StatCounter

Wednesday, November 25, 2020

"The Dow Just Hit 30,000, But Meanwhile The Real Economy Is Having A Meltdown"

"The Dow Just Hit 30,000, 
But Meanwhile The Real Economy Is Having A Meltdown"
by Michael Snyder

"Did you hear the good news? The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit 30,000 for the first time ever this week. In the midst of the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression of the 1930s, the stock market has been soaring to heights that we have never seen before. What we have been witnessing is completely insane, but I suppose that if the entire system is utterly doomed, we might as well go out with a bang.

I have often said that the stock market has become entirely detached from reality, and that statement has never been truer than it is right now. For the companies listed on the S&P 500, profits are down about 48 percent compared to last year. But fundamentals do not seem to matter in the giant casino that Wall Street has become.

Instead, the key is to create as much buzz and speculation around your company as possible. In this type of environment, a mirage known as “Tesla” can be worth more than all of the other major automakers in the entire world combined: "The electric car maker’s shares continued to climb more than 4% on Tuesday, increasing its total market value above $500 billion for the first time. Tesla’s market cap rose to more than $520 billion Tuesday afternoon. Tesla (TSLA) is now worth more than the combined market value of most of the world’s major automakers: Toyota (TM), Volkswagen (VLKAF), GM (GM), Ford (F), Fiat Chrysler (FCAU) and its merger partner PSA Group (PUGOY)."

Anyone that believes that Tesla is actually worth 500 billion dollars is probably clinically insane. But of course there are hundreds of other big corporations that are wildly overvalued at the moment as well.

Meanwhile, the real economy continues to implode. According to Fox Business, we are facing “a tidal wave of evictions at the end of the year”: "The U.S. is facing a tidal wave of evictions at the end of the year unless the federal government, in the eleventh hour, extends key pandemic-related protections for millions of renters and homeowners. More than 5.8 million adults say they are somewhat to very likely to face eviction or foreclosure over the course of the next two months, according to a U.S. Census Bureau survey completed Nov. 9. That represents about one-third of the 17.9 million Americans who were behind on their rent or mortgage payments last month."

The reason why millions upon millions of Americans are in danger of losing their homes is because we have seen an unprecedented tsunami of unemployment in 2020. More than 70 million Americans have filed new claims for unemployment this year, and there has never been another year in all of U.S. history when we have even seen half that number.

This absolutely massive wave of job losses has pushed millions of Americans into poverty, and hunger is on the rise all over the country. The following comes from Simon Black: "New York City is up 33% this year. St. Louis is up 66%. In Oregon it’s up 100%. I’m not talking about real estate prices, local budget gaps, or even property tax rates. These are the startling increases in the number of people across the country, and the world, who are in need of food. But at least the stock market is doing well, right?

In Texas, the CEO of one food bank says that the number of people that they are helping has doubled this year: "Eric Cooper, CEO of the San Antonio Food Bank, told CNBC that his Texas food bank now feeds double the amount of people it used to compared to before the coronavirus pandemic gripped the United States. “Pre-pandemic we fed about 60,00 people a week and now we’re seeing about 120,000 per week, and most of those are new to the food bank, and have never had to ask for help before,” Cooper said during a Tuesday evening interview on “The News with Shepard Smith.”

And what makes all of this even more heartbreaking is the fact that most of the households that need assistance have children living at home. Just check out these numbers from Washington state: "Nearly one-third of Washington households have struggled to get enough to food at some point since the start of the coronavirus pandemic, a new study found. Of the 30% of households that experienced food insecurity, 59% had children living at home, according to the Washington State Food Security Survey, put together by a team of professors and researchers at Washington State University, the University of Washington and Tacoma Community College."

Now another wave of lockdowns is being instituted all over the nation, and that is going to take the level of economic suffering in this country to an even higher level. For many workers, being laid off just before the holidays is especially painful: "Waiters and bartenders are being thrown out of work – again – as governors and local officials shut down indoor dining and drinking establishments to combat the nationwide surge in coronavirus infections that is overwhelming hospitals and dashing hopes for a quick economic recovery."

And the timing, just before the holidays, couldn’t be worse. Can you imagine just barely making it through the first round of lockdowns and then being told that you have to do it again?
This is the reality that so many Americans are facing at this moment. For example, this is what 34-year-old Tracey Grey told CBS News about her situation: "My savings are depleted. If 10 of my clients cancel their membership, right now, I’m done. When I say I’m literally just making it, I am literally just making it. I’m one paycheck away and that’s not even an exaggeration."

