Tuesday, June 22, 2021

“California Bailout; The Market Must Crash; Gambling On Ponzi themes; Greed Is A Killer”

Jeremiah Babe, PM 6/22/21:
“California Bailout; The Market Must Crash; 
Gambling On Ponzi Schemes; Greed Is A Killer”

Musical Interlude: 2002, “Where The Stars And Moon Play”

Full screen recommended.
2002, “Where The Stars And Moon Play”

“Pamela and Randy Copus are the duo known as 2002. Randy Copus plays piano, electric cello, guitar, bass and keyboards. Pamela Copus plays flutes, harp, keyboards and a wind instrument called a WX5. Both musicians also provide all of the vocals on their albums, recording their voices many, many times and layering them to create a "virtual choir" with a celestial, angelic quality.”

"A Look to the Heavens"

“This colorful skyscape features the dusty, reddish glow of Sharpless catalog emission region Sh2-155, the Cave Nebula. About 2,400 light-years away, the scene lies along the plane of our Milky Way Galaxy toward the royal northern constellation of Cepheus.
 
Astronomical explorations of the region reveal that it has formed at the boundary of the massive Cepheus B molecular cloud and the hot, young, blue stars of the Cepheus OB 3 association. The bright rim of ionized hydrogen gas is energized by the radiation from the hot stars, dominated by the bright blue O-type star above picture center. Radiation driven ionization fronts are likely triggering collapsing cores and new star formation within. Appropriately sized for a stellar nursery, the cosmic cave is over 10 light-years across.”

"I Am That..."

 

Chet Raymo, “Trying To Be Good”

“Trying To Be Good”
by Chet Raymo

“A few lines from Mary Oliver's poem "Wild Geese":

    "You do not have to be good.
    You do not have to walk on your knees
    for a hundred miles through the desert, repenting.
    You only have to let the soft animal of your body
    love what it loves."

"I've quoted these lines before, if not here, then elsewhere. When I first read them back in the late 80s, they resonated with what I felt at the time. I had spent part of my earliest adulthood walking on my knees, both literally and metaphorically, seeking to tame what I took to be the animal within. Saint Augustine was whispering in my ear, and Bernanos' gloomy country priest walked at my side. I was ready to follow Thomas Merton into the desert; indeed, I once took myself briefly to the monastery at Gethsemane, Kentucky, where Merton was in residence.

That was a journey of more than a hundred miles, and I was busy repenting, although of what I don't know.

As I read those lines from Mary Oliver in middle age, I had long been cultivating the "soft animal" within, immersing myself in the is-ness of things, the flesh and blood, the gorgeously sensual. No more walking on my knees, repenting. I walked proudly upright, with my sketchbook and my watercolors, my binoculars and my magnifier, sniffing the world like an animal on the prowl. I was letting my body learn to "love what it loves." Those were the years I wrote "The Soul of the Night" and "Honey From Stone" - the most intensely creative years of my life. The world offered itself to my imagination, if I may borrow another line from "Wild Geese."

And now, another half-lifetime has passed. The soft animal dozes, the body seeks repose. And I think of the first line quoted above: "You do not have to be good." What could the poet have possibly meant by that? Of course one has to be good. In a cell at Gethsemane or on the bridge over Queset Brook, one has to be good. And so one tries, one tries. The soft animal of the body that nature has contrived for us is not fine-tuned for goodness.”
“Wild Geese”

"You do not have to be good.
You do not have to walk on your knees
for a hundred miles through the desert repenting.
You only have to let the soft animal of your body
love what it loves.
Tell me about despair, yours, and I will tell you mine.
Meanwhile the world goes on.
Meanwhile the sun and the clear pebbles of the rain
are moving across the landscapes,
over the prairies and the deep trees,
the mountains and the rivers.
Meanwhile the wild geese, high in the clean blue air,
are heading home again.
Whoever you are, no matter how lonely,
the world offers itself to your imagination,
calls to you like the wild geese, harsh and exciting
over and over announcing your place
in the family of things."

