Wednesday, October 14, 2020

"How It Really Is"

 

Don't hold your breath...

"Notice Anything Odd?"

Click image for larger size.
Oct 11, 2020, 1:57 PM: 
"These are the BLM arrested last night. Notice anything odd?"
Related, presented in full here, without comment:

You should be careful what you ask for, you just might get it...

Greg Hunter, "Unlimited, Endless, Infinite Amount of Dollar Creation"

"Unlimited, Endless, Infinite Amount of Dollar Creation"
Merry-Go-Round of Money Printing Madness
By Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com 

"Financial writer and precious metals expert Craig Hemke has made many correct predictions over the years. Hemke studies hard and pores over detailed information to make his calls. Hemke points out his biggest call is easy to see when considering the massive money printing going on at the Federal Reserve and historic spending in Congress. The latest stimulus offer in Congress is a staggering $1.8 trillion. Keep in mind, that is on top of trillions of dollars already spent in 2020 fighting CV19. Hemke explains, “That’s $1.8 trillion! When I was in college 35 years ago, the Reagan budget deficit was $250 billion, and, oh gosh, it was the end of the world! How can they do $250 billion? ‘Trickledown’ economics and all this stuff, and now we are talking 10 times that, and it’s like, yeah, whatever. The moral of the story is there is no going back. The Fed is telling you they are going to do whatever it takes to prompt inflation and to flush as much cash out there as possible to prop up their system. The politicians are going to give them the debt to monetize. If Trump wins, you are going to get this $1.8 trillion in new spending, but if Biden wins, you are not only going to get that, you are going to get the Green New Deal, universal healthcare and all this other jazz.”

But no matter who wins in November, the Fed is going to fight debt destruction, or so-called deflation. That means massive money printing to buy bonds and everything else. Hemke says, “Fed Chairman Jay Powell, and all the other central bankers, are telling you they are going to do everything they can to keep that from happening. Powell is begging for new Treasury debt to monetize. If you look at Powell’s speech in Jackson Hole at the end of August, he was saying we are not going down this path of deflation because it becomes a vicious cycle. That’s where you get deflation, and you expect more deflation and that brings about more deflation, and you get even higher expectations of deflation. That’s what Japan has been doing the last 30 years. Powell has said we are not going to do it even if it means unconventional policy like helicopter money. You have heard this bantered about now, and it’s just putting straight cash into your bank account. These things are all coming.”

What is Hemke telling people to do in the face of guaranteed massive money printing such as the country has never seen before? Hemke says, “Don’t get cute here. Don’t sit there and think gold is going to pull back to $1,800 (per ounce), so I am going to wait. No man, buy some today, and then if it pulls back, buy some more. We are on this merry-go-round of madness that is not going to slow down. It’s just going to spin faster and faster, and your only protection, your only financial protection is to not save in their phony baloney fiat money, the dollar. Your protection is to save in sound money. Money that cannot be devalued with the stroke of a pen is gold and silver. That’s what I advise. This financial political complex is going to try to keep all of these plates spinning as long as they can. The only way they can do that going forward from 2020 on is an almost unlimited, endless, infinite amount of dollar creation.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with financial writer and 
precious metals expert Craig Hemke, founder of TFMetalsReport.com.

"Facts Do Not Matter To The Covidian Cult"

"Facts Do Not Matter To The Covidian Cult"
by CJ Hopkins

"One of the hallmarks of totalitarianism is mass conformity to a psychotic official narrative. Not just a regular official narrative, like the “Cold War” or the “War on Terror,” or even a myth like the “American Dream.” A totally delusional official narrative that has little or no connection to reality and that is contradicted by a preponderance of facts.

Nazism and Stalinism are the classic examples, but the phenomenon is better observed in cults and other sub-cultural societal groups. Numerous examples will spring to mind: the Manson family, Jim Jones’ People’s Temple, the Church of Scientology, Heavens Gate, etc., each with its own psychotic official narrative, i.e., Helter Skelter, Christian Communism, Xenu and the Galactic Confederacy, and so on.

Looking in from the dominant culture (or back through time in the case of the Nazis), the delusional nature of these official narratives is glaringly obvious to most rational people. What many fail to understand is that to those who fall prey to them (whether individual cult members or entire totalitarian societies) such narratives do not register as psychotic. On the contrary, they feel entirely normal. Everything in their social “reality” reifies and reaffirms the narrative, and anything that challenges or contradicts it is perceived as an existential threat.

These narratives are invariably paranoid, portraying the cult as threatened or persecuted by an evil enemy or antagonistic force which only unquestioning conformity to the cult’s ideology can save its members from. It makes little difference whether this antagonist is mainstream culture, body thetans, counter-revolutionaries, Jews, or a virus. The point is not the identity of the enemy. The point is the atmosphere of paranoia and hysteria the official narrative generates, which keeps the cult members (or the society) compliant.

