Monday, February 15, 2021

"The Most Overrated American Presidents"

"The Most Overrated American Presidents"
by Bill Bonner

"The benefit of royalty is that they are as variable as the gene pool itself. One king has a long nose, like Louis 14th. Another has a pert, little nose that turns up and makes him look boyish, even when he’s commanding executioners. Occasionally, subjects of a kingdom get a rotten monarch who cannot leave well enough alone… and occasionally they get a bonnie prince and good king, who spends his time dallying with courtesans and leaves his countrymen in peace.

Even a bad king like Charles I was better than a self-righteous hustler like Cromwell, who cut his head off. As long as Cromwell lived, England knew no peace; after he was gone, the whole country gratefully and eagerly brought back another Charles, dusted him off, and put him back on the throne. Oliver Cromwell was more like a modern president; a leader by intention and design, rather than by dumb luck. This made him immeasurably less suited to lead, in our opinion, because he was full of foolish ideas and ruinous plans - like Woodrow Wilson or FDR.

But having no royalty, Americans have only their elected presidents to bow before. Too bad, they always seem to choose the wrong ones. An honest and upright man has no place in national politics. A man with his wits about him is too modest for the role. He suffers greatness as a sort of hypocrisy. He has no better idea of how the nation should be led than anyone else - and he knows it. Dissembling wears him down until he is shouldered out of the way by bolder liars and abject stoneheads. The former will say whatever the voters want to hear - and then go on with disastrous projects.

The latter have no plans or fixed ideas of any sort… they merely shake hands and blabber whatever cockamamie nonsense comes into their heads. The former never make good presidents. The latter often do.

Many of the best American presidents - such as Garfield, Harding, and Arthur - are rarely even mentioned. Lincoln, Wilson, Roosevelt, on the other hand, are routinely described as national heroes. Nobody really knows which president was good for the nation and which was bad. We would have to know what would have happened if the man in the Oval Office had done something different. Would the nation be better off if Lincoln had not slaughtered so many southerners? Would world history have been worse if Wilson had not meddled in WWI?

We can't know the answers; we can only guess. But the historians who guess about such matters have a disturbing tilt - not towards mediocrity, but towards imbecility. Like crooked butchers, they advertise our biggest mutton-brains as prime beef - and push their thumbs down on the scales of history to give them extra weight. Those they select as "great" are merely those who have given them most meat - those who have made the biggest public spectacles of themselves.

Most historians rate Lincoln, Wilson and Roosevelt as our greatest presidents. But every one of them might just as well be charged with dereliction, gross incompetence and treason. For every one of them at one time or another betrayed the constitution, got the country into a war that probably could have been avoided, and practically bankrupted the nation.

The presumption that underlies the popular opinion is that a president faces challenges. He is rated on how well he faces up to them. But the biggest challenge a president will face is no different from that faced by a Louis or a Charles - merely staying out of the way.

People have their own challenges, their own plans, their own, private lives to lead. The last thing they need is a president who wants to improve the world. Every supposed improvement cost citizens dearly. If it’s a bridge, it is they who must pay for it, whether it’s needed or not. If it’s a law forbidding this or regulating that… it’s their activities that are proscribed. If it is a war, it’s they who must die. Every step towards phony public do-goodism comes at the expense of genuine private improvements. That is why a president who does nothing is a treasure. 

William Henry Harrison was a model national leader. Rare in a president, he did what he promised to do. He told voters that he would "under no circumstances" serve more than a single term. He made good on his promise in the most conclusive way. The poor man caught pneumonia giving his inaugural address. He was dead within 31 days of taking the oath of office.

James A. Garfield was another great. He took office in March of 1881. The man was a marvel who could write Latin with one hand and Greek with the other - at the same time. He was shot in July and died three months later. "He didn't have time to accomplish his plans," say the standard histories. Thank God.

Millard Fillmore was one of America's greatest presidents. He did little - other than trying to preserve peace in the period leading up to the War Between the States. Preserving peace was an achievement, but instead of giving the man credit, historians hold up the humbug, Abraham Lincoln, for praise. America has never suffered more harm than on Lincoln's watch. Still, it is the Lincoln Memorial to which crowds of agitators and malcontents repair, not the Fillmore Memorial. As far as we know, no monument exists to Fillmore, who not only kept the peace, he also installed the first system of running water in the White House - giving the place its first bathtub.

Fillmore was a modest man. Oxford University offered him an honorary degree. But Fillmore couldn't read Latin. He refused the diploma, saying he didn't want a degree he couldn't read.

If Fillmore couldn't read Latin, Andrew Johnson was lucky to be able to read at all. He never went to any kind of school; his wife taught him to read. He too is often held up as an example of a failed presidency. Instead, he seems to have made one of the best deals for the American people ever - buying Alaska from Russia for $7.2 million.

Who has added so much since? Who has actually made the nation richer, rather than poorer? Johnson did the nation a great service. Still, he gets little respect and practically no thanks. But our favorite president is Warren Gamaliel Harding.

In his book, "Blink", Malcolm Gladwell tells how Harry Daugherty (a leader of the Republican party in Ohio) met Warren Gamaliel Harding in 1899 in the back garden of the Globe Hotel in Richwood, Ohio… both were having their shoes shined. Daughterty blinked and thought he saw a man who could be president. Journalist Mark Sullivan described the moment:

"Harding was worth looking at. He was at the time about 35 years old. His head, features, shoulders and torso had a size that attracted attention, their proportions to each other made an effect, which in any male at any place would justify more than the term handsome. In later years, when he came to be known beyond his local world, the word 'Roman' was occasionally used in descriptions of him. As he stepped down from the stand, his legs bore out the striking and agreeable proportions of his body; and his lightness on his feet, his erectness, his easy bearing, added to the impression of physical grace and virility. His suppleness, combined with his bigness of frame, and his large, wide-set rather glowing eyes, his very black hair, and bronze complexion gave him some of the handsomeness of an Indian. His courtesy as he surrendered his seat to the other customer suggested genuine friendliness toward all mankind. His voice was noticeably resonant, masculine, and warm. His pleasure in the attentions of the bootblack's whisk reflected a consciousness about clothes unusual in a small-town man. His manner as he bestowed a tip suggested generous good-nature, a wish to give pleasure, based on physical well-being and sincere kindliness of heart."

