Wednesday, September 20, 2023

"These 14 Small Mindset Shifts Will Change Your Life"

"These 14 Small Mindset Shifts Will Change Your Life"

"For the most part, we can’t change the world. We can’t change the fundamental facts of existence - like the fact that we’re going to die. We can’t change other people. Does that mean that everything is hopeless and permanently broken? No, because although we have that extreme powerlessness in one sense, we have an incredible superpower in another: We can change how we think about things. We can change how we view them, how we orient ourselves to them.

That’s the essence of Stoicism, by the way. The idea that we don’t control what happens, but we do control ourselves. When we respond to what happens, the main thing we control is our mind and the story we tell ourselves.

So one way to think about Stoicism itself then is as a collection of mindset shifts for the many situations that life seems to thrust us in. Indeed, Seneca’s "Letters," Marcus Aurelius’ "Meditations," and Epictetus’ "Discourses" are filled with passages, anecdotes, and quotes which force a shift in perspective. Here are 14 that I have taken from the Stoics over the years that have changed my life. I think they’ll do the same for you.

Everything is an opportunity for excellence. The now famous passage from Marcus Aurelius is that the impediment to action advances action, that what stands in the way becomes the way. But do you know what he was talking about specifically? He was talking about difficult people! He was saying that difficult people are an opportunity to practice excellence and virtue - be it forgiveness or patience or cheerfulness. And so it goes for all the things that are not in our control in life. So when I find myself in situations big and small, positive or negative, I try to see each of them as an opportunity for me to be the best I’m capable of being in that moment. It doesn’t matter who we are, where we are, we can always do this.

Every event has two handles, Epictetus said: “one by which it can be carried, and one by which it can’t. If your brother does you wrong, don’t grab it by his wronging, because this is the handle incapable of lifting it. Instead, use the other - that he is your brother, that you were raised together, and then you will have hold of the handle that carries.” Another way to say that is that there are multiple ways to look at every situation, multiple ways to determine how you’re going to react. Some of them are sturdy and some of them are not. Some are kind and resilient, some are not. Which will you choose? Which handle will you grab?

The world is dyed by the color of your thoughts. Marcus said, “The things you think about determine the quality of your mind. Your soul takes the color of your thoughts.” He also said, “Our life is what our thoughts make it.” If you see the world as a negative, horrible place, you’re right. If you look for shittiness, you will see shittiness. If you believe that you were screwed, you’re right. But if you look for beauty in the mundane, you’ll see it. If you look for evidence of goodness in people, you’ll find it. If you decide to see the agency and power you do have over your life (which as we’ve said is largely in how we think), well, you’ll find you have quite a bit.

There is a tax on everything. Taxes aren’t just from the government. Seneca wrote to his friend Lucilius, “All the things which cause complaint or dread are like the taxes of life—things from which, my dear Lucilius, you should never hope for exemption or seek escape.” Annoying people are a tax on being outside your house. Delays are a tax on travel. Haters are a tax on having a YouTube channel. There’s a tax on money too–and the more successful you are, the more you pay. Seneca said he tried to pay the taxes gladly. I love that. After all, it’s usually a sign of a good problem. It means you had a killer year financially. It means you’re alive and breathing. You can whine about the cost. Or you can pay and move on.

Poverty isn’t only having too little. Of course, not having what you need to survive is insufficient. But what about people who have a lot…but are insatiable? Who are plagued by envy and comparison? Both Marcus Aurelius and Seneca talk about rich people who are not content with what they have and are thus quite poor. But feeling like you have ‘enough’–that’s rich no matter what your income is.

Alive time or Dead time? This isn’t from the Stoics exactly, but close enough. Robert Greene once told me there were two types of time in life: Alive time and Dead time. One is when you sit around, when you wait until things happen to you. The other is when you are using that time productively, actively. You’re stuck at the airport - you don’t control that. You decide whether it’s alive time or dead time (you read a book, you take a walk, you call your grandmother). I had a year left on a job when Robert gave me that advice. I could have just sat on my hands. Instead, it was an incredibly productive period of reading and researching and filling boxes of notecards that helped me write "The Obstacle is the Way" and "Ego is the Enemy."

Anxiety isn’t escaped. It’s discarded. This was a breakthrough I had during the pandemic. Suddenly, I had a lot less to worry about. I wasn’t doing the things that, in the past, I told myself were the causes of my anxiety. I wasn’t having to get to a plane. I wasn’t battling traffic to get somewhere on time. I wasn’t having to prepare for this talk or that one. So you’d think that my anxiety would have gone way down. But it didn’t. And what I realized is that anxiety has nothing to do with any of these things. The airport isn’t the one to blame. I am! Marcus Aurelius actually talks about this in Meditations. “Today I escaped from anxiety,” he says. “Or no, I discarded it, because it was within me, in my own perceptions—not outside.” It’s not your parents that are frustrating you. They’re just doing what they do. You are the source of the frustration. That’s a little frustrating, but it’s also freeing. Because it means you can stop it! You can choose to discard it.

