Thursday, April 13, 2023

"Living In A Potemkin World" (Excerpt)

"Living In A Potemkin World" (Excerpt)
by Jim Quinn

“Every record has been destroyed or falsified, every book rewritten, every picture has been repainted, every statue and street building has been renamed, every date has been altered. And the process is continuing day by day and minute by minute. History has stopped. Nothing exists except an endless present in which the Party is always right.” - George Orwell, "1984"

“Don’t you see that the whole aim of Newspeak is to narrow the range of thought? In the end we shall make thoughtcrime literally impossible, because there will be no words in which to express it.” - George Orwell, 1984

"I never thought I would experience the dystopian “fictional” nightmare Orwell laid out in his 1949 novel. Seventy-two years later and his warning about a totalitarian society, where mass surveillance, repressive measures against dissenters, mind control through government indoctrination and propaganda designed to convince the masses lies are truth, fake is real and the narrative can be manipulated to achieve the desired outcome of those in power, have come to fruition.

Everything is fake. I don’t believe anything I’m told by the government, the media, medical “experts”, politicians, military leadership, bankers, corporate executives, religious leaders, financial professionals, and anyone selling themselves as an authority on any subject matter. We are truly living in times of mass deception, mass delusion, and mass willful ignorance.

The term Potemkin Village comes from stories of a phony movable village built by Grigory Potemkin in the late 1700’s to impress his former lover, Catherine II, during her journey to Crimea in 1787. He supposedly erected fake villages along the banks of the Dnieper River, as her vessel sailed by, to impress her with the progress he was making on her behalf. After she passed, he would have the village disassembled and then reassembled further along downstream.

I guess this was an early version of fake news, though I am sure there were also plenty of falsities and propaganda in the newspapers of the time. But, in our current day, oppressors have taken lies, falsities, miss-truths, and propaganda to heights never conceived by Edward Bernays, George Orwell or Joseph Stalin."

Please view this outstanding, and highly recommended complete article here:

"How It Is, Always Was, And Always Will Be"

"We know they are lying, they know they are lying,
 they know we know they are lying,
 we know they know we know they are lying, 
but, they are still lying."
- Aleksandr Isayevich Solzhenitsyn

"Violence does not always and necessarily lunge straight for your throat; 
more often than not it demands of its subjects only that they 
pledge allegiance to lies, that they participate in falsehood." 
  - Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn

"Start of the End?

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly 4/13/23
"Start of the End?"
"When you have an A+ office building go with a 36% loss does that concern you? It concerns me with the economy. Blackstone just sold two office towers in orange county California for a huge loss. Plus today we’re going to take a little tour through Whole Foods."
Comments here:

"Welcome to the U.S.S.A.'s Banquet of Consequences"

"Welcome to the U.S.S.A.'s Banquet of Consequences"
by Charles Hugh Smith

"When I mention that the U.S.A. feels increasingly like the U.S.S.R., a surprising number of people tell me they feel the same way. Welcome to the U.S.S.A.: United Simulacra States of America where everything is an absurdly transparent simulation with little connection to reality and dissent is crushed by an ever-present, ubiquitous narrative police state enforced by the union of Big Tech social media, search and other monopolies and the Savior State: do what we tell you and you'll get a piece of our endlessly spewed trillions.

My colleague Mark Jeftovic recommended an insightful book on the unraveling of the USSR, "Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More: The Last Soviet Generation." It's an academic book so there are the required servings of jargon and references to suitably opaque academic tropes, but beneath the conceptual clutter lies a profound analysis of how humans adapt to and navigate a system that has lost all authenticity and survives entirely on the ceaseless marketing of artifice: in other words, the USA today.

Of particular interest are the book's personal accounts of dutiful Party members going through the motions of obedience as a means of enjoying their private friendships and lives. Joining the Party's machinery was a way to meet friends who you recruited for your committee work. Everyone went through the motions but nobody actually believed any of it: you did homework while "listening" to the endless canned speeches, you went out for coffee while telling the Party functionary that you were on Party business, and you worked on parades and activities that were a bit of fun despite the dreary official purpose which everyone ignored.

Despite the enormous effort put into placing propaganda everywhere, nobody actually saw any of it: it was all background noise. When it changed, nobody noticed. "Regular" party members avoided the True Believers and the Dissenters as both could get you in trouble - and who wanted trouble? It wasn't worth it. And so a carefully cloaked language of phrases and signs emerged to separate the safe "regular" members from the dangerous True Believers and Dissenters.

Documentarian Adam Curtis called this artifice as reality hyper-normalization, a concept also referred to as super-normalization: "normal life" is stripped of authenticity in favor of a simulacrum "normal" that supports those at the top of the status quo. This "new normal" reaches extremes of artifice, hence hyper-normalization.

As long as everyone thinks there are no alternatives to this hyper-normalized simulacrum, this artificial construct appears to be immutable - everything is forever. But once the power structure admits, however minimally, that it no longer has the answers to the decay of the social-economic order, then the entire artificial construct collapses in a heap. This is the sociology of collapse: people accept a facade of artifice and propaganda without actually believing any of it, though they do have a limbic loyalty to the founding ideals of the State.

The ideologues (True Believers) are avoided as dangerous brown-nosers, and the Dissenters are avoided because it's not worth being sent to digital Siberia (shadow-banned, deleted, marginalized) just to publicly call attention to the abject failure of status quo institutions and organs of propaganda.

What's real is denial, repression of dissent, group-think, virtue-signaling and a profound loss of competence. What's hyper-normalized artifice is all the media spew about how great everything is going to be once we print and squander another couple trillion dollars to prop up the zombie corporations, institutions and government agencies until the magical vaccine time machine returns us to the glorious debt-dependent overconsumption of 2019.