Not only did Harding have the looks and the presence - he also had the bad-boy image. Gladwell writes, "Not especially intelligent. Liked to play poker and to drink… and most of all, chase women; his sexual appetites were the stuff of legend."

As he rose from one office to the next he "never distinguished himself." His speeches were vacuous. He had few ideas… and those that he had were probably bad ones. Still, when Daughtery arranged for Harding to speak to the 1916 Republican National Convention, he guessed what might happen. "There is a man who looks like he should be president," the onlookers would say. Later that day, in the smoke filled rooms of the Blackstone Hotel in Chicago, the power brokers realized they had a problem. Who could they find that none of them would object to? Well, there was Harding! "Harding became President Harding," writes Gladwell. "He served two years before dying unexpectedly of a stroke. He was, most historians agree, one of the worst presidents in American history."

On the surface, he sounds like one of the best. We have never heard of anyone being arrested and charged under the "Harding Act." We have never seen a building in Washington, or anywhere else, named The Harding Building. We know of no wars the man caused. We recall no government programs he set in motion. As far as we know, the nation and everyone in it was no better off the day Warren Harding stepped into office than they were the day he was carried out of it.

Harding was a decent man of reasonable talents. He held poker games in the White House twice a week. And whenever he got a chance, he sneaked away to a burlesque show. These pastimes seemed enough for the man; they helped him bear up in his eminent role… and keep him from wanting to do anything.

Another saving grace was that the president neither thought nor spoke clearly enough for anyone to figure out what he was talking about. He couldn't rally the troops… and get them behind his ideas; he had none. And even if he tried, they wouldn't understand him. H.L. Mencken preserved a bit of what he called "Gamalielese," just to hold it up to ridicule: "I would like government to do all it can to mitigate, then, in understanding in mutuality of interest, in concern for the common good, our tasks will be solved."

The sentence is so idiotic and meaningless; it could have come from the mouth of our current president. But the crowds seemed to like the way he delivered it. He said it with such solid conviction, it "was like a blacksmith bringing down a hammer on an egg," says Mencken. Harding was so full of such thunderous twaddle that he stormed into office… and then drizzled away until he died. Bravo! Well done. Now that’s a president to celebrate!"

“Unity”

“Unity”
by Jim Kunstler

"In their latest act of degeneracy disguised as virtue, the Progressive Wokesters of Washington failed again to nail that old orange coonskin to the wall. Rather, they only embarrassed themselves in the effort, even as far as submitting faked evidence. You’d think there would be some penalty for dishonoring Congress like that, but Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) has for now just skated for submitting doctored Twitter posts to the court of senators.

Watch now as some Wokeness-inflamed DC prosecutor is enlisted by the Lawfare beagles to charge former President Trump with a catalog of crimes under the city’s ordinary statutes. They’ll get a conviction pronto in a local DC court for sure - considering the town’s demographics - and then the appeals will drag on well into the next ice age. In the meantime, as long as he remains healthy, and evades assassin’s bullets, Mr. Trump will go after his antagonists in Congress like a mad dog toward the 2022 midterm. Mr. Swalwell had better learn to code. Or maybe his talents are more attuned to hackery.

The impeachment loss, which was predetermined by simple math, seems to have only driven Nancy Pelosi crazier, perhaps because there are no more traps she can lay for the ex-president, or maybe because her managers’ strategy was revealed to be so shamelessly dishonest. Now she must turn her attention to the Woke agenda, which, she may sense, will only accelerate a cratering US economy - things like the inane Green New Deal and open borders and disabling what’s left of the American oil industry. Good luck with your to-do list, Nance!

Mr. Biden, rumored to be president - or at least regarding himself as such - has been proclaiming the wish to “unite” the warring tribes of America. He may say so, but he doesn’t really mean it, not one little bit, and everybody knows it. Every executive order he’s issued his first month on-the-job is designed as much as a slap in the face to more than half the country as it is an actual policy goal. He’s only succeeded in demonstrating that Progressive Wokery is a badly manufactured pseudo-reality based on vengeance fantasies and the wish to coerce the people who didn’t vote for him — who probably outnumbered the ones that did, a galling authentic reality.

This played out dramatically last week in a telephone parley between Mr. Biden and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis over the governor’s refusal to lockdown his state. The world-famous Dr. Fauci was also on the call, in which Mr. Biden threatened to curtail American citizens travel to Florida by road and air - since an offshoot of Covid-19 policy has been to drive a huge demographic exodus from the economically failing states of New York, Illinois, and California down there. He also threatened to withhold federal funding to Florida and deny the state access to Covid-19 vaccines. Dr. Fauci chimed in, “Governor, do you want to be responsible for reinfecting the nation? Truth is, we don’t even know how effective current vaccines are against the UK strain.”

DeSantis told Dr. Fauci he trusted his own state health authorities over financially incentivized federal officials. The conclusion of the conference call went like this:

"How much do you stand to earn from these vaccines, Dr. Fauci? And, Joe, if you continue with this course of action, I will authorize the state National Guard to protect the movement of Floridians,” DeSantis said.

“Address me as Mr. President or President Biden,” Biden said.

“I will not, and you can go f*ck yourself,” DeSantis said before hanging up.

Hmmm. Now, that got right to the point, didn’t it? And consider this was not just Citizen Joe Blow mouthing off to alleged President Joe B, but the governor of a populous state. And what if it suggests a trend?

Another obvious and disconcerting irony in that affair was, of course, that Mr. Biden seeks to restrict the movement of people across Florida’s borders for fear of spreading new strains of Covid-19, while he insolently authorizes thousands of illegal aliens to cross our border with Mexico daily, with no testing for the virus. Could Mr. Biden’s intentions look any worse?

