pretty shocking statistic. It’s still way too early to jump in. There’s going to be a collapse that compounds upon itself. Many office buildings will be permanently emptied as businesses contract. Furthermore, people don’t want to come into the city anymore. They’ve found they can work more effectively from home at least one or two days a week, and they want to avoid both monetary the expense and the waste of time involved in commuting.

As more buildings become see-through, most of the shops and restaurants that catered to business people will also close. As that happens, those buildings become even less desirable. It’s a negative feedback loop.

Can office buildings be repurposed into residential condominiums? Not easily. They don’t have the necessary plumbing for bathrooms and kitchens. They’re mostly not laid out in a way that allows economic conversion.

On top of that, as people leave, city governments will no longer be collecting property taxes, sales taxes, or a myriad of other levies. Even now, city governments are highly indebted and borderline bankrupt. But they’ll still have to support their useless mouths - not only a large number of employees but thousands of migrants. Crime will certainly go up, further aggravating the situation. It could result in a real crisis.

We’ve got to ask ourselves: What’s going to happen to cities as the economy descends deeper into the Greater Depression? Will vagrants take over empty office buildings and hotels to avoid sleeping on the streets? That’s what’s happened in Caracas, which used to be a wonderful city, years ago…

And Port-au-Prince, the capital of Haiti. It was always poor because of stupid government policies, but it was very safe and, in many ways, really delightful as late as the early 1980s. Now it is one of the worst hellholes on the planet.

But things can go the other direction too. When I first went to Dubai at about the same time, the airport was as tiny as an airport can be. Now it’s one of the largest and most efficient in the world. Dubai has gone from a tiny little fishing village to a world center of commerce. The same is true of Singapore and Hong Kong. Things can rise as well as fall. It’s all a question of culture and management. However, I regret to say I’m not optimistic about either the US or its cities."

Col. Douglas Macgregor, "This War Is Over, Russia Has Won"

Col. Douglas Macgregor, Straight Calls, 8/2/23
"This War Is Over, Russia Has Won"
"Analysis of breaking news and in-depth discussion of current
 geopolitical events in the United States of America and the world."
Comments here:
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"Discarding Illusions, Ending Wars"
From the moment the war in Ukraine started, Western 
reporting on the war was a radical repudiation of the truth.
by Col. Douglas Macgregor

"From the moment the war in Ukraine started, Western reporting on the war was a radical repudiation of the truth. Washington and its NATO allies always knew that NATO expansion to Russia’s borders would precipitate an armed conflict with Moscow, but NATO’s ruling globalist class did not care. For them, Russia in 2022 was unchanged from the weak and incapable Russia of the late 1990s. The risk of failure seemed low. Ergo, Russia could be bullied into submission.

Americans and most Europeans did not bother to question or analyze. Widespread strategic ignorance about Russia and Eastern Europe ensured that most Americans and even West Europeans would react quickly and viscerally to the Western media’s distorted images and lies about Russia. At the same time, tolerance for criticism of Washington’s role in fashioning the corrupt and deceitful conduct of the Volodymyr Zelenskyy Regime and its war was disallowed in the press.

Washington’s ruling class was cheered when it dismissed Russian proposals for talks on any grounds that did not recognize NATO’s right to transform Ukraine into a base for U.S. and Allied Military Power aimed at Russia. Ukrainian flags sprouted from the lush grounds of America’s wealthier neighborhoods like flowers in an arboretum and wonders in the form of limitless military assistance, miracle weapons, and cash were promised to President Zelenskyy - promises that strategic reality did not justify.

In 2022 the Biden Administration no longer possessed the military and economic strength to wage high-end conventional warfare that it had in 1991. Waging a major war 10,000 miles from home on the Eurasian continent is impossible without the support of truly powerful Allies on the model of the British Empire during WWII. Washington’s NATO allies are military dependencies, not formidable strategic partners.

Whereas Russian Military Power is still structured for decisive operations launched from Russian soil, U.S. Military power is geared to project limited air, naval, and land power thousands of miles from home to the periphery of Asia and Africa. American military power consists of boutique forces designed for safari in Africa and the Middle East, not decisive combat operations against great continental powers like Russia or China.

Eighteen months later Ukraine is in ruins. Its latest counteroffensive achieved nothing. In the last three weeks, an estimated 26,000 Ukrainian soldiers died in pointless attacks against world-class Russian defenses ‘in depth.’ (Defenses ‘in depth’ mean a security zone of 15 -25 kilometers in front of the main defense, that consists of at least three defense belts twenty or more kilometers deep.) By comparison, Russian losses were minimal.