In addition to being paranoid, these narratives are often internally inconsistent, illogical, and… well, just completely ridiculous. This does not weaken them, as one might suspect. Actually, it increases their power, as it forces their adherents to attempt to reconcile their inconsistencies and irrationality, and in many cases utter absurdity, in order to remain in good standing with the cult. Such reconciliation is of course impossible, and causes the cult members’ minds to short circuit and abandon any semblance of critical thinking, which is precisely what the cult leader wants.

Moreover, cult leaders will often radically change these narratives for no apparent reason, forcing their cult members to abruptly forswear (and often even denounce as “heresy”) the beliefs they had previously been forced to profess, and behave as if they had never believed them, which causes their minds to further short circuit, until they eventually give up even trying to think, and just mindlessly parrot whatever nonsensical gibberish the cult leader fills their heads with.

Also, the cult leader’s nonsensical gibberish is not as nonsensical as it may seem at first. Most of us, upon encountering such gibberish, assume that the cult leader is trying to communicate, and that something is very wrong with his brain. But the cult leader’s intention is not to communicate. His intention is to disorient and control the listener’s mind. Listen to Charlie Manson “rapping.” Not just to what he says, but how he says it. Note how he sprinkles bits of truth into his stream of free-associated nonsense, and his repetitive use of thought-terminating clichés, described by Robert J. Lifton as follows:

“The language of the totalist environment is characterized by the thought-terminating cliché. The most far-reaching and complex of human problems are compressed into brief, highly selective, definitive-sounding phrases, easily memorized and easily expressed. They become the start and finish of any ideological analysis.”
- "Thought Reform and the Psychology of Totalism", 1961

If all this sounds familiar, good. Because the same techniques that most cult leaders use to control the minds of the members of their cults are used by totalitarian systems to control the minds of entire societies... Milieu Control, Loaded Language, Sacred Science, Demand for Purity, and other standard mind-control techniques. It can happen to pretty much any society, just as anyone can fall prey to a cult, given the right set of circumstances.

It is happening to most of our societies now. An official narrative is being implemented. A totalitarian official narrative. A totally psychotic official narrative, no less delusional than that of the Nazis, or the Manson family, or any other cult.

Most people cannot see that it is happening, for the simple reason that it is happening to them. They are literally unable to recognize it. The human mind is extremely resilient and inventive when it is pushed past its limits. Ask anyone who has struggled with psychosis or has taken too much LSD. We do not recognize when we are going insane. When reality falls apart completely, the mind creates a delusional narrative, which appears just as “real” as our normal reality, because even a delusion is better than the stark raving terror of utter chaos.

This is what totalitarians and cult leaders count on, and exploit to implant their narratives in our minds, and why actual initiation rituals (as opposed to purely symbolic rituals) begin by attacking the subject’s mind with terror, pain, physical exhaustion, psychedelic drugs, or some other means of obliterating the subject’s perception of reality. Once that is achieved, and the subject’s mind starts desperately trying to construct a new narrative to make sense out of the cognitive chaos and psychological trauma it is undergoing, it is relatively easy to “guide” that process, and to implant whatever narrative you want, assuming you have done your homework.

And this is why so many people - people who are able to easily recognize totalitarianism in cults and foreign countries - cannot perceive the totalitarianism that is taking shape now, right in front of their faces (or, rather, right inside their minds). Nor can they perceive the delusional nature of the official “Covid-19” narrative, no more than those in Nazi Germany were able to perceive how completely delusional their official “master race” narrative was. These people are neither ignorant nor stupid. They have been successfully initiated into a cult, which is essentially what totalitarianism is, albeit on a societal scale.

Their initiation into the Covidian Cult began in January, when the medical authorities and corporate media turned on The Fear with projections of hundreds of millions of deaths and fake photos of people dropping dead in the streets. The psychological conditioning has continued for months. The global masses have been subjected to a constant stream of propaganda, manufactured hysteria, wild speculation, conflicting directives, exaggerations, lies, and tawdry theatrical effects. Lockdowns. Emergency field hospitals and morgues. The singing-dancing NHS staff. Death trucks. Overflowing ICUs. Dead Covid babies. Manipulated statistics. Goon squads. Masks. And all the rest of it.

Eight months later, here we are. The Head of the Health Emergencies Program at the WHO has basically confirmed an IFR of 0.14%, approximately the same as the seasonal flu. And here are the latest survival rate estimates from the Center for Disease Control:

Age 0-19 … 99.997%

Age 20-49 … 99.98%

Age 50-69 … 99.5%

Age 70+ … 94.6%

The “science” argument is officially over. An increasing number of doctors and experts are breaking ranks and explaining how the current mass hysteria over so-called “cases” (which now includes perfectly healthy people) is essentially meaningless propaganda, for example, in this segment on ARD, one of the big mainstream German TV channels.