- Mary Oliver

The Daily "Near You?"

Mound, Minnesota, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

Gregory Mannarino, PM 6/22/21: "The Fed. Again Promises To Buy It All. "Not Concerned" About Inflation"

Gregory Mannarino, PM 6/22/21:
"The Fed. Again Promises To Buy It All. 
"Not Concerned" About Inflation"

"On The Mean Streets Of America, The Gun Battles Never Seem To End…"

"On The Mean Streets Of America, 
The Gun Battles Never Seem To End…"
by Michael Snyder

"Did you know that 296 mass shootings have happened in the United States this year? Needless to say, the vast majority of the mass shootings are taking place in our core urban areas, and at this point many of our largest cities are becoming open war zones. We desperately need more law enforcement officers on the streets, and as I wrote about yesterday, even some of our most liberal cities are now racing to “re-fund” the police. Crime rates spiked dramatically all over the nation in 2020, and they are skyrocketing even higher in 2021. But if you think that things have been bad so far, just wait, because we are being warned that “a bloody summer” is on the way…

“The spike in homicides and nonfatal shootings is extremely alarming,” said Miami Police Chief Art Acevedo, who recently left the Houston Police Department and leads the Major Cities Chiefs Association, an organization of law enforcement executives. “One of the reasons we talk about a bloody summer ahead for our country is because it’s already been a very bloody year, a very deadly year for Americans.”

There is usually more violent crime when the weather is warmer, and we have definitely seen that so far here in the month of June.

Mass shootings are considered to be incidents in which at least four people are wounded, and during this past weekend we witnessed mass shootings in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Virginia, Alaska, Louisiana, Minnesota, Texas and California. They are happening with such frequency now that each one barely makes a blip in the news before the next one happens.

To me, the most disturbing incident during the weekend took place in Chicago… "And in another deadly shooting in the city on Saturday night, two individuals were attacked by a group of men after a crash took place at Humboldt Park, prompting a large crowd to surround Gyovanny Arzuaga’s vehicle. He and his girlfriend, Yasmin Perez, were attending a Puerto Rican People’s Day parade in the park, Newsweek reported, when a group of two or three gunmen ambushed them and opened fire. A video of the incident, posted to Twitter, purportedly shows Arzuaga surrounded by a group of men, who leave him lying unresponsive on the ground."

Words cannot really convey the true horror of that attack. If you have not seen the video footage yet, you can watch it right here. When I first watched it, I could hardly believe what I was seeing. There has always been violence in our streets, but nothing like this. What in the world is happening to our country?

Overall, the number of shootings in the city of Chicago is up 18 percent so far this year. I know that sounds bad, but other major cities are seeing much larger spikes. In Philadelphia, the number of shootings is up 27 percent so far this year. It is supposed to be “the city of brotherly love”, but it is rapidly becoming one of the most dangerous places in America.

In Atlanta, the number of shootings is up 40 percent so far this year. But at least the Hawks are doing well, right?

In Los Angeles, the number of shootings is up 51 percent so far this year. Crime is now the number one political issue in the L.A. area, and even tourist areas such as Venice Beach are being totally trashed.

In New York City, the number of shootings is up 64 percent so far this year. As I discussed yesterday, in the Big Apple running gun battles even happen during broad daylight these days.

In Minneapolis, the number of shootings is up 90 percent so far this year. I spent a lot of time in Minneapolis growing up, because I have a lot of relatives in the area. I can’t believe how far that once beautiful city has now fallen. But there is one major city that even has Minneapolis beat.

In Portland, the number of shootings is up 126 percent so far this year. Everywhere you look, there is chaos and violence, and what we have been through so far is just the beginning. It is almost as if a significant percentage of the population has gone completely and totally nuts over the past couple of years. In this sort of an environment, you never know what some crazy person might do. Here is just one example… "A Bel Air homeowner is in shock after coming face to face with a violent naked man who broke into his house and killed the family pets. Mat Sabz was home alone Thursday afternoon when his wife called to tell him that security cameras showed a naked man breaking into their home."