The calls for “unity” are a dodge. Unity requires broad consensual reality, not cynically-constructed pseudo-realities designed to cancel any notion of the common good, a common culture, or the public interest. Without Mr. Trump capering in the spotlight, all you see and hear is the clunky stage machinery of a dangerous mass entertainment aimed at crude mind-fuckery. Going forward, the frail and illegitimate Joe Biden is center-stage in that spotlight. He’s already screwed the pooch on so-called “policy” in less than a month, but the brutal facts of America’s crippled economy are crashing down on him and his Woke managers like the wrath of history. How long will it be before he just gets the hook?"

The Daily "Near You?"

Yerevan, Armenia. Thanks for stopping by!

“I Can’t Wait For the Day When Life Finally Makes Sense”

“I Can’t Wait For the Day When Life Finally Makes Sense”
by Rania Naim

 “I can’t wait for the day when life finally makes sense, when we find the silver lining in every tragedy, when we learn the lesson from each mistake and when we understand why our hearts needed to get broken a few times to let love in.

I can’t wait for the day that we understand why we met the right people at the wrong time or the wrong people at the right time and why our lives didn’t align to bring us together. I wonder if it’s because they’re the wrong ones for us or because we still have a lot of growing up to do and we’re meant to be with someone who understand who we’re becoming not who we were.

I can’t wait for the day that we understand the lesson behind every struggle. Why we struggled to be successful, why we struggled to find love, why we struggled to reach our dreams and why we lost people who meant the world to us. I wonder if we needed these lessons to learn how to appreciate life and feel the pain of others or we just needed to learn that there is no living without suffering.

I can’t wait for the day that we understand why we had to hate ourselves to love ourselves, why we had to destroy ourselves to build ourselves up again and why we had to start over just before we got to the finish line. I wonder who saved us or who inspired us to save ourselves.

I wonder if we are meant to be reborn a few times so we can learn how to truly live. I want to know what triggered us to change and how we can no longer recognize who we used to be.

I can’t wait for the day that we understand why we keep falling for the wrong ones over and over again, why we can’t forget those who hurt us and why we sometimes can still forgive them and take them back. I want to understand how our hearts operate, how they function, how they move us to do things we would never do and lead us to places that we know we shouldn’t go to. I’m curious to know why we listen to it, why we follow it blindly like it never got us lost before, why we trust it even though it left us broken and why do we always go back to it for questions when it keeps giving us the wrong answers. I wonder if there will come a day when we stop listening to it and if we’ll ever be truly alive without it.

They say everything happens for a reason and I truly believe that, but I also want to know what this reason is and why it chose us. Why some reasons keep recurring and why some reasons leave us even more perplexed. I want to understand why we go through certain things, what’s the message behind it and what if we never respond to this message, what if we just ignore it and keep living, what will happen then? Will our lives get lost in translation? 

I can’t wait for the day that life makes sense – some days I understand why certain things happened and others I’m not so sure, but all I know is that somehow we’ll connect the dots and someday we’ll complete the puzzle, until then, we have to learn how to live our lives without trying to understand it and we have to learn how to be comfortable with the irony and uncertainty of life; otherwise we’ll lose our common sense trying to make sense of the life we’re living.”

"A Majority Of Fools And Knaves..."

"In the mass of mankind, I fear, there is too great a majority of 
fools and knaves, who, singly from their number, must to a certain
 degree be respected, though they are by no means respectable."
- Philip Stanhope

"Disaster and Opportunity"

"Disaster and Opportunity"
by Jeff Thomas

"The Mandarin word for "crisis" is weiqi. But weiqi is actually two words – the first, "wei," meaning disaster and the second, "qi," meaning opportunity. For thousands of years, the Chinese people have understood that disaster and opportunity come in the same package. Whenever a period of dramatic change is unfolding, the Chinese people recognise that change, in addition to potentially bringing disaster, also presents opportunity.

To the western mind, crisis is a negative condition only, and as people wish to escape negativity as quickly as possible, westerners tend to support whatever leaders promise to make the problem go away quickly. Of course, what this really leads to is a society in which those leaders who are the most trusted will be those who promise the easiest solution, regardless of how unrealistic it may be. So we have a culture of people who support the papering-over of problems. The catch is that, whilst we can get away with papering-over as a temporary fix, when systemic problems have developed, papering-over only puts off the inevitable, as well as ensuring that, when the problem is finally addressed, it will be far greater.

For decades, westerners, particularly in the US, have voted for those candidates who promise "Hope and Change" and "Make America Great Again." Of course, these are paper-thin slogans that do not in any way bear scrutiny. In them, there is not even a suggestion of an actual plan. All that’s really being provided is a new face on the government, whilst the same people remain in charge behind the scenes.

Somehow, American voters seem to be more interested in the latest cardboard-cutout of a leader than in those who actually rule, and whether there is an actual plan. But once the election party is over and all the bunting has been taken down, it would be hoped that the leaders would dedicate themselves to problem-solving. However, in the West, this is rarely the case.

What we tend to see instead is endless posturing, which accompanies four years of continued papering-over. Of course, this can’t continue forever. At some point, the flimsy structure topples and the crisis must be dealt with. We have recently entered one such crisis. And so, in the West, we can count on the political class to do the one thing they know how to do: keep papering. They will create far greater deficits, debt and entitlements, and on the other side of the ledger, far greater taxation and, eventually, confiscation.

Until now, what we have been seeing is a fragile edifice that has been papered-over countless times and will soon collapse. Once the dust has settled on that collapse, we can expect the political class to busy themselves applying paper to the rubble that remains.

Historically, this is the way empires die. And to be fair to the US, they are not the only structure that will topple. The EU, UK, Canada and quite a few others that have, until now, been regarded as the First World have, over the last seventy-five years, thrown in their lot with the US. They too have used the same philosophy as to crisis and will experience the same outcome.