Today, more than 100,000 Russian troops are conducting offensive operations along the Lyman-Kupiansk axis. These forces include 900 tanks, 555 artillery systems and 370 multiple rocket launchers. It does not take much imagination to anticipate the breakthrough of these forces to the North where they can encircle Kharkiv.

Once Russian Forces surround the city, they will become an irresistible magnet for Ukraine’s last reserve of 30-40,000 troops. Ukrainian Forces attacking to the East to break through to Kharkov will present the combination of Russian space and terrestrial-based ISR (intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance) assets and Precision Strike Aerospace, Artillery, Rocket, and Missile Systems with a target array that only a blind man could miss.

None of these developments should surprise anyone in the West. Building a Ukrainian army on the fly with a hotchpotch of hastily assembled equipment from a multitude of NATO members and an officer corps of many courageous, but inexperienced officers had little chance of success even under the best of circumstances.

Wars are decided in the decades before they begin. In war, the sudden appearance of “Silver Bullet” technology seldom provides more than a temporary advantage and strong personalities in the senior ranks do not compensate for inadequate military organization, training, thinking, and effective equipment. A new, leaked memorandum from sources inside Ukraine illustrates these points:

“Units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are at such terrible states of degradation that soldiers are abandoning their posts, and whilst not mentioned in these documents, a flood of videos have been published from Russian sources claiming Ukrainian service personnel are surrendering at the first opportunity owing to the belief that they are being treated as ‘nothing more than cannon fodder.’”

Events on the ground are beginning to overtake the carefully orchestrated charade in Kiev. There is little that pontificating retired generals and armchair military analysts can do to halt the inevitable. Moscow understands that the war will not end without Russian offensive action. Whatever the Washington’s original goals may have been, theybeen they are unrealizable. Russian forces will soon fall on the Ukrainian forces with the momentum and the impact of an avalanche.

In view of these points, before all of Ukraine’s manpower is annihilated, or a “Coalition of the Willing” from Poland and Lithuania marches into Western Ukraine, Washington can arrest Ukraine’s downward spiral into total defeat, and Washington’s own irresponsible drift into a regional war with Russia for which Washington and its allies are not prepared.

Cooler heads can prevail inside the beltway. The fighting can stop, but a ceasefire, and the diplomatic talks that must proceed from a ceasefire, will not occur unless Washington and its Allies acknowledge three critical points:

First, whatever form the Ukrainian State assumes in the aftermath of the conflict, Ukraine must be neutral and non-aligned. NATO membership is out of the question. A neutral Ukraine on the Austrian model can still provide a buffer between Russia and its Western Neighbors.

Second, Washington and its Allies must immediately suspend all military aid to Ukraine. Doubling down on failure by introducing more equipment and technology the Ukrainian Forces cannot quickly absorb and employ is wasteful and self-defeating.

Third, all U.S. and allied personnel, clandestine or in uniform, must withdraw from Ukraine. Insisting on some form of NATO presence as a face-saving measure is pointless. The attempt to extend NATO’s “new globalist world order” to Russia has failed.

The point is straightforward. It is time for Washington to turn its attention inward and address the decades of American societal, economic, and military decay that ensued after 1991. It’s time to reverse the decline in American national prosperity, and power; to avoid unnecessary overseas conflict; and to shun future interventions in the affairs of other nation states and their societies. The threats to our Republic are here, at home, not in the Eastern Hemisphere."

John Wilder, "The Great Rollover"

"The Great Rollover"
by John Wilder

"Yellow Freight® shut down. They had been around for 99 years, starting business way back in time when Bernie Sanders was trying to ruin the Austro-Hungarian Empire or Bulgaria or wherever he came from. Yellow Freight© was an old company and 30,000 people lost their jobs. What went on? Well, Yellow© borrowed hundreds of millions of dollars emergency ‘rona bucks. When they went bankrupt, they had an outstanding loan balance (backstopped by you and I) of $729.2 million. During the two and a half years that they’d had the loan, they’d paid down $54.8 million in interest. They’d also paid down $230 in principle. Not $230 million. Not $230 thousand. $230, so I’m guessing their strategy was to pay it off at $10 a month, which would ensure that they’d pay off the loan in roughly the year 6,079,523.

Oddly, no one would take a risk on refinancing a company that had such powerhouse earnings, and so all of the people who used to have pensions with Yellow™ found out that their pension value would be paid out at the same rate as the loan was being paid out, and it’s pretty hard to split $10 among 30,000 people each month. Most of the 30,000 folks from Yellow Freight© will find another job – truckers are still in demand, and other companies have picked up the slack so far.

