Wednesday, March 17, 2021

"People Of Privilege..."

"People of privilege will always risk their complete destruction rather than surrender any material part of their advantage. Intellectual myopia, often called stupidity, is no doubt a reason. But the privileged also feel that their privileges, however egregious they may seem to others, are a solemn, basic, God-given right."
- John Kenneth Galbraith

 “You know, I've been around the ruling class all my life, 
and I've been quite aware of their total contempt for the people."
- Gore Vidal

"A Big Con"

"A Big Con"
By Bill Bonner

YOUGHAL, IRELAND – "Last Thursday must go down in history as one of America’s most important WTF days. That’s when the American Rescue Plan became law. It is so remarkable… so flat-out preposterous… so clearly a big step towards America’s rendezvous with disaster…And yet… the president and all his minions are fanning out… explaining… justifying… excusing… taking credit… and claiming paternity…of a monster.

Bloomberg: "The White House wants to underscore to Americans that the legislation Biden championed – and was only supported by Democrats – is central to jump-starting an economy battered by a year of lockdowns and job losses set off by the coronavirus…

“What the president recognizes from his own experience is that when it’s a package of this size, you know, people don’t always know how they benefit and what it means for them,” White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki told reporters Monday. “He believes the American people deserve every high-level person from our administration out there explaining, discussing, taking input.”

We sympathize with anyone trying to explain it. We couldn’t do it. It makes no sense… well, not in any other terms but old-fashioned political payola and economic folderol. But even in those sordid terms, it is a brain buster. The election is over. This is not the time to buy votes. This is the time to stab naïve voters in the back by not keeping your campaign promises. After all, politicians make absurd promises to get elected; few are fool enough to follow through on them.

But here is Joe Biden going coast-to-coast to remind voters that he actually did the dumbest thing he said he was going to do – passing one of the most ruinous laws in U.S. history… wasting 10% of U.S. GDP… one half of annual tax collections… in one reckless giveaway.He should shut up and let the money do the talking. Because the more you try to make sense of it, the more senseless it becomes.

Conversation With the Government: Just try to imagine an earnest White House aide gamely trying to explain it to an alert citizen.

“Look, our $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan… it gives you dollars,” the admin guy might say. “You can use them to buy stuff. Then, the economy will boom. It will give you a fighting chance.”
“A ‘fighting chance’ of what? You sure you’re not just pulling a fast one…? You know, advertising that you’re the party that hands out free money?”
“No… no… of course not.”
“You talk about the money you’re giving ordinary people like me, but doesn’t most of the money go to special interests with lobbyists in Washington?”
“Well, we tried to address many of the problems in our country… so, we’ve designated certain sums for the organizations and groups that need it.”
“You mean, like bailing out union pension systems… and Amtrak? Isn’t that what you call a ‘boondoggle’?”
“That would be a very cynical way to look at it… Let’s focus on what’s really going on here. We’re giving every eligible America $1,400.”
“Yeah… and I hear there are tax credits, too… Together, they’re gonna be more than some families earn by working. You’re gonna change lives. But not necessarily for the better. I read in the paper that this is supposed to reduce child poverty by a third. But I don’t see how buying a bigger screen TV, more liquor, or a new car helps the kids. They need stable, honest families… not families that win the lottery.”

Stimulate the Economy: “Well, it stimulates the economy… so there are more jobs… and more goods and services available.”
“So people go out and spend this money, right? And that gets the economy all excited, right? But what happens when the free money stops? Doesn’t that get them un-excited? Won’t you have to keep giving people free money… or all that excitement will come to an end, and the economy will be depressed again?”
“No, no. Once we have stimulated the economy, it will grow on its own.”
“But didn’t you stimulate it last year? And from what I heard, your stimulus was five times as much as the actual loss from the COVID-19 shutdowns.”
“We are helping families through this difficult period.”
“That sounds good. But I see people earning more than $100,000 a year. And they didn’t lose their jobs… they didn’t suffer at all from the COVID-19 crisis. They don’t need the money. What sense does it make to send them checks? If they’ve got a few kids, between last year’s giveaways and this one, they could get something like $20,000. Doesn’t seem fair. Doesn’t seem very smart, either. Besides, $1.9 trillion is a lot of money. Isn’t that about half of your tax receipts… your income?”
“Well, yes…”
“You’re giving it away in one fell swoop? If I took half my income and blew it on a wild weekend in Las Vegas, I wouldn’t be doing my family much good.”
“You don’t understand. This will allow you to increase spending… it will be good for the economy.”