The USSA has not yet admitted that the decay of its socio-economic order is unstoppable, and so the internal gulag has yet to be breached. But artifice is not a substitute for reality, and what's unsustainable (hyper-normalized artifice) unravels very quickly once the first thread is pulled.

The USSR took 20 years to unravel, but 19 years of the decay were hidden by an increasingly disconnected-from-reality simulacra of "success" and competence: the USSR lost the race to the moon in 1969 and 20 years later two decades of decay led to collapse.

The USSA responded to the dot-com crash of 2000 with artifice and propaganda, an absurdly transparent simulacra of "success" and competence. Twenty years of decay has brought us to the precipice of collapse, and the internal gulag of TINA - there is no alternative - is fraying. The incontestable incompetence of the USSA's monopolies, institutions and agencies is about to take center stage. The sociology of collapse will be followed by a not-be-missed banquet of consequences."

"Gulag Capitalism"

"Gulag Capitalism"
What people want vs. what they deserve.
by Bill Bonner and Joel Bowman

Buenos Aires, Argentina - "What’s wrong with capitalism? What’s wrong with the US economy? Why isn’t it making people richer? News flash from The Telegraph: "All Western economies are now facing the consequences of two decades of fundamental economic mistakes. Interest rates are the warning sign. They are far too low for a free market economy."

Capitalism, left alone, generally does make people better off. If it’s more money they want, they work for it…and get it. If it’s more leisure that they really care about…they can get that too. More hula hoops? More Bud Light? More diversity officers? Well…that’s where the story becomes more complicated.

In a capitalist system, people get ‘money’ by providing goods and services to other people. Then, they use their money to ‘vote’ for what they want. Naturally, if it is rocking chairs they want…capitalists deliver them. The whole ‘system,’ if you can call it that, intends to satisfy the wants and needs of “The People.”

Who Wants What? This is not to say that everyone gets what he wants. People make mistakes. They make bad choices. They develop bad habits. So, what they actually get is not exactly what they want, but what they deserve.

But what about diversity officers? Who wants them? Why do we have them? Who votes for them? It turns out that there are people who want you to spend money on what they want, rather than what you want.

Nobody wants a tax accountant. But the elite who run the government have made sure that you need one. Who wanted to spend an estimated $100,000 per household so the Pentagon could lose a 20-year war in the Middle East? Who wants to pay for an anti-drug policy that doesn’t work? Who wants to send money to the Ukraine, where hundreds of millions are skimmed off by the corrupt elite? Who wants to pay for more regulators to tell them what to do?

And if you look at the entire federal budget – OMG, who wants that? This year, the feds will spend nearly $6 trillion. So far, half way into the year, which begins in October, the deficit has hit a record. Fox: "Federal budget deficit hits $1.1 trillion in first half of fiscal 2023, $430 billion higher than last year. Government spending was 13% higher so far this year compared to 2022, while revenues dropped 3%, the CBO said."

Incalculable Costs: In other words, the feds are spending about $5 for every $4 in revenue. The excess gets remembered as debt, now almost $32 trillion. That’s about $400,000 per household, which will most likely get ‘paid’ in the form of consumer price inflation. And what half-wit would want to save money, and then lend it to a bank or the government at a lower rate than inflation? But that’s what everyone was forced to do for more than an entire decade. And even now, after more than a year of ‘going back to normal,’ the inflation-adjusted key rate is still almost 2% below the CPI.

This last point is an important one. Because the cost is incalculable. The price of money is the most important information in the whole system. And if it is distorted…and untrue…everything begins to warp and wobble. The cost of money (interest rates) tells us where to invest…and where not to. If the interest rate is 5% a project must deliver 6% or 7% just to breakeven. Any less than that destroys capital.

But put the interest rate at NEGATIVE 2%...and where do you invest? You don’t know. Could you borrow money, buy gold, bury it in the ground and then just wait until you could repay your loan at pennies on the dollar? Maybe. Long term investing requires faithful numbers. And all the numbers are fishy. Better to take the money now – in dividends…or higher stock prices. Or speculate – it costs nothing to borrow…so why not take a chance?

Gulag Capitalism: The result is a fall-off in the kind of real investment that the economy needs. Production slumps. Productivity slides. Real growth and real prosperity disappear. Adjusted for inflation, real wages just went down for the 24th month in a row.

Real GDP growth is only half the average of the 63 years from 1954 to 2017. As we calculated last week, it now takes the average worker three times as much time on the job to buy the average house as it did in 1971. And, oh yes…there’s a building boom going on. New houses are now being put up at the same rate as 1978. This is reported as good news, but now we have 100 million more people in the US than we did in the 70s.

What’s wrong with capitalism? The answer is very simple: nothing. Capitalism does its best. Even in Soviet Gulags, capitalism continued, as prisoners exchanged food and clothing. Wherever they are, people try to produce things that other people want…and to trade with them for the things they want. The Fed’s phony interest rates did not stop capitalism. Nor did $31 trillion federal debt – almost all of it squandered on wars, stimmies, and boondoggles. But they made it much harder for people to get what they really wanted.
o
Joel’s Note: "Yesterday we mentioned the stagnation in real (that is, adjusted for inflation) wages. American workers have essentially gone nowhere in over a generation… and for the past couple of years, virtually the entire Biden administration, wages have actually gone backwards when measured against rising prices.

That alone would be bad enough. But as we know, the state never saw a wound it didn’t feel the sadistic urge to rub salt into. Have a look at the average “price of money” down the line and you’ll see what we mean. In an effort to keep their heads above water, working Americans have been smashing the plastic of late… to the tune of almost a trillion dollars. Our macro man up in Laramie, Dan Denning, sent over this rather fugly chart, courtesy of the Fed’s Board of Governors…
Click image for larger size.
As you can see, the chart shows the explosion in outstanding credit card loans (and other revolving plans) beginning in mid-2021… and then really taking off during the “recession-that-wasn’t-technically-a-recession,” in the back half of 2022. Of particular note here is the fact that, according to the latest Forbes Advisor’s weekly credit card rates report, the average credit card interest rate in the US is… wait for it… a decidedly non-trivial 24.20%.