So, is that it? The whole world will collapse? Well, no, not at all. Historically, whenever one empire has hit the skids, there have always been others in the wings, ready to rise, and that is just as true today. The political world abhors a vacuum, and whenever one country falls, there is always another ready to fill the gap.

And of course, westerners do fear the rise of China, which has achieved perhaps the greatest growth of any country in history. From impoverished nation to world leader in just a few decades. But then, the Chinese do live by the principle that, in crisis, both disaster and opportunity are equally possible. And in discussions with Chinese businesspeople, this is evident. Many are eager to get on with the crisis, as it means the opportunity to create new businesses and new markets and a whole new approach to prosperity.

But in focusing on China as the great threat to Western hegemony, westerners almost invariably fail to understand that weiqi is not solely a Chinese concept; it’s a guiding principle for Asians in general. In Korea, the concept is called "gihoe" and in Japan, it’s "kikai." But the underlying principle is the same. And in one Asian country after another, we can see the effects of this perception of opportunity as an integral part of any crisis.

In each country in Asia, we can take a drive and see hundreds of large, completed apartment blocks, as yet unused. If we ask our Asian companions why this anomaly exists, they seem surprised. They explain that, over the next five to ten years, even these won’t be enough to house the many people who will be moving to the city to handle the increase in production that’s anticipated, as Asia takes over the supply of goods to other parts of the world. Surely, westerners understand that such preparation is necessary if progress is to be swift?

Even those Asian locales that westerners tend to regard as war-torn casualties are in preparation mode. If we sit down for dinner with an industrialist in Viet Nam, he may talk of his present small portion of the market as perhaps being $100,000,000 per annum, but he is presently reinvesting his profits into expansion programs so that, in the next decade, his company will cease to be such a small player.

Even the DMZ – the demilitarized zone between North and South Korea, a location that the West remembers as an impenetrable minefield – is presently being carpeted with countless pre-engineered steel warehouses – a free-trade zone in which the two countries can expand their respective prospects in preparation for reunification in 2045.

It’s been said that the twenty-first century will be the Asian century, and that is quite so. If we examine an IQ map of the world, we find that the Asian IQ tends to be higher than on any of the other continents. Whilst we may not like to admit it, they have an intellectual edge, and more to the point, they are clearly using it. Whilst those in the West are seeing the wei – the disaster – Asians are also seeing the qi. They understand that they are entering a period of great opportunity. And the future will be primarily theirs to command.

Unfortunately there’s little any individual can practically do to change the trajectory of this trend in motion. The best you can and should do is to stay informed so that you can protect yourself in the best way possible."

"How It Really Is"

 

"The Economic Crisis Caused By This Pandemic Has Dramatically Altered How Americans Are Living Their Lives"

"The Economic Crisis Caused By This Pandemic Has 
Dramatically Altered How Americans Are Living Their Lives"
by Michael Snyder

"This seemingly endless COVID pandemic is causing immense stress for millions of ordinary Americans. In past articles, I have discussed the fact that surveys have shown that Americans are drinking more alcohol and taking more drugs during this pandemic. Even more alarming, we have seen suicide rates spike over the past 12 months as well. Sadly, this isn’t just happening here in the United States. All over the globe, more people are ending their own lives during this pandemic. But of course most people aren’t going to go that far. Instead, most people are just going to quietly struggle along, but in the process many of them are making huge changes to their lifestyles.

For example, this pandemic appears to be greatly affecting both marriage and divorce rates. Here are just a couple of examples: "In Oregon, divorces in the pandemic months of March through December were down about 24% from those months in 2019; marriages were down 16%. In Florida, for the same months, divorces were down 20% and marriages were down 27%."

I can understand why so many Americans are putting off marriage right now. A wedding can be extremely expensive, and many Americans may be hesitant to permanently tie the knot with so much economic uncertainty in our future. But why are divorce rates down by so much? That is a very good question. Limited access to courts during the lockdowns was certainly one factor, and many Americans are also concerned about what a divorce would mean for them financially: "One reason for fewer divorces: In many states, access to courts for civil cases was severely curtailed during the pandemic’s early stages. Another reason, according to marriage counselors, is that many couples backed off from a possibly imminent divorce for fear it would only worsen pandemic-fueled financial insecurity."

Meanwhile, this pandemic has also caused more Americans than ever to put off having children. In fact, birth rates are way down all over the country: "According to a Bloomberg analysis, births decreased by 19 percent in California between December 2019 and December 2020. Data from Florida, Hawaii, Arizona, and Ohio show large declines in birth rates since the pandemic started compared to the previous year’s data, too. A survey conducted by Modern Fertility, a company that sells fertility tests directly to consumers, found that 30 percent of nearly 4,000 people surveyed stated they changed their fertility plans due to COVID-19. One in four of those respondents said they’ve become unsure about having children at all; the most commonly cited reason was uncertainty about the world." At the beginning of this pandemic, some had suggested that we may see a “baby boom”, but it appears that we are experiencing a “baby bust” instead.

The rising cost of living is causing a tremendous amount of stress for ordinary Americans as well. Thanks to the crazy spending that Congress has been doing and the reckless money printing that the Federal Reserve has been engaged in, the money supply is skyrocketing and prices are aggressively rising all over the country.

Just look at what has been happening to natural gas prices. The recent cold snap has created a dramatic spike in demand, and this has pushed natural gas prices to unprecedented levels. The following comes from Zero Hedge: "We hit the proverbial offerless market where any natgas that was available would be purchased at virtually any price, which is why midcontinent prices such as the Oneok OGT nat gas spot exploded from $3.46 one week ago, to $9 on Wednesday, $60.28 on Thursday and an insane $377.13 on Friday, up 32,000% in a few days. This is one of those places where having a limit up circuit breaker could actually be useful, even though there simply is nowhere near enough product to satisfy demand at any price hence the explosive move.