And then there is the existence of Sweden, and other countries which are not playing ball with the official Covid-19 narrative, which makes a mockery of the ongoing hysteria.

I’m not going to go on debunking the narrative. The point is, the facts are all available. Not from “conspiracy theorist” websites. From mainstream outlets and medical experts. From the Center for F***ing Disease Control.

Which does not matter in the least, not to the members of the Covidian Cult. Facts do not matter to totalitarians and cult members. What matters is loyalty to the cult or the party. Which means we have a serious problem, those of us to whom facts still matter, and who have been trying to use them to convince the Covidian cultists that they are wrong about the virus... for going on eight months at this point.

While it is crucial to continue reporting the facts and sharing them as widely as possible (which is becoming increasingly difficult due to the censorship of alternative and social media), it is important to accept what we are up against. What we are up against is not a misunderstanding or a rational argument over scientific facts. It is a fanatical ideological movement. A global totalitarian movement … the first of its kind in human history.

It isn’t national totalitarianism, because we’re living in a global capitalist empire, which isn’t ruled by nation-states, but rather, by supranational entities and the global capitalist system itself. And thus, the cult/culture paradigm has been inverted. Instead of the cult existing as an island within the dominant culture, the cult has become the dominant culture, and those of us who have not joined the cult have become the isolated islands within it.

I wish I could be more optimistic, and offer you some sort of plan of action, but the only historical parallel I can think of is how Christianity “converted” the pagan world, which doesn’t really bode so well for us. While you’re sitting at home during the “second wave” lockdowns, you might want to brush up on that history."

Timely Repost: "We Destroyed the World’s Greatest Economy for No Reason"

"We Destroyed the World’s Greatest Economy for No Reason"
by Jim Rickards

"Everyone knew the second quarter of 2020 was going to be a disaster, and it was. The U.S. economy fell by 31.4% (annualized) in the second quarter. But, the expectation was that we’d have a V-shaped recovery with a sharp bounce-back in the third quarter, a reopening of closed businesses, rehiring of the unemployed and a rising stock market. But so far, the economy is not following the script laid out for it by the politicians and experts.

The stock market did rally, but that was mainly because the stock index components are heavily weighted to companies least affected by the pandemic including Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Alphabet (Google), Facebook and Microsoft. Of course, it didn’t hurt that the Federal Reserve printed $4 trillion of new money and backstopped money markets, corporate bonds, municipal bonds, foreign central banks and other facets of capital markets with direct purchases, guarantees or currency swaps. Even at that, stocks have been struggling since hitting new highs on September 2.

And yes, there was growth in the third-quarter (the best estimate is that the economy will grow at about a 35% annualized rate, but we won't have official figures until October 29). The 35% third-quarter recovery was to be expected as Americans got back to work after the lockdown. That 35% rate might sound like the third quarter will basically make up for the second quarter, but it won’t.

Not as Good as It Sounds: The 35% gain is applied to the lower level of output resulting from the 31.4% loss. If you take 100 as a starting place, reduce it by 31.4% you get to a new level of 68.6. If you increase that level by 35% you get back to 92.6. That still leaves you 7.4 percentage points in the hole, not counting the 5% drop in the first quarter. When you apply 7.4% to a $22 trillion economy, that means you still have $1.6 trillion of lost output on an annualized basis even after the 35% third-quarter recovery.

The V-shaped recovery looks more like an “L” with flattish growth beyond the third-quarter. Things will not necessarily get much better from there, and progress is very much in doubt. The lockdown continues in many places. The virus has not gone away, and the caseload and fatalities continue to grow.

A second wave of layoffs has now begun as companies that were able to hang on thanks to Payroll Protection Plan loans find that the money has run out, and their businesses are still closed. They are now being forced to let go of workers who might have survived the first layoffs in March and April. So the letter to describe the recovery isn’t a “V” or even an “L” but possibly a “W,” with another recession right around the corner.

Beyond the second wave of layoffs, there is a persistent problem of the long-term unemployed whose businesses are shut down or dead in the water with no prospect of any return of demand. This is a combination of factors the economy has not seen since the 1930s. It’s worse than a technical recession, it’s a depression, and its effects will be felt for years, or even decades, to come.

When Will Output Return To 2019 Levels? The U.S. will not regain 2019 output levels until at least 2022, and growth going forward will be even worse than the weakest-ever growth of the 2009–2020 recovery. The post-2009 recovery produced only 2.2% growth. It was an L-shaped recovery. It was a real recovery, yet the output gap between the former trend and the new trend was never closed.

