Sunday, July 18, 2021

"If You Knew..."

"If you had one last breath - what would you say? If you had one hour to use your limbs before you would lose the use of them forever - would you sit there on the coach? If you knew that you wouldn't see tomorrow who would you make amends with? If you knew you had only an hour left on this earth - what would be so pressing that you just had to do it, say it, or see it? Well there is something that I can guarantee - that one day you will have one day, one hour and one breath left. Just make sure that before that day that you have said, done and experienced everything that you dream of doing now. Do it now - that is what today is for. So pick up the phone and call an old friend that you have fallen out of touch with. Get out and run a mile and use your body and sweat. Seek out someone in your life to say you're sorry to. Seek someone In your life that you need to thank. Seek someone in your life that you need to express your feelings of love to. Then when that day comes you will be ok with it all."
- John A. Passaro

Good advice... you never know.
And so, "ejection fraction 20". "When that day comes..."

Musical Interlude: Deuter, "Endless Horizon"

Full screen recommended.
Deuter, "Endless Horizon"

"Buyer's Strike In America: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans"

Full screen recommended.
"Buyer's Strike In America: Explosive Inflation Leads
 To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans"
by Epic Economist

"Soaring prices are severely impacting both corporations and consumers, and the U.S. inflation rate is raising major concerns in the financial sector. Recently, even the Bank of America openly admitted that the Federal Reserve is wrong - we are not facing a period of transitory inflation, but heading an unprecedented era of higher prices of everything. Deutsche Bank analysts also seem to agree, recently the bank warned that "policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s". But all of these warnings did not spook the Fed into conceding that the economic deterioration caused by high inflation and lower purchasing power isn't transitory. According to several economists, the reason why policymakers do not acknowledge the long-term consequences of inflation is because they're considering such higher wages will be permanent - and higher wages are equal to higher purchasing power. However, these assumptions are terribly wrong. Companies paying higher wages for their employees are likely to hike prices even more, so although workers may be earning a little more, their purchasing power is still compromised.

Government stimulus checks will soon expire, and those who were still collecting them will have to live within their means once again. With that in mind, economists decided to analyze how rising prices will affect the economy over the next 6 months, and to do so, they started looking into Americans' buying intentions as measured by the Conference Board. What they found was truly concerning. Across the 3 major categories - homes, vehicles, and major household appliances - buying intentions have cratered so deeply that it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances, homes, and cars. This means that prices are soaring so rapidly while consumers' purchasing power dwindles that people simply will not be able to afford the goods they need in order to "stimulate" the economy as the Fed has planned. In short, their strategy to artificially boost consumers' demand was an epic fail.

But what is making economists even more concerned is that the chief economist and former director of Consumer Sentiment Surveys at the University of Michigan, Richard Curtin recently said that "rather than job creation, halting and reversing an accelerating inflation rate has now become a top concern." Curtin explained that "inflation has put added pressure on living standards, especially on lower and middle-income households, and caused the postponement of large discretionary purchases, especially among upper-income households". It gets even worse because as the UMich director noted, "consumers’ complaints about rising prices on homes, vehicles, and household durables has reached an all-time record". Simply put, due to skyrocketing prices, America is going on a buyers' strike!

When the Fed finally admits the proportions of this crisis, it might be too late and the US economy will already be suffering a very painful hard-landing, and you can rest assured that policymakers' last trace of credibility will be erased. For those expecting wage hikes to be permanent, unfortunately, we have some bad news: employers are well-aware that the extended unemployment benefits will expire in September, and that will result in a wave of millions of currently unemployed workers rushing back into the labor force, which means companies will be able to sharply lower wages. Most employers are offering one-time bonuses instead of raising base pay, and regardless of the pressures to keep higher wages, they can use the damages caused by the recession to justify the pay cuts. In October, when everything reverses, the government will no longer be a better-paying competitor to the US private sector, and workers will undoubtedly see their earnings declining.