Unsurprisingly, after a significant uptick in Q4, 2022, credit card delinquencies are expected to see a sharp rise through 2023. TransUnion expects serious delinquencies – usually defined as being more than 30 to 90 days in arrears – to rise from 2.1 to 2.6%, the highest they’ve been since 2010. Delinquency rates on personal loans are also expected to track a similar path.

But unlike crony banksters, for whom money is cheap, plentiful and practically failure free, honest workers cannot simply declare insolvency and be “made whole” by their buddies/paymasters inside the beltway. As usual, it’s rule for thee… and not for the SOBs. Call it what you will, Messrs. Sanders, Stewart, Edwards et al. Just don’t call it “capitalism.”

"Unaffordable Prices At Kroger! Prepare For The Future!"

Full screen recommended,
Adventures With Danno, 4/13/23
"Unaffordable Prices At Kroger! Prepare For The Future!"
"In today's vlog we are at Kroger, and are noticing massive price increases on groceries! This is not good as we are also seeing some empty shelves! It's getting rough out here as stores seem to be struggling with getting products, and also charging extremely high prices!"
Comments here:

Wednesday, April 12, 2023

Scott Ritter: "102,000 Ukrainian Soldiers Got Wiped Out, This Is The End!"

Red Pilled TV, 4/12/23
Scott Ritter: "102,000 Ukrainian Soldiers 
Got Wiped Out, This Is The End!"
Comments here:

"60% Of Americans Can't Afford Gas As Prices Explode And Stockpiles Collapse"

Full screen recommended.
"60% Of Americans Can't Afford Gas As 
Prices Explode And Stockpiles Collapse"
by Epic Economist

"Once again gasoline stockpiles are falling to alarmingly low levels ahead of the busiest driving season of the year. And that is the perfect recipe for a massive spike in prices over the next few weeks and months, experts say. The increases will come on top of the 20-cent rise in the cost of a gallon of gas seen over the past 30 days. The outlook is quite worrying considering that almost 60% of Americans are struggling to afford prices at the pump, according to a new poll. Production is way down and several factors are adding extra pressure to the oil market right now, signaling more trouble for U.S. businesses and consumers this summer.

Analysts are warning that U.S. motorists will face a repeat of last summer’s high gasoline prices because fuel stockpiles are heading towards multi-year lows ahead of the peak summer driving season that starts in a couple of months. Retail gasoline prices, now averaging $3.60 a gallon nationwide, hit a record $5.02 a gallon last June as crude oil prices jumped due to dwindling inventories.

In the past month, the cost of a gallon of gas rose on average by 20 cents, with some U.S. counties reporting a 36-cent increase, AAA data shows. At the same time, vehicle travel in the U.S. remains 5.6% higher than last year, which resulted in a drop in gasoline stockpiles for five straight weeks.

In fact, Reuters reports that last week's 6 million-barrel drawdown was the biggest since September 2021, leaving national gas inventories at 229.6 million barrels, their lowest for this time of the year since 2015, according to weekly government data. "We are in danger of going below 200 million barrels of gasoline storage for the first time in many years," stressed Robert Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho.

On Monday, the U.S. price of oil rose 6 percent, after OPEC announced plans to sharply cut production starting in May. The organization informed that it will slash oil production by more than a million barrels a day starting next month, a move that experts say could seriously impact gas prices in the U.S. To make things even more complicated, in March, U.S. oil production plummeted as a result of the banking crisis and concerns about an economic recession that would reduce fuel demand.

All of these factors are weighing on the outlook for prices this summer. GasBuddy forecasted that the production slowdown would cause oil prices to rise by $6 a barrel. At the pump, this could be translated into another 20-cent rise per gallon next week. On the same note, Peter McNally, an industrial materials and energy expert for Third Bridge, predicts a steeper increase, closer to 30 cents per gallon. They’re right, gas prices could reach $4 a gallon before the end of April.

Given that demand increased slightly from 9.15 to 9.3 million barrels a day, according to new data from the Energy Information Administration, this means that we’re only holding 21 days of supply on our domestic reserves. That’s extremely tight.

Meanwhile, Americans are doing what they can to get by, and that often means cutting back on spending. The latest Monmouth University Poll, released last Thursday, found that a majority (or 58%) say it’s difficult to afford gas right now. Since December, the number of people who have had difficulty paying for gasoline has increased by 10 points, the poll results showed. This supply and demand imbalance is going to hit crisis levels this summer and you shouldn't be surprised if fuel shortages came back too, turning the outlook from worrying to downright terrifying in a few short months."
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Musical Interlude: Prelude, "After The Gold Rush",

Prelude, "After The Gold Rush", studio version.

Prelude, "After The Gold Rush", live version.

"A Look to the Heavens"

"Globular star cluster Omega Centauri, also known as NGC 5139, is some 15,000 light-years away. The cluster is packed with about 10 million stars much older than the Sun within a volume about 150 light-years in diameter. It's the largest and brightest of 200 or so known globular clusters that roam the halo of our Milky Way galaxy. 
Though most star clusters consist of stars with the same age and composition, the enigmatic Omega Cen exhibits the presence of different stellar populations with a spread of ages and chemical abundances. In fact, Omega Cen may be the remnant core of a small galaxy merging with the Milky Way. Omega Centauri's red giant stars (with a yellowish hue) are easy to pick out in this sharp, color telescopic view."

“Are You Sane?”