The U.S. economy suffered over $4 trillion of lost wealth based on the difference between the former strong trend and the new weaker trend. That lost wealth was a serious problem for the U.S. before the New Great Depression. Now the prospect is for even lower growth than the weak post-2009 recovery.

The U.S. economy would have to grow 10% a year in 2021 and 2022 to return to 2019 levels of output. First, is 10% growth even a reality? Past history says no. Since 1943, U.S. annual real growth in GDP has never exceeded 10%. In fact, post-1980 recoveries averaged 3.2% growth. And since 1984, growth has never exceeded 5%.

So 10% is a very optimistic forecast to begin with. Here’s the problem: Using 100 as a yardstick for 2019 output and assuming unrealistic back-to-back years of 10% real growth in 2021 and 2022, one still does not get back to 2019 output levels. It would take the highest annual real growth in over 40 years, sustained for two consecutive years, to get close to 2019 output levels. It’s far more realistic to assume real growth will be less than 10% per year. That puts the economy well into 2023 before reaching output levels last achieved in 2019.

Another “L”-shaped Recovery: The new recovery, far from the 10% growth discussed in the example above, may only produce 1.8% growth, even worse than the 2.2% growth before the pandemic. It’s another L-shaped recovery, the second in a row. Now the bottom of the L is even closer to a flat line, and the output gap compared with the long-term trend is even greater. All of this economic devastation was not caused directly by the virus. It was caused by the policy response to the virus, specifically the extreme lockdowns ordered by many state governors. Was it all worth it? The likely answer is "no."

90% of Lockdown Benefits at Only 10% of the Cost: Many top scientists agree that lockdowns don't work. The virus will spread with or without a lockdown. Some measures make sense such as washing hands, keeping social distance and wearing masks in crowded spaces. But there's no evidence masks do any good at all when the wearer is alone, outdoors or at a reasonable distance from others. We could have followed these basic rules and gotten 90% of the benefit of a lockdown at only 10% of the cost.

Those supporting lockdowns have ignored the costs of increased suicides, drug abuse, alcohol abuse, domestic violence and the depression and anxiety that result from lack of social interaction. There was never a good reason to close every bar, restaurant, salon, boutique and public space.

“We Destroyed the World's Greatest Economy for No Good Reason”: Even the World Health Organization is coming out against lockdowns. Dr David Nabarro, the WHO's special envoy on COVID-19, says: "We really do appeal to all world leaders: stop using lockdown as your primary control method… We in the World Health Organization do not advocate lockdowns as the primary means of control of this virus. The only time we believe a lockdown is justified is to buy you time to reorganize, regroup, rebalance your resources, protect your health workers who are exhausted, but by and large, we’d rather not do it."

We destroyed the world's greatest economy for no good reason."

Tuesday, October 13, 2020

“Hotel Industry Bleeding Money; Las Vegas Depression; Airlines Crashing; Illinois Bailout; US Debt”

Jeremiah Babe,
“Hotel Industry Bleeding Money; Las Vegas Depression; 
Airlines Crashing; Illinois Bailout; US Debt”

Musical Interlude: Josh Groban, “Gira Con Me Questa Notte”

Josh Groban, “Gira Con Me Questa Notte”

"A Look to the Heavens"

"These are galaxies of the Hercules Cluster, an archipelago of island universes a mere 500 million light-years away. Also known as Abell 2151, this cluster is loaded with gas and dust rich, star-forming spiral galaxies but has relatively few elliptical galaxies, which lack gas and dust and the associated newborn stars. The colors in this remarkably deep composite image clearly show the star forming galaxies with a blue tint and galaxies with older stellar populations with a yellowish cast.
The sharp picture spans about 3/4 degree across the cluster center, corresponding to over 6 million light-years at the cluster's estimated distance. Diffraction spikes around brighter foreground stars in our own Milky Way galaxy are produced by the imaging telescope's mirror support vanes. In the cosmic vista many galaxies seem to be colliding or merging while others seem distorted - clear evidence that cluster galaxies commonly interact. In fact, the Hercules Cluster itself may be seen as the result of ongoing mergers of smaller galaxy clusters and is thought to be similar to young galaxy clusters in the much more distant, early Universe.”

"Three Things..."

“To me, there are three things we all should do every day. We should do this every day of our lives. Number one is laugh. You should laugh every day. Number two is think. You should spend some time in thought. And number three is, you should have your emotions moved to tears, could be happiness or joy. But think about it. If you laugh, you think, and you cry, that’s a full day. That’s a heck of a day. You do that seven days a week, you’re going to have something special. I just got one last thing... I urge all of you, all of you, to enjoy your life, the precious moments you have.”
- Jim Valvano

The Universe

“There are no accidents. If it's appeared on your life radar, this is why: to teach you that dreams come true; to reveal that you have the power to fix what's broken and heal what hurts; to catapult you beyond seeing with just your physical senses; and to lift the veils that have kept you from seeing that you're already the person you dreamed you'd become. There are no accidents.  And believe me, that was one heck of a dream.”
“Tallyho,”
    The Universe

“Thoughts become things... choose the good ones!”
www.tut.com

"The Moral Principle..."

