"War Talk: Seeing Through The Noise, Can You?"
by Gregory Mannarino
"Trump: “Bombs will fall on Iran.” That kind of rhetoric isn’t just strategic posturing in my opinion, and this isn’t about a deal… it’s about building momentum toward war. The situation in Yemen is not isolated. It’s a proving ground, a prelude. And it’s part of a wider strategy that reeks of escalation, not diplomacy. When you flatten a country, Yemen, under the guise of something else, it desensitizes the public, conditions the media, and sets the table for bigger, bloodier moves.
Iran is not some isolated target. It’s a pillar of a global fault line, and toppling it, even trying to, will ripple through the entire geopolitical, economic, and potentially even the spiritual fabric of this world. They know this, and yet they want it anyway, because war is profit. Consider where the cash comes from to fund war. War is distraction. Possibly from a cratering economy? War is control… and it always comes wearing the mask of “peace through strength.” In my opinion, this is about diplomacy being discarded…deliberately.
As we know, just earlier today, President Trump said: “Bombs will fall on Iran” if Iran does not make a deal regarding its nuclear program. With that, this would be the likely fallout.
1. Geopolitical Fallout:
• Wider Middle East Conflict – Iran has strong regional allies, including Hezbollah in Lebanon, Houthis in Yemen, and militias in Iraq and Syria. A U.S. attack could trigger retaliatory strikes across the region.
• Strait of Hormuz Disruption – Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping lane for global oil. If Iran retaliates by blocking or mining the strait, it could choke off 20% of the world’s oil supply, causing severe energy price spikes.
• Retaliation Against U.S. Allies – Iran could target Israel, Saudi Arabia, and U.S. bases in the Middle East with missile strikes or drone attacks.
• Increased Russian & Chinese Involvement – Iran has military and economic ties with both Russia and China. If attacked, Iran could receive direct or indirect military aid, further complicating global tensions.
2. Economic and Market Impact:
• Crude Oil Prices Skyrocket – Oil prices could surge above $100+ per barrel, causing inflationary pressure globally.
• Stock Market Volatility – U.S. and global stock markets would likely sell off sharply due to fears of economic instability.
• Gold and Silver Surge – Investors would rush to safe-haven assets, sending gold and silver prices higher.
• Supply Chain Disruptions – Given Iran’s strategic trade partnerships, a prolonged conflict could cause further disruptions in shipping and global supply chains.
• Potential Cyber Warfare – Iran has strong cyber capabilities and could retaliate with cyberattacks on U.S. infrastructure, banks, and government agencies.
3. Political & Military Ramifications:
• Massive U.S. Military Deployment – a war with Iran wouldn’t be quick or easy. The U.S. would need a significant military presence to counter Iranian forces.
• Public Opinion & Political Divide – A direct military conflict could divide American public opinion, affecting elections and policy decisions.
• Nuclear Proliferation Risk – If Iran is attacked, it might accelerate efforts to obtain nuclear weapons as a deterrent.
Final Thought: A direct U.S. military attack on Iran would be a global game-changer, causing economic instability, energy shocks, and increased geopolitical risk. Markets would react negatively in the short term, but defense stocks, gold, and oil-related assets would likely surge."
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