It’s the surprise that kills you. Stuff is going to happen, but what makes it harder is when it catches us off guard. The unexpected blow lands heaviest, Seneca said. That’s why we should practice the art of premeditatio malorum–essentially, a pre-mortem of the things that could happen in a day or a life. This takes the sting out of them in advance…it also lets us prepare and prevent. And for no one is this more important than parents and leaders. Seneca said that the one thing a leader is not allowed to say is, “Wow, I didn’t think that was going to happen.”

You can’t learn what you think you already know. Conceit, Zeno said, was the enemy of wisdom and learning. This was the essential worldview of Socrates, the hero of the Stoics. Think of Socrates’ method. He didn’t go around telling people anything. He went around asking questions. That’s how he learned so much and ended up becoming so smart. If you want to get smarter, stop thinking you’re so smart. If you want to learn, focus on all the things you don’t know. Humility, admission of ignorance–these are the starting points. This is the attitude that gets you further in life.

What good is posthumous fame? Marcus Aurelius knew he was famous. He knew they were building statues of him. He knew he would have a legacy. He also knew this was basically worthless. What good is posthumous fame, he asks in Meditations, when you’re not around to enjoy it?! He reminded himself too that you know, it’s not like the people in the future were going to be way better than the people alive right now - there will be idiots in the future too. What do I care about how many people read my books in 100 years? What matters is if I am doing my best right now, if I am taking pleasure and pride from doing my best right now. So stop trying to live forever by achieving all this greatness, stop trying to get more than you need, stop trying to perform for history. Do the good you can do now. Stop chasing something you will never touch. Legacy is not for you. You’ll be dead. Leave it to others.

People are just doing their job. I don’t just mean at work. After bumping into a particularly frustrating person, Marcus Aurelius asks himself, “Is a world without shamelessness possible?” No, he answers. “There have to be shameless people in the world. This is one of them.” This is just someone fulfilling their role. Seeing things this way not only prevents me from being surprised, but it makes me sympathetic. This person has a crappy job.It’s not fun to be them–they have to be one of the jerks that exist in the world. And then I remind myself that I am lucky that my job is to try to be a good person.

They don’t want you to be miserable. It’s strange that Stoics have the reputation for being unfeeling when Seneca wrote three very beautiful essays on loss and grief called Consolations. I read these essays whenever I lose someone or miss someone who I loved. Anyway, one of the lessons that hit me the most is when he is writing to the daughter of a now-deceased friend. He brings up a great point, basically saying, look, your dad loved you so much. Of course, he would be honored that you miss him, but do you think he would want his death to make you miserable? Would he want the mere mention of his name to bring you pain? No, that would be his worst nightmare. He would want you to be happy. He would want you to go on with your life. He wouldn’t want his memory to haunt you like a ghost–he would want the thought of him to bring you joy and happiness. Of course, we’re always going to feel sad when we lose someone, but then we can remind ourselves of this and try to smile too.

Opinions are optional. “Remember, you always have the power to have no opinion,” Marcus says. Do you need to have an opinion about the weather today - is it changing anything? Do you need to have an opinion about the way your kid does their hair? So what if this person likes music that sounds weird to you? So what if that person is a vegetarian? “These things are not asking to be judged by you,” Marcus writes. “Leave them alone.” Especially because these opinions often make us miserable! “It’s not things that upset us,” Epictetus says, “it’s our opinions about things.” The less opinions you have, especially about other people and things outside your control, the happier you will be. The nicer you’ll be to be around too.

The last one is the most powerful one, I think. And it’s about the thing we have the least amount of power and control over: the fact that we’re all going to die. But the Stoics want us to think about it differently…

Death isn’t in the future. It’s happening now. It’s easy to see death as this thing that lies off in the distant future. It’s a fixed event that happens to us once…at the end. This is literally true but it’s also incorrect. “This is our big mistake,” as Seneca points out, “to think we look forward toward death. Most of death is already gone. Whatever time has passed is owned by death.”

It’s better to think of death as a process - something that is always happening. We are dying every day, he said. Even as you read this email, time is passing that you will never get back. That time, he said, belongs to death. Powerful, right? Death doesn’t lie off in the distance. It’s with us right now. It’s the second hand on the clock. It’s the setting sun. As the arrow of time moves, death follows, claiming every moment that has passed. What ought we do about it? The answer is live. Live while you can. Put nothing off. Leave nothing unfinished. Seize it while it still belongs to us."

"How It Really Is"

 

Geez, I wonder why...

"Meanwhile, In A Civilized Society With Normal People..."

Full screen recommended.
Travelling with Russell, 9/20/23
"Moscow Urban Forum 2023:
 The Future of Russian Transportation"
"Take a walk through the Moscow Urban Forum at the Moscow Manege. "The Future of Russian Transportation" is the highlight of this event. The Moscow Urban Forum (MUF) is an international forum about urbanization issues held in Moscow annually by the Government of Moscow."
Comments here:
Look at those people.
Now look at us... come on, tell me. What do you see? 
Comments?