"The precept: "Judge not, that ye be not judged" is an abdication of moral responsibility: it is a moral blank check one gives to others in exchange for a moral blank check one expects for oneself. There is no escape from the fact that men have to make choices; so long as men have to make choices, there is no escape from moral values; so long as moral values are at stake, no moral neutrality is possible. To abstain from condemning a torturer, is to become an accessory to the torture and murder of his victims.The moral principle to adopt in this issue, is: "Judge, and be prepared to be judged."
- Ayn Rand

"More Than Half Of All Americans Plan To Stockpile Food And Essentials For The Chaotic Months Ahead"

"More Than Half Of All Americans Plan To Stockpile 
Food And Essentials For The Chaotic Months Ahead"
by Epic Economist

"Americans already started to stockpile food and other essential goods in face of the prospects of more food shortages, and many have expressed to believe the elections will bring a lot of tension to the streets. In this video, we examine the growing distress that is leading 56 percent of the population to expect a boom of social agitation in the coming days.

According to a recent report, the main reason why a large portion of the population is stockpiling food and essential goods is the apprehension surrounding the event of another wave of infection cases, while the economic depression getting even deeper and more complex. 

After witnessing massive supply shortages, it's no wonder why Americans are deeply alarmed about the prospects of not finding food, cleaning products, or the basic goods they need one more time. The main concern is related to the convergence of a substantial rise in viral cases, plus the potential conflicts resultant from the elections, and another round of supply chain disruptions happening all at once. 

Despite some cities and states had experienced low case rates, many continued to document food shortages, and now as a survey show, over half of Americans affirmed they will start a stockpile to keep themselves and their families secured throughout the coming months.

There is already evidence that shows grocery sales are rising. Even the mainstream media has turned its attention to a significant growth in the number of grocery store chains which are foreseeing shortages and have been stocking up on essential goods. 

Many grocery store chains realized if grocery stores aren’t stocked up and prepared for a second wave this winter, runs on products and shortages could happen again. However, some products might remain difficult to find, and less supply combined with higher demand leads prices to soar.

Of course, food manufacturers and grocery store owners are seizing the opportunity to rethink their pricing strategies to maximize their profits. And as the demand goes up, the global food production has become increasingly stressed. While prices climb up, food security for tens of millions worldwide is put into jeopardy.

Such upswing in food costs will directly impact the most vulnerable households, pushing millions into poverty and hunger. Experts are warning that emergency funds need to be built to avoid a global famine, but not much has been done so far. Instead, food insecurity has been spreading and the world is experiencing one of the worst food crises in five decades.

We can predict a critical surge of households falling into extreme poverty, and, at the same time, the wealth inequality gap will become abysmal. Throughout history, food price volatility and disruptions have often culminated in social tumult and aggressive confrontation.

And there are many reasons to believe that we are about to witness the result of social discontentment on the streets again. A new poll showed that nearly half of the interviewees disagreed with the idea that the election "is likely to be fair and honest” and they expect to see "an increase in social confrontation as a result of the election". 

The election's legitimacy was put into question after President Trump's claimed there would be a potential fraud including millions of mail-in ballots. For that reason, many are pondering whether there would be a peaceful transition of power in case of an unfavorable outcome. 

Even a national campaign has been issued to disavow physical aggression from either side and ask people to respect those who voted differently. But many aggravating layers are piling up to what can be the worst division the nation has ever seen. 

In the case of a contested election, both sides will have will doubt the integrity of the election and each side will blame the other for inciting disorder. All signals are telling us that we're entering more tumultuous, restless times. So you should start preparing now."

Gregory Mannarino, "IMF Warns On The Market. Expect PARABOLIC DEBT Moving Forward"

Gregory Mannarino,
"IMF Warns On The Market. Expect PARABOLIC DEBT Moving Forward"

Musical Interlude: Liquid Mind II: "Slow World"

Liquid Mind II: "Slow World"

The Daily "Near You?"

Yorba Linda, California, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

"Sooner Or Later..."

“Sooner or later, fate puts us together with all the people, one by one, who show us what we could, and shouldn’t, let ourselves become. Sooner or later we meet the drunkard, the waster, the betrayer, the ruthless mind, and the hate-filled heart. But fate loads the dice, of course, because we usually find ourselves loving or pitying almost all of those people. And it’s impossible to despise someone you honestly pity, and to shun someone you truly love.”
- Gregory David Roberts, “Shantaram”

“In These Times”

“In These Times”

“In these times when anger
Is turned into anxiety,
And someone has stolen
The horizons and mountains,
Our small emperors on parade
Never expect our indifference
To disturb their nakedness.
They keep their heads down,
And their eyes gleam with reflection
From aluminum economic ground,
The media wraps everything
In a cellophane of sound,
And the ghost surface of the virtual
Overlays the breathing earth.