You have got to be really sick to want to kill somebody’s pets. Sadly, right now there are vast numbers of really sick people running around out there, and many of them would kill you and your family without even thinking twice about it.

Up to this point in 2021, a total of 20,729 Americans have died as a result of gun violence, and by the time most of you read this article that number will inevitably be even higher. Ironically, many of the cities that have the strictest gun laws also have some of the highest murder rates.

In Chicago, the number of gang members is more than ten times greater than the number of law enforcement officers, and that is causing enormous problems. The politicians can pass as many laws as they want, but violent criminals are going to remain heavily armed and they are going to retain the upper hand for the foreseeable future.

Of course Chicago is far from alone. Violent criminals are gaining the upper hand in communities all over the country, and meanwhile police officers are resigning in record numbers from coast to coast after being relentlessly demonized by the mainstream media for months on end.

Our society really is coming apart at the seams all around us. Unfortunately, most Americans still do not understand what is happening. Most Americans still assume that things will eventually “return to normal”, but a “return to normal” is simply not in the cards."

Dan, IAllegedly, AM 6/22/21: "Michael Burry is Shorting Cryptos and Meme Stocks - Is it over?"

Full Screen Recommended
Dan, IAllegedly, AM 6/22/21:
"Michael Burry is Shorting Cryptos and Meme Stocks - Is it over?"

"How It Really Is"

The wheel's turning but the hamster is dead...

"Five-Year Forecast"

"Five-Year Forecast"
by Bill Bonner

YOUGHAL, IRELAND – "Midsummer has arrived! Sunday was the longest day of the year in the Northern Hemisphere. The farther north you are, the longer the day. Here, it was light until almost 11 p.m. We went over to the little seaside town of Ardmore, where the church has reopened for the summer season.

“It’s Father’s Day,” explained the white-haired priest. “I scarcely ever saw my father until I was 9 years old. It was World War II, and he was in the Royal Air Force (RAF). When he came back to Ireland… he brought his ration of chocolate with him. That endeared him to me forever. It was a long trip back then, from London to Ardmore. You had to cross England by train, take the boat across the Irish Sea, and then take the train down from Dublin. I found out later that part of the reason I saw so little of him was that he became violently seasick and hated the trip. Nowadays, we would just get on a plane.”

Out on the streets of Ardmore, flowers were in bloom everywhere… even bursting out of the cold, stone walls. Lovers strolled arm in arm. Birds sang in the trees.

Irish Summer: But this morning, cold winds blow in off the Atlantic. Clouds scoot over the treetops. The temperature will barely make it into the 60s today. “In Ireland, you can’t wait for a real summer; you have to take what you can get,” says a neighbor. And so, people go about in shorts and t-shirts… appearing not to notice the chilly winds. Families go to the beach… and wrap themselves in towels to keep from freezing. The public pools are open, where children take swimming lessons and turn purple. Yes, it’s an Irish summer… and it is delightful.

FOMO:  But we must turn our attention to the world of money… where two dark clouds hang over the summer fun. First, with stocks at/near all-time highs, there is the threat of a major selloff in the markets. Michael Burry, hero of the mortgage bubble crisis, says it will be the “mother of all crashes.” Business Insider is on the story: “All hype/speculation is doing is drawing in retail before the mother of all crashes,” the investor tweeted. “When crypto falls from trillions, or meme stocks fall from tens of billions, #MainStreet losses will approach the size of countries.”

Burry added that people’s fear of missing out has propelled asset prices to unsustainable levels. “#FOMO Parabolas don’t resolve sideways,” he cautioned. Nope. Prices don’t go up, like a baseball off a bat… and just stay in the air. Gravity brings them back down to Earth. The higher they fly… the further they fall.

Dark Cloud: But wait… What about the other dark cloud – inflation? Won’t it keep them aloft? Won’t the Federal Reserve’s money-printing guarantee higher stock prices? And shouldn’t a prudent investor stick with stocks, at least until the inflationary threat is over?