Better Off… Broke? “Everybody is already spending like crazy, thanks to all that money you gave us last year. They say consumer spending is rising faster than any time in the last 10 years. Is that a good thing? Maybe I’ve got it backwards, but I thought it was saving and investing that made people better off. I know in my own case, if I save and invest money, I’ll have more money… but if I spend it, I end up with less. This ain’t exactly rocket surgery. And by the way… Where did you get all that money? I thought you fellows were broke. Some guy on the news said your deficit is going to be around $3.3 trillion. That would be like me earning $60,000 and spending $100,000, wouldn’t it? I couldn’t do that for long. I’d lose my house, my car, my business…”
“Yes, but the government can never go broke.”
“Why’s that?”
“Because we can always create more money.”
“How do you do that?”
“Well, dollars represent real wealth – because you can use them to buy things. We have the power to create all the dollars we want. And they’re just like the dollars in your wallet.”
“But I earned those dollars in my wallet. I put in septic systems for a living. What did you do for your dollars?”
“You don’t understand. We are the government. We don’t have to do anything.”
“I know what my dollars are worth. I do the work myself. Now people can flush their toilets without worrying about them backing up or overflowing. That’s worth something. But if you don’t do anything to get your dollars… what are they worth? I mean, what have you got to show for them? Where’s the beef?”

Trust the Government: “I’m afraid we’re getting a little lost in the details of a complex, modern monetary system. Trust me, I’m from the government and I’m here to tell you that these new dollars are every bit as valuable as the old ones in your wallet.”
“Hmmm… and you can create as many as you want?”
“Yes…”
“Well, why stop with a measly $1,400? Why not $2,000… or $20,000? And if you were right – that you can make people better off just by printing up more money – why didn’t someone think of this sooner? The printing press was invented by Johannes Gutenberg in 1440. That’s almost 600 years ago. Since then, a lot of governments have tried printing up money to get themselves out of a jamb. I’ve never heard of any of them that made a success of it. I’m gonna level with you. This whole thing smells like a con job to me.”

Happy Saint Patrick's Day! 2021

Happy Saint Patrick's Day! 2021

"How It Really Is"

"What You Are Pursuing..."

“If the sun is shining, stand in it – yes, yes, yes. Happy times are great, but happy times pass – they have to – because time passes. The pursuit of happiness is more elusive; it is life-long, and it is not goal-centered. What you are pursuing is meaning – a meaningful life… There are times when it will go so wrong that you will be barely alive, and times when you realize that being barely alive, on your own terms, is better than living a bloated half-life on someone else’s terms.”
- Jeanette Winterson

Greg Hunter, “'The Dimming': A Must Watch New Documentary by Dane Wigington"

“'The Dimming':
 A Must Watch New Documentary by Dane Wigington"
By Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com

"A few weeks ago, I interviewed Dane Wigington, geoengineering researcher and founder of GeoEngineeringWatch.org, about what he calls “Weather Warfare.” One of the topics was the heavy snow in Texas last month and freezing temperatures during that time that were 30 degrees colder than the North Pole. Wigington says it looks like more Weather Warfare took place recently around Denver, Colorado. It’s all part of man-made climate control called geoengineering.

Wigington is out with a new documentary that cost $100,000 to put together called “The Dimming.” Please take time to watch it. I am embedding it below from Wigington’s YouTube channel. Part of Wigington’s write up is below:

“Global climate engineering operations are a reality. Atmospheric particle testing conducted by GeoengineeringWatch.org has now proven that the lingering, spreading jet aircraft trails, so commonly visible in our skies, are not just condensation as we have officially been told. Over 75 years ago global powers committed the planet and populations to a climate engineering experiment from which there is no return. The intentional dimming of direct sunlight by aircraft dispersed particles, a form of global warming mitigation known as “Solar Radiation Management”, has and is causing catastrophic damage to the planet’s life support systems. The highly toxic fallout from the ongoing geoengineering operations is also inflicting unquantifiable damage to human health. Why aren’t scientists or official sources disclosing the ongoing climate engineering operations? Who is responsible for carrying out these programs? What will the consequences be if geoengineering/solar radiation management operations are allowed to continue? "The Dimming" documentary will provide answers to these questions and many more. Thank you for viewing and for notifying others of "The Dimming"film release.”

Greg Hunter of USAWatchdog.com is proud to promote and 
share the new documentary by Dane Wigington called “The Dimming.” Enjoy.
There is vast and totally free information on GeoEngineeringWatch.org.

Gregory Mannarino, AM 3/17/21: “Today, All Eyes On The FED; Must Know Updates”

Gregory Mannarino, AM 3/17/21:
“Today, All Eyes On The FED; Must Know Updates”

Tuesday, March 16, 2021

Musical Interlude: Josh Groban, "You Are Loved (Don't Give Up)"

Full screen!
Josh Groban,
 "You Are Loved (Don't Give Up)"

"A Look to the Heavens"

“Will our Sun look like this one day? The Helix Nebula is one of brightest and closest examples of a planetary nebula, a gas cloud created at the end of the life of a Sun-like star. The outer gasses of the star expelled into space appear from our vantage point as if we are looking down a helix. The remnant central stellar core, destined to become a white dwarf star, glows in light so energetic it causes the previously expelled gas to fluoresce.
The Helix Nebula, given a technical designation of NGC 7293, lies about 700 light-years away towards the constellation of the Water Bearer (Aquarius) and spans about 2.5 light-years. The above picture was taken three colors on infrared light by the 4.1-meter Visible and Infrared Survey Telescope for Astronomy (VISTA) at the European Southern Observatory’s Paranal Observatory in Chile. A close-up of the inner edge of the Helix Nebula shows complex gas knots of unknown origin.”