Adding that to the rampant costs faced by several industries, this type of inflation makes long-term planning difficult for companies, and it ultimately causes consumer spending to significantly drop, dragging the economy down. In the coming months, all of those manufacturers and retailers who got used to hot demand and sharply hiked their prices will have to face a difficult choice: either send prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. In essence, this move to higher inflation is extremely very disruptive to the economy, to planning by households and businesses, and to spending patterns. The persistent inflation crisis is what is being triggered right now by the fiscal and monetary stimulus and by the temporary inflation spikes, and the more the Fed chooses to ignore the seriousness of this issue, the worse it gets. But one thing is certain: six months from now, we will be too deep into this crisis and it will be too late to reverse it. The US economy will be far more damaged and the imbalances caused by the current policies will already have spiraled out of control."

"A Look to the Heavens"

“The dark Horsehead Nebula and the glowing Orion Nebula are contrasting cosmic vistas. Adrift 1,500 light-years away in one of the night sky's most recognizable constellations, they appear in opposite corners of the above stunning mosaic.
The familiar Horsehead nebula appears as a dark cloud, a small silhouette notched against the long red glow at the lower left. Alnitak is the easternmost star in Orion's belt and is seen as the brightest star to the left of the Horsehead. Below Alnitak is the Flame Nebula, with clouds of bright emission and dramatic dark dust lanes. The magnificent emission region, the Orion Nebula (aka M42), lies at the upper right. Immediately to its left is a prominent bluish reflection nebula sometimes called the Running Man. Pervasive tendrils of glowing hydrogen gas are easily traced throughout the region.”

The Universe

 

Gregory Mannarino, AM 7/18/21: "Markets, A Look Ahead: Are Stocks About To Fall?"

Gregory Mannarino, AM 7/18/21:
"Markets, A Look Ahead: Are Stocks About To Fall?"

"Stimulus is Ending - Here are New Grant Programs Available Now"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, IAllegedly, AM 7/18/21:
"Stimulus is Ending - 
Here are New Grant Programs Available Now"
"As Stimulus ends you need to look for other ways to get money for your business. Here are other grant programs that you can take advantage of. Use these resources to get needed funds for you personally and for your business #Grants #Stimulus"

The Daily "Near You?"

Janesville, Wisconsin, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

“7 Best Shakespeare Insults”

“7 Best Shakespeare Insults”
by The Huffington Post

"You should be women and yet your beards forbid me to interpret that you are so." Shakespeare employs this biting insult in "Macbeth" to establish the complete and utter repulsiveness of the three witches. Their "withered and wild" features cause Macbeth and Banquo to question if the sisters are even human beings.

"Methinks thou art a general offence, and every man should beat thee. I think thou wast created for men to breathe themselves upon you." In "All's Well That Ends Well," Lafeu hits infamous liar and coward Porolles with this blunt put-down after being finally fed up with his antics. Although, knowing Porolles and his mischievous ways, he probably deserved the jab.

"I must tell you friendly in your ear, sell when you can, you are not for all markets." Beggars can't be choosers is the modern way of getting this point across, but Shakespeare's version is far more biting. "As You Like It" showcases Shakespeare's gift of saying the meanest of things in the most eloquent ways in this insult Rosalind doles out to Phebe.

"Thou art a base, proud, shallow, beggarly, three-suited, hundred-pound, filthy worsted-stocking knave; a lily-liver'd, action-taking, whoreson, glass-gazing, superserviceable, finical rogue; one-trunk-inheriting slave; one that wouldst be a bawd in way." Possibly the most elaborate jab he has ever written, Shakespeare pulls out all the stops in "King Lear" when the Earl of Kent replies to Oswald's innocent question of, "What dost thou know me for?" with nearly every insult in the book. And if that verbal attack wasn't enough to put Oswald down, the Earl of Kent proceeds to physically beat him!