Earlier this month, we found out that inflation in the U.S., officially, is running over 5% – for only the second time in 30 years. If they calculated it the way they did in the 1980s, it would be over 10%. Tim Congdon is one of Britain’s leading economists. Last week, he released a report, 'Where Does U.S. Inflation Go From Here?', in which he concluded: "The annual rate of U.S. consumer inflation between now and end-2022 will typically run in the 5%–10% band."

Like a tornado, inflation picks up everything in its path, sends it swirling high into the air… and leaves the ground littered with debris once it has gone. It destroys markets, economies, governments, and whole societies. And with such a funnel cloud approaching, you’d think the feds would want to head for a storm shelter. Instead, they’re spreading out a picnic blanket and spraying on the insect repellent. The Fed is continuing its $120 billion per month money-printing.

The “dot plot” of anticipated rate increases shows none are likely, neither this year nor next, with two expected in 2023. And Senate Democrats are pushing ahead with plans for a $6 trillion “go it alone” spending extravaganza. The EZ money will keep coming, in other words. And all of this money will eventually show up in prices. Where else could it go?

Five-Year Forecast: But in the meantime, as the twister draws closer, investors will become unsettled. A study by economists at investment research firm Gavekal shows that rising inflation levels means falling stock market gains: "For the last 130 years (the period for which we have data both for U.S. prices and for the U.S. stock market), all the excess return on U.S. equities relative to cash have been realized during periods of decelerating inflation. The excess returns during periods of accelerating inflation have been a robust zero."

They go on to say that since World War II, every major bear market (with a drop of 50% or more) has come during a time when consumer price increases are speeding up. Which should investors fear – a crash or inflation? The answer is… both.

And herewith our simple Five-Year Forecast: The feds will inflate. The stock market will deflate. And then… the feds will inflate even more… until the inflation tornado has made a wreck out of everything."

"There Are Simply No Answers..."

“How is one to live a moral and compassionate existence when one is fully aware of the blood, the horror inherent in life, when one finds darkness not only in one’s culture but within oneself? If there is a stage at which an individual life becomes truly adult, it must be when one grasps the irony in its unfolding and accepts responsibility for a life lived in the midst of such paradox. One must live in the middle of contradiction, because if all contradiction were eliminated at once life would collapse. There are simply no answers to some of the great pressing questions. You continue to live them out, making your life a worthy expression of leaning into the light.”
- Barry Lopez

"Complain But Remain"

"Complain But Remain"
by Jeff Thomas

"All countries have a “shelf-life” of sorts. Generally, they begin when an old, top-heavy government collapses from its own weight. The end of the old regime is characterized by civil unrest, revolution, secession, economic collapse or some combination of these conditions. The new country generally has minimal government and little or nothing in the way of entitlements. It’s “sink or swim” for the people, and the recovery generally begins when a portion of the population rolls up its sleeves and creates an economy based upon production.

Over time, often a century or more, the population gets better at production and the country becomes wealthier. Along the way, whatever limited government existed has done all it could to expand itself. Governments, by their very nature, are parasites, living off the productive class, and eventually that parasite has the power to dominate those who produce, by promising largesse to those on the lower levels – who are in every society, the majority of voters.

This pattern has been followed for millennia. A nation establishes its freedom; it begins a productive economy; it develops wealth; it is taken over by a parasitical government; it goes into decline; it collapses, and the cycle begins anew. At any point in history, there are always countries at every stage of this pattern.

Most of us have no problem in comprehending the initial stages, but, when the decline begins, it’s human nature to adopt the vain hope that the pattern will somehow reverse itself – that the snowball that’s rolling downhill ever more rapidly will somehow screech to a halt and roll back up the hill. It never happens.

The worst stage, of course, is the inevitable collapse, and the stage when the greatest number of people are in the greatest level of denial is just prior to the collapse. Only a few years before a collapse, most people in a country are still saying that it will all work out “somehow.” However, as the collapse gets closer, an increasing number of people start to say, “This is not going to work out. This is going to be very bad.” 