The industry of distraction 
Makes us forget
That we live in a universe.
We have become converts 
To the religion of stress
And its deity of progress;
May we may have courage 
To turn aside from it all,
And come to kneel down before the poor,
To discover what we must do,
How to turn anxiety
Back into anger,
How to find our way home.”

~ John O’Donohue,
from “To Bless the Space Between Us”
by Clarissa Pinkola Estes

“My friends, do not lose heart. We were made for these times. I have heard from so many recently who are deeply and properly bewildered. They are concerned about the state of affairs in our world now. Ours is a time of almost daily astonishment and often righteous rage over the latest degradations of what matters most to civilized, visionary people.

You are right in your assessments. The lustre and hubris some have aspired to while endorsing acts so heinous against children, elders, everyday people, the poor, the unguarded, the helpless, is breathtaking. Yet, I urge you, ask you, gentle you, to please not spend your spirit dry by bewailing these difficult times. Especially do not lose hope. Most particularly because, the fact is that we were made for these times. Yes. For years, we have been learning, practicing, been in training for and just waiting to meet on this exact plain of engagement.

I grew up on the Great Lakes and recognize a seaworthy vessel when I see one. Regarding awakened souls, there have never been more able vessels in the waters than there are right now across the world. And they are fully provisioned and able to signal one another as never before in the history of humankind.

Look out over the prow; there are millions of boats of righteous souls on the waters with you. Even though your veneers may shiver from every wave in this stormy roil, I assure you that the long timbers composing your prow and rudder come from a greater forest. That long-grained lumber is known to withstand storms, to hold together, to hold its own, and to advance, regardless.

In any dark time, there is a tendency to veer toward fainting over how much is wrong or unmended in the world. Do not focus on that. There is a tendency, too, to fall into being weakened by dwelling on what is outside your reach, by what cannot yet be. Do not focus there. That is spending the wind without raising the sails.

We are needed, that is all we can know. And though we meet resistance, we more so will meet great souls who will hail us, love us and guide us, and we will know them when they appear. Didn’t you say you were a believer? Didn’t you say you pledged to listen to a voice greater? Didn’t you ask for grace? Don’t you remember that to be in grace means to submit to the voice greater?

Ours is not the task of fixing the entire world all at once, but of stretching out to mend the part of the world that is within our reach. Any small, calm thing that one soul can do to help another soul, to assist some portion of this poor suffering world, will help immensely. It is not given to us to know which acts or by whom, will cause the critical mass to tip toward an enduring good.

What is needed for dramatic change is an accumulation of acts, adding, adding to, adding more, continuing. We know that it does not take everyone on Earth to bring justice and peace, but only a small, determined group who will not give up during the first, second, or hundredth gale.

One of the most calming and powerful actions you can do to intervene in a stormy world is to stand up and show your soul. Soul on deck shines like gold in dark times. The light of the soul throws sparks, can send up flares, builds signal fires, causes proper matters to catch fire. To display the lantern of soul in shadowy times like these – to be fierce and to show mercy toward others; both are acts of immense bravery and greatest necessity.

Struggling souls catch light from other souls who are fully lit and willing to show it. If you would help to calm the tumult, this is one of the strongest things you can do.

There will always be times when you feel discouraged. I too have felt despair many times in my life, but I do not keep a chair for it. I will not entertain it. It is not allowed to eat from my plate.

The reason is this: In my uttermost bones I know something, as do you. It is that there can be no despair when you remember why you came to Earth, who you serve, and who sent you here. The good words we say and the good deeds we do are not ours. They are the words and deeds of the One who brought us here. In that spirit, I hope you will write this on your wall: When a great ship is in harbor and moored, it is safe, there can be no doubt. But that is not what great ships are built for.”
Clarissa Pinkola Estes, Jungian psychiatrist and post trauma recovery specialist, writes this to  social activists. Estes is perhaps most famous for her book, "Women Who Run With the Wolves." I originally posted this in March of 2017. I thought Labor Day, 2018 was a good day to reprint it. This letter appears, in part, on Clarissa Pinkola Estes’ blog. The date of the original letter is unknown.

"In Search of Santiago’s Aunt"

"In Search of Santiago’s Aunt"
By Bill Bonner

SAN MARTIN, ARGENTINA – "Was she still there? Was anyone there? Had it been turned into a hippie colony? Or abandoned altogether? On Sunday, we went to find out. And we pass along this recollection of our expedition while it is still fresh in our mind.