“Are You Sane?”
by Charles Hugh Smith

“A sane person to an insane society must appear insane.”
– Kurt Vonnegut, “Welcome to the Monkey House”

“Madness has engulfed the entire world, with a concentration of power in the hands of a few psychopathic financial elite wielding an inordinate and dangerous expanse of power over the lives of the common man. They are a modern day version of Al Capone, except their weapons of choice aren’t machine guns, but a printing press, peddling debt, creating derivatives of mass destruction, and peddling heaping doses of disinformation. The contemporary criminal class wears Hermes suits, Rolex watches and diamond studded pinky rings, drops $500 to dine at Masa in NYC, travels by chauffeured limo, lives in $10 million NYC penthouse suites, occupies luxurious corner offices in hundred story glass towers, and spends weekends hobnobbing with the other financial elite at their villas in the Hamptons. They have nothing but utter contempt for the lowly peasants who depend upon a weekly paycheck to make ends meet. Why work when you can steal $1 or $2 billion from farmers with no consequences?

The willfully ignorant masses are kept at bay by the selling them a false dichotomy of Republicans versus Democrats, conservatives versus liberals, and capitalism versus socialism. The ruling class distracts the public with fake wars on poverty, drugs and terror, while using these storylines to further enrich themselves and keep the public alarmed and frightened. We’ve been “fighting” the wars on poverty and drugs for over four decades and poverty is at record levels, while drugs are easier to obtain than candy in a candy store. The war on terror is nothing more than a corporate arms dealer welfare plan. The end of the Cold War put a real crimp in the bottom lines of Lockheed Martin and the rest of the peddlers of death. 9/11 and the subsequent undeclared wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya and Syria, with Iran on the horizon, have been a godsend to the bottom lines of the corporations Eisenhower warned about in 1961.

In reality, the politicians are interchangeable and bought off by corporate and special interests. The people are sold a fable, and controlled opposition is the fairy tale. They perpetuate the welfare/warfare state that enriches Wall Street, the military industrial complex, the healthcare service complex, politically connected mega-corporations and the corporate media propaganda complex. The American people are given the illusion of choice by their keepers. The system is rigged. The real decisions are made by unelected secretive men who operate in the shadows and use their wealth to direct the decision making of the politicians, government bureaucrats, and corporate entities that benefit from those decisions. Edward Bernays described a society that existed in the 19th Century, 20th Century, and has now grown to immense proportions in the 21st Century:

“Political campaigns today are all sideshows. A presidential candidate may be ‘drafted’ in response to ‘overwhelming popular demand,’ but it is well known that his name may be decided upon by half a dozen men sitting around a table in a hotel room. The conscious manipulation of the masses is an important element in democratic society. Those who manipulate this unseen mechanism of society constitute an invisible government which is the true ruling power of our country.” – Edward Bernays

The manipulation of the masses has been perfected by the ruling class through decades of corporate mass media messaging the purposeful dumbing down of the populace through government public school education that teaches children how to feel rather than how to think. The conscious manipulation of the masses has been designed to produce obedient non-thinking consumers of corporate products, educated to believe the accumulation of material goods with debt constitutes wealth, to fear whatever the government tells them to fear, and never look up from their iGadgets long enough to actually think for themselves. We are bombarded with Orwellian memes designed to keep us sedated and pliant, as the ruling class pillages the national wealth and expands their power and control over our lives.

Conform; Stay Asleep; Do Not Question Authority; Obey; Consume; Reproduce; Submit; Watch TV; Buy; Follow; Doubt Humanity; No New Ideas; Feel, Don’t Think; Fear; Accumulate; Honor Apathy; Believe Experts; Surrender; Spend; No Independent Thought; Win; Want More; Hate; Succumb To Desire; Yield To Power; Choose Safety Over Liberty; Choose Security Over Freedom

This insane world was created through decades of bad decisions, believing in false prophets, choosing current consumption over sustainable long-term savings based growth, electing corruptible men who promised voters entitlements that were mathematically impossible to deliver, the disintegration of a sense of civic and community obligation and a gradual degradation of the national intelligence and character.

Vonnegut and Huxley’s social commentary reveals a basic truth that societies and human beings have been prone to bouts of madness over the course of decades and centuries. Humans are a weak species, susceptible to the vagaries of greed, lust, gluttony, wrath, sloth, envy and pride. The seven deadly sins are in full bloom today, as the American empire descends through Dante’s inferno of reality TV, celebrity worship, religious zealotry, adulation of wealthy titans, military conquest and worship of false idols.

This is where the interests of those in power and those being ruled have coincided, as a fiat based monetary system allowed unlimited spending to keep the welfare/warfare state growing, enriching the crony capitalists, deepening the power of the state, and providing the masses with foreign made trinkets, baubles, corporate logoed clothing, techno-gadgets, and pimped out financed wheels. The concepts of self-restraint, discipline, saving for a rainy day, prudence, discretion, and deferred gratification are rarely displayed in modern day America. In a case of mass delusion, Americans have convinced themselves to live for today, recklessly ignore their futures, irresponsibly spend money they don’t have on things they don’t need, neglect their civic duty towards future generations, choose ignorance over knowledge, and vote for spineless politicians who promise them entitlements that are mathematically impossible to honor. The public’s foolish attitude towards debt accumulation matches the arrogance of our gutless intellectually dishonest leaders.”

Gerald Celente, "The American Rhythm: War Drums And Lies"

Gerald Celente, 4/12/23
"The American Rhythm: War Drums And Lies"
"The Trends Journal is a weekly magazine analyzing global current events forming future trends. Our mission is to present facts and truth over fear and propaganda to help subscribers prepare for what’s next in these increasingly turbulent times."
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"The Definition Of Hell..."