And then, something quite surprising occurs. The vast majority of the individuals who see a dark future approaching them, just wait for the collapse to happen. They complain but remain. Some of them buy a few cases of canned goods and store them in the cellar. Some buy weaponry. Some purchase some gold or silver in preparation for a monetary collapse. Each of these preparations is likely to soften the blow of a systemic collapse. And each brings a level of comfort to the individual who recognizes that his country is reaching its sell-by date.

The trouble is, this comfort is much like driving a car whose brakes are failing. You realize that the car will soon go off the cliff but somehow take comfort in the fact that the car has an air bag. Of course, it would be more costly and certainly much more inconvenient to have thought ahead and have bought a newer, safer car, yet very, very few people actually take that step prior to a national collapse.

Over the decades, I’ve routinely predicted market crashes and depressed economic periods before they occurred. This is not something that requires a crystal ball. The ability to see dramatic change coming is largely a question of three factors: study history, pay attention to unfolding events and be honest with yourself as to what those events indicate for the future.

Prior to each economic downturn, I’ve warned clients, partners, friends and associates as to what I saw coming. The reaction in each case was the same: only about ten percent actually bothered to listen to and remember the warnings. The others simply tuned it out. Of the ten percent that listened, only about ten percent of that number actually prepared themselves for a possible change. Therefore, only about one percent actually were prepared when the change arrived on their doorstep and, so, were minimally affected.

Interestingly, whenever a negative economic shift occurred, the ninety percent who had tuned out the warning, almost invariably commented afterward, “No one could have seen this coming.” When reminded that they had been warned, they uniformly insisted that they’d never received any such warning. They were not being untruthful – they simply had never taken the information on-board in the first instance and therefore had no recollection of it. Since this was the case, these same individuals (the ninety percent) learned nothing from the downturn and they, almost to a man, repeated the same mistake when the next negative event occurred.

But, today, we’re approaching the mother of all economic collapses – one for the record books. Never have the mistakes made by the world’s governments been so extreme. Never have the debt levels that cause economic collapses been so irreversible. And so, as we get closer to the first of the economic dominoes that will fall, an increasing number of people are experiencing an inexplicable bad feeling in the pit of their stomachs. They recognize that something quite bad will soon befall them but don’t fully understand it.

Based upon past experience, my estimation is that only one in ten will recognize that trouble is headed their way and only one in that ten will actually take positive action to geographically remove himself from ground-zero in anticipation.

The image above tells us that a building has been condemned. As the notice states, it’s dangerous and unsafe. The notice is printed on brightly colored paper, in case we’re still not paying attention. Unfortunately, economic collapses do not come with such helpful notices. We must seek our own information and draw our own conclusions. That does not, however, mean that a collapse won’t happen. It only means that we must be more diligent if we’re to ensure that we’re well-away when a collapse does come.

For many years, I’ve been advising people on internationalization – the practice of diversifying oneself economically and physically in order to minimize the likelihood of becoming a casualty of any one jurisdiction and its negative developments. In the last year, as the collapse has been getting nearer, I’ve been seeing an increasing number of people who state that they’re not sure exactly what’s going to happen, but they realize that they’d better begin to prepare to remove themselves and their families from the growing threat.

Of these, once again, ninety percent are those whom I describe as the “complain but remain” group – those who have the visceral understanding that they’re soon to become collateral damage – those who ask for advice as to what they can do about it – yet, in the end, do less than what’s necessary to remove themselves from impending danger.

It’s clear misguided socialist ideas are running rampant in the US. All signs point to this trend accelerating until it reaches a crisis… one unlike anything we’ve seen before. At present, it’s still possible to take action. All that’s necessary is to overcome inertia."