Bill Bonner, "A Call To ARMs"

"A Call To ARMs"
National debt surpasses $33 trillion, Treasury yields take
 off and a nation turns its lonely eyes to the Fed, boo-hoo-hoo...
by Bill Bonner

"Now I’ve got plenty of arms.
Big arms. Pretty arms.
I got arms up the wazoo."
~ General Rancor, "Spy Hard"

Poitou, France - "Today is the big day. The Fed is supposed to begin its “pause”…a prelude, it is widely believed, to cutting rates next year. Nearly 20 years ago, we wrote a book, with Addison Wiggin, in which we saw this coming. On some dark day in the future, we predicted, “the Fed will panic. In desperation, [the Fed chairman] will point south, toward Argentina. ‘There…that is our only way out,’ he will say.” That was what is known in meteorology as a ‘long range weather forecast.’ But the range is shortening all the time. And investors are beginning to look for their umbrellas.

Climbing Mt. Debtmore: Here is an item from yesterday’s news, Scripps: "US national debt surpasses $33 trillion for first time. The U.S. national debt exceeded $33 trillion for the first time ever this week, according to the Treasury Department, surpassing a critical milestone at a time when government spending is in the national spotlight."

Now, let’s widen the focus. Reuters: "Global debt hits record $307 trillion, debt ratios climb - IIF. Global debt hit a record $307 trillion in the second quarter of the year despite rising interest rates curbing bank credit, with markets such as the United States and Japan driving the rise, the Institute of International Finance (IIF) said on Tuesday.

The financial services trade group said in a report that global debt in dollar terms had risen by $10 trillion in the first half of 2023 and by $100 trillion over the past decade. The latest increase has lifted the global debt-to-GDP ratio for a second straight quarter to 336%. A slowdown in growth, alongside a deceleration in price increases, have caused nominal GDP to expand less slowly than debt levels and were behind the debt ratio rise, the report said."

And here is another report, which gives us a hint of the Fed’s coming panic, the Washington Examiner: "Treasury yields hit highest since 2007 as markets fret Fed action. Treasury yields have risen in the lead-up to the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision this week, with the 10-year yield hitting its highest level in more than a decade. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields were sitting at 4.34% on Tuesday, the highest they have been since 2007. Meanwhile, the benchmark two-year Treasury yield was at 5.08%, the highest it has been since 2006, although it was briefly a bit higher in March."

Let’s see. The world’s debt pile is getting higher and higher…as interest rates go up. Somewhere up ahead, the drunk driver meets his brick wall.

No Way, José: In July of 2020, the yield on a 2-year Treasury bill was 0.11%. Now, over 5%, it is 45 times as high. And if the world’s debt had to be financed at today’s 2-year rate, it would mean annual interest payments of more than $15 trillion – or 17% of world GDP. Not going to happen. Can’t happen.

The problem is the ARMs. Last week, the financial world was enchanted by the biggest IPO in 2 years. The Financial Times: "Shares in the chip designer, Arm, jumped as much as 20% as it began trading on the Nasdaq yesterday, valuing the Softbank-backed company at more than $63 billion. The company was worth only $32 billion in 2016. Seven years later it added $31 billion in value. How was that possible, given that sales growth and net income actually declined last year? “We’re more diversified now,” explained the CEO."

This is, of course, no explanation. Diversity may make a company more resilient; it is not likely to make it more profitable. Last year the company had net income around $500 million. At $63 billion, the market is capitalizing the business at 120 times earnings. Or, to put it another way, if you bought the whole business…and things stayed the same…you’d have to wait until year 2,143 to get your money back. Which is a long time to expect things to stay the same in the tech world.

Yes, some people may still have rotary phones and wear bell bottoms. Long Playing vinyl records are coming back in style. But nobody is getting rich by selling floppy disks or cassette tapes. For every new technology, there is newer technology. And for everyone who makes money betting on it, there are at least 10 old geezers living on Social Security who wished they’d sold earlier.

Things never stay the same. You have to adjust to them. Which is why it is not the short Arm that gets our attention this morning…it’s the long ARMs.

Printing Press Prosperity: We all know that homeowners would have been better off if, when the gettin’ was good, they had gotten long-term fixed-rate mortgages. They could make their small payments…and wait for the mortgage company to beg them to pay off their loans early. An adjustable rate mortgage, on the other hand, in a period of rising interest rates, is murder. Imagine you have a mortgage of $300,000. You got it at 3% – or less than $1,000 per month. Now, it’s 7% – more than twice as much.

Shorter-term loans are generally cheaper, so much of the world’s debt is short term, and – in effect – adjustable rate. We’ve seen (above) that the official US national debt is over $33 trillion. We’ve also seen that $7.6 trillion of it will need to be adjusted over the next 12 months. Instead of paying 0.11% – as the Treasury did for a 2-year loan in 2020 – it may pay over 5%. A big adjustment. But that’s not all. Not included in the official debt total are obligations for Social Security, veterans’ benefits, disability (NOT including reparations or student loan forgiveness) and other unfunded liabilities that tote to nearly $200 trillion, according to our usually reliable source, MN Gordon at Economic Prism. These liabilities adjust daily. That is, the funds for them must be raised on the open market, as they come due.