 

The Poet: May Sarton, “Now I Become Myself”

“Now I Become Myself”

“Now I become myself. It’s taken
Time, many years and places,
I have been dissolved and shaken,
Worn other people’s faces,
Run madly, as if Time were there,
Terribly old, crying a warning,
“Hurry, you will be dead before —”
(What? Before you reach the morning?
or the end of the poem, is clear?
Or love safe in the walled city?)
Now to stand still, to be here,
Feel my own weight and density!
Now there is time and Time is young.
O, in this single hour I live
All of myself and do not move,
I, the pursued, who madly ran,
Stand still, stand still, and stop the Sun!”

~ May Sarton

The Daily "Near You?"

Lower Hutt, Wellington, New Zealand. Thanks for stopping by!

"Anheuser-Busch Distributors Freaking Out Over Transgender Ad Campaign"

"Anheuser-Busch Distributors Freaking Out
 Over Transgender Ad Campaign"
By Tyler Durden

"Distributors for Belgian-owned Anheuser-Busch are reportedly 'spooked' over the reaction to the company's Bud Light transgender ad campaign featuring Dylan Mulvaney's "365 Days of Girlhood," according to Beer Business Daily. In what many thought was an April Fool's joke, the transgender activist whose act consists of mocking women with exaggerated stereotypes that the left is too stupid to pick up on, revealed that the company had begun featuring Bud Light cans featuring his face, which Mulvaney said was his "most prized possession." The ad campaign includes a video of Mulvaney drinking Bud Light in a bathtub."
Full article, of freaks, weirdos and degenerates, with videos, is here:

Look around, look at everything and everybody, then ask yourself, as I do, as a society could we possibly go any lower? Incredibly, the answer seems yes, and we're determined to do it, aren't we? "Insane" is too kind a word... - CP

"The Most Beautiful Lies..."

"Memories and feelings of nostalgia are nothing more than cruelties; they are the most beautiful lies we will ever convince ourselves to believe. We chase the false hope so fiercely that we nearly push ourselves past the edges of our sanity, longing for that which can never be in our possession again. These edges are blurred by our regrets and desperation all throughout the darkest hours of the night, until finally we are set free from the illusions and the ghosts of our past with the rising of the sun... and we are changed in some small, yet permanent way."
- Margaret E. Rise

Bill Bonner, "That's Capitalism, Folks!"

"That's Capitalism, Folks!"
What Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Jon Stewart
 and other rich politico-celebs just don't understand...
by Bill Bonner and Joel Bowman

"Something seems to have broken with capitalism."
~ Albert Edwards
"Something seems to have broken with Albert Edwards."
~ Bill Bonner

San Martin, Argentina - "You can tell when we are in an economic crisis. The influencers begin to tell us how ‘capitalism’ has failed… Yes, the ‘system’ that made us so wealthy has now reached the end of the line…no more juice in that lemon, they say. Now, it’s time for the experts to take over. Here’s Futurism: "Economist Warns That Capitalism May Be Ending." The world is changing, and it's getting more expensive - while wages, as most working people have witnessed in their own lives, have failed to keep up with the rising cost of pretty much everything. According to Albert Edwards, a global strategist at the 159-year-old bank Société Générale, this phenomenon is the result of what he calls "greedflation."

The latest release of US whole economy profits data delivered another shock to my weakening confidence that the capitalist system is working as it should," the note continues. "Companies have used first the pandemic and then the war in Ukraine to 'profiteer.'"

In other words, in Edwards' eyes, the fact that Fortune 500 companies are raking in normal — if not record-breaking — profits in the wake of pandemic and war-induced geopolitical and economic stress, while price-gouging consumers as working-class wages stay the same, isn't exactly a sustainable way for people to live…”No! Unbelievable! Those greedy SOBs; they raise prices…when they can get away with it!

Lower Salaries Everyday: Well, thank God, other segments of the population are more public spirited…more self-sacrificing…and more civic minded. You don’t see them trying to take advantage of a bad situation, do you? Take the long-suffering consumer, for example. He realizes that producers are always trapped between resource costs, labor, taxes, and interest rates. So, the consumer always wants to pay full price so that producers’ profit margins can be maintained, right? No discount shopping for him.

And what about laborers? Employees? You don’t see them asking for wage increases…just because they know there’s a shortage of skilled labor. Un un. They happily stick with their low salaries so employers can keep prices as low as possible for consumers.

But what’s this? Rutgers already charges out-of-state students $33,963 per year. Fortune: "Around 9,000 Rutgers employees are going on strike for the first time in 275 years." "Classes were still being held at Rutgers as picket lines were set up at the school’s campuses in New Brunswick/Piscataway, Newark and Camden. Union officials had decided Sunday night to go on strike, citing a stalemate in contract talks that have been ongoing since July. Faculty members had voted overwhelmingly in favor of authorizing a strike last month." Guess tuition is going up.

Good for the Goose: But if you’re looking for examples of civic virtue, you can’t ignore the public servants, who never ask for anything save a little ‘thank you,’ from time to time. Would they consider increases to their wages or the pensions…knowing that governments are already a little short of cash? Of course not. Greed is uniquely concentrated in the corporate sector. And if businesses weren’t so greedy, prices would be much lower, right?

We have that on the authority of at least two of the peoples’ most selfless representatives: Bernie Sanders (net worth, $3 million) and Elizabeth Warren (net worth $67 million). Also, Jon Stewart (net worth, $120 million) should be mentioned for his star performance in grilling ex-Treasury Secretary Larry Summers. All of them believe their own salaries and profits are merely reflections of their worth…they deserve the money. Amounts earned by corporate management and stockholders, on the other hand, are just evidence of ‘obscene greed.’

What troubles us is this: Stewart, Sanders, and Warren are paid to act like fools, Albert Edwards is not. He’s a serious financial analyst. What’s gone wrong with him? He must know that ‘capitalism’ is no ‘system.’ It’s merely what happens when greedy people – consumers, workers and owners – work out whatever arrangements they can. It is infinitely adaptable. Workers and owners could agree to split whatever gains they get, for example, as we do with our sharecroppers. We provide the land, the tractors, the fuel, the fertilizer and the marketing...they provide the labor. We share the gains equally. Is that capitalism? Yes, of course it is.