Hubs across the Midcontinent led the surge in prices again Feb. 12 as weather forecasts predicted the coldest temperatures in more than a decade would hit the region over the upcoming holiday weekend. Platts reported that at locations across Kansas, Oklahoma and Eastern Arkansas, hub prices were trading at single-day record highs around $200 to $300/MMBtu. Regional hubs, which typically service only limited local demand, saw fierce competition among shippers, utilities and end-users looking to meet weekend requirements."

This is a reminder of what can happen when things get crazy. If a short-term cold spell can cause this much chaos, what would happen during a long-term national emergency? That is something to think about.

Other Americans don’t need to worry about heating their homes, because this pandemic has forced them to live in their vehicles: "Americans are being driven into their vehicles by pandemic-fueled woes. And their ranks are likely to grow as the government safety net frays and evictions and foreclosures rise. “It’s in times of crisis that the fragility of our systems are laid bare,” said Graham Pruss, a postdoctoral scholar with the Benioff Homelessness and Housing Initiative at the UC San Francisco Center for Vulnerable Populations.

Particularly on the west coast, government officials have been setting up huge parking lots where those that live in their vehicles can sleep safely at night. Many of those that are now sleeping in their vehicles were once living comfortable middle class lifestyles, but now this crisis has changed everything. Nicholas Atencio and Heather Surovik are two examples: "For months, Nicholas Atencio and girlfriend Heather Surovik spent nearly every minute of their lives together in a 2000 Cadillac Escalade. After Atencio, 33, lost his job as a plumber in May, he and Surovik, 36, delivered for Grubhub by day and at night curled up with their puppy on an air bed in the back of their car parked in a lot in Longmont, Colorado, dreaming of being reunited under one roof with Surovik’s teenage son who was living with his grandmother."

Have you ever spent a night in a vehicle? If you have, then you already know that it isn’t pleasant. Unfortunately, once eviction moratoriums are finally lifted all over the country we are going to see the largest tsunami of evictions in American history. So that means that a lot more people are going to end up sleeping in their vehicles.

These are very troubled times, and they are about to get even more troubled…"

"Prisoners of Yesterday"

"Prisoners of Yesterday"
by Bill Bonner

RANCHO SANTANA, NICARAGUA – "We’re trying to summarize… and clarify… what do we know now? One thing we’ve known for a long time is that the institution of government in a modern democracy is misunderstood. From an early age, children are taught (indoctrinated) to believe that it is supposed to be an expression of the “will of the people.” It is nothing of the sort. No matter what you call it, there are always some who lead and most who follow. In the U.S., circa 2021, the followers have not suddenly become leaders… and never will.

Common Goal: The “voters” have some influence, of course. But very little. They can select one empty pantsuit over another. At the margins, they can nudge the government towards building walls… changing the national anthem… or even cutting taxes. But the important policies – war or peace, spending or saving – are decided by insiders… the Enlightened Elite Establishment, which includes millions of people spread across the media, universities, the bureaucracy, lobbyists, The Swamp, The Deep State… even members of Congress.

These people – accounting for between 1% and 10% of the American population – are the rich and powerful. And even though they may fight viciously among themselves on a wide range of issues, they have one point of agreement that dooms the whole nation… They are the bright, juicy apples on the top of the pile. The last thing they want is for someone to upset the cart! That is, no matter what they say… important changes are what they don’t want… and won’t permit.

And the more their wealth and power comes to depend on either brute force (gestapo… secret police… death squads… gulags) or fraudulent money (printing-press dollars), the more the whole society is headed for trouble. As we’ve seen throughout history, they will resort to almost anything – robbery, disappearing people, torture, and counterfeiting – to make sure tomorrow looks as much like yesterday as possible.

The Future Delenda Est!

Us Versus Them: People want simple explanations and even simpler solutions. Millions of years of adversarial conflict – between tribes, mostly – have produced an “us versus them” instinct. The Democrats believe that now that their man is in the White House, for example, things will be a lot better. The Republicans, on the other hand, suspect things are going to Hell in a handcart.

A very dumb piece by David Leonhardt in The New York Times tried to add a veneer of pseudo-factual analysis to this “us versus them” dynamic. He showed how the American economy had generally performed better under Democratic leadership than under a Republican administration. He even pretended that there was some scientific – the Science! – or, at least, statistical proof to it. Going all the way back to World War II, he allowed readers to believe that so many data points, over so many years, couldn’t possibly be fake. The trouble was, the whole thing was fake… from beginning to end.

Inherited Consequences: Presidents do not make economies work. They have very little effect on them. Instead, their economic success or failure is almost entirely a consequence of what came before them. Bill Clinton, for example, inherited the boom created by Ronald Reagan and his Federal Reserve chair Paul Volcker. When George W. Bush came along, the dot-com bubble was already blowing up. Obama arrived in office just as Bush Jnr’s mortgage finance bubble was blowing up.

And Donald Trump was graced with three more years of the Obama recovery (disastrously financed with $3.6 trillion in new, fake money). Mr. Trump claimed credit for record-high stock prices and the lowest unemployment numbers since World War II… But he had very little to do with them. What he did do – cutting taxes and boosting spending – merely exaggerated and prolonged the harmful Obama Era trends.

And now, Joe Biden… Will he really be responsible for the economic trends and inevitable misfortunes of the Biden Years? Or is he just a prisoner of yesterday, like all the rest?

No Significant Change: The voters don’t have control over the administration. And the administration doesn’t control the economy. Each new set of jokers and jackasses that arrives in Washington (in the case of the Biden Team – retread has-beens, hacks, war criminals, and cronies from the Obama years – they never really left) is a prisoner of the policies and programs already in place.

This is especially true of government spending and deficits. The Trump group accustomed the economy to $1 trillion deficits and zero real interest rates. Now, any significant rise in interest rates… or cutback in spending… will likely trigger a correction – the very thing the elite cannot stomach. So, politically, no change of direction is possible.

The number of women or BIPOCs (black, indigenous, people of color) in high positions might change. Monuments might be toppled. “Green energy” might get even more taxpayer subsidies… But the real course of the nation – from here to calamity – is fixed. No significant change of direction will happen under Joe Biden, just as it didn’t under Donald Trump.