All this adjustable rate debt is like a dental appointment that has been put off for too long. It won’t be much fun, when you finally get in the reclining chair. We stand by our forecast. As the rates move upward…and businesses, households and the government try to adjust, central banks around the world will panic…and go back to the printing presses."

"It's Happening Right Before Your Eyes (Housing Crash)"

The Economic Ninja, 9/20/23
"It's Happening Right Before Your Eyes (Housing Crash)"
Comments here:

Dan, I Allegedly, "It’s Time to Sell It All"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly 9/20/23
"It’s Time to Sell It All"
"The market is about to collapse. Today I bring on Bob Kudla, who tells
us to “sell it all.” He feels that the market is going to be shorted extensively."
Comments here:

"Food And Employee Shortage Reports! This Is Getting Worse!"

Adventures With Danno, AM 9/20/23
"Food And Employee Shortage Reports! 
This Is Getting Worse!"
"We are discussing the recent surge in grocery prices and new reports coming in on more food shortages! We are also going over all of the recent employee shortages all around the country! It is getting crazy out here as more families are struggling to put food on the table!"
Comments here:

Tuesday, September 19, 2023

Jeremiah Babe, 9/19/23

Jeremiah Babe, 9/19/23
"Your New Career Will Be In Fast Food; 
Stop Believing In Economic Fantasies"
Comments here:

Canadian Prepper, "Cancelled! This Is Going To Get Very Ugly"

Canadian Prepper, 9/19/23
"Cancelled! This Is Going To Get Very Ugly"
"Proof that this ship is sinking. Justin Trudeau just held an emergency meeting about food prices, food price hikes are coming! Rising energy, transport, fertilizer prices as well as climate issues are causing prices to explode.
Comments here:

Musical Interlude: 2002, "Greater Than The Sum"

Full screen recommended.
2002, "Greater Than The Sum"
In Ancient Greece, philosopher Aristotle (384–322 B.C.)
wrote “The whole is greater than the sum of the parts”

"A Look to the Heavens"

"From our vantage point in the Milky Way Galaxy, we see NGC 6946 face-on. The big, beautiful spiral galaxy is located just 20 million light-years away, behind a veil of foreground dust and stars in the high and far-off constellation of Cepheus. From the core outward, the galaxy's colors change from the yellowish light of old stars in the center to young blue star clusters and reddish star forming regions along the loose, fragmented spiral arms.
NGC 6946 is also bright in infrared light and rich in gas and dust, exhibiting a high star birth and death rate. In fact, since the early 20th century at least nine supernovae, the death explosions of massive stars, were discovered in NGC 6946. Nearly 40,000 light-years across, NGC 6946 is also known as the Fireworks Galaxy. This remarkable portrait of NGC 6946 is a composite that includes image data from the 8.2 meter Subaru Telescope on Mauna Kea.”

Carl Sagan, “Humility”

Full screen recommended.
Carl Sagan, “Humility”

"Vive la Difference, Indeed!"

Full screen recommended.
"Five Stupid Questions Women Ask Men:
Vive la Différence, Indeed!"
"Why is it that men are better at getting their needs met than women? Maybe because they know how to keep it simple. Connie Podesta explains in this humorous yet poignant clip the five stupid questions women ask men and why. This is a very funny clip, enjoy!"
Comments here:
Hat tip to Kamosa from Second Life for this material!

Comments? He asks from a safe distance, of course lol...

"Poof!"

"Some people center the universe around themselves; while making other people nothing but decorations to their existence. "I will do this and then I will do that and then people will think this about me and then people will think that about me, and then I will add that person to my life when the convenient time arrives, and this person over here would make a very convenient addition as well..." They build their own thrones for themselves, and add decorations all around their thrones. The problem with that is: it does not bring happiness. A throne must be built for you; it must not be you who builds your own throne. If so, everything that you think you are is only an illusion! And illusions dissolve one day. Poof!"
- C. JoyBell C.

"Too Often..."

"The majority of us lead quiet, unheralded lives as we pass through this world. There will most likely be no ticker-tape parades for us, no monuments created in our honor. But that does not lessen our possible impact, for there are scores of people waiting for someone just like us to come along; people who will appreciate our compassion, our unique talents. Someone who will live a happier life merely because we took the time to share what we had to give. Too often we underestimate the power of a touch, a smile, a kind word, a listening ear, an honest compliment, or the smallest act of caring, all of which have a potential to turn a life around. It’s overwhelming to consider the continuous opportunities there are to make our love felt."
- Leo Buscaglia

Gerald Celente, "Interest Rate Freakout: Here's What's Next"

Strong language alert!
Gerald Celente, Trends Journal 9/19/23
"Interest Rate Freakout: Here's What's Next"
"The Trends Journal is a weekly magazine analyzing global current events forming future trends. Our mission is to present facts and truth over fear and propaganda to help subscribers prepare for what’s next in these increasingly turbulent times."
Comments here:

The Daily "Near You?"