"I'll beat thee, but I should infect my hands." In Shakespeare's "Timon of Athens," protagonist Timon and his least favorite dinner companion, Apemantus, insult each other to no end in a verbal smack-down that lasts half of the scene. While Apemantus tries to rally with comebacks as cruel as, "A plague on thee! Thou are too bad to curse," it seems Timon reigns supreme with this precise one-liner.

"Away, you cut-purse rascal! you filthy bung, away! By this wine, I'll thrust my knife in your mouldy chaps, an you play the saucy cuttle with me. Away, you bottle-ale rascal! you basket-hilt stale juggler, you!" This put-down was said by prostitute Doll Tearsheet, who was notorious for having a sharp tongue, to Pistol in Act II of "Henry IV Part II."

"Thou art a boil, a plague sore, an embossed carbuncle in my corrupted blood." King Lear calls his daughter, Regan, these terrible names only to revoke his insult and promise not to punish her. Regardless of how fast he apologizes to her for his spiteful words, it's still a grade-A insult.”

Paulo Coelho, "The Good Fight"

"The Good Fight"
by Paulo Coelho

"In 1986, I went for the first and only time on the pilgrimage known as the Way to Santiago, an experience I described in my first book. We had just finished walking up a small hill, a village appeared on the horizon, and it was then that my guide, whom I shall call Petrus (although that was not his name), said to me: "We must never stop dreaming. Dreams provide nourishment for the soul, just as a meal does for the body. Many times in our lives we see our dreams shattered and our desires frustrated, but we have to continue dreaming. If we don’t, our soul dies.

The Good Fight is the one we fight because our heart asks it of us. The Good Fight is the one that’s fought in the name of our dreams. When we are young our dreams first explode inside us with all of their force, we are very courageous, but we haven’t yet learned how to fight. With great effort, we learn how to fight, but by then we no longer have the courage to go into combat. So we turn against ourselves and do battle within. We become our own worst enemy. We say that our dreams were childish, or too difficult to realize, or the result or our not having known enough about life. We kill our dreams because we are afraid to Fight the Good Fight.

The first symptom of the process of killing our dreams is lack of time. The busiest people I have known in my life always have time enough to do everything. Those who do nothing are always tired and pay no attention to the little amount of work they are required to do. They complain constantly that the day is too short. The truth is, they are afraid to Fight the Good Fight…

The second symptom of the death of our dreams lies in our certainties. Because we don’t want to see life as a grand adventure, we begin to think of ourselves as wise and fair and correct in asking so little of life. We look beyond the walls of our day-to-day existence, and we hear the sound of lances breaking, we smell the dust and the sweat, and we see the great defeats and the fire in the eyes of the warriors. But we never see the delight, the immense delight in the hearts of those engaged in the battle. For them, neither victory nor defeat is important; what’s important is only that they are Fighting the Good Fight.

And, finally, the third symptom of the passing of our dreams is peace. Life becomes a Sunday afternoon; we ask for nothing grand, and we cease to demand anything more than we are willing to give. In that state we think of ourselves as being mature; we put aside the fantasies of our youth, and we seek personal and professional achievement. We are surprised when people our age say that they still want this or that out of life. But really, deep in our hearts, we know that what has happened is that we have renounced the battle for our dreams - we have refused to Fight the Good Fight.

When we renounce our dreams and find peace, we go through a period of tranquility. But the dead dreams begin to rot within us and to infect our entire being. We become cruel to those around us, and then we begin to direct this cruelty against ourselves. What we sought to avoid in combat - disappointment and defeat - came upon us because of our cowardice. And one day, the dead, spoiled dreams make it difficult to breath, and we actually seek death. It’s death that frees us from our certainties, from our work, and from that terrible peace of Sunday afternoons."

"All Of The Available Data..."