Chet Raymo, “We Are Such Stuff…”

“We Are Such Stuff…”
by Chet Raymo

“Be not afeard; the isle is full of noises,
Sounds and sweet airs, that give delight, and hurt not.
Sometimes a thousand twangling instruments
Will hum about mine ears, and sometimes voices,
That, if I then had wak’d after long sleep,
Will make me sleep again.”

“Caliban is talking to Stephano and Trinculo in Shakespeare’s “Tempest”, telling them not to be “afeard” of the mysterious place they find themselves, an island seemingly beset with magic, strangeness, ineffable presences. And you and I, and, yes, all of us, find ourselves inexplicably thrown up on this island that is the world, and we too, if we are attentive, hear the strange music, the sounds and sweet airs, that seems to come from nowhere and everywhere

No, I’m not talking about the usual ubiquitous clamor, the roar of internal combustion, the blare of the television, the beeping of mobile phones. I’m not talking about the Limbaughs and the Becks, the televangelists, the blathering politicians, the twitterers and bloggers (including this one). I’m not even talking about the exquisite music of Mozart, the poetry of Wordsworth, the theories of Einstein.

I’m talking about the sounds we hear in utter silence, in moments of repose, in the heart of darkness, when we are a little bit afraid, disoriented, off kilter. A strange music that comes from beyond our knowing, a felt meaning. You’ve heard it. I’ve heard it. You’d have to be deaf not to have heard it.

Where we differ is how we describe it. Mostly, we give its source a name. Angels. Fairies. Gods or demons. Yahweh. Allah. Father, Son and Holy Spirit. Nixies, E.T.s, shades and shadows. Naiads, dryads, Ariel and Puck. A host of invisible creatures who are, in one way or another, images of ourselves. And, in naming, we are a little less afraid.

And some of us are just content to listen, to take delight. Having woken to the inexplicable mystery of the world - the sounds and sweet airs that give delight and hurt not - we let the music lull us back into a sweet slumber, a kind of dreamless dream, a reverie. Does reverie share a deep root with reverence? I don’t know.”

"Tell Me..."

“Life passes like a flash of lightning, whose blaze barely lasts long enough to see. While the earth and sky stand still forever, how swiftly changing time flies across man’s face. O you who sit over your full cup and do not drink, tell me – for whom are you still waiting?”
- Hermann Hesse

Must Watch! "Reality Will Hit The Masses In The Mouth; Zombie Economy; Debt Addict"

Jeremiah Babe,
"Reality Will Hit The Masses In The Mouth; 
Zombie Economy; Debt Addict"
Related:
"One glance at this chart explains why the status quo is
locked on "run to fail" and will implode in a spectacular 
collapse of the unsustainable debt super-nova..."
We do not...

"Alas!"

"Alas! regardless of their doom,
The little victims play;
No sense have they of ills to come,
Nor care beyond to-day..."
- Thomas Gray,
“We are in the process of creating what deserves to be called the idiot culture. Not an idiot sub-culture, which every society has bubbling beneath the surface and which can provide harmless fun; but the culture itself. For the first time, the weird and the stupid and the coarse are becoming our cultural norm, even our cultural ideal.”
- Carl Bernstein
Oh, they will care, very much, and very soon...

Gerald Celente, "Trends Journal": "COVID-19 WAR, Our Freedom or Power, Money, and Control"

Gerald Celente, "Trends Journal": 
"COVID-19 WAR, Our Freedom or Power, Money, and Control"

"The Trends Journal is a weekly magazine analyzing global current events forming future trends. Our mission is to present Facts and Truth over hype and propaganda to help subscribers prepare for What’s Next in the increasingly turbulent times ahead."

"The Everything Bubble Burst! Stocks, Housing And Bond Markets Will Collapse Simultaneously"

Full screen recommended.
"The Everything Bubble Burst! Stocks, 
Housing And Bond Markets Will Collapse Simultaneously"
by Epic Economist

"The Everything Bubble never seemed so close to explode. The stock market crash, the housing bubble burst, and the bond price collapse are likely to happen simultaneously, causing an astronomical blowup that will certainly trigger the next financial crisis. Throughout the past year, the Federal Reserve's monetary policies managed to expand multiple bubbles at the same time. Stocks, real estate, bonds, and all sorts of speculative investments have all experienced historic inflations. Now, all of these bubbles are at the brink of deflation, and several experts are sounding the alarm for the monetary disaster the United States is about to face - one, they say, that will lead us to the Great Depression that was kicked off after the deep recession of 2008. That's what we're going to expose in this video.