Or, a capitalist enterprise could perfectly well agree to pass part of its margins to shoppers – as some co-ops and consumer clubs do. That’s capitalism too. So, too, could a group of people get together and agree to live in teepees, to share wives and incomes, to make glass beads and sell them to tourists. That’s capitalism.

Blind Capitalism: Capitalism doesn’t care how much things cost. It doesn’t care who works for whom…what they do…how they do it…or how they share the profits and losses. It only cares that, whatever they do…they do so voluntarily. That is really the only difference. Capitalism is win-win. Other ‘systems’ are win-lose, where one group uses its police power…or robbery…or treachery…to get what it wants.

And what about ‘employee-owned’ businesses? They’re capitalist too. And we presume that since employees are not greedy, they must offer the best products at the lowest possible margins. No price gouging from them! So, it is just a matter of time until they have competed away exorbitant corporate profits…charmed customers with their lower prices…and become the dominant form of business in the USA, right?

Wrong. All small, family businesses are ‘employee owned.’ Many large businesses are employee-owned too. And they’re just as greedy as everyone else. Because we are all subject to the same emotions and compulsions – greed, power, ambition, fame, vanity – workers, investors, managers, politicians, opinion mongers…everyone.

And ‘capitalism’ is just a word used to describe what happens when people – with all the faults and foibles – are left alone to get the job done. They work out all sorts of different arrangements. Some work better than others. But the alternatives – statism, central planning, various forms of state-sponsored collectivism – all require the use of force. They give the ‘experts’ more power and money.

But ‘The People’ are always poorer. Tomorrow we’ll look at what really went wrong with ‘capitalism.’"

Joel’s Note: "It’s not hard to see why Edward’s simple “Greedflation” portmanteau would play well with clowns like Warren, Sanders, Stewart et al. Even as the wonders of the modern, digital age promised us a bountiful cornucopia of abundance, by many measures, workers are worse off today than they were ten, twenty even forty years ago. For one thing, real wages (adjusted for inflation) have gone nowhere for almost a generation. And for the past 24 months, they’ve actually been going backwards. BPR’s Macro Analyst, Dan Denning, sent this chart from his bolthole up in Laramie, Wyoming. It comes courtesy of the bi-partisan Congressional Budget Office…
Click image for larger size.
Meanwhile, as wages stagnate, inflation remains stubbornly in “non-transitory mode.” Yesterday’s core (ex-food and energy) Consumer Price Index print showed an increase of 5.6% over the past 12 months, before seasonal adjustment, up another 0.4% for March. Food and shelter – you know, the base of Maslow’s ‘hierarchy of needs’ pyramid – were up 8.5 and 8.3% over the past year.

Hmm… do we reckon that might have something to do with people’s general level of frustration? “This is what we've called 'structural inflation,’” Dan reminds us, “where inflation never returns to the Fed's target of 2% and people have to learn to live with it and adapt to it. Gone are cheap goods from China, cheap credit, and cheap energy. Here to stay are higher prices for food, energy, rent, and services. The supply chain got broken. It will not be built back better. Things will stay expensive.”

In not-unrelated news, life expectancy in the US also fell for the past two years (2020-2022), from 77 years to 76.1 years. According to a study by Harvard University, it was the largest two-year drop in… oh, a century. Read the report: "[T]hose with the shortest life expectancies in the US tend to have the most poverty, face the most food insecurity, and have less or no access to healthcare, all factors that contribute to lower life expectancy."

For this and so, so much more, you can thank your government’s promise to you: Higher prices everyday."

"How It Really Is And Will Be"

 

"Humanity..."

"Humanity, I love you because when you're down
and out you pawn your intelligence for a drink." 
 - e.e. cummings

"Ukraine Firepower v Russian Firepower w/Scott Ritter"

Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom, 4/12/23
"Ukraine Firepower v Russian Firepower w/Scott Ritter"
Comments here:

"Rent is Coming Due"

Full screen recommended.
Dan, I Allegedly 4/12/23
"Rent is Coming Due"
"It is estimated that there are over $6 trillion in commercial real estate loans in the United States. The problem is that trillions of dollars is about to come due over the next few years."
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"Major Price Increases At Walmart! This Is Getting Ridiculous! What Now?"

Full screen recommended.
Adventures With Danny, 4/12/23
"Major Price Increases At Walmart! 
This Is Getting Ridiculous! What Now?"
"In today's vlog we are at Walmart and are noticing massive price increases! We are here to check out skyrocketing prices, and a lot of empty shelves! It's getting rough out here as stores seem to be struggling with getting products!"
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"Russia Just Hacked NATO; F-22s On Alert; N. Korea Dark For 5 Days; Global Nuke Drills"

Full screen recommended.
Canadian Prepper, 4/11/23
"Russia Just Hacked NATO; F-22s On Alert; 
N. Korea Dark For 5 Days; Global Nuke Drills"
Comments here:

"Putin Army of 300,000 to 700,000"

Scott Ritter, 4/12/23
"Putin Army of 300,000 to 700,000"
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Tuesday, April 11, 2023

"Walmart Warning! Brace For Impact - Don't Worry About Recession, Worry About A Depression"

Jeremiah Babe, 4/11/23
"Walmart Warning! Brace For Impact - 
Don't Worry About Recession, Worry About A Depression"
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Gerald Celente, "Danger Ahead, Banking Sector Crisis"

Gerald Celente, 4/11/23
Strong language alert!
"Danger Ahead, Banking Sector Crisis"
"The Trends Journal is a weekly magazine analyzing global current events forming future trends. Our mission is to present facts and truth over fear and propaganda to help subscribers prepare for what’s next in these increasingly turbulent times."
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Musical Interlude: Dan Fogelberg, "Nether Lands"