Solid Proof: The deeper into debt and disaster the nation goes, the deeper it needs to go to protect the wealth and power of its elite. Don’t believe us? Here is the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget reporting on last week’s Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Budget and Economic Outlook update…

• The budget deficit will total $2.3 trillion – 10.3 percent of GDP – in FY 2021 and total $12.3 trillion (4.4 percent of GDP) over the next decade.

• Debt will reach a new record as a share of the economy, growing from over 79 percent of GDP at the end of FY 2019 to over 102 percent of GDP by the end of 2021… and will grow another $13.6 trillion by the end of 2031, ultimately reaching $35.3 trillion.

• Four major trust funds are on a path toward insolvency. CBO projects Highway Trust Fund insolvency in FY 2022, Medicare Hospital Insurance Trust Fund insolvency in FY 2026. Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund insolvency appears likely in calendar year 2032 and Social Security Disability Insurance Trust Fund insolvency in the mid-2030s.

• Debt could be even higher than projected. If policymakers enact $2 trillion of additional fiscal relief, extend expiring tax provisions, and grow annual appropriations with GDP, debt would total 120 percent of GDP by 2031.

“Our wyrd is set,” [our fate is sealed] said the Old English."

"Upbeat Isochronic Tones Study Music - Deep Focus for Complex Tasks"

"Upbeat Isochronic Tones Study Music - 
Deep Focus for Complex Tasks"
by Jason Lewis - Mind Amend

"This is a high-intensity audio brainwave entrainment session, using isochronic tones. Listen to this when you need a strong burst of intense focus to concentrate and study things like advanced mathematics, scientific formulas, financial analysis or any other complex mental activity. Listen to this track with your eyes open while doing the task/activity you want to focus on. Although headphones are not required you may find they produce a more intense effect, because they help to block out distracting external sounds."

Works for me...

"Covid-19 Pandemic Updates 2/15/21"

"Covid-19 Pandemic Updates 2/15/21"
"When you have eliminated the impossible, 
whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth."
- "Sherlock Holmes", Sir Arthur Conan Doyle
• "Doctor Admits Masks Don’t Work: “All Viruses Can Get Through”
 Feb 15, 2021 7:44 AM ET: 
The coronavirus pandemic has sickened more than 108,920,300 
people, according to official counts, including 27,683,116 Americans.
Globally at least 2,401,100 have died.

"The COVID Tracking Project"
Every day, our volunteers compile the latest numbers on tests, cases, 
hospitalizations, and patient outcomes from every US state and territory.
https://covidtracking.com/
Feb. 15, 2021, 9:20 AM ET
Where I Live:
2/15/2021: "Based on the extraordinarily severe outbreak in Pinal County right now, Pinal County is at an extremely high risk level. The risk of getting Covid-19 is based on cases per capita and test positivity. Cases are very high but have decreased over the past two weeks. The numbers of hospitalized Covid patients and deaths in the Pinal County area have also fallen. The test positivity rate in Pinal County is very high, suggesting that cases are being significantly undercounted. We’ve recommended additional precautions below."
- CP
So far so good...

Gregory Mannarino, "Markets: A Look Ahead, Updates"

Gregory Mannarino, AM 2/15/21
"Markets: A Look Ahead, Updates"

Sunday, February 14, 2021

Musical Interlude: 2002, "Remember Now"

2002, "Remember Now"
Beautiful playlist follows...

"A Look to the Heavens"

“This rock structure is not only surreal - it's real. The reason it's not more famous is that it is, perhaps, smaller than one might guess: the capstone rock overhangs only a few meters. Even so, the King of Wings outcrop, located in New Mexico, USA, is a fascinating example of an unusual type of rock structure called a hoodoo. Hoodoos may form when a layer of hard rock overlays a layer of eroding softer rock. 
Figuring out the details of incorporating this hoodoo into a night-sky photoshoot took over a year. Besides waiting for a suitably picturesque night behind a sky with few clouds, the foreground had to be artificially lit just right relative to the natural glow of the background. After much planning and waiting, the final shot, featured here, was taken in May 2016. Mimicking the horizontal bar, the background sky features the band of our Milky Way Galaxy stretching overhead.”

"It's The Way..."

"It's not the load that breaks you down, it's the way you carry it."
- Lena Horne

Chet Raymo, “Thinking About Thinking”

“Thinking About Thinking”
by Chet Raymo

“It is not easy to live in that continuous awareness of things which alone is true living," wrote the naturalist Joseph Wood Krutch. And, of course, he was right. Our brains are separated from the world by a permeable membrane. Attention flows outwards. Sense impressions flow inwards. Of this two-way traffic- this awareness- we create a soul.

At this moment, as I sit at my desk on a hillside in the west of Ireland, I try to be aware. Sunlight streams across my computer keyboard; eight minutes ago these photons were on the surface of the sun. A Pholcus phalangioides spider spins its web under the shelf above the desk; I touch the web with a pencil point and the spider does a dervish dance. Outside the window, clouds scud in from the Atlantic; there will be rain in the afternoon.

Continuous awareness: It can be exhausting. Which is why, I suppose, we sometimes wish for the mind to go blank, for the windows of the soul to close, for darkness to fall. Fortunately, the one thing we don't have to attend to is awareness itself. The brain does its thing without the least bit of conscious control on our part. And a good thing, too; if we had to attend to what is going on in the brain when we attend to the world, we'd... We'd go nuts.

Nothing we know about in the universe approaches the complexity of the human brain. What is it? A vast spider web of neurons, cells with a thousand octopuslike arms, called dendrites. The dendrites reach out and make contact at their tips with the dendrites of other cells, at junctions called synapses. A hundred billion neurons in the human brain, with an average of 1,000 dendrites each. A hundred trillion octopus arms touching like fingertips, and each synapse exquisitely controlled by the cells themselves, strengthening or weakening the contact, building webs of interlinked cells that are knowledge, memory, consciousness- self.