Over the past year, the flood of liquidity and ultra-accommodative monetary policies has simultaneously inflated several bubbles across the stock, real estate and bond markets. Consequently, the result of cheap debt and an enormous amount of liquidity is the boom of household net worth as a percentage of disposable personal income.

On the other hand, while it may seem that Americans are getting more wealthy, the truth is that only a small portion of the population has benefited from these policies. That is to say, by trying to forge a wealth expansion, the Fed ended up exacerbating the wealth inequality gap, making the top 10% even richer while the majority of the population remained financially vulnerable. And this unbalanced framework is the very foundation that will lead to the deflation of the Everything Bubble.

Once again America has entered into a housing bubble territory as the persistent suppression of borrowing costs, liberal lending policies, and the constant liquidity injections have all contributed to a historical increase in home prices. A lean inventory and a mass migration trend have also made home price appreciation eclipse long-term price trends. But, of course, the current housing rally has been primarily driven by record-low mortgage rates. Therefore, all of that monetary support is about to be reversed by rising interest rates. Considering prices are remarkably up and the demand remains high, very soon there will be a rush to sell to a diminishing group of buyers. The logic of the housing bubble burst is pretty simple: given the unsustainable rise in prices, the market will be forced to a correction, and the resulting price decline will likely be equally as sharp.

When it comes to the bond market, higher interest rates pose an even bigger threat. Since yields represent a function of price, there is an inverse correlation between prices and interest rates. Thus, higher rates are translated into lower bond prices. In this case, bond price deflation will occur as a rapid increase in both rates and defaults is very likely to happen at a greater extent and at a much faster pace than the Federal Reserve can absorb.

Furthermore, it's in the stock market that things get a lot trickier. During a “market frenzy,” as the one we're currently witnessing, investors have to continuously overpay for assets to keep prices climbing higher. Just as in the real estate and the bond market, the problem starts when interest rates start to rise. In view of the fact that the frantic rally in corporate leverage is being supported by weak economic growth, higher rates will severely impact corporate profitability and financing activities.

Countless warnings of an imminent stock market crash are being echoed by veteran investors and financial strategists. Economist and financial analyst Harry Dent has recently alerted that stock prices could face an 80% crash. It could be “the biggest crash ever,” and it will be “the initiation of the next big economic downturn. A huge collapse is coming. This thing will be hell,” Dent predicts.

When asked why this downturn will be so harsh, the analyst stressed that "the only reason the 2008 downturn didn’t turn into a depression was that they turned on the monetary spigots so hard and blew us out of it, which kept the bubble going. They kept printing money and put it off. Now we’ve got a bigger bubble. This downturn is going to be the Great Depression that the deep recession of 2008 was falling into."

The failure to address the collateral effects of ongoing monetary policies, given a decade of experience of mounting debt and deficits obstructing organic growth, is extremely troublesome. The U.S. economy is literally on eternal life support. And the latest events clearly show the whole system is addicted to fiscal and monetary stimulus. And as the economy is facing a relentless collapse, by extension, the stock market is approaching the end-game."

“An Incredibly Important Turning Point”

“An Incredibly Important Turning Point”
by Brian Maher

"Fact #1: Reams of stocks have been trading at 52-week highs.
Fact #2: Reams of stocks have been trading at 52-week lows.

Not since 1984 - the year not the book - has the stock market manifested such violent schizophrenia. Sentiment Trader: "[We recently saw] the biggest split in almost 40 years. There were so many stocks hitting 52-week highs AND 52-week lows on both the NYSE and Nasdaq that it registered the 2nd most extreme reading since 1984."

Thus we find the stock market a riot of warring signals…A traffic light flashing red and green both. A road sign arrowing in opposing directions. A compass giving north and south indications. In brief, a market convulsed by schizophrenic fevers.

Mr. Larry McDonald, he of "The Bear Traps Report", gulps, "we are sitting on an incredibly important turning point." Which way will its mood swing next? To despair… or rapture?History’s answer, anon. First, a look in on the psychiatric ward…

Anxious Markets: The Dow Jones gave back 127 points today. And so a winning, seven-day run ends… as must all things good. The S&P lost six points while the Nasdaq managed to wring an 11-point gain. Why were markets in heavier spirits today?

The Federal Reserve is currently huddled in conference. Investors fear it might wire the wrong message tomorrow. CNBC: "There’s growing concern among investors that interest rates may continue to climb, snuffing out the comeback for equities. The market fell to its session lows when the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield briefly rose above 1.62% in afternoon trading."

Again, which way will the market mood swing next — to despair — or rapture?

Spiking Interest Rates: Here is the argument for despair, as CNBC suggests: Interest rates are on the jump. The bellwether 10-year Treasury note presently yields 1.62%. A slender offering by history’s standard, it is true. But the same 10-year Treasury note yielded 0.91% to open the year. Thus we have witnessed an increase of 71 basis points in 2.5 months.