Full screen recommended.
Dan Fogelberg, "Nether Lands"

"A Look to the Heavens"

“This colorful skyscape features the dusty, reddish glow of Sharpless catalog emission region Sh2-155, the Cave Nebula. About 2,400 light-years away, the scene lies along the plane of our Milky Way Galaxy toward the royal northern constellation of Cepheus.
Astronomical explorations of the region reveal that it has formed at the boundary of the massive Cepheus B molecular cloud and the hot, young, blue stars of the Cepheus OB 3 association. The bright rim of ionized hydrogen gas is energized by the radiation from the hot stars, dominated by the bright blue O-type star above picture center. Radiation driven ionization fronts are likely triggering collapsing cores and new star formation within. Appropriately sized for a stellar nursery, the cosmic cave is over 10 light-years across.”

"Assumptions..."

 

"Housing Market Faces Nightmare Scenario As Sales Collapse 74 Percent"

Full screen recommended.
"Housing Market Faces Nightmare Scenario 
As Sales Collapse 74 Percent"
By Epic Economist

"Anxiety over a housing market disaster continues to rise all over America. Home sales are falling precipitously, double-digit price drops are already being reported in many major U.S. cities, and foreclosure rates are going through the roof right now. All that is thanks to the spike in mortgage rates that is causing an affordability crisis far worse than economists anticipated. Demand is cratering faster than ever before, which led a famous Big Short investor to warn about a “danger that households could come to lose a significant proportion of their property value overnight again”.

Existing home sales have gone down consistently every month for an entire year. The decline was fueled by recession fears, and more recently, by a backdrop of bank collapse and financial turmoil. It’s all creating a negative feedback loop between buyers and sellers, says Selma Hepp, chief economist at CoreLogic. Now, with rates hoovering 7% again, the cracks are growing wider in the U.S. housing market. In fact, Black Knight data shows that Between March 2021 and March 2023, total mortgage originations fell by 83%. Refinancings - which were more than 70% of the total at the beginning of the period - dropped by a stunning 95%, as soaring interest rates killed demand.

In March, U.S. home prices logged a ninth-straight monthly decline. In the eight months from June 2022 to February 2023, existing home prices fell 12%, from $413,800 to $363,000. S&P Market Intelligence data shows that 19 of the 25 major cities it analyzes registered a decline in home prices this year.

Currently, only 18% of homes listed for sale are affordable for the typical U.S. household, meaning that a buyer’s monthly mortgage payment is 30% or less of the buyer’s income.The last time the U.S. housing market looked so frothy was back in 2005 to 2007. Then home values crashed, with disastrous consequences, Seeking Alpha’s financial analyst Logan Kane highlights. The speed of the deterioration in fundamentals could be catastrophic. Conditions are becoming so extreme that even Goldman Sachs is admitting that 4 major cities are already facing a 2008-style housing crash, according to a note to clients obtained by the New York Post.

Meanwhile, ATTOM found that foreclosure filings rose by 36% in February. For 21 consecutive months, the rate of foreclosures has been surging all across the U.S. Over the past twelve months, there was a 115% increase in foreclosure fillings and a 67% rise in the number of properties repossessed by lenders. Adding fuel to the fire, in the last week of March, an $18.7 billion decline in real estate loans was recorded, but that was just a continuation of the $19.2 billion drop in the previous week. Combining the two weeks adds to a $37.8 billion plunge in real estate loans in the second half of March.

This is a very worrying number because it is the biggest since the collapse of the country’s then-second largest subprime lender, New Century Financial in March 2007 was the catalyst that ushered in the global financial crisis, and within the year led to the collapse of Bear Stearns and, eventually, Lehman. The pressure is on. It’s safe to say that the U.S. housing bubble won’t live for another year, and the coming months will be decisive for the market as prices continue to collapse. We have never seen so many similarities to the catastrophic event that rocked the world’s financial markets and plunged us into the worst economic recession in history. Only this time, we’re headed to an ever bigger downturn that will have disastrous consequences for all of us."
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Bill Bonner, "Under Attack!

"Under Attack!
Kamikaze dive bombers swarm the Calchaqui Valley"
By Bill Bonner

San Martin, Argentina - "Yesterday, for no apparent reason, our computer stopped working. It wouldn’t turn on. We pressed the button…we held it down…we punched it. We prayed. We rocked the computer back and forth…caressed it tenderly…then gave it a whack and made sure it was fully charged…But what could we do?

The tools of the modern age are black boxes. You can’t ‘open the hood.’ You can’t tinker with a silicon chip. You can’t do anything. If they don’t work, you are SOL. Back in the ‘60s…if something didn’t work, we would take it apart. In old cars, for example, you could disassemble the carburetor, clean it…and put it back together. So too, the ‘points’ could be bent a little…cleaned with steel wool…and returned to service. Spark plugs, same story. And you could take one out and see for yourself if it was sparking.

Then, you checked to see if the fuel was getting to the engine. Was the fuel pump working? It was easy to find out…just disconnect the fuel line and turn the key…the fuel should come spurting out. Were the filters clogged? Just take a look. If you had fuel…and you had spark…something was going to happen.

No Spark: But yesterday, we had neither fuel nor spark. Well, we didn’t know what we didn’t have; it just didn’t work…and there was nothing we could do about it. The tech fates were clearly against us. For not only did our computer refuse to do its job, the airwaves were suddenly empty too. No signal. No signal, no phone. No phone, no internet. No internet, no contact with the outside world. We had been ‘canceled,’…disappeared from active life on the worldwide web.