Degenerate Capitalism: But first… from The New York Times comes another illustration of how late, degenerate capitalism works. First, the feds weaken an industry. Then, they make it dependent. Here’s The New York Times: "Federal payments to farmers are projected to hit a record $46 billion this year as the White House funnels money to Mr. Trump’s rural base in the South and Midwest ahead of Election Day.

The gush of funds has accelerated in recent weeks as the president looks to help his core supporters who have been hit hard by the double whammy of his combative trade practices and the coronavirus pandemic. According to the American Farm Bureau, debt in the farm sector is projected to increase by 4 percent to a record $434 billion this year and farm bankruptcies have continued to rise across the country."

Mule Story: But let’s move on. The adventure began with a mule. Or the story of a mule. “I went with my father. Must have been 20 years ago,” said Santiago. “There’s an oasis on the other side of the Apacheta. That’s where we got the mule. My aunt lived there.” The story seemed so implausible, it had to be true.

The Apacheta is a spine of naked, brutal, unforgiving mountains on the east side of the Calchaquí Valley, about 10 miles from our house. No water. No grass. Just bare rock, sticking almost straight up. We have admired them for the last seven months. The evening sun hits them… and they almost sparkle.

But we never imagined that anyone lived out there… on the other side of them. There are no roads. No rivers. No farms. Nothing. As far as we could tell, there was no way to cross the mountains. And no reason to. The map showed only one thing – an abandoned uranium mine that could only be reached by a long, circuitous route around the whole mountain range and down the valley on the other side. But after Santiago’s report, we checked Google Earth. Was there a green spot somewhere out there? Yes… a small patch… Looking closer, we saw what looked like corrals and tiny fields. But it was not just on the other side of the Apacheta… but on the far side of a further mountain ridge.

Who lived there? What did they do? Were they still there? Or was it, like the uranium mine, long since vacated? “What happened to your aunt? Is she still there?” we questioned Santiago. “I don’t know. We haven’t heard from her in two decades.” “Maybe we should go check?” “Yes, that would be a good idea.” “But how do we get there?” was our next question. “There’s a small pass. I remember where it is… I think.”

Expedition to Cortaderita: That was all the encouragement we needed. “Cortaderita” the homestead is called. Our farm is the nearest thing to it. And yet, when we began asking questions about it, almost no one had ever been there. “I went there as a boy,” said one of the old-timers, wrenching his face up as he tried to recall. “My father would go out there to hunt guanaco. You can get there. Takes about eight hours. The trouble is, there’s no pasture to feed the horses. You could go in one day… but you have to leave around 4 in the morning… and hope to get back before midnight.”

So, Sunday morning, we saddled up in the dark. There were four of us going on the expedition. Your editor and his wife, Elizabeth, of course. Ramón, a neighbor, who has been here all his life, but never ventured east of the Apacheta. And Santiago, our guide.

The horses seemed to know we were going on an adventure. They are not usually summoned before dawn. They pulled at their bridles, eager to move ahead more quickly. We headed south… across the soft desert behind the house… and then turned to the north and east, following a dry riverbed. We were in high spirits, aiming for the “red hills,” which act as a prelude to the Apacheta. The red hills are the oldest of the three ridges we would cross. In some places, these are little more than dunes of red sand. We skirted them easily. And by the time the sun rose, we were already headed into the Apacheta.

There, millennia of rain and wind had carved out a narrow channel, very different on one side from the other. On the east side, there were towering rocks, smoothed and sculpted into strange shapes and sizes. To the west were sheets of stone, millions of years of sediment, pushed up from the ground. Not rounded, but sharp and straight. Called “the arrows” locally.

Ramón was mounted on a Paso Fino – a Peruvian with a steady gait, but not recommended for rough mountain terrain. Santiago rode a tiny horse from the south of Argentina, sturdy and surefooted. Your editor and his wife were both mounted on bigger horses, mixtures of creoles and thoroughbreds, well-trained and dependable. Elizabeth was on our old horse, El Bayo (the Bay), leaving us with El Chavo (the Joker), a younger, more vigorous animal.

We passed through the narrow defile… marveling at the fantastic, voluptuous forms… nooks, crannies… sweeping shoulders of stone… soaring promontories… Then, the channel opened up. We knew we had to go east. But there were several different possibilities.

“Stay here… I’ll see where this one leads.” Santiago trotted off to the right. We sat on our horses, waiting. In a few minutes, he returned. “Yes… We can get up out of the canyon here.” We followed. But now, we were no longer on the smooth surface of the arroyo. Now, we were on the rocks, with the horses picking their way along. It was difficult going, especially for Ramón. After about 20 minutes, we came to the end of the arroyo… and arrived at the base of a hill. It was steep, but the horses could make their way up… finally coming to a flattish plain on top. From here, we could see what looked like a pass far in the distance. We had already been riding for about four hours. “Another couple of hours to the pass,” said Santiago.