As Mr. Louis Gave, CEO of Gavekal Research, reminds us...A 50-basis point increase in interest rates approximates the annual budget of the United States Navy. At $160 billion, the annual budget of the United States Navy is not… insignificant. The added debt service costs from a 71-basis point rise are even less so. Mr. Gave: "They will have to decide whether to let bond yields rise or not. If they let them normalize to pre-Covid levels, 10-year Treasury yields would have to rise to about 2.5%. But if they do that, the funding of the government becomes problematic… The U.S. is already borrowing money to pay its interest today. If rates go up, they’re getting into the cycle where they have to borrow more just to be able to pay interest, which is not a good position."

An Earthquake: Jim Rickards labels the alarming rate spike an “earthquake:” “If you think that the move from 0.91% to 1.6% is small, it’s not. In the bond market, that’s an earthquake.” Yet the true earthquake — the “big one” — remains a future catastrophe.

The stock market and the economy have risen upon a San Andreas Fault of artificially low interest rates. Tectonic energies, potential energies and kinetic energies presently meet in savage collision… tremendous masses... pushing… shifting... groaning. Markets sense that inflationary forces, long dormant, are mounting. They have the dynamism of $1.9 trillion in “stimulus” in back of them. Further spending later this year will load additional inflation pressures. These forces are shouldering interest rates higher.

The Trigger: If rates rise much above 2%, some believe the plates will slip… and fantastic seismic energies will unleash the “big one.” The market would go rolling into the ocean. And the economy likely with it. Others believe rates must rise to 3% or higher before the plates give way. No one knows the precise figure, of course. But beyond all questioning: Artificially low rates keep the $85 trillion edifice of public and private debt standing.

No Foundation:This architectural atrocity stretches thousands of feet into the sky — but only inches into the earth. That is, it is all high-rise and no foundation. It is all height and no depth. The thing would come heaping down if rates rise markedly... as the earth shakes ferociously beneath it. Thus is the peril of building upon a deeply unstable fault line. But the Federal Reserve keeps piling one story upon the other… Chief architect Jerome Powell insists the foundations are secure. Inflation is no menace because unemployment remains elevated, and the economy runs at diminished capacity.

Inflation Can Run “Hot”: Only when unemployment returns to pre-pandemic depths... and inflation runs persistently at 2%... will he turn his attentions to the ground beneath him. After all, the fellow reasons, inflation has been dormant for decades. Interest rates have dropped across the same space. The trendlines remain fixed in a solid position.

What if he does attain his 2% inflation? He believes he can allow inflation to run “hot” for a stretch. He can dial down the temperature again if sweat begins to drip. But can he? Have another guess, argues Michael Hartnett — Bank of America's chief investment strategist.

Is the 40-Year Cycle Ending? The cycle is reversing, he claims. Both inflation and interest rates are heading the other way: "The lower inflation of the last 40 years that sent interest rates down and stock market valuations higher has reached a turning point. We believe we are at a secular turning point for both inflation and interest rates."

But why? "We believe 2020 likely marked a secular low point for inflation and interest rates due to a reversal of deflationary secular factors, fiscal excess, and an explosive cyclical reopening of the global economy creating excess demand for goods, services and labor."

Market history has witnessed eight major cycles dating to 1871. Investors grabbed the greatest gains — nearly all of them — in four cycles of the eight.Investors handed over their gains in the others, robbed by the silent thief of inflation.

Importantly: The bulking majority of market gains across these cycles were harvested during disinflationary cycles — not inflationary cycles.

A Decade of Losses: What if Mr. Hartnett is correct? What if the 40-year cycle of declining inflation and declining interest rates is ending? What if both are streaking higher? It would suggest rough going for stocks during the coming years... as the cycle swings from disinflation… to inflation. At present valuations, stocks could shed 50% or more of last decade’s gains. By some estimates, your odds of losing money in the stock market approach 100% — odds that make the bravest fellow quail.

This time is different, say Wall Street’s drummers. Of course. It always is. But if a hangover exists in direct proportion to the binge that produced it… investors may be down for the next decade..."

The Daily "Near You?"

Savannah, Georgia, USA. Thanks for stopping by!

"Economic Market Snapshot PM 3/16/21"

"Economic Market Snapshot PM 3/16/21"
"Capitalism is the astounding belief that the most wickedest of men will
do the most wickedest of things for the greatest good of everyone."
- John Maynard Keynes
"Down the rabbit hole of psychopathic greed and insanity...
Only the consequences are real - to you!
Your guide:
Gregory Mannarino, PM 3/16/21

"TOMORROW The Fed. Will Make Or Break The Stock Market"

"The more I see of the monied classes, 
the better I understand the guillotine."
- George Bernard Shaw
MarketWatch Market Summary, Live Updates

CNN Market Data:

CNN Fear And Greed Index:
A comprehensive, essential daily read.
March 16th to 17th, Updated Daily 
Financial Stress Index
"The OFR Financial Stress Index (OFR FSI) is a daily market-based snapshot of stress in global financial markets. It is constructed from 33 financial market variables, such as yield spreads, valuation measures, and interest rates. The OFR FSI is positive when stress levels are above average, and negative when stress levels are below average. The OFR FSI incorporates five categories of indicators: credit, equity valuation, funding, safe assets and volatility. The FSI shows stress contributions by three regions: United States, other advanced economies, and emerging markets."
Daily Job Cuts

"The Great Thing..."