A hundred billion neurons. That's more brain cells than there are grains of salt in 1,000 one-pound boxes of salt. A roomful of salt grains, floor to ceiling. Each in contact with hundreds, thousands, or tens of thousands of others. The contacts flickering with variable strength. Continuously. Unconsciously. Never ceasing. Remembering. Forgetting. Feeling joy. Feeling pain. Thinking. Speaking. Lifting a foot, moving it forward, putting it down again. Flickering. A hundred trillion flickering synapses. Just thinking about it is exhausting.

Neuroscientists are busy trying to figure it all out. Some folks would say that bringing the scrutiny of science to bear upon the human soul is the height of presumption. Others would say that the more we learn about what makes our brains tick, the more we stand in awe at the mystery of soul.

The sheer complexity of the human brain makes any adequate description a daunting task. Which is why some neuroscientists choose to work with simpler organisms- sea snails, for example- to get a grip on the basic structure and chemistry. In recent years, new scanning technologies enable neuroscientists to watch live human brains at work. Active neural regions flicker on the screens of computer monitors as subjects think, speak, recite poems, do math. Continuous awareness, displayed on the screen of a scanning monitor, can look like a grass fire exploding across a prairie.

Still other scientists attempt to model the brain in silicon, building electronic circuits called neural networks that mimic the activity of the brain as it creates constantly changing webs of neurons. So far, no electronic network begins to approach the complexity of the human brain, but the time is not far off when silicon brains will rival brains of flesh and blood. Just trying to make it happen teaches us a lot about how human brains work.

Perhaps the most exciting research is that of the scientists who study the biochemistry of neurons: How do the cells regulate synaptic connections to build new neural webs? One big surprise is just how much of the "thinking" of neurons is done by the dendrites, those hundreds of spidery arms that connect neurons to one another. DNA in a neuron's nucleus sends messenger RNA down along the dendrites to active synapses, where they are translated into proteins that regulate the strength of synaptic connections. Tiny protein factories in the dendrites are apparently key to learning and memory. Once the regulation of these protein factories is understood, drugs that ameliorate some kinds of hereditary mental retardation might be possible. As will drugs that help all of us to learn and remember. Are we ready for "smart" pills? Memory pills?

What all this amounts to is awareness of awareness. For the first time in the history of consciousness, the machinery of awareness has been turned upon itself. As neuroscientists have discovered, thinking about thinking is not easy. Thank goodness we don't have to think about thinking to think.”

"Chaos And Shock As Electricity Prices Across America Explode!"

Full screen recommended.
"Chaos And Shock As Electricity 
Prices Across America Explode!"
by Epic Economist

"A brutal polar vortex blast is sending power and gas bills to the moon, triggering chaos and panic as electricity prices across the U.S. are exploding amid one of the toughest winters ever registered. That's what we're going to expose today. So stay with us, and don't forget to leave a thumbs up and share this video, and, of course, subscribe to our channel to keep updated with the next chapters of the U.S. economic collapse, the stock market frenzy, the housing market bubble, and much more. Without further ado let's jump into this video!

Numerous news reporting the blast of a huge polar vortex started to pop last week, as temperatures plummeted all across the nation in a phenomenon that is being called the Big Chill. Consequently, natural gas prices soared to never before seen levels as the cold wind has literally frozen natural gas supplies and forced several plants to cut down receipts at the same time customers' demand for heating continued to climb. Since then, experts have been alerting that the longer the cold wave lasts the higher prices could hit. Some even compared the unprecedented price surge to what was seen inside the stock markets during the peak of the GameStop frenzy. 

In fact, as frigid temperatures caused equipment failures, temporary shutdowns, and flaring in at least four processing plants, the hysteria to purchase natural gas has sent prices up 32,000% in a few days. The market's proverbial truth of low offer and high demand has dramatically hit prices. In several locations on the midcontinent, such as the Oneok OGT natural gas spot, demand was so incredibly high that any available natural gas started to be purchased at virtually any price companies asked, which is why it exploded from $3.46 one week ago, to $9 on Wednesday, $60.28 on Thursday and a shocking $377.13 on Friday, which explains the 32,000% increase - something completely unprecedented in all U.S. history. 

This is one of those situations where having a limit-up circuit breaker could actually be a life-saver, although there simply is nowhere near enough supply to meet the demand at any price, for that reason, this explosive upsurge in prices isn't expected to disappear so soon. Just a couple of days ago, weather forecasts predicted the coldest temperatures in over a decade would hit the midcontinent region over this holiday weekend, which led prices to surge again at several locations across Kansas, Oklahoma, and Eastern Arkansas, where hub prices traded at single-day record highs in the range of $200 to $300/MMBtu, according to a Platts report. 

At one Enable Gas Transmission spot, the cash market traded up to $500, with weighted-average prices staying steady by mid-session at around $359/MMBtu. On the other hand, as the offer for natural gas got increasingly limited, the immediate downstream commodity, electricity, followed the same surge in both prices and demand in a matter of hours across all US markets on Friday. Platts reported that "as arctic air mass continues to blanket much of the central US, daily temperatures across some of the locations will range between 30 to 40 degrees below average, according to the NWS. Eastern PJM, Northwest, and much of Texas are also under winter storm warnings and winter weather advisories."

It goes without saying that this is catastrophic news not only for the continued halt in natural gas distribution but also for tens of thousands of Americans who are about to see the effects of this explosion in electricity prices in this month's electricity bill. Just yesterday, the peak price in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas reached an extreme all-time high of $5,500, up from $302 the day before.

The latest weather forecasts are indicating that the polar vortex will continue pouring Arctic air into most of the central US through the coming week, which means natural gas prices are likely to rise even further and electricity demand will continue to surge as Americans face one of the toughest winters ever recorded. And the results of this brutal chillwave will be translated numerically in our electricity bills this month, as it seems we have entered a new era where natural disasters and financial strains have become the new normal."
Related:
FEB 14, 2021 - 17:22: "Energy Trader: We've Officially Hit 'Holy S*it Levels'"  "As the day has progressed, amid deteriorating weather forecasts and no let up in demand (despite ERCOT's urgings), our trader contact at a Houston energy firm sums the situation up as eloquently and succinctly as ever: "We've officially hit the 'Holy F**king Shit Levels' here..."
Full article:

The Daily "Near You?"