Gregory Mannarino, AM 6/22/21: "Be Ready! Today Will Be A Market fReaK ShoW! Here's Why"

Gregory Mannarino, AM 6/22/21:
"Be Ready! Today Will Be A Market fReaK ShoW! Here's Why"

Monday, June 21, 2021

"Michael Burry Warns America: Mother of All Crashes Is Coming"

Full screen recommended.
"Michael Burry Warns America:
 Mother of All Crashes Is Coming"
by Epic Economist, PM 6/21/21

"It's never easy to predict when a stock market crash will occur. But one thing is certain: the next stock market crash is unavoidable - because every boom leads to a burst. Recently, several market veterans and financial analysts have been sounding the alarm for a major correction, arguing that valuations have hit extreme levels. Many of them are currently saying that inflationary pressures will be the cause of the next crash and, unlike any of the previous situations, inflation won't cause mere "temporary" disruptions on the market's outlook. As the inflation crisis has started to spiral out of control, they now worry we're now headed to something much worse: An epic inflationary collapse that will pop all asset bubbles. This means today's speculative and highly-leveraged stock market has its days counted and literally everyone who predicted previous crashes is warning that the next one may arrive sooner than most people think.

The combination of massive government debt, asset bubbles, and bad demographic trends has created a weakness in financial markets. The head of Scion Asset Management, Michael Burry, who became famous after his winning bet against mortgages was featured in the movie “The Big Short,” issued another series of tweets warning investors about losses in “the size of countries” in case crypto and meme stocks sharply decline. He alerted that those who are now buying meme stocks and cryptocurrencies are signing up for devastating losses. And everything Burry says is closely watched by the meme-stock crowd that follows him on Twitter ever since he took a bullish position on the video-game retailer GameStop in 2019 - which helped to set the stage of the epic stock market frenzy led by retail investors earlier this year. However, his views about those stocks have changed and evolved into warnings about dangers in the market.

“If I put $GME on your radar, and you did well, I’m genuinely happy for you,” he wrote. “However, what is going on now - there should be legal and regulatory repercussions. This is unnatural, insane, and dangerous". "All hype/speculation is doing is drawing in retail before the mother of all crashes," the investor warned in a recent tweet. "When crypto falls from trillions, or meme stocks fall from tens of billions, #MainStreet losses will approach the size of countries". Moreover, the investor also sounded the alarm for all crypto fans who have been recklessly borrowing just to purchase their favorite coins. "The problem with #Crypto, as in most things, is the leverage. If you don't know how much leverage is in crypto, you don't know anything about crypto," he tweeted. Burry isn’t alone in his recent warnings about the imbalances in the stock market.

Warren Buffett, Harry Dent, JohnHussman, Jeremy Grantham, Jim Rogers, Jeffrey Gundlach, Mark Yusko, and many others, are also calling for a sizable crash. Even Bank of America said earlier this year that the S&P 500 would likely return to an average of 2% given how high valuations already were at that point. Another recent forecast came from no one less than the renowned geopolitical and financial cycle expert Charles Nenner. In a recent interview with USAWatchDog's Greg Hunter, when asked how low could the market go, Nenner said: “20,000 or lower is my call". Spooked, Hunter asked Nenner if he honestly thought the market could get cut in half, to which Nenner promptly replied “yes.”

Evidently, the catalyst for the next crash will be inflation. Although the Federal Reserve keeps insisting that inflation is “transitory”, Nenner maintains that since it is already here, it will only get much worse. In the face of rising prices across a wide range of goods and services, it feels like we already are witnessing the impacts of inflation on a daily basis. But what all of those experts have been trying to put in between the lines is that what we're going through right now, even though it is incredibly overwhelming, it is just a taste of what is coming next. The only question remaining is at what point does the mounting risk of a crash become too unbearable? And it seems that many investors are willing to learn the answer the hard way."