"The great thing about the internet is that you get to meet people you
would otherwise only meet if you were committed to the same asylum."
- Robert Brault

"An Alternative History

"An Alternative History
by Bill Bonner

“Enlightened statesmen will not always be at the helm.”
– James Madison

"YOUGHAL, IRELAND – “We need to remember,” says Joe Biden, “that the government isn’t some foreign force in a distant capital. No, it’s all of us. All of us.” We don’t recall ever making any decision for the government… nor ever having the slightest influence over any decision the government ever made. Nobody ever asked our opinion, and our vote was inconsequential. Apparently, “all of us” does not include us. Instead, decisions are made by others – lobbyists, legislative aides, bureaucrats, hacks, and cronies. They are the ones, for example, who wrote the latest 600-page American Rescue Plan.

How could you expect them to neglect rescuing the people most important to them – themselves? Every penny of that $1.9 trillion will go into somebody’s pocket. Ordinary taxpayers will get some. But so will the scientists at the National Science Foundation, the artistes at the National Endowment for the Arts… the people (whoever they are) who take care of environmental problems in poor areas… the folks who run Amtrak… the people at the Bureau for Indian Affairs… firefighters… minority farmers… the Corporation for Public Broadcasting… and so on.

A billion here. A billion there. And pretty soon, you’ve taken care of most everyone who matters to the government. For all the coins tossed to the hapless mob, the real money still goes to the insiders. In the American Rescue Plan, for example, $520 billion goes to the 90% of the eligible public. The rest – $1.4 trillion – is shared about among those with good lobbyists.

Wealth and Privileges: Government has one major purpose and one only – to help the elite keep its wealth and privileges. Everyone else is a pawn… a statistic… or a useful idiot. Fortunately for the feds, there are millions of them. And in this Bubble Epoch, Americans are ready to believe that they can all live at someone else’s expense.

Some 70% of the American public is said to approve of the latest something-for-everyone giveaway, perhaps not realizing that the something must also come from someone – most often, themselves. There is no other source. Even printing-press money must be reckoned with some day. What the government giveth, in other words, it must taketh, too… and in larger amounts (in order to have a fat margin for those who control it).

This is not to say that a government cannot perform useful functions. But all that it does, all the time, is subservient to its major role: to keep the rich and powerful becoming richer and more powerful. That is the secret to understanding the last 20 years. The feds did foolish things… But they were not foolish for “all of us.” Only most of us All of us? Not by a long shot. And here, Dear Reader, is the lowdown.

Alternative History: Herewith an alternative history… Imagine that America enjoyed three especially wise and courageous leaders… who looked the American people in the eye at critical moments and leveled with them. Three simple, short presidential speeches might have changed the course of history.

George W. Bush: "Some bad guys blew up a couple buildings in New York… and struck the Pentagon, too. We have joined with the police from countries all over the world to bring the people behind this to justice. Don’t worry. We’ll get them. And by the way, we’re withdrawing all our troops from the Mideast. That was a mistake from the get-go."

No War on Terror. No invasion of Iraq. No chaos in the Levant. No $7 trillion bill. No 800,000 dead. No 37 million displaced. No “warrior culture.” No “see something, say something.” Just old-fashioned gumshoe work… at trivial cost.

Barack Obama: "Yes, we are seeing a shakeout on Wall Street. But no way am I going to ask Americans making an average of $40,000 per year to bail out guys who have been taking in million-dollar bonuses. Wall Street can take care of itself."

No need for former Federal Reserve chair Ben Bernanke’s ersatz “courage to act.” No TARP. No TAF. No TALF. No TSLF. No GM rescue. No AIG, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Citi, Wells Fargo, Chase, Goldman Sachs bailouts. No quantitative easing. No $3.6 trillion in additional money-printing and $4.6 trillion in extra expenditures. No suppression of interest rates. No big bounce in the stock market. No new bubble.

Donald Trump: "We face a potential health crisis. At risk are old people and those with compromised immune systems. We’re going to make every effort to protect them, using every resource available to our medical care industries. Approximately 5% of the population is in danger of dying from the disease – the old and weak, who are vulnerable to COVID- 19, just as they would be to any new flu strain. The risk to the rest is not enough to make a federal case of it. Of those who get the virus, outside of the most vulnerable groups, apparently, 99.7% survive. So, let’s keep our wits about us… and do our best to protect those who need it. But let’s not panic and make this thing worse."