What could we do, but rejoin the real world? We went for a walk. Antonio was feeding the calves. The ‘chango’ (young man) who usually does the job was occupied with the cattle on the other side of the river. Antonio, the foreman, had to do it himself.
The rolls of hay are tightly wound. So, you have to dig at them with a pitchfork to break some of the hay off, then you put it into the concrete trough. It’s a lot of work, and it must be done twice a day.

“Why not just put the bales in the corral and let the calves eat them that way; that’s what we do with the horses?” “The vet says it is better this way. We don’t want the calves using their energy to fight with each other. The strong ones will circle the bales and the weak ones – the ones that need it – won’t get anything to eat. They gain almost a kilogram per day…if we feed them right. And then we can sell them.”

We continued our walk…kicking up dust…over a couple of small hills… picking our way through the thorns…and then, on a bluff not far from the main house, overlooking the valley, was what we were looking for -- the wreck of a modest dwelling.

We finished the little chapel on this visit. All that remained was the floor. And for that, we made a cross of super-hard quebracho…laid down a border of stones, set on end…and then filled in with flattish stones in cement. The effect is not as elegant as we had hoped. The sand was too coarse and left us with a gritty, uneven surface. No matter. We will either get to like it…or put a thin level of pure cement on top, profiled around the stones, next year. But now, we are ready for another project.

Sleeping Rough: When the family came this year, we were a little short on space. One couple…two sons and a grandson…a family friend – all came at the same time. And the nearest hotel is a half-an-hour away. If any more had come they would have had to sleep outside. So…on to the bunkhouse!
Bunkhouse?
We went to explore. Trashy. Holes in the roof. Bent beams. Crumbling adobe bricks. Dirt floor. Perfect! A nice place to turn into a bunkhouse for grandchildren. We have 7 of them so far…with another scheduled for the 21st of April. (Today, we begin our trip back to Dublin to lend support to the family.)

Poking our head into one of the rooms, we spied a huge, black growth on the wall. We were still wondering what it was…moving closer to the blob, which was about the size of a kitchen stove… when we realized we had made a mistake. There was a loud buzzing noise…and we were soon under attack. The bees came at us like kamikaze dive bombers…swooping down…grazing our cheeks and then circling around for another attack.

In a flash, we were on the move…followed by a swarm of bees. We flashed across the yard, like the British at the Battle of New Orleans, we ran through the briars and we ran through the brambles… using our hat as a rear guard, swatting at them to keep them away. We dove between two lines of wire fencing and then ran down the hill.

The bees kept after us; we remembered that we kept an emergency shot of epinephrine in the pickup. But none stung. It was as if they were just trying to run us off…to warn us not to come back. We had run about 50 yards, swinging at the air around us…until the last bee finally called off the chase.

First order of business: as soon as the temperature drops…the bees have to go. Then, when we return next March, we can get to work…preferably with at least one sturdy grandchild to help. We’ll keep it simple. Rustic. Authentic. Two bunks in one room. Two in the other. Stone floors. Unclad adobe walls. Cane on the roof, covered by mud. A bathroom. A little solar electricity. Piece of cake. But that is for next year.

With heavy hearts, we leave the valley this morning. Its bright sun…its eccentrics…its challenges – we will miss them all. We are headed for Buenos Aires. There, we will meet our old friend, Doug Casey, before leaving for Dublin. Stay tuned..."

The Daily "Near You?"

Palmer, Alaska, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

"Something Like Reverence..."

"When I see the blind and wretched state of men, when I survey the whole universe in its deadness, and man left to himself with no light, as though lost in this corner of the universe without knowing who put him there, what he has to do, or what will become of him when he dies, incapable of knowing anything, I am moved to terror, like a man transported in his sleep to some terrifying desert island, who wakes up quite lost, with no means of escape. Then I marvel that so wretched a state does not drive people to despair." 
- Blaise Pascal

Ahh, but it does...
“When the pain of leaving behind what we know outweighs the pain of embracing it, or when the power we face is overwhelming and neither flight nor fight will save us, there may be salvation in sitting still. And if salvation is impossible, then at least before perishing we may gain a clearer vision of where we are. By sitting still I do not mean the paralysis of dread, like that of a rabbit frozen beneath the dive of a hawk. I mean something like reverence, a respectful waiting, a deep attentiveness to forces much greater than our own.”
- Scott Russell Sanders

Folks, I fear our time for such reverence is here.
God help us, God help us all...

"There Are Times"

"There Are Times"

"There are times the lies get to me, times I weary of battering myself against the obstacles of denial, hatred, fear-induced stupidity, and greed, times I want to curl up and fall into the problem, let it sweep me away as it so obviously sweeps away so many others. I remember a spring day a few years ago, a spring day much like this one, only a little more sun, and warmer. I sat on this same couch and looked out this same window at the same ponderosa pine.

I was frightened, and lonely. Frightened of a future that looks dark, and darker with each passing species, and lonely because for every person actively trying to shut down the timber industry, stop abuse, or otherwise bring about a sustainable and sane way of living, there are thousands who are helping along this not-so-slow train to oblivion. I began to cry.

The tears stopped soon enough. I realized we are not so outnumbered. We are not outnumbered at all. I looked closely, and saw one blade of wild grass, and another. I saw the sun reflecting bright off the needles of pine trees, and I heard the hum of flies. I saw ants walking single file through the dust, and a spider crawling toward the corner of the ceiling. I knew in that moment, as I've known ever since, that it is no longer possible to be lonely, that every creature on earth is pulling in the direction of life- every grasshopper, every struggling salmon, every unhatched chick, every cell of every blue whale - and it is only our own fear that sets us apart. All humans, too, are struggling to be sane, struggling to live in harmony with our surroundings, but it's really hard to let go. And so we lie, destroy, rape, murder, experiment, and extirpate, all to control this wildly uncontrollable symphony, and failing that, to destroy it."
- Derrick Jensen,
"A Language Older Than Words"