Perfect Gaucho: Everybody is related in the valley. Santiago works at a nearby farm. He is the son of one of our tenant farmers. He is the nephew of two of our cowboys and the cousin of several others. Other cousins, uncles, and aunts fill the valley. He is thin, agile, and strong. Dressed in a wide-brimmed black hat, with his bombachos and high boots, he is a perfect gaucho, more at home on horseback than on foot.

Santiago’s aunt, whom we were aiming to visit, is the sister of one of our tenant farmers (arrenderos) and the sister-in-law of another. She is also the aunt of more than one of our ranch hands… and so forth. It seemed unlikely to us that Santiago could remember a trail he took one time, 20 years ago. But he seemed to know where he was going.
Santiago leads the way

As a precaution, we had studied the Google Earth map carefully before we left. But that proved not especially helpful. We knew the general outline of the land, and we could point in the direction we were meant to go. But we didn’t know which path or arroyo to take to get there. And you can spend hours following a dry riverbed that leads nowhere. Once on the high plain, it was easier to see where we were going. The sun was high, but not hot. Santiago took off a coat and put it under him. We kept going.

Limping Horse: The oasis we were looking for was on the other side of the pass in front of us… and then, on the other side of a third ridge of mountains. On Google, they appeared to be uncrossable. But ahead of us was a little notch. We could even see a little bit of green. We came to the pass without incident. Again, we puzzled over which path to take. But we decided to follow the one recently used by the guanaco. They must be going somewhere… probably to get water.

The other side of the mountain proved greener. But more difficult to navigate. More rocks. More churchi bushes with long thorns. More cactus, too. “This is the kind of country where you need chaps,” said Ramón. The needles stuck into our legs and forced us to detour… down off the trail and into another arroyo. And then, Santiago led us to another trail, which led up and over several steep hills.

“My horse is starting to limp,” Ramón noticed. It had probably hit its leg on rocks… or had a thorn in it. Ramón got down. Santiago joined him, as the two of them felt the horse’s leg and massaged it briefly. Then, they remounted and we continued.

Uphill Struggle: Your editor, fresh from his Google Earth search, suggested a different way. “We could go down to the bottom of the arroyo and then head up the next big one. That should take us where we want to go.” But it was too late. We were in the middle of a complicated and difficult configuration of hills, cactus, rocks, and washed-out trails. And even if we went back to the bottom of the arroyo, we had lost our bearings… It wouldn’t be clear where we were or where we should go.

“No… It’s this way,” Santiago insisted. We continued northward. The horses struggled up hills… and slid down the loose stones on the other side. Then, coming to the crest of yet another rugged hill, we saw it in the distance. “Cortaderito,” said Ramón.

Sign of Life: Ramón is in his sixties. He was born here. He is a farmer and a cattleman. But he is a little heavy. Diabetic. With high blood pressure. “If I survive the coronavirus,” he joked, “I’m good for another 10 years.” We were not sure it was such a good idea for him to come. His wife fretted about it. But he is tough. And good humored. It was his horse we worried about now.

With the destination in sight, we continued with lighter hearts and easier conversation. Down one hill, up and over another. And then, we followed the trail to a cluster of improbable trees… a pine and a poplar… and on to a small pool with a tiny stream of water still running into it.
First sign of life

“There are people still here,” said Santiago.

No One Home: Continuing along, after a while, we heard dogs barking. In front of us was one of the most ramshackle clusters of buildings we had ever seen. Cactus wood, adobe, poles, junk, plastic… windswept… on a barren knoll, away from the trees and the water… We arrive at a house.

The dogs kept barking. But they were wagging their tails. They must not see many strangers… but they were friendly. Chickens wandered about. And a young guanaco – its fleece still wispy, as if of tiny threads of gold – came out to greet us. Guanaco are usually wild animals. This one was a household pet…

Ramón and the two Bonners held back. Santiago advanced… “Hola!…” Santiago, still on his horse, yelled towards the house. No answer. We shifted in our saddles. The horses, tired and thirsty after six hours and a 3,000 foot climb, breathed heavily. “Hola!…” Santiago tried again. Still no reply… To be continued…"

"How It Really Is"

"Every normal man must be tempted, at times, to spit on his hands,
hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats."
- H. L. Mencken

"Market Fantasy Updates 10/13/20"

"Market Fantasy Updates 10/13/20"
Down the rabbit hole of psychopathic greed and insanity...
Only the consequences are real - to you!
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the better I understand the guillotine."
George Bernard Shaw
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by David Haggith 
Please view  this complete, highly recommended article here:
Gregory Mannarino,
AM Oct 13, 2020: 
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