No lockdowns. No mass unemployment. No supplemental employment benefits. No $733 billion Payroll Protection Program. No $2.2 CARES Act. No Response and Relief Act for almost $1 trillion more. And no American Rescue Plan for nearly $2 trillion on top of that.

No bankrupt restaurants, hotels, gyms, or movie theaters. No millions of people, unemployed, waiting for their stimmy checks.

No hordes of young traders bidding up prices for companies that have never made a dime and are probably worthless. No zero interest rates.

No borrowing spree by families, businesses, and the government – bringing total U.S. debt to $80 trillion… where it can’t possibly survive normal, market-set rates.

Money Spared: Imagine that. No big words. No bold new programs. No promises. No fantasies. No claims. No lies. And $15 trillion spared. But how then would the rich have gotten so rich? What would have driven up stock prices? Who would have paid all the Pentagon suppliers? And what about the big banks… What would have happened to the million-dollar paydays? And poor Dr. Fauci would be a nobody!

Oh, Dear Reader… it’s just too horrible to imagine. Thank God we found the leaders who could rise to the occasion. These were the men James Madison foresaw. Weaklings, cowards, and nincompoops… They destroyed the country, but they kept the money flowing!

Get With the Program: George W. Bush was ready and willing to go along with the Deep State’s forever war program. Barack Obama kept the wars going, bailed out Wall Street, and twisted the entire economy into a grotesque new shape (but made the rich richer than ever). Donald Trump… unable to stop the wars… unable to stop the financial damage… unable to understand the real threat of the COVID-19 Crisis… but willing and able to take the economic buffoonery up to a whole new level.

And now… what more could the mischievous gods ask? Joe Biden. Fool? Knave? Hack? Ready to bring more big paydays to all of those insiders… the elite who really are “the government”…while pretending to help “all of us.”
"Quos Deus vult perdere prius dementat."
Latin of "Whom the gods would destroy, they first make mad."

"How It Really Is"

Gregory Mannarino, "Alert! The US Economic FREE-FALL Collapse Is Picking Up Speed"

Gregory Mannarino,
"Alert! The US Economic FREE-FALL Collapse Is Picking Up Speed"
Related:

"Here And Now..."

"That we can never know," answered the wolf angrily. "That's for the future. But what we can know is the importance of what we owe to the present. Here and now, and nowhere else. For nothing else exists, except in our minds. What we owe to ourselves, and to those we're bound to. And we can at least hope to make a better future, for everything."
- David Clement Davies

Monday, March 15, 2021

"If You Are..."

"If you are a dreamer, come in,
If you are a dreamer, a wisher, a liar,
A hope-er, a pray-er, a magic bean buyer...
If you're a pretender come sit by my fire
For we have some flax-golden tales to spin.
Come in!
 Come in!"

- Shel Silverstein

"Commercial Real Estate Catastrophe: Retail And Office Bankruptcies Triggering Major Meltdown In 2021"

Full screen recommended.
"Commercial Real Estate Catastrophe: 
Retail And Office Bankruptcies Triggering Major Meltdown In 2021"
by Epic Economist

"The commercial real estate collapse is worsening! Recent reports are alerting that investors could face a bloodbath of loan defaults in the range of hundreds of billions of dollars. Even the Fed has sounded the alarm saying potential business bankruptcies could lead to sharp declines in commercial property values due to high insolvency rates. Ever since the government-mandated shutdowns were put into place last year, numerous big cities were transformed into ghost towns, with lots of skyscrapers going dark, shopping centers almost completely empty, and countless closed restaurants ravaging America's economic landscape.

The $16 trillion sector was impacted in ways not seen since the Great Recession of 2008. And now, one year later, after several waves of business bankruptcies, many shopping mall owners remain unable to pay off their loans, which could trigger a crisis that would end up in the foreclosure of such properties, affecting banks, pension funds, investors, and bondholders that have invested in mall Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities, and resulting in major losses.

Moreover, dormant offices and deserted commercial buildings are also a fiscal time bomb for municipal budgets that are highly reliant on property taxes and have been registering real estate revenue losses of as much as 10 percent in 2021. That is to say, it seems evident that a major financial disaster is approaching, and the commercial real estate collapse will be the trigger to an unprecedented domino effect that will cause long-term damages to both the economy and markets in the months ahead. That's what we're going to analyze in this video.

The commercial real estate collapse has two main losers: retail and office space. After the introduction of restrictions in foot traffic and social distancing regulations, the widespread closure of brick-and-mortar stores, and the shift to remote work have caused the value of retail and office properties to plummet, plunging development projects underwater, which means the values of the properties are lower than the amount the owners owe.

On one hand, the retail apocalypse is putting malls at risk of major loan defaults, which could pose a serious problem for the financial sector. And on the other hand, empty office space is weighting upon city budgets that rely on property tax raises to fund public services, which could lead to another round of mass lay-offs as cities need to cut on expenses.