"All of the available data show that the typical American citizen has
 about as much interest in the life of the mind as does your average armadillo."
- Morris Berman

"How It Really Is"

 

“The Financial System Is A Fraud - Prepare Or Get Wiped Out; Inflation Apocalypse”

Full screen recommended.
Jeremiah Babe, AM 7/18/21:
“The Financial System Is A Fraud - 
Prepare Or Get Wiped Out; Inflation Apocalypse”

"The Image That Comes To Mind..."

"The image that comes to mind is a boxing ring. There are times when... you just want that bell to ring, but you're the one who's losing. The one who's winning doesn't have that feeling. Do you have the energy and strength to face life? Life can ask more of you than you are willing to give. And then you say, 'Life is not something that should have been. I'm not going to play the game. I'm going to meditate. I'm going to call "out". There are three positions possible. One is the up-to-it, and facing the game and playing through. The second is saying, Absolutely not. I don't want to stay in this dogfight. That's the absolute out. The third position is the one that says, This is mixed of good and evil. I'm on the side of the good. I accept the world with corrections. And may [the world] be the way I like it. And it's good for me and my friends. There are the only three positions."
- Joseph Campbell

Saturday, July 17, 2021

Musical Interlude: Sarah Mclachlan, "In The Arms Of An Angel"

Sarah Mclachlan, "In The Arms Of An Angel"

"A Look to the Heavens"

"What's happening to this spiral galaxy? Although details remain uncertain, it surely has to do with an ongoing battle with its smaller galactic neighbor. The featured galaxy is labelled UGC 1810 by itself, but together with its collisional partner is known as Arp 273. 
The overall shape of the UGC 1810 - in particular its blue outer ring - is likely a result of wild and violent gravitational interactions. This ring's blue color is caused by massive stars that are blue hot and have formed only in the past few million years. The inner galaxy appears older, redder, and threaded with cool filamentary dust. A few bright stars appear well in the foreground, unrelated to UGC 1810, while several galaxies are visible well in the background. Arp 273 lies about 300 million light years away toward the constellation of Andromeda. Quite likely, UGC 1810 will devour its galactic sidekick over the next billion years and settle into a classic spiral form."

Kahlil Gibran, “The Farewell”

“The Farewell”

“Farewell to you and the youth I have spent with you.
It was but yesterday we met in a dream.
You have sung to me in my aloneness,
and I of your longings have built a tower in the sky.
But now our sleep has fled and our dream is over,
and it is no longer dawn.
The noontide is upon us and our half waking has turned to fuller day,
and we must part.
If in the twilight of memory we should meet once more,
we shall speak again together and you shall sing to me a deeper song.
And if our hands should meet in another dream
we shall build another tower in the sky.”

- Kahlil Gibran, “The Prophet”

The Poet: Mary Oliver, “October”

“October”

"There’s this shape, black as the entrance to a cave.
A longing wells up in its throat
like a blossom
as it breathes slowly.

What does the world
mean to you if you can’t trust it
to go on shining when you’re
not there? and there’s
a tree, long-fallen; once
the bees flew to it, like a procession
of messengers, and filled it
with honey.

I said to the chickadee, singing his heart out in the
green pine tree:
little dazzler
little song,
little mouthful.

The shape climbs up out of the curled grass. It
grunts into view. There is no measure
for the confidence at the bottom of its eyes-
there is no telling
the suppleness of its shoulders as it turns
and yawns.
Near the fallen tree
something - a leaf snapped loose
from the branch and fluttering down - tries to pull me
into its trap of attention.
It pulls me
into its trap of attention,
And when I turn again, the bear is gone.

Look, hasn’t my body already felt
like the body of a flower?
Look, I want to love this world
as thought it’s the last chance I’m ever going to get
to be alive
and know it.

Sometimes in late summer I won’t touch anything, not
the flowers, not the blackberries
brimming in the thickets; I won’t drink
from the pond; I won’t name the birds or the trees;
I won’t whisper my own name.