Now more than ever, the stock market is not a barometer for the health of the overall economy. The truth is that an economic collapse has begun, and over time it will get much, much worse. But for the moment, nothing you can say will keep the ultra-wealthy from feeling euphoric as they monitor their rapidly rising stock portfolios. For them, this will definitely be a very happy Thanksgiving. But for most of the rest of the country, the current state of affairs is nothing to smile about."

Tuesday, November 24, 2020

"Dow Jones Historic 30K As Millions Can't Pay Rent; Millions Jobless; Millions Hungry; Millions Broke"

Jeremiah Babe,
"Dow Jones Historic 30K As Millions Can't Pay Rent; 
Millions Jobless; Millions Hungry; Millions Broke"

"Life..."

"Life is the hyphen between matter and spirit."
- A.W. and J.C. Hare, "Guesses at Truth, by Two Brothers," 1827

"As Americans..."

''As Americans, we must ask ourselves: Are we really so different? Must we stereotype those who disagree with us? Do we truly believe that ALL red-state residents are ignorant racist fascist knuckle-dragging NASCAR-obsessed cousin-marrying roadkill-eating tobacco juice-dribbling gun-fondling religious fanatic rednecks; or that ALL blue-state residents are godless unpatriotic pierced-nose Volvo-driving France-loving left-wing communist latte-sucking tofu-chomping holistic-wacko neurotic vegan weenie perverts?''
- Dave Barry

"There Were Two Americas Today As Dow Struck 30,000"

"There Were Two Americas Today As Dow Struck 30,000"
by Tyler Durden

"The K-shaped economic recovery, one where the rich grow richer and the working-poor are crushed with job loss and insurmountable debts, was on full display Tuesday afternoon as the Dow Jones Industrial Average crossed 30,000 for the first time. 

By mid-afternoon, hours after the DJIA soared to new highs, Bloomberg tweeted a disturbing video of yet another massive food bank line, something we've been highlighting this fall as an increasing occurrence as covid winter continues to crush the working-poor.  Today's food bank lines were situated in Albuquerque, New Mexico, where hundreds of vehicles were lined up "at a local stadium parking lot," Bloomberg said. The lines snaked around a parking lot, with an overflow of vehicles pouring out onto the city street. 

- Bloomberg Quicktake (@Quicktake) November 24, 2020

On Monday, we noted that on Dec. 31, many of the key provisions in the CARES Act are set to expire if there is no action from Congress. This could be catastrophic for 12 million America who will lose access to their Emergency unemployment benefits activated in the aftermath of the covid pandemic, which alone could be a drag of up to 1.5% to growth in 1Q, according to a recent Bank of America report. 

Additionally, the expiration of eviction moratorium, mortgage forbearance programs, and suspension of student loan payments could compound the working poor's financial stresses, many of whom, about 21 million of them, are unemployed and receiving benefits from the government. 
Click image for larger size.
In today's America, massive food bank lines are becoming a common occurrence once more - similar to what was seen in the early days of the pandemic. Earlier this month, the North Texas Food Bank (NTFB) handed out more than 600,000 pounds of food to 25,000 hungry people - one of the largest-ever food giveaways, explained NTFB officials. 

Thousands of cars lined up to collect food in Dallas, Texas, over the weekend, stretching as far as the eye can see. pic.twitter.com/xLFGOcBkPK
- CBS News (@CBSNews) November 16, 2020

While other stimulus packages could be introduced under the Biden administration, America's working poor has been permanently scarred for years and financially set back a decade.  The K-shaped recovery is getting worse - dropping helicopter money has yet to fix the economy as promised earlier in the year as millions of families are set to go without food this holiday season. 
Click image for larger size.
Just a reminder, a rising stock market tide doesn't lift all boats."

"The U.S. Dollar Is Being Systematically Destroyed, And We Are On A Path That Leads To Hyperinflation"

"The U.S. Dollar Is Being Systematically Destroyed,
 And We Are On A Path That Leads To Hyperinflation"
by Epic Economist

"The U.S. dollar is being systematically destroyed and economists are alerting for a dollar collapse by the end of 2021, with an over 50% chance of a double-dip recession. Seen that more and more stimulus will be issued to stop the bleeding of the economy and the financial markets, we have been caught up in a path that will inevitably lead to a hyperinflationary Great Depression. Why should we all be worried about this? Because it literally means that the deterioration of our purchasing power will become so extreme that our currency will lose its dominance in international trades, which of course, would spark a catastrophic financial disaster, while severely damaging our prospects for an accomplished economic recovery. To better illustrate how we're falling into an economic and financial hell hole, in this video, we present the sharpest, most critical assessments market strategists and economists have been unceasingly shouting and our leaders keep pretending not to listen. 