The International Council of Shopping Centers recently warned that, if mall tenants can’t pay rent, the consequent domino effect could cause long-term distress to financial markets. And if shopping mall owners are unable to meet their loans payments, that could result in a flood of mall foreclosures, which will affect investors, bondholders, banks and pension funds have invested in mall Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities

That's why industry experts say that mass loan defaults will cause a bloodbath on investors' earnings in the range of hundreds of billions of dollars. The losses are expected to hit bondholders like banks and pension funds and quickly mount. Then, the liquidity, or ability to sell assets, in the commercial real estate debt market could freeze up. In that way, the commercial real estate collapse can put malls at risk of extinction while also provoking a catastrophic financial crisis.

Moreover, a sharp decline in the value of commercial properties, especially emptied office buildings, is expected to critically compromise city budgets. Although for states, property taxes total less than 1 percent of tax revenue, for cities and towns they can account for up to 30 percent or more of the taxes used to fund local schools, and other public services. In January, Mayor Bill de Blasio of New York alerted that property tax revenues were expected to drop by $2.5 billion this year as the value of hotel, retail, and office properties has already declined by 15.8 percent. The city revealed plans of mass lay-offs to occur by the end of the year and the same is likely to happen across several other cities.

All in all, the commercial real estate collapse is putting both the financial markets and the economy under some serious strains. There's just too much debt to service, and although property managers can try to defer some rents, finance some extensions, and dress up balance sheets, if the overall aspect of the economy doesn't show improvements soon enough, these properties will be bound to face foreclosure and a substantial value losses.

Meanwhile, the economic growth of major urban centers of the country may be impaired for decades as such areas have recorded the highest rates of business bankruptcies and store closings. Evidently, all of those determinants can contribute to push us further into the recession. At this point, everywhere we look there are still many warning signs reminding us another devastating crisis can burst at any moment."

Musical Interlude: Yanni, "1001"

Full screen recommended.
Yanni, "1001"

"A Look to the Heavens"

"In brush strokes of interstellar dust and glowing hydrogen gas, this beautiful skyscape is painted across the plane of our Milky Way Galaxy near the northern end of the Great Rift and the constellation Cygnus the Swan. Composed using 22 different images and over 180 hours of image data, the widefield mosaic spans an impressive 24 degrees across the sky.
Alpha star of Cygnus, bright, hot, supergiant Deneb lies near top center. Crowded with stars and luminous gas clouds Cygnus is also home to the dark, obscuring Northern Coal Sack Nebula, extending from Deneb toward the center of the view. The reddish glow of star forming regions NGC 7000 and IC 5070, the North America Nebula and Pelican Nebulas, are just left of Deneb. The Veil Nebula is a standout below and left of center. A supernova remnant, the Veil is some 1,400 light years away, but many other nebulae and star clusters are identifiable throughout the cosmic scene. Of course, Deneb itself is also known to northern hemisphere skygazers for its place in two asterisms -- marking the top of the Northern Cross and a vertex of the Summer Triangle.

Chet Raymo, “Time, Person, Year, Way...”

“Time, Person, Year, Way...”
by Chet Raymo

“According to the Concise Oxford English Dictionary, the 25 most used nouns in the English language are: time, person, year, way, day, thing, man, world, life, hand, part, child, eye, woman, place, work, week, case, point, government, company, number, group, problem, fact.

All very prosaic. Very workaday. Time leads the way, with year, day and week bucking up the calendar. Hand takes precedence over eye. Man, child, woman in her place. Case in point: government and company. Problem precedes fact. Work is always with us, of course; play is not to be found. Nothing in the list that reflects science or technology or the lofty ruminations of academics. More surprising, nothing that reflects religion. When it comes right down to it, it's as the poet Rilke wrote in the Ninth Duino Elegy: "Perhaps we are here only to say: house, bridge, fountain, gate."

"Praise this world to the Angel," says Rilke. "Do not tell him the untellable...Show him some simple thing, refashioned by age after age, till it lives in our hands and eyes as a part of ourselves. Tell him things. He'll stand more astonished."

"When We Walk To The Edge..."

“When we walk to the edge of all the light we have and take a step into
the darkness of unknown, we must believe one of two things will happen.
There will be something solid to stand on, or we will be taught how to fly.”
- Patrick Overton

"Walmart Big Screens Fly Off Shelves; Don't Be A Fool; Americans Can't Stop Spending; Tax Hike"

Jeremiah Babe,
"Walmart Big Screens Fly Off Shelves; Don't Be A Fool;
 Americans Can't Stop Spending; Tax Hike"

Gregory Mannarino, PM 3/15/21: “Critical Updates Plus! Mannarino Loses It Multiple Times”

Gregory Mannarino, PM 3/15/21:
“Critical Updates Plus! Mannarino Loses It Multiple Times”

The Daily "Near You?"

Janesville, Wisconsin, USA. Thanks for stopping by!