Musical Interlude: Deuter, "Endless Horizon"

Full screen recommended.
Deuter, "Endless Horizon"

"A Look to the Heavens"

“These three bright nebulae are often featured in telescopic tours of the constellation Sagittarius and the crowded starfields of the central Milky Way. In fact, 18th century cosmic tourist Charles Messier cataloged two of them; M8, the large nebula left of center, and colorful M20 on the right. The third, NGC 6559, is above M8, separated from the larger nebula by a dark dust lane. All three are stellar nurseries about five thousand light-years or so distant.
The expansive M8, over a hundred light-years across, is also known as the Lagoon Nebula. M20's popular moniker is the Trifid. Glowing hydrogen gas creates the dominant red color of the emission nebulae, with contrasting blue hues, most striking in the Trifid, due to dust reflected starlight. The colorful skyscape recorded with telescope and digital camera also includes one of Messier's open star clusters, M21, just above the Trifid.”
- http://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html

"When I heard the learn’d astronomer,
When the proofs, the figures, were ranged
in columns before me,
When I was shown the charts and diagrams,
to add, divide, and measure them,
When I sitting heard the astronomer where
he lectured with much applause in the lecture-room,
How soon unaccountable I became tired and sick,
Till rising and gliding out I wander’d off by myself,
In the mystical moist night-air, and from time to time,
Look’d up in perfect silence at the stars."

- Walt Whitman

Chet Raymo, “The Sound And Fury”

“The Sound And Fury”
by Chet Raymo

“Not so long ago, I mentioned here Himmler and Heydrich, two of Hitler's most terrible henchmen. A friend said to me: "If there's no afterlife, no heaven or hell, then those two diabolical creatures got away with it. Their fate was no different than that of any one of their victims, an innocent child perhaps." And, yes, if there is no God who dispenses final justice, then we are left with an aching feeling of irresolution, of virtue unrewarded, of vice unpunished. Heydrich was gunned down by partisan assassins, and Himmler committed suicide a few hours before his inevitable capture, both fates arguably less tragic than that of their victims. How much more satisfying to think that the two mass murderers will spend an eternity in hell, while their victims find bliss.

This may not be a logically consistent argument for the existence of God, but it is certainly compelling. My friend says: "If there's no afterlife, then it's all sound and fury, signifying nothing. Of course, this emotive argument for the existence of God is balanced by another argument against his existence – the problem of evil: How can a just and loving God allow the existence of a Himmler or Heydrich in the first place. Here the argument is not just emotional, but consists of a thorny contradiction.

It comes down, essentially, to head vs. heart- what we would like to be true with all of our heart, vs. what our head tells us is an unresolvable conundrum. So each of us decides: To follow our hearts and make the blind leap of faith, or to follow our heads and learn to live with the sound and the fury. For those of us who choose the second alternative, the relevant words are that distressing coda, "signifying nothing." Our task is one of signification, of finding a satisfying meaning this side of the grave.

For many of us, that means finding our place in the great cosmic unfolding, and of recognizing that our lives are not inconsequential, that by being here we jigger the trajectory of the universe in some way, no matter how small, and preferably for the good and just. Yes, we make a leap of faith too, I suppose - that love, justice, and creativity are virtues worth living for - but at least it is a leap of faith that is not into the unknown, does not embody logical contradiction, and is consistent with what we know to be true, or at least as true as we can make it.”

The Poet: J.R.R. Tolkien, "I Sit And Think"

"I Sit And Think"

“I sit beside the fire and think
Of all that I have seen,
Of meadow flowers and butterflies
In summers that have been.
Of yellow leaves and gossamer
In autumns that there were,
With morning mist and silver sun
And wind upon my hair.

I sit beside the fire and think
Of how the world will be
When winter comes without a spring
That I shall ever see.
For still there are so many things
That I have never seen,
In every wood, in every spring,
There is a different green.

I sit beside the fire and think
Of people long ago,
And people that will see a world
That I shall never know.
But all the while I sit and think
Of times there were before,
I listen for returning feet
And voices at the door.”

- J.R.R. Tolkien

Gregory Mannarino, PM 6/21/21: "Inflation Skyrocketing, Economy Cratering, Crude Surging, Dollar Falls, MORE!"

Gregory Mannarino, PM 6/21/21:
"Inflation Skyrocketing, Economy Cratering, 
Crude Surging, Dollar Falls, MORE!"