Bay Shore, New York, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

"Currently At Odds...

 

"For The Most Part..."

"Human beings never think for themselves, they find it too uncomfortable. For the most part, members of our species simply repeat what they are told- and become upset if they are exposed to any different view. The characteristic human trait is not awareness but conformity, and the characteristic result is religious warfare. Other animals fight for territory or food; but, uniquely in the animal kingdom, human beings fight for their 'beliefs.' The reason is that beliefs guide behavior, which has evolutionary importance among human beings. But at a time when our behavior may well lead us to extinction, I see no reason to assume we have any awareness at all. We are stubborn, self-destructive conformists. Any other view of our species is just a self-congratulatory delusion."
- Michael Crichton, "The Lost World"

"The Sociopath Next Door"

"The Sociopath Next Door"
by Martha Stout

"Imagine - if you can - not having a conscience, none at all, no feelings of guilt or remorse no matter what you do, no limiting sense of concern for the well-being of strangers, friends, or even family members. Imagine no struggles with shame, not a single one in your whole life, no matter what kind of selfish, lazy, harmful, or immoral action you had taken. And pretend that the concept of responsibility is unknown to you, except as a burden others seem to accept without question, like gullible fools.

Now add to this strange fantasy the ability to conceal from other people that your psychological makeup is radically different from theirs. Since everyone simply assumes that conscience is universal among human beings, hiding the fact that you are conscience-free is nearly effortless. You are not held back from any of your desires by guilt or shame, and you are never confronted by others for your cold-bloodedness. The ice water in your veins is so bizarre, so completely outside of their personal experience, that they seldom even guess at your condition. In other words, you are completely free of internal restraints, and your unhampered liberty to do just as you please, with no pangs of conscience, is conveniently invisible to the world.

You can do anything at all, and still your strange advantage over the majority of people, who are kept in line by their consciences will most likely remain undiscovered. How will you live your life? What will you do with your huge and secret advantage, and with the corresponding handicap of other people (conscience)? The answer will depend largely on just what your desires happen to be, because people are not all the same. Even the profoundly unscrupulous are not all the same. Some people - whether they have a conscience or not - favor the ease of inertia, while others are filled with dreams and wild ambitions. Some human beings are brilliant and talented, some are dull-witted, and most, conscience or not, are somewhere in between. There are violent people and nonviolent ones, individuals who are motivated by blood lust and those who have no such appetites. Provided you are not forcibly stopped, you can do anything at all.

Maybe you are someone who craves money and power, and though you have no vestige of conscience, you do have a magnificent IQ. You have the driving nature and the intellectual capacity to pursue tremendous wealth and influence, and you are in no way moved by the nagging voice of conscience that prevents other people from doing everything and anything they have to do to succeed. You choose business, politics, the law, banking or international development, or any of a broad array of other power professions, and you pursue your career with a cold passion that tolerates none of the usual moral or legal encumbrances. When it is expedient, you doctor the accounting and shred the evidence, you stab your employees and your clients (or your constituency) in the back, marry for money, tell lethal premeditated lies to people who trust you, attempt to ruin colleagues who are powerful or eloquent, and simply steamroll over groups who are dependent and voiceless. And all of this you do with the exquisite freedom that results from having no conscience whatsoever.

You become unimaginably, unassailably, and maybe even globally successful. Why not? With your big brain, and no conscience to rein in your schemes, you can do anything at all. If you are born at the right time, with some access to family fortune, and you have a special talent for whipping up other people's hatred and sense of deprivation, you can arrange to kill large numbers of unsuspecting people. With enough money, you can accomplish this from far away, and you can sit back safely and watch in satisfaction. Crazy and frightening - and real, in about 6 percent of the population.

The high incidence of sociopathy in human society has a profound effect on the rest of us who must live on this planet, too, even those of us who have not been clinically traumatized. The individuals who constitute this 6 percent drain our relationships, our bank accounts, our accomplishments, our self-esteem, our very peace on earth.

Yet surprisingly, many people know nothing about this disorder, or if they do, they think only in terms of violent psychopathy - murderers, serial killers, mass murderers - people who have conspicuously broken the law many times over, and who, if caught, will be imprisoned, maybe even put to death by our legal system. We are not commonly aware of, nor do we usually identify, the larger number of nonviolent sociopaths among us, people who often are not blatant lawbreakers, and against whom our formal legal system provides little defense.

Most of us would not imagine any correspondence between conceiving an ethnic genocide and, say, guiltlessly lying to one's boss about a coworker. But the psychological correspondence is not only there; it is chilling. Simple and profound, the link is the absence of the inner mechanism that beats up on us, emotionally speaking, when we make a choice we view as immoral, unethical, neglectful, or selfish. Most of us feel mildly guilty if we eat the last piece of cake in the kitchen, let alone what we would feel if we intentionally and methodically set about to hurt another person. Those who have no conscience at all are a group unto themselves, whether they be homicidal tyrants or merely ruthless social snipers.

The presence or absence of conscience is a deep human division, arguably more significant than intelligence, race, or even gender. What differentiates a sociopath who lives off the labors of others from one who occasionally robs convenience stores, or from one who is a contemporary robber baron - or what makes the difference between an ordinary bully and a sociopathic murderer - is nothing more than social status, drive, intellect, blood lust, or simple opportunity. What distinguishes all of these people from the rest of us is an utterly empty hole in the psyche, where there should be the most evolved of all humanizing functions."
Related: 

Musical Interlude: Michael Jackson, "Earth Song"

Michael Jackson, "Earth Song"
Full screen recommended.

"Alas! regardless of their doom,
The little victims play;
No sense have they of ills to come,
Nor care beyond to-day."  
- Thomas Gray,

"How It Really Is"