"If we keep treating the U.S. dollar like it is toilet paper, it is just a matter of time before our entire financial system goes down the tubes". That's what economic collapse writer and analyst Michael Snyder outlined in his latest article. It may seem a harsh assessment at a first glance, but all evidences suggest that he might be right. Currently, the U.S. dollar still holds its position as the world's primary reserve currency, which grants us some perks since we have control of it. However, it appears that our leaders are taking the dollar's leading status for granted, and the persistence on the enaction of reckless monetary policies is already prompting major countries to start massively abandoning the dollar as a trade currency. And everything signals that authorities will persist with their liquidity injection delirium while maintaining to the public their constant "support" to the markets is a viable solution, when, in essence, all they have been doing is putting a band-aid on a trillion-dollar open wound. 

In reality, not content with this year's record-low interest rates, the Federal Reserve may stretch them for years. Last Monday, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans said there is still “quite a long way to go” for the U.S. recovery from the health crisis, disclosing that he projects that the Fed will "keep interest rates at their current near-zero level until perhaps into 2024". Evidently, the federal government will keep pumping “stimulus package” after “stimulus package” regardless of who enters or leaves the White House. Simply put, this "free money" may even be helpful to assist unemployed citizens in the short term, but as we are well aware by now, the largest chunk of these trillion-dollar liquidity injections stay trapped into the financial markets, and consumer spending isn't considerably benefited on the long run. The result of it is essentially a huge inflation that pushes prices up, dramatically compromising our purchasing power. That's why Williams says that we are literally on the verge of a hyperinflationary catastrophe.

On a similar note, the economist Stephen Roach told CNBC last week that the "seemingly crazed idea" that the US dollar would collapse against other dominant currencies in the post-outbreak global economy is not so crazy anymore. Last June, Roach predicted a dollar crash that would collapse its value by 35% against other major currencies within the next couple of years. Roach based his prediction on historical evidence, exposing that in 8 of the past 11 business-cycle recoveries economic output has rapidly climbed and then sharply fallen. The economist who is also a former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, also said he can anticipate a more than 50% chance of a double-dip recession in the United States.

Since the dollar's fate has already been traced, Williams, Snyder, Roach, and pretty much every economy analyst and market watcher have been defending that the best way to protect your wealth is coming back to hard money. As Williams perfectly summarizes: "To save yourself, you have to preserve your wealth, your dollar assets. To do that, you have to convert your dollars into physical gold and silver, precious metals, and just hold them. They will retain value over time as opposed to paper dollars that will effectively become worthless. You’ll be getting a lot of money from the government, and they will keep giving you more and more and more, but that’s going to be an environment of rising and rising inflation. It’s not necessarily going to buy you more. Hyperinflation will bring political disruption. Hyperinflation is a form of default. Gold is telling us hyperinflation is straight ahead of us.”

Gregory Mannarino, "Alert: DOW 30,000. Hidden In Plain Sight: Fed. 'Sees Light At The End Of The Tunnel.'"

Gregory Mannarino,
"Alert: DOW 30,000. Hidden In Plain Sight:
 Fed. 'Sees Light At The End Of The Tunnel.'" 

Musical Interlude: 2002, "Land of Forever"

2002, "Land of Forever"

"A Look to the Heavens"

"How did galaxies form in the early universe? To help find out, astronomers surveyed a patch of dark night sky with the Very Large Telescope array in Chile to find and count galaxies that formed when our universe was very young. Analysis of the distribution of some distant galaxies (redshifts near 2.5) found an enormous conglomeration of galaxies that spanned 300 million light years and contained about 5,000 times the mass of our Milky Way Galaxy. Dubbed Hyperion, it is currently the largest and most massive proto-supercluster yet discovered in the early universe.
A proto-supercluster is a group of young galaxies that is gravitationally collapsing to create a supercluster, which itself a group of several galaxy clusters, which itself is a group of hundreds of galaxies, which itself is a group of billions of stars. In the featured visualization, massive galaxies are depicted in white, while regions containing a large amount of smaller galaxies are shaded blue. Identifying and understanding such large groups of early galaxies contributes to humanity's understanding of the composition and evolution of the universe as a whole."

