"It's What You Know For Sure..."

“Consider a turkey that is fed every day. Every single feeding will firm up the bird’s belief that it is the general rule of life to be fed every day by friendly members of the human race ‘looking out for its best interests,’ as a politician would say. On the afternoon of the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, something unexpected will happen to the turkey. It will incur a revision of belief.“

- Nouriel Roubini

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“It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. 

It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.” 

- Mark Twain

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"When you have eliminated the impossible, 

whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth."

- Sherlock Holmes