Taylors Falls, Minnesota, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

"15 Big Restaurant Chains That Are In Deep, Deep Trouble"

Full screen recommended.
Epic Economist, 9/19/23
"15 Big Restaurant Chains That Are In Deep, Deep Trouble"

"Restaurants are facing an exceedingly difficult period right now. With American consumers being overwhelmed by the cost of basic staples, people have considerably less money to visit their favorite food joints this year, and this is severely hurting the bottom line of famous chains like Olive Garden, Waffle House, and even the NFL's official pizza place, Little Caesars.

Despite being one of the most well-known restaurants in America, Olive Graden is facing its fair share of struggles this year. Parent company Darden Restaurants informed investors and analysts that they will have to lower their expectations as inflation continues to pressure its main customer base. CNBC reported that the company's profits fell nearly $100 million below expectations, and that same-store sales dropped 8% below target. Raj Vennam, the Chief Financial Officer of Darden, explained that because Olive Garden was both an eat-in location and had an that was more at risk due to the rising cost of everyday necessities, sales numbers weren't as strong as the company predicted they would be. Catering to middle and upper-middle-class Americans, the brand has been particularly susceptible to disruptions as these groups coped with higher inflation and slow wage growth in recent years. As it turns out, consumers today are far less willing to spend $20 for an entree when fast-casual brands like Chipotle are cheaper, and that's a major issue for Olive Garden. In response, the casual dining chain trimmed its menu, pivoted to takeout, and is trying to cut costs. But industry experts are questioning whether those measures will be enough to save the company from the overall decline in traffic and the reduction of its main clientele.

Meanwhile, management is struggling to bring Waffle House back on its feet. CEO Walter Ehmer revealed that sales volumes dropped dramatically, and an acute labor shortage is still causing disruptions in its operations. The company's servers only earn $2.92 an hour and rely mainly on tips to have a livable wage, which led thousands of workers to quit in the past couple of years, and left recruiters scrambling to find new personnel to fill in vacant positions. Still, the chain is now charging a 20% fee on all 'To-Go orders' claiming that 10% is paid to servers and 10% is a service fee. However, customers don't seem convinced that's the real reason why prices are going up at Waffle House. On social media, many say the company is 'price gouging' its customers while failing to provide financial support to its workers. Under public scrutiny, Waffle House is losing popularity at a time when it desperately needs to boost sales and profits to survive the ongoing downturn.

With lower sales volumes, and more expensive costs, these and many other major brands are losing millions of dollars in profits and getting closer to bankruptcy court. These are just a few businesses being affected by the current economic downturn. Many people in the media deny that we're in a recession, but the fact that even some of the most-established restaurant chains in the market are fighting to stay afloat tells us otherwise. A flood of bankruptcies is coming, and many beloved chains will go down next.

Conditions will only become tougher as we enter another rocky period for the U.S. economy. So before your go-to restaurant disappears, we decided to list several chains that are struggling to survive right now."
Comments here:

"The Peculiar Power Of Denial"

"The Peculiar Power Of Denial"
We'd rather risk societal collapse than face the sacrifices and challenges of 
revolutionizing our unsustainably neofeudal economy and broken gears of governance.
by Charles Hugh Smith

"Denial is scale-invariant and universal - we've all experienced it in some way or another. By scale-invariant, we mean the individual, household, enterprise, city, state and empire all experience denial. Denial has several signature characteristics:

1. The more profound and consequential the issue, the more stubborn our denial. When a minor cut reddens, we don't go into denial that it's infected, we simply treat it with greater care. But when the unmistakable signs of heart disease appear, we find ways to deny the reality because it's too upsetting and frightening. We want very desperately to think it will go away on its own and we'll be fine, and nothing in our life will change.

2. The strength of our denial flows from the tacit understanding that if we let even a tiny bit of doubt break through our dam of denial, the whole foundation will give way. The power of denial originates in the impermeability of the barrier blocking warning signs that all is not well. If the enterprise, relationship, policy, investment, etc. is no longer sustainable or viable, we must shut out all doubt and evidence because even a rivulet of doubt and evidence will quickly erode the dam of our denial and collapse our sense of security, control and predictability.

And so we hold fast to the idea that these chest pains are merely indigestion, and inflation is already receding. We fiddle with data ("ex-food, fuel, used cars, shelter, healthcare, childcare, hospitality and dining out, inflation is trending down!") to conjure up an alternative reality in which everything is fine, under control, progress and growth are still positive and unstoppable, and so on.

When challenged, we become defensive and angry, as if our security and identity are under attack. Since we've tied our identity and security to fixed, rigid standards, should those standards erode and decay, we deny the erosion because we feel our own security, identity and sense of control are giving way and might collapse. To avert this disaster, we shore up our dam of denial, making sure no shred of doubt or evidence gets through to threaten us.