"Here We Are..."

"Here we are, trapped in the amber of the moment. There is no why."
- Kurt Vonnegut
But perhaps there's something that transcends "no why..."

"If there is meaning in life at all, then there must be meaning in suffering."

"The way in which a man accepts his fate and all the suffering it entails, the way in which he takes up his cross, gives him ample opportunity - even under the most difficult circumstances - to add a deeper meaning to his life. It may remain brave, dignified and unselfish. Or in the bitter fight for self-preservation he may forget his human dignity and become no more than an animal. Here lies the chance for a man either to make use of or to forgo the opportunities of attaining the moral values that a difficult situation may afford him. And this decides whether he is worthy of his sufferings or not."
- Viktor Frankl

"Quiet Please! Taming 'Monkey Mind' in Meditation"

"Quiet Please! Taming 'Monkey Mind' in Meditation"
by Madisyn Taylor, The DailyOM

"We all have the endless chattering and noise in our head often referred to as the monkey mind. It’s been called the monkey mind – the endless chattering in your head as you jump in your mind from thought to thought while you daydream, analyze your relationships, or worry over the future. Eventually, you start to feel like your thoughts are spinning in circles and you’re left totally confused.

One way to tame this wild creature in your head is through meditation – although the paradox is that when you clear your mind for meditation you actually invite the monkey in your mind to play. This is when you are given the opportunity to tame this mental beast by moving beyond thought – to become aware of a thought rather than thinking a thought. The difference is subtle, but significant. When you are aware of your thoughts, you can let your thoughts rise and float away without letting them pull you in different directions.  Being able to concentrate is one of the tools that allows you to slow down your thought process and focus on observing your thoughts.

To develop your concentration, you may want to start by focusing on the breath while you meditate. Whenever your monkey mind starts acting up, observe your thoughts and then return your focus to your breath. Some breathing meditations call on you to focus on the rise and fall of the breath through the abdomen, while others have you concentrate on the sound of the breath. Fire can also be mesmerizing, and focusing on a candle flame is another useful tool for harnessing the mind. Keep the gaze soft and unfocused while observing the color, shape, and movement of the flame, and try not to blink. Close your eyes when you feel the need and continue watching the flame in your head. Chanting, devotional singing, and mantras also still the mind. However you choose to tame the monkey mind, do so with firm kindness. The next time the chattering arises, notice it and then allow it to go away. With practice, your monkey mind will become quiet and so will you."
Try this:

Free Download: T. S. Eliot, "Four Quartets"

“Little Gidding”, Excerpt

"We shall not cease from exploration
And the end of all our exploring 
Will be to arrive where we started 
And know the place for the first time. 
When the last of earth left to discover 
Is that which was the beginning; 
At the source of the longest river 
The voice of the hidden waterfall
And the children in the apple-tree.

Not known, because not looked for 
But heard, half-heard, in the stillness
Between two waves of the sea.
Quick now, here, now, always - 
A condition of complete simplicity
(Costing not less than everything)
And all shall be well and
All manner of thing shall be well
When the tongues of flames are in-folded 
Into the crowned knot of fire 
And the fire and the rose are one.”

- T.S. Eliot

The "Little Gidding" is the last of T. S. Eliot's "Four Quartets," 
which you may freely download here:

The Daily "Near You?"

 
Taupo, Auckland, New Zealand. Thanks for stopping by!

The Poet: Paul L. Dunbar, "We Wear The Mask "

"We Wear The Mask"

"We wear the mask that grins and lies,
It hides our cheeks and shades our eyes -
This debt we pay to human guile;
With torn and bleeding hearts we smile,
And mouth with myriad subtleties.

Why should the world be overwise,
In counting all our tears and sighs?
Nay, let them only see us, while
We wear the mask.

We smile, but, O great Christ, our cries
To thee from tortured souls arise.
We sing, but oh the clay is vile
Beneath our feet, and long the mile;
But let the world dream otherwise,
We wear the mask!" 

- Paul L. Dunbar

"Maddest Of All..."

"When life itself seems lunatic, who knows where madness lies? Perhaps to be too practical is madness. To surrender dreams - this may be madness. To seek treasure where there is only trash. Too much sanity may be madness - and maddest of all: to see life as it is, and not as it should be!"
- Miguel de Cervantes, "Man of La Mancha"