One morning
the fox came down the hill, glittering and confident,
and didn’t see me - and I thought:
so this is the world.
I’m not in it.
It is beautiful."

- Mary Oliver

"How To See Things As They Are"

"How To See Things As They Are"
by David Cain

"I’m in the back room of a coffee shop right now, switching between writing and another mental exercise: pretending I’m not here. I don’t mean I’m wearing a disguise, or hiding behind a potted plant. I’m doing a perspective-shifting practice that I’d recommend to anyone: now and then, wherever you are, look at the scene in front of you as though it’s happening without you.

From any seat, or standing spot, anywhere - in an office, a breakfast diner, a public square, a waiting room - see your surroundings just as they’d be if you weren’t here to see them. Focus on the look and feel of the setting. The way the light lays across things. Take it in like a shot from a movie. Notice the movement and speech of people or animals, the soundscape and overall ambiance. It’s just a little corner of the world where things are unfolding, and you’re not here. Maybe nobody is.

When you do this, you might notice a certain lightness or simplicity arising. Things are more poignant. Everything seems less complicated, because it’s just stuff happening, not stuff happening to you.

I used to call this practice “dying on purpose” but that sounds a bit dramatic. Maybe “looking at the world as though you don’t exist” is better, but a good way to understand how to do that is to simply watch what’s happening here as though you’ve died, or maybe never existed at all.

Right now, in this back room, there’s a long communal table, with three students working in front of a spread of laptops and textbooks. There’s music playing - a band that sounds like the Cranberries. Framed by the doorway to the front of the shop is short-haired, golden dog (this place allows animals) waiting for its owner to order. No humans are visible but there’s a lot of easygoing chatter. The far wall is all window, with potted plants on hanging shelves silhouetted against the mid-day brightness outside. Someone comes to pet the dog. There’s a warm, neighborly feeling in the room. Now the not-Cranberries song is over, and a Beach House song comes on.

This vignette, seen in a certain way - as though it is happening, but not happening to me - can be just what it is, without any entanglement with my own interests. None of my reflexive moral judgments are present. The angle of the sun doesn’t remind me of everything I still have to get done today. Seeing twenty-year-old students doesn’t make me wish I was younger. Because I’m not here. It’s just life unfolding, and on its own it’s beautiful.

We have a habit of looking at what surrounds us through a self-referential lens. We don’t just see a thing, we see the way that thing fits, or doesn’t fit, into our lives. Seeing a luxury car might elicit judgment, or envy, or brand loyalty. Seeing someone enjoying what seems to be a day off might remind you that you do not have the day off.

It’s not that we all think we’re the center of the universe. But our lives do tend to feel something like The Biggest, Most Pressing Thing Ever to Happen, when it’s really only a short thread running through a vast, endless fabric of happenings that is life on Earth.

Even a short glimpse of something as it is- of any scene free from entanglement with our stories -comes with relief. What you witness in this way still has meaning, but it’s intrinsic meaning, like beauty, or some nameless quality. The meaning isn’t “What this means for me and my ongoing story.”

Those short glimpses are always available, by looking at what’s before you as though it’s happening without you. Every scene has its own signature, its own identity to express, which can only come through when it’s not mixed up with yours.

It’s not hard to achieve this perspective, for a few seconds anyway. Just see it as it would be if you weren’t there. This parking lot. This row of houses. This quiet kitchen. It looks exactly the same, but it feels different to see it this way.

When you look at a bug climbing a railing - at least for a moment, it’s nothing but a bug climbing a railing.

When you sit down with your coffee - just for a moment, the coffee shop is happening just as it does on days you’re not there, or as it might after you die.

When you look in the closet - just for a moment, it’s only clothing, hanging there quietly, as it does when nobody’s standing there choosing how they’re going to look today."

"We Are Never Deceived..."

"We are never deceived; we deceive ourselves."
- Johann Wolfgang Von Goethe