This isn’t the first. Just like the banks who had money in Treasury paper took a hit (Silicon Valley Bank®, I’d be looking at you if you were still here) because the “super-safe” bonds making 1% were worth a lot less when interest rates went up to 4%. The FDIC™ requires the banks that they insure to report data. It’s kinda scary when the FDIC© uses the X® (the social media company formerly known as Prince) to notify banks (and the American public) that banks might be in trouble again.

The same thing is, perhaps, happening to the dollar itself – yesterday lost its AAA bond rating from Fitch™ and is now producing AA bonds. Still a good rating, but it’s a big hit from “nearly perfect plus has nuclear missiles” and the first step to becoming a “drunk wine aunt country that can’t afford to take vacations”, like Uzbekistan.

As I’ve written before, it’s awesome to have “the reserve currency”, since that means you can print all the cash you want and spend it on things like iPods™ from China, Hello Kitty™ slippers from Bangladesh, and tequila from Mexico (what’s known as a “Hunter Biden Saturday Morning Special”). Losing it means a loss of that ability, and all of a sudden you have to work for all of that stuff rather than just printing cash.

That’s difficult, because there’s always competition in having the reserve currency. One competitor, of course, is precious metals. Another is land. My father-in-law liked to say, “if it blows up, at least you still have the hole.” After the debt ceiling deal (translation: spend as much as you want until after the general election), the debt shot up, climbing $1.8 trillion in just two months. I mean, that’s a crazy number, we don’t even give that much to Zelenskyy in a year!

Eventually that has an effect on all assets. Although Darth Powell doesn’t exactly have the understanding of how home prices work, it is closer to say that at the same payment at a 7% mortgage rate, you can afford a heck of a lot less home than you can afford at 2.7%. Unless wages go up or BlackRock© decides to buy houses because they ran out of illegal aliens to import this month.

Or, if the bankers get absolute control over who uses what cash and when. That’s the goal. Will that happen if things are going well, and we’re surrounded by prosperity? Of course not. In order to get control, the idea is chaos, uncertainty, war, and mayhem. If you’re old enough, how do the 2020s compare to the 1980s? The 1990s? The 2000s? In nearly every way that doesn’t involve ludicrously cheap televisions, each of those decades was objectively better. I’ve noted before that Peak USA probably hit somewhere before I was born to when I was a little kid.

I’m normally a fan of the idea of ineptitude being responsible for at least being some contributing factor to the problems that we have, but when I look at the gross mismanagement of the economy for decades it almost seems like it’s planned. But I’m sure I’ll hear Bernie lecturing us all that socialism and more government is the way out from the balcony of one of his three houses soon enough. After all, it’s worked out pretty well for him, what with him never having had an actual job and all."

"There Are Times..."

"There are times the lies get to me, times I weary of battering myself against the obstacles of denial, hatred, fear-induced stupidity, and greed, times I want to curl up and fall into the problem, let it sweep me away as it so obviously sweeps away so many others. I remember a spring day a few years ago, a spring day much like this one, only a little more sun, and warmer. I sat on this same couch and looked out this same window at the same ponderosa pine.

I was frightened, and lonely. Frightened of a future that looks dark, and darker with each passing species, and lonely because for every person actively trying to shut down the timber industry, stop abuse, or otherwise bring about a sustainable and sane way of living, there are thousands who are helping along this not-so-slow train to oblivion. I began to cry.

The tears stopped soon enough. I realized we are not so outnumbered. We are not outnumbered at all. I looked closely, and saw one blade of wild grass, and another. I saw the sun reflecting bright off the needles of pine trees, and I heard the hum of flies. I saw ants walking single file through the dust, and a spider crawling toward the corner of the ceiling. I knew in that moment, as I've known ever since, that it is no longer possible to be lonely, that every creature on earth is pulling in the direction of life- every grasshopper, every struggling salmon, every unhatched chick, every cell of every blue whale - and it is only our own fear that sets us apart. All humans, too, are struggling to be sane, struggling to live in harmony with our surroundings, but it's really hard to let go. And so we lie, destroy, rape, murder, experiment, and extirpate, all to control this wildly uncontrollable symphony, and failing that, to destroy it."
- Derrick Jensen,
"A Language Older Than Words"

"How It Really Is"

 

"All Sins..."