This strategy is terribly misguided, of course, because denying reality doesn't make the threat go away, it magnifies the risk of collapse. Denial can be summarized as the stubborn inability to tell the truth because our fear of losing control as the foundations of our life crumble beneath us is so great that we're compelled to cling to denial and fantasy: debt doesn't matter, the government can print as much money as it needs, we'll just renovate all those empty office towers into housing, and so on.
Reality is only a threat if we've forsaken flexibility, adaptability, problem-solving, and the willingness to make sacrifices and accept failure - what I call Self-Reliance. The appeal of denial is uniquely powerful because it offers us a means to cling to our security, identity and sense of control without having to actually do anything.
Just as we'd rather risk expiring from a heart attack than face the sacrifices and challenges of revolutionizing our diet and fitness, we'd rather risk societal collapse than face the sacrifices and challenges of revolutionizing our unsustainably neofeudal economy and broken gears of governance.

And so all those who've benefited from the Bubble Economy look down on the decaying city center from their comfortable, smartly-appreciating homes and cling to the absurd fantasy that the rot won't reach them - indeed, the rot can't possibly reach us, it will stay safely far away and we'll be safe here in our enclave.
This is remarkably reminiscent of the wealthy Romans just before the collapse, complaining to each other in correspondence about the annoyances of decay seeping into their comfortable estates. They too reassured themselves that Rome was eternal, everything would right itself without any sacrifice on their part.
Their correspondence ended abruptly when the Imperial courier service ceased to function. The "Barbarians" (i.e. non-Italian residents of the Empire) who assumed power did not have the wherewithal to gather the taxes needed to support the immense Imperial infrastructure that made life comfortable for the landed wealthy, and so it went away.

So no worries, our neofeudal system, broken governance and all, is eternal and will fix itself without any sacrifices on our part. Maybe those chest pains are just indigestion. Let's just ignore them, they'll probably go away on their own.

Alternatively, we can relinquish fantasies and fear and accept that it's adapt or expire and we'll have to handle the adapting ourselves. This is the path of Self-Reliance, and if we're willing to take it, the path is wide open."

Bill Bonner and Joel Bowman, "The Origin of Charles Darwin"

"The Origin of Charles Darwin"
Standing on the shoulders of giants...and dwarves.
By Bill Bonner and Joel Bowman

"A mistake I strongly urge you to avoid for all you’re worth,
An error in this matter you should give the widest berth,
Namely don’t imagine that the bright lights of your eyes
Were purpose made so we could look ahead or that our thighs’
And calves were hinged together at the joints and set on feet
So we could walk with lengthy stride, or that forearms fit neat
To brawny upper arms, and are equipped on right and left
With helping hands, solely that we be dexterous and deft
At undertaking all the things we need to do to live.
This rationale and all the others like it people give
Jumbles effect and cause, and puts the cart before the horse."
~  Lucretius, "De Rerum Natura"

Paris, France - "Darwin read Adam Smith. When he came back from his long voyage on the Beagle, he read Dugald Stewart’s biography of Adam Smith. He read Malthus. He read his own grandfather, Erasmus, an admirer and imitator of Lucretius. He was not alone. He was evolving.

Ideas fight for survival. Some succeed. Most don’t. Dozens of Christian heresies succumbed. Dozens of well-developed theories, too – about the movement of planets…the influence of the gods…the vapors…the air itself and the flux of nature. All of them lived, some briefly, and all died out; like dinosaurs and floppy disks, they were poorly adapted to the new world.

A Greater Revolution -  But Smith’s new idea was an alpha idea…a Genghis Khan of an idea, one that would produce thousands of offspring. It wasn’t completely new. But it was new enough…and it was ready for a renaissance…a renewal – it was born again in the 19th century and continues to shape our thinking after 150 years.

What Darwin wrought, wrote Alfred Russel Wallace, “was a greater revolution in human thought within a quarter of a century than any of our time – or perhaps any time…a new conception of the world of life…”

The idea had been in the shadows for many centuries. And disappeared entirely for long stretches. While widely acknowledged today as useful and descriptive, its implications are still not fully appreciated. It explains why so many of our public policies are destined to fail…and why so many of the views and opinions you read in the New York Times and Washington Post are nonsense.

At first, the idea of ‘evolution’ was confined to biology. We saw the fossils… the skeletons…the footprints of ancient species; we noticed the legs taking shape…the arms…and the monkeys, swinging from the trees…and then, walking upright, almost human. And then, the fossil collections grew. Hip bones were fitted together with leg bones…and whole new baubles – including hitherto unknown species of “humans” – were hanging from the family tree. The resemblances were unmistakable. There was Uncle Harvey’s jaw – on the face of a baboon! There was Aunt Lucy’s nasty growl…coming from a hyena.

“The Evolution of Everything”: And it was all laid out for us, 2000 years ago, after the Greek gods had been dismissed…and before Christ climbed Calvary, by Lucretius:

"For certainly the elements of things do not collect
And order their formations by their cunning intellect.
Nor are their motions something they agree upon or propose
But being myriad and man-mingled, plagued by blows
And buffeted through the universe for all time past,
By trying every motion and combination they at last
Fell into the present form in which the universe appears."

People do things. They build their own houses. They choose their own music. They invent. They innovate. They find their own mates, often with no conscious awareness of what they are doing…or why they are doing it. And by combination and recombination things come together, not by any design…but by happenstance. Some things survive. Some don’t. In either case, they don’t need no stinkin’ Fed to guide them.