"All sins, of course, deserve to be treated with mercy: we all do what we can, and life is too hard and too cruel for us to condemn anyone for failing in this area. Does anyone know what he himself would do if faced with the worst, and how much truth could he bear under such circumstances?"
- Andre Comte-Sponville
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Joe South, "Walk A Mile In My Shoes"

Bill Bonner, "The Sun Also Sets"

"The Sun Also Sets"
"Adrift in a sea of woe, woke, and weird, 
the sun begins to set on 'The West'"...
by Bill Bonner

"The Pope…how many divisions has he?"
~ Josef Stalin

Poitou, France - "This just in on the latest Gallup Poll. Americans’ most trusted institution, the military, is falling from grace. Responsiblestatecraft.org: The left claims that racism and other intolerances in the ranks have caused Americans to turn against the military; the right says “woke” politics are at the root of increasing alienation. Perhaps the culture indeed is responsible for the 25 percent shortfall in recruitment, but beware of partisan narratives that appear to speak for everyone and explain trends so neatly. Never is anything that simple.

Nope. Not that simple. The right supposedly thinks the military is too woke. The left supposedly thinks it is not woke enough. But what if the real reason Americans are losing faith in the Pentagon is neither? What if they are losing faith in Congress…in the White House…both political parties…in the Supreme Court…and in the whole shebang?

They, the Elite: What if ‘The People” are catching on? What if they are realizing that the military works for the elite…and that the elite deciders work for themselves, not for ‘The People?’ Why do we have $32 trillion of federal debt? Why do the feds continue to add more?Bloomberg reports: "The Treasury Department increased its net borrowing estimate for the July through September quarter to $1 trillion, well up from the $733 billion amount it had predicted in early May."

One trillion dollars in just three months. And every penny of it will be paid – one way or another – by “The People.” Wars, boondoggles, claptrap programs – why are there so many of them? And yes, the superficial reasons for these things are obvious: they pay off for the deciders. Bloomberg again: "Lockheed Is Reaping $2.3 Billion So Far Restocking the Pentagon." "Pushing to restock depleted US weapons stockpiles, the Pentagon has already committed almost $2.3 billion of a potential $6 billion to Lockheed Martin Corp., the top maker of munitions that the US has provided Ukraine in its fight against Russia’s invasion, according to new Defense Department data."

Unequal Men: But in this sea of woe, woke, and weird…there are deeper currents. ‘Megapolitics’ is the term coined by our friends, James Davidson and Lord Rees Mogg, to describe them. Largely invisible, rarely understood, and impossible to contradict, they sweep us along like plastic bottles on a flood tide.

“All men are created equal” is an idea. The 375 Zulu warriors killed at Rorke’s Drift was a fact. And behind that fact was another one: the handful of English soldiers who killed them had rifles. The Zulus had spears. For hundreds of years, the power relationship was so unequal that Europeans were able to colonize much of the world…while neither Africans, Asians, nor the Indians of North or South America colonized any part of Europe.

That’s megapolitics. It didn’t matter what anyone thought; the Zulus were out-gunned. Ultimately, it’s the facts that matter. Ideas are how we explain, justify and misinterpret them.

Which brings us to the latest twist in the story of the Industrial Revolution, and the deciders’ latest crusade; they want to eliminate fossil fuels. It was coal that gave the English a decisive edge at Rorke’s Drift. Coal…and later, oil and gas…fired the furnaces that made steel. The steel was turned into the ships that took the English to Africa…the motors that powered the ships…and the guns that they used to kill Zulus.

Cometh the Machines: Your humble editor, personally, brought the industrial revolution to the Calchaqui Valley in Argentina. When we arrived there were no tractors or modern machinery in use on the farm. The cowboys rode horses. An aging percheron pulled a hay rake. A mule pulled a plow with a single blade. In less than 10 years all that changed. Tractors, trucks and a backhoe now do the hard work. The ranch hands ride on motorbikes or pickup trucks. Output rose in a single hop. And then it was over. We can increase productivity, perhaps, with newer machines, more chemicals, more fertilizer and better seeds – but probably not by much.

And in Europe and ‘the West’ today, the Industrial Revolution is over. Growth rates have been going down for half a century. Birthrates are falling. Populations are in decline. Our use of fossil fuel is going down. Debt is piling up; current output can’t keep up with our expenses. And now, the Zulus have automatic rifles too. The BRICs become more independent, more powerful. The “Global South” (which somehow included India, and China, both in the Northern Hemisphere) will soon produce most of the world’s cars, ships, and guns.

Meanwhile, in ‘the West,’ the advances of the Industrial Revolution, if there are any, are incremental…not revolutionary….and often, illusory. Today, we have all the internal combustion engines we can use. We can get new and better ones, but they will make only incremental improvements to output. It is in this fertile soil…the declining marginal utility of fossil fuels…that a new idea has taken root: that coal, gas, oil are evil. More to come…"