Even Darwin himself was reluctant to take the idea much further than biology. And yet, doesn’t it apply to just about everything? Lord Ridley wrote a book about it, “The Evolution of Everything.” The principle…that things evolve, by human action but not human design…seems to describe government, money, technology, culture, genes, even morality. They are all “man mingled;” but no human mind controls them or comprehends them.

You’ve seen us make the point many times before, mischievously….that if slavery were still profitable, it would still be with us. It was the Industrial Revolution that undid it…not Lincoln…not Harriet Beecher Stowe…and not William T. Sherman burning down Atlanta.

Gradually…then Suddenly: Imagine that you want to take a trip across the USA. And imagine that slavery were still in style. You could harness a team of slaves to a wagon. Actually, you would need several wagons….many of them just to provide food, water, clothing for the slaves. With such an arrangement, aided by a strong lash, you could lumber across mountain, plain and valley…the slaves carrying you in your sedan chair, hoisted on their shoulders. Then, after setting out from New York…and many months of travel, great sacrifice, much suffering and adventure… perhaps you would reach California. Or maybe not.

Or, taking advantage of the industrial revolution, you could get in your F150 and be there in a couple days of comfortable travel. Who do you have to thank for this marvelous improvement? Who designed the Industrial Revolution? Henry Ford? Andrew Carnegie? Eugenio Barsanti? Or the Baptist lay-preacher, Thomas Newcomen?

Newcomen is credited with being the first to convert heat to useful kinetic energy. He was tinkering…devising a way to power a pump to keep the water out of mines. He heated water. The steam pushed up a piston, and then, switching a valve, the piston reversed, forcing the cooled steam out. Then, the valve switched again and the process repeated itself. Up, down…up, down…add more fuel to the fire and the ‘machine’ will keep pumping.

But who invented the iron he used? The wheel? Who discovered fire? Evolution gives us our world. But it is not a world that anyone designed or created. Instead, we all add to it (or subtract from it)…little by little, and then by sudden, occasional bursts – such as Darwin’s “Origin of the Species.”

Entrepreneurs find a profitable model…or go broke looking for it. Investors carefully place their money, hoping to earn a decent return, and keep investing their money…until it is all gone. Politicians stumble through lies and errors…forcing or enticing people to do things they oughtn’t do…distorting the present…delaying progress… and the Fed (tomorrow!) will use its ‘cunning intellect’ to pretend to know what it can never know and do what it can never do; it will tell us exactly what interest rate the world needs right now. It will not let the credit market ‘fall’ into its natural form; it will give it a shove…Stay tuned."
o
Joel’s Note: “If I have seen further than others,” observed Sir Isaac Newton, “it is by standing on the shoulders of giants.” It was an insight the Founding Fathers of the United States well appreciated. When it came to the establishment of the American republic, those who oversaw its “origins documents” were acutely aware of the lessons of history. Indeed, the ancient world continued to guide and temper their impulses long after those documents were inked and filed.

Wrote Jefferson himself, in a letter to Henry Lee, a half century after the founding… “Men have differed in opinion, and been divided into parties by these opinions, from the first origin of societies; and in all governments where they have been permitted freely to think and to speak. The same political parties which now agitate the US. have existed thro’ all time. Whether the power of the people, or that of the ἄριςτοι [ancient greek for “aristocracy” or “nobility”] should prevail, were questions which kept the states of Greece and Rome in eternal convulsions; as they now schismatize every people whose minds and mouths are not shut up by the gag of a despot…”

From the ancient aristocracy to today’s “rich men north of Richmond,” man’s basic nature remains largely unchanged. As such, history provides a useful roadmap not only for whence we’ve come… but where we’re headed, too.

We alluded to BPR’s shameless affinity for the classics in yesterday’s missive. Indeed, it was a decade or so ago, over an unhurried lunch at our favorite parrilla in Buenos Aires, that Bill conceived the idea of an online community that would rescue the classical texts from dusty libraries and bring them into the refulgent light of the digital age. The resulting project – Classical Wisdom – is still going strong today. Dear readers are kindly invited to check it out, right here on Substack.

As for the evolution of ideas, Dan reminded us this morning that progress is not always linear… and that often, bad ideas trump good ones. Once again, we’re hearing about Peak Oil… only this time, it’s not on the supply side. Demand for fossil fuels is likely to peak this decade, say the “experts,” as the world transitions to something cleaner, cheaper, and abundant. Just what that magical replacement might be, exactly, is not at all clear…But it’s likely to be one giant step backwards for a species highly dependent on reliable, high-density energy.

“It's a big con,” writes Dan. “Reverse engineering the industrial revolution and the use of fossil fuels means a lower quality of life for everyone on the planet.” Ah… just when we think we’ve seen over the distant horizon, we discover our would-be leaders, standing squarely on the shoulders of dwarves. More on the “great energy devolution” to come…"
o
Freely download "De Rerum Natura", by Lucretius, here:

"How It Really Is"

That'll be the day!
"Nationwide, on average, 79% of U.S. adults are literate in 2023.
21% of adults in the US are illiterate in 2023.
54% of adults have a literacy below 6th grade level."

"The problem isn't that Johnny can't read. The problem isn't 
even that Johnny can't think. The problem is that Johnny 
doesn't know what thinking is; he confuses it with feeling."
- Thomas Sowell

"Five percent of the people think; 
ten percent of the people think they think; 
and the other eighty-five percent would rather die than think."
- Thomas Edison

Dan, I Allegedly, "Let the Crime Begin"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly 9/19/23
"Let the Crime Begin"
"Crime is rampant across the country. But this takes the cake. Illinois is the first state to have no cash bail of any kind. This is insane."
Comments here:

"Outrageous Prices At Winn-Dixie! This Is Ridiculous! What's Next?"

Full screen recommended.
Adventures With Danno, AM 9/19/23
"Outrageous Prices At Winn-Dixie! 
This Is Ridiculous! What's Next?"
"In today's vlog, we are at Winn-Dixie and are noticing some outrageous price increases on groceries! This is not good as grocery prices have already reached an all-time high! It's getting rough out here as more and more families struggle to put food on the table!"
Comments here:

Gregory Mannarino, "This Entire Thing Is Going To Abruptly Stop"

Gregory Mannarino, AM 9/19/23
"This Entire Thing Is Going To Abruptly Stop
 And You Must Be Prepared For It"
Comments here:
o
o
"Debt to the Penny"
"The Debt to the Penny dataset provides information about the total outstanding public debt and is reported each day. Debt to the Penny is made up of intragovernmental holdings and debt held by the public, including securities issued by the U.S. Treasury. Total public debt outstanding is composed of Treasury Bills, Notes, Bonds, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), Floating Rate Notes (FRNs), and Federal Financing Bank (FFB) securities, as well as Domestic Series, Foreign Series, State and Local Government Series (SLGS), U.S. Savings Securities, and Government Account Series (GAS) securities. Debt to the Penny is updated at the end of each business day with data from the previous business day."

Monday, September 18, 2023

"Alert: Elites Leave Washington; Nuke Event In Ukraine; Emergency Meeting On Food Prices/Shortages"

Full screen recommended.
Canadian Prepper, 9/18/23
"Alert: Elites Leave Washington; Nuke Event In Ukraine; 
Emergency Meeting On Food Prices/Shortages"
Comments here:

"People Aren't Laughing Now; Things Are About To Get Very Painful"

Jeremiah Babe, 9/18/23
"People Aren't Laughing Now; 
Things Are About To Get Very Painful"
Comments here:

Musical Interlude: Runrig, "Running to the Light"

Full screen recommended.
Runrig, "Running to the Light"

"A Look to the Heavens"

"In silhouette against a crowded star field along the tail of the arachnalogical constellation Scorpius, this dusty cosmic cloud evokes for some the image of an ominous dark tower.
In fact, clumps of dust and molecular gas collapsing to form stars may well lurk within the dark nebula, a structure that spans almost 40 light-years across this gorgeous telescopic portrait. Known as a cometary globule, the swept-back cloud, is shaped by intense ultraviolet radiation from the OB association of very hot stars in NGC 6231, off the upper edge of the scene. That energetic ultraviolet light also powers the globule's bordering reddish glow of hydrogen gas. Hot stars embedded in the dust can be seen as bluish reflection nebulae. This dark tower, NGC 6231, and associated nebulae are about 5,000 light-years away."

"We Know..."

"We have not overcome our condition, and yet we know it better. We know that we live in contradiction, but we also know that we must refuse this contradiction and do what is needed to reduce it. Our task as humans is to find the few principles that will calm the infinite anguish of free souls. We must mend what has been torn apart, make justice imaginable again in a world so obviously unjust, give happiness a meaning once more to peoples poisoned by the misery of the century. Naturally, it is a superhuman task. But superhuman is the term for tasks we take a long time to accomplish, that's all.

Let us know our aims then, holding fast to the mind, even if force puts on a thoughtful or a comfortable face in order to seduce us. The first thing is not to despair. Let us not listen too much to those who proclaim that the world is at an end. Civilizations do not die so easily, and even if our world were to collapse, it would not have been the first. It is indeed true that we live in tragic times. But too many people confuse tragedy with despair. Tragedy, D.H. Lawrence said, ought to be a great kick at misery. This is a healthy and immediately applicable thought. There are many things today deserving such a kick."
- Albert Camus

"You Think..."

"You think you will never forget any of this, you will remember it always just the way it was. But you can t remember it the way it was. To know it, you have to be living in the presence of it right as it is happening. It can return only by surprise. Speaking of these things tells you that there are no words for them that are equal to them or that can restore them to your mind. And so you have a life that you are living only now, now and now and now, gone before you can speak of it, and you must be thankful for living day by day, moment by moment, in this presence. But you have a life too that you remember. It stays with you. You have lived a life in the breath and pulse and living light of the present, and your memories of it, remember now, are of a different life in a different world and time. When you remember the past, you are not remembering it as it was. You are remembering it as it is. It is a vision or a dream, present with you in the present, alive with you in the only time you are alive."